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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for error metric

Study shows label errors impact model disparity metrics, proposing mitigation methods.

problem Impact of label errors on model disparity metrics.
method Empirical study, characterizing label error effects; proposing estimation and relabeling methods.
result Label errors significantly affect model disparity metrics, particularly for minority groups.

Metric learning enhances combinatorial coverage metrics' ability to predict classification errors.

problem Dataset dependence of combinatorial coverage metrics in anticipating classification errors.
method Metric learning to improve latent space separation of data classes.
result Metric learning increases SDCCMs' ability to distinguish between correctly and incorrectly classified data.

Unified NICEk metrics improve solar forecasting accuracy.

problem Lack of suitable error metrics for multidimensional solar irradiance forecasting.
method Introducing NICEk framework with Lk norms for evaluating forecasting models.
result NICESigma consistently outperforms traditional metrics in discriminative power and statistical significance.

A new metric optimizes forecasts for lumpy, intermittent demand.

problem Inaccurate demand forecasts lead to suboptimal logistics and production.
method Developed a novel metric that considers both statistical and business aspects.
result The new metric yields more accurate predictions for lumpy and intermittent demand.

A new KM clustering algorithm reduces error and scales to large datasets.

problem Traditional KM error analyses suffer from generalization gaps and lack true error bounds.
method Formalized true K-Medoids error, decomposed into ME and MME, provided convergence result, proposed MCPAM algorithm.
result MCPAM achieves true error bounds and scales to 1 billion points.

We study Lipschitz models in reinforcement learning to bound prediction and value-function errors.

problem Bounding errors in reinforcement learning models with Lipschitz continuity constraints.
method We provide bounds on multi-step prediction error and value-function estimate using the Wasserstein metric for Lipschitz models.
result Lipschitz models lead to bounded errors in prediction and value-function estimates.

The paper explores learning metrics in low dimensions with bounds and complexities.

problem Learning metrics in low dimensions with bounds and complexities.
method Develops upper and lower bounds on generalization error, quantifies sample complexity, and bounds accuracy relative to the true metric.
result Novel mathematical approaches to metric learning and insights into ordinal embedding.

A new framework for semi-supervised ordinal regression.

problem Lack of evaluation metrics and theoretical guarantees in existing semi-supervised ordinal regression.
method Empirical risk minimization principle, flexible model choices, and estimation error bound.
result Consistent risk estimator and improved performance across various metrics.

This paper tightens the generalization error bound for graph embedding in non-Euclidean spaces.

problem High generalization error in non-Euclidean graph embedding, preventing practical applications.
method Novel upper bound of graph embedding's generalization error using local Rademacher complexity.
result The new bound is tighter and faster, allowing better performance in non-Euclidean spaces.

A visualization aids in comparing regression models by highlighting errors and correlations.

problem Comparing regression models is difficult due to varying hyper-parameters and metrics.
method Introduces a novel visualization approach using 2D residual space, Mahalanobis distance, and colormaps.
result Enhanced understanding of regression model performance differences and error distributions.

Synthetic data augmentation can improve imbalanced classification metrics.

problem Improving imbalanced classification metrics
method Developing a framework for analyzing the effects of synthetic data augmentation on score-based classification
result Augmentation can improve AUROC, AUPRC, balanced accuracy, and F1 score

New metrics improve scRNA-seq perturbation modeling by reducing mode collapse.

problem Outperformed by simple mean prediction in scRNA-seq perturbation modeling.
method Introduce DEG-aware metrics (WMSE, Rw2(Δ)R^{2}_{w}(Δ)) and negative/positive baselines.
result WMSE loss function reduces mode collapse and improves model performance.

Study classifies and typologizes performance metrics for ML regression, forecasting, and prognostics.

problem Improving evaluation of machine learning models in regression, forecasting, and prognostics.
method Analysis of existing metrics and development of a typology based on structure and properties.
result Proposed framework of four categories of metrics and three key components determining their structure.

Improves bit error tolerance in RRAM-based BNNs without overfitting.

problem Bit errors in RRAM-based BNNs reduce accuracy and overfit to training error rates.
method Proposes straight-through gradient approximation and a novel regularizer.
result Improves BNNs' robustness to bit errors without overfitting.

Paper studies SGD stability and optimization error in pairwise learning.

problem Stability and optimization error of SGD for pairwise learning.
method Established stability and optimization error trade-offs for SGD in convex, strongly convex, and non-convex settings.
result Lower bounds for SGD optimization error and excess expected risk.

Nonasymptotic error bounds and strong consistency rates for survival analysis methods.

problem Establishing reliable error bounds and consistency rates for survival analysis methods.
method Nonasymptotic error bounds for Kaplan-Meier-based nearest neighbor and kernel survival probability estimators in metric spaces.
result Rates of strong consistency match existing lower bounds for conditional CDF estimation.

The study categorizes reward errors in reinforcement learning, finding some can be beneficial.

problem Training language models with imperfect proxy rewards.
method Theoretical analysis of policy gradient optimization and categorization of reward errors.
result Reward errors can be benign or even beneficial, preventing policy from stalling.

Algorithms learn and test variable partitions in various groups and error metrics.

problem Learning and testing variable partitions in different groups and error metrics.
method Algorithms for agnostically learning and testing kk-partitionability over various groups and error metrics.
result Learning algorithms for kk-partitionability with polynomial time complexity and testing with adaptive queries.

This study analyzes how well GANs approximate distributions from small samples.

problem Understanding how well GANs approximate distributions from limited data.
method Analysis of GANs using integral probability metrics and Hölder classes.
result GANs can adaptively learn low-dimensional structures or Hölder densities.

Metrics assess uncertainty structure and distribution for regression models.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional and nonlinear regression tasks.
method Two bounded comparison metrics for uncertainty structure and distribution.
result DNNs and DNOs provide encouraging uncertainty metric values in high dimensions.

A new method uses coherent structure coloring to estimate model parameters more accurately than traditional methods.

problem Challenges in estimating model parameters from Lagrangian data in turbulent flows.
method Use coherent structure coloring (CSC) field to assess model skill and estimate model parameters.
result Error in the CSC field can accurately determine model parameters, while conventional methods fail.

Reassesses calibration metrics in machine learning models.

problem Inconsistent reporting of calibration metrics in recent literature.
method Calibration-based decomposition of Bregman divergences, visualization of calibration and generalization error.
result New visualization technique for detecting trade-offs between calibration and generalization.

We derive a mapping between MSE and CCC, revealing counterintuitive insights.

problem Missing mapping between mean square error and concordance correlation coefficient.
method Derive mathematical formula connecting MSE and CCC, analyze graphical implications.
result Formula uncovers counterintuitive insights and precise range for CCC given MSE.

The paper develops a method to approximate arbitrary Bregman divergences from supervision.

problem Approximating an arbitrary Bregman divergence from supervision.
method Develops a formulation and algorithm for learning arbitrary Bregman divergences by approximating their convex generating function via a piecewise linear function.
result The method achieves a generalization error of Op(m1/2)O_p(m^{-1/2}) for metric learning, matching known bounds.

A new metric predicts model performance on unseen data.

problem Predicting performance on out-of-distribution data without labels.
method Uses model predictions to pseudo-label data, trains a new model, and measures difference from in-distribution models.
result Empirically outperforms existing methods on image and text classification tasks.

Paper introduces a new framework to improve sample efficiency in POMDPs learning.

problem Challenges in off-policy evaluation for POMDPs, especially with hidden states.
method Exploits the metric structure of belief space to relax coverage assumptions.
result Unified analysis technique yields tighter error bounds and sample efficiency improvements.

Paper proposes a new metric to evaluate survival models, especially for censored data.

problem Challenges in evaluating survival prediction models due to censored data.
method Developed a novel approach to estimate Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for survival datasets with censored data.
result The proposed MAE metric using pseudo-observations accurately ranks model performance and closely matches true MAE.

Improved robustness in multivariate regression and classification with DRO under Wasserstein metric.

problem Outliers in covariates and responses.
method Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) with Wasserstein metric ambiguity set and regularization.
result Significant improvement in predictive error and robustness.

We study the Lipschitz metric on Teichmuller space (defined by Thurston) and compare it with the Teichmuller metric. We show that in the thin part of Teichmuller space the Lipschitz metric is approximated up to bounded additive distortion by the sup metric on a product of lower-dimensional spaces (similar to the Teichm…

2005-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗