In this paper we propose a tractable quadratic programming formulation for calculating the equilibrium term structure of electricity prices. We rely on a theoretical model described in [21], but extend it so that it reflects actually traded electricity contracts, transaction costs and liquidity considerations. Our nume…
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48 results for “equilibrium formulation”
Graphon game model simplifies stochastic interactions among agents.
problem Complex interactions among heterogeneous agents in stochastic games.
method Introduced a discrete-time graphon game formulation with a representative player.
result Existence and uniqueness of graphon equilibrium proven with mild assumptions.
The paper studies price impacts in asset liquidation markets.
problem Understanding price impacts in asset liquidation markets.
method Equilibrium formulation and analysis of price impacts.
result Existence and uniqueness of clearing prices for portfolio liquidation.
Paper characterizes equilibrium strategies for stochastic control with higher-order moments.
problem Stochastic control problems with higher-order moments.
method Novel characterization of time-consistent control problems, deriving equilibrium conditions via BSDEs.
result Derives sufficient and necessary conditions for an open-loop Nash equilibrium control (ONEC) in a novel way.
This paper studies the Glosten Milgrom model whose risky asset value admits an arbitrary discrete distribution. Contrast to existing results on insider's models, the insider's optimal strategy in this model, if exists, is not of feedback type. Therefore a weak formulation of equilibrium is proposed. In this weak formul…
Study equilibrium consumption habits in a large population using mean field games.
problem Equilibrium consumption under external habit formation in a large population.
method Formulated and solved mean field games for linear and multiplicative habit formation preferences, constructed approximate Nash equilibria for large n-player games.
result Characterized mean field equilibrium strategies and derived financial implications.
The notion that economies should normally be in equilibrium is by now well-established; equally well-established is that economies are almost never precisely in equilibrium. Using a very general formulation, we show that under dynamics that are second-order in time a price system can remain away from equilibrium with p…
Alternative finance models from physics for non-equilibrium systems.
problem Inequities of classical finance models in physics-based perspective.
method Physics-based insights for non-equilibrium finance models.
result Alternative models for non-equilibrium finance systems.
On the role of geometry in statistical mechanics and thermodynamics I: Geometric perspectivecond-mat.stat-mech
The paper provides a geometric framework for understanding non-equilibrium thermodynamics.
problem Unclear geometric structure of GENERIC in non-equilibrium thermodynamics.
method Cotangent lifts of dynamics, splitting into holonomic and vertical representatives, and formulation within contact geometry.
result Physical meaning and explicit formulation of the second law of thermodynamics within evolution equations.
Geometric approach to quantum thermodynamics models state spaces and processes.
problem Quantum thermodynamics in the regime of non-equilibrium states.
method Contact geometry and principal fiber bundles to model quantum state spaces and processes.
result Geometric formulation reveals the fundamental thermodynamic relations and unattainability of the third law.
Generalizes insider trading model to multiple assets.
problem Modeling informed trading in a multi-asset context.
method Formulated an infinite-dimensional Bayesian trading game.
result Obtained a parsimonious equilibrium with closed-form solutions.
AMM finds optimal contract for LPs to maximize order flow.
problem Maximizing order flow in AMMs with LPs.
method Leader-follower stochastic game, closed-form equilibrium solutions.
result LPs incentivized to add liquidity when external price attracts more noise trading.
Intuitive clustering algorithm balances cluster size and cohesion.
problem Cluster definition and selection in data analysis.
method Nearest neighbours equilibrium condition for clustering.
result High-quality clustering solutions compared to benchmarks.
A moment constraint that limits the number of dividends in the optimal dividend problem is suggested. This leads to a new type of time-inconsistent stochastic impulse control problem. First, the optimal solution in the precommitment sense is derived. Second, the problem is formulated as an intrapersonal sequential dyna…
This paper tackles global Nash equilibrium in non-convex multi-player games.
problem Challenges in finding global Nash equilibrium due to non-convexity.
method Conjugate transformation and variational inequality formulation to prove existence and design algorithms.
result Designs an ODE-based algorithm with exponential convergence rate and proves its effectiveness in practical scenarios.
Equilibrium Distribution for t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding with Generalized Kernelsstat.ML
Paper studies t-SNE convergence with generalized kernels.
problem Understanding convergence of t-SNE with generalized kernels.
method Concrete formulation of generalized kernels, proving convergence to an equilibrium distribution.
result t-SNE converges to an equilibrium distribution under certain conditions for generalized kernels.
In this paper, we continue our study on a general time-inconsistent stochastic linear--quadratic (LQ) control problem originally formulated in [6]. We derive a necessary and sufficient condition for equilibrium controls via a flow of forward--backward stochastic differential equations. When the state is one dimensional…
CMS formulation solves Poincare conjecture for all dimensions.
problem Poincaré Conjecture in higher dimensions.
method Calculus of moving surfaces (CMS) for evolving hypersurfaces.
result Compact simply connected hypersurfaces relax to constant mean curvature (CMC) manifolds.
In this paper, we formulate a general time-inconsistent stochastic linear--quadratic (LQ) control problem. The time-inconsistency arises from the presence of a quadratic term of the expected state as well as a state-dependent term in the objective functional. We define an equilibrium, instead of optimal, solution withi…
Inspired by Strotz's consistent planning strategy, we formulate the infinite horizon mean-variance stopping problem as a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium in order to determine time consistent strategies with no regret. Equilibria among stopping times or randomized stopping times may not exist. This motivates us to cons…
Trading with the Crowdq-fin.TR
Game theory models how agents trade in a risky asset considering price impact and a common signal.
problem Modeling how financial agents liquidate assets in a risky market with price impact and a common signal.
method Formulated and solved a multi-player stochastic differential game and mean field game.
result Equilibrium strategies reveal how agents adjust the predictive trading signal to price impact.
Study optimal stopping for group with diverse discount rates using an attitude function.
problem Optimal stopping for a group with diverse discount rates under an aggregation preference.
method Develop iterative approach using consistent planning for time-consistent equilibria.
result Characterize all time-consistent mild equilibria as fixed points of an operator.
New GAN formulation addresses mode collapse issue.
problem Mode collapse in GANs.
method Randomized decision rules, empirical Bayes, stochastic gradient MCMC.
result Proposed method converges to Nash equilibrium.
The paper analyzes optimal investment strategies in a game with jump risk, deriving mean field equilibria.
problem Optimal investment strategies in a game with jump risk and peer competition.
method Formulated mean field game and n-player game models, characterized equilibrium states, and derived approximation errors.
result Explicit mean field equilibrium and approximate Nash equilibrium for large n-player games.
Model equilibrium price in intraday electricity markets with uncertainty.
problem Formulate equilibrium model for intraday electricity trading with balancing constraints and uncertainty.
method Develop equilibrium model with agents' balancing constraints, forecasted consumption, production uncertainties, and Markov chain outages.
result Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium price as a martingale, with insights into price formation and impact of uncertainty.
Revisiting the Black-Scholes equationcond-mat.stat-mech
In common finance literature, Black-Scholes partial differential equation of option pricing is usually derived with no-arbitrage principle. Considering an asset market, Merton applied the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman techniques of his continuous-time consumption-portfolio problem, deriving general equilibrium relationships …
Study on price formation in financial markets with a single default event.
problem Equilibrium price formation in financial markets with a single default risk.
method Characterized optimal strategies using quadratic-growth BSDEs, derived market-clearing condition, and established mean-field BSDE solvability.
result Characterized equilibrium risk premium and its dependence on default risk factors.
New approach finds solutions to games with unbounded controls.
problem Existence of equilibrium in mean-field games with unbounded controls.
method Weak formulation and new existence/stability results for quadratic-growth generalized McKean-Vlasov BSDEs.
result Existence of equilibrium result for non-Markovian mean-field games with unbounded control space.
EP algorithm improved for CNNs and real-time learning.
problem EP's long simulation times and non-local learning rule limitations.
method Discrete-time formulation, continual weight updates, local time information.
result C-EP achieves best performance on MNIST with CNNs.
Save for some special cases, current training methods for Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are at best guaranteed to converge to a `local Nash equilibrium` (LNE). Such LNEs, however, can be arbitrarily far from an actual Nash equilibrium (NE), which implies that there are no guarantees on the quality of the found…
We discuss a natural game of competition and solve the corresponding mean field game with \emph{common noise} when agents' rewards are \emph{rank dependent}. We use this solution to provide an approximate Nash equilibrium for the finite player game and obtain the rate of convergence.
Weak equilibria for time-inconsistent control: with applications to investment-withdrawal decisionsmath.OC
The paper defines and solves time-inconsistent stopping control problems in multi-dimensional diffusion models.
problem Time-inconsistent problems in control and stopping strategies.
method Formal definition of weak equilibria, extended HJB system, and verification methodology.
result Explicit equilibrium solutions and existence of non-constant equilibria.
On the role of geometry in statistical mechanics and thermodynamics II: Thermodynamic perspectivecond-mat.stat-mech
Rate GENERIC extends thermodynamics principles to non-equilibrium systems.
problem Understanding non-equilibrium thermodynamics and its relation to equilibrium thermodynamics.
method Developed a geometrical framework for rate GENERIC, extending Onsager's variational principle.
result Rate GENERIC structure provides a new perspective on thermodynamics in non-equilibrium systems.
Study optimal investment and consumption strategies for competitive agents with habit formation.
problem Optimal investment and consumption strategies for competitive agents with habit formation.
method Formulated n-agent game problems and mean field game problems, derived mean field equilibrium, constructed approximate Nash equilibrium.
result Explicit convergence order of approximate Nash equilibrium can be obtained.
HomoODE connects DEQs and Neural ODEs via homotopy continuation, improving accuracy and memory efficiency.
problem Connecting DEQs and Neural ODEs for better model performance and efficiency.
method Established a connection between DEQs and Neural ODEs using homotopy continuation, proposing HomoODE.
result HomoODE outperforms existing implicit models in accuracy and memory consumption.
Robust SVM optimization in Banach spaces tackles classification uncertainty.
problem Binary classification in Banach spaces with uncertainty.
method Generalization of SVM results to Banach spaces, Representer Theorem, strong duality, Nash equilibrium formulation.
result Generalization of SVM results to Banach spaces, including Representer Theorem and strong duality.
An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an -maxmin nonlinear expectation, renders the stopping problem time-inconsistent. We look for subgame perfect…
This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are presented. First, we derive arbitrage-free pricing rules based on hedging argumen…
In this paper we study a continuous time equilibrium model of limit order book (LOB) in which the liquidity dynamics follows a non-local, reflected mean-field stochastic differential equation (SDE) with evolving intensity. Generalizing the basic idea of Ma et al. (2015), we argue that the frontier of the LOB (e.g., the…
A new method uses deep learning to predict rare events in complex systems.
problem Predicting rare and extreme events in non-equilibrium systems.
method A deep learning approach that minimizes the geometrical action.
result The method accurately predicts rare events in various complex systems.
Study on liquid-vapor interfaces in stable equilibrium without assuming prior regularity.
problem Understanding the conditions for a liquid-vapor interface to be in stable equilibrium without assuming prior regularity.
method Proposes a weakest set of mathematical assumptions using varifold regularity theory and identifies a suitable stability condition.
result The liquid-vapor interface is a smoothly embedded analytic surface in stable equilibrium.
We formulate the laws governing the dynamics of a crystalline solid in which a continuous distribution of dislocations is present. Our formulation is based on new differential geometric concepts, which in particular relate to Lie groups. We then consider the static case, which describes crystalline bodies in equilibriu…
Model predicts carbon price for green tech adoption.
problem Achieving emission targets with green technology adoption.
method Stationary equilibrium model with endogenous carbon price.
result Carbon price and stationary distribution of firms identified.
Study compares employers with and without anticipating strategic labor force responses.
problem Understanding and optimizing strategic interactions in labor markets.
method Formulation of causal strategic classification, theory, and experiments.
result Performatively optimal hiring policies improve employer and labor outcomes, but can also harm labor force utility.
Perfect adaptation in systems is identified and tested using graphical tools.
problem Identifying perfect adaptation in dynamical systems.
method Causal ordering algorithm and graphical representations of dynamical systems.
result Sufficient graphical and testing conditions for perfect adaptation.
Model optimal liquidation in asset bubbles with varying entry times.
problem Optimal liquidation in asset bubbles with variable entry times and exogenous crashes.
method Mean field game (MFG) with varying entry times and progressive enlargement of filtrations.
result Existence of MFG equilibria and decomposition of equilibrium strategies.
Paper formulates governing equations for membrane O surfaces.
problem Formulating equations for membrane O surfaces.
method Formulated governing equations for membrane O surfaces of the 1st and 2nd kind.
result Membrane O surfaces are a subclass of Demoulin's Ω surfaces.
This paper provides a general framework for modeling financial contagion in a system with obligations in multiple illiquid assets (e.g., currencies). In so doing, we develop a multi-layered financial network that extends the single network of Eisenberg and Noe (2001). In particular, we develop a financial contagion mod…