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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for entrepreneurship survival

Study predicts MSE survival using feature selection with missing data imputation methods.

problem Predicting survival of micro and small businesses (MSE).
method Feature selection with missing data imputation methods (MI, KNN, EM). Comparison of data mining techniques (logistic regression, naive Bayes, LDA, SVM).
result Developed a model to predict MSE survival.

In this work it is presented some considerations about entrepreneurship. Most of these questions are linked with Portuguese context. Portugal has some particularities, namely because the asymmetries between the littoral and the interior. This situation carried out some problems that complicate and prevent the appearanc…

2011-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Much has been said lately about entrepreneurship, so it seems important to leave here some personal analysis on this topic. The issues outlined here result from a work in about a year in which because a personal and professional obligations it was doing some research on these issues. This is an interesting topic that h…

2011-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.

problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.

The paper predicts survival functions using random survival trees and concordance maximization.

problem Predicting conditional survival functions in right-censored data.
method The approach combines regression strategies with random survival trees and maximizes concordance.
result The proposed weighted predictor outperforms the usual survival cobra in terms of concordance.

Survival kernets scale deep kernel survival analysis to large datasets with interpretability and theoretical guarantees.

problem Scalable and interpretable deep kernel survival analysis for large datasets.
method Survival kernets use kernel netting for training set compression and XGBoost for warm-starting neural architecture search.
result Survival kernets achieve optimal time-dependent concordance index on various survival analysis datasets.

Study examines survival models for ALS, focusing on proportional hazards assumption.

problem Impact of proportional hazards assumption on survival models for ALS.
method Theoretical and empirical investigation of survival forests and their variants.
result Alternative split procedures can improve model performance in non-proportional hazards situations.

This paper introduces tools to predict individual survival probabilities across all times.

problem Lack of tools to provide individual survival probabilities across all time points.
method Develops and evaluates new models including extensions to Cox model, Accelerated Failure Time, Random Survival Forests, and Multi-Task Logistic Regression.
result Introduces D-Calibration for evaluating individual survival distribution models.

RSM provides insights into deep survival models' decision-making.

problem Ensuring trust in deep survival models' predictions for healthcare applications.
method Reverse survival model (RSM) framework that explains deep survival models' decisions.
result RSM extracts relevant features for deep survival models' predictions.

Neural network learns kernel functions for survival analysis and prediction intervals.

problem Predicting survival times for individuals based on similar training subjects.
method Develops a neural network framework to learn kernel functions for kernel survival analysis and uses these to construct valid prediction intervals.
result Neural network survival estimators are competitive with existing methods and provide valid prediction intervals.

The paper compares Bayesian trees, Cox models, and random forests for breast cancer survival data.

problem Modeling survival data with nonlinear and additive effects.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees, Cox proportional hazards, and Random Survival Forests.
result Bayesian trees outperform other models in terms of bias and prediction accuracy.

Improves survival analysis across multiple domains with machine learning.

problem Adapting survival analysis to new or rare illness types with limited labeled data.
method Introduces a new survival metric and discrepancy measure for censored data, enabling domain adaptation.
result Superb performance on target domains, better treatment recommendations, and interpretable weight matrix.

HACSurv models dependencies between competing risks and censoring for improved survival analysis.

problem Inaccurate survival predictions due to ignoring dependencies between competing risks and censoring.
method HACSurv uses hierarchical Archimedean copulas to model dependencies and cause-specific survival functions.
result HACSurv improves accuracy in survival predictions and captures complex risk interactions.

Optimal survival trees ensemble reduces tree count and improves predictive performance.

problem Improving predictive performance in survival analysis.
method Grows a forest of optimal survival trees by ranking and selecting the best trees based on out-of-bag error.
result Reduces the number of trees in the ensemble while improving predictive performance.

DNNSurv uses pseudo values to simplify deep learning for survival analysis.

problem Modeling survival data using deep learning methods.
method Two-step approach: transform survival times into pseudo values, then use them in a deep neural network.
result Deep neural networks can be applied to survival analysis by simplifying the problem into a regression task.

GBST model improves credit risk quantification using survival analysis.

problem Quantifying credit risk in heterogeneous consumer finance data.
method Gradient boosting survival tree (GBST) model integrating survival analysis and gradient boosting.
result GBST model outperforms existing survival models in credit risk quantification.

auton-survival simplifies survival analysis for healthcare data.

problem Handling censored time-to-event data in healthcare.
method Open-source package for survival regression, adjustment, counterfactual estimation, phenotyping, and treatment effects.
result Demonstrates auton-survival's ability to support complex health and epidemiological questions.

SurvBESA predicts survival times using ensemble methods with self-attention.

problem Challenges in survival analysis due to censored data and unstable predictions.
method SurvBESA combines Beran estimators with a self-attention mechanism to predict survival times.
result SurvBESA outperforms state-of-the-art models in predicting survival times.

SurvFD and SurvSHAP-IQ provide interpretable survival models by analyzing feature interactions.

problem Non-additivity of hazard and survival functions limits standard additive explanation methods.
method SurvFD decomposes higher-order effects into time-dependent and time-independent components, extending Shapley interactions to time-indexed functions.
result SurvFD and SurvSHAP-IQ offer a new perspective on survival explanations, explicitly characterizing feature interactions.

FinSurvival provides a large-scale financial survival modeling benchmark.

problem Lack of large-scale, realistic, and freely available datasets for benchmarking AI survival models.
method Derived 16 survival modeling tasks from cryptocurrency lending data using an automated pipeline.
result Demonstrated that existing AI survival models are not well-suited for these challenging tasks.

SSPN uses deep learning to estimate risk scores in survival analysis with competing risks.

problem Nonidentifiability of cause-specific survival curves in competing risk survival analysis.
method Siamese Survival Prognosis Network (SSPN) that avoids estimating cause-specific survival curves and optimizes an approximation to the C-discrimination index.
result SSPN estimates pairwise concordant time-dependent risks, improving risk scoring in survival analysis with competing risks.

Paper proposes a new combined regression strategy for conditional survival prediction.

problem Improving survival prediction accuracy using conditional survival function.
method Uses regression-based weak learners with area-norm proximity measure to create an ensemble technique.
result The proposed model outperforms Random Survival Forest and selects important variables effectively.

Paper proposes robust methods for estimating optimal treatment rules with censored survival data.

problem Estimating optimal treatment rules for censored survival data.
method Developed two robust criteria and a sampling-based difference-of-convex algorithm for learning optimal treatment rules.
result Proposed methods show improved performance compared to existing methods in simulations and real data.

Bayesian framework improves survival prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimates in survival models.
method Bayesian framework combining variational inference, neural multi-task logistic regression, and sparsity-inducing prior.
result Better quantification of survival uncertainty and more accurate predictions.

CDVI improves variational inference for survival analysis by considering censoring mechanisms.

problem Challenges in applying variational methods to survival data, especially the dependence on censoring.
method Censor-dependent variational inference (CDVI) tailored for latent variable models in survival analysis.
result Significant improvements in estimating individual survival distributions.

Enhances interpretability of functional survival models.

problem Lack of interpretability in functional survival models limits practical use.
method Introduces novel methods to enhance interpretability of FST and explainability of FRSF.
result Proposed methods yield efficient, easy-to-understand decision trees.

SurvHTE-Bench benchmarks HTE estimation in survival analysis with diverse datasets.

problem Challenges in estimating HTEs from right-censored survival data.
method Modular synthetic datasets, semi-synthetic datasets, and real-world datasets.
result First rigorous comparison of survival HTE methods under diverse conditions.

New methods estimate survival functions with time-varying covariates.

problem Estimating survival functions with time-varying covariates.
method Generalized conditional inference and relative risk forests, adapted transformation forest.
result Proposed methods outperform traditional models in estimating survival functions.

SurvivalPFN simplifies survival analysis through amortized Bayesian inference.

problem Selecting appropriate survival analysis methods requires expertise and can be time-consuming.
method SurvivalPFN uses a prior-data fitted network for in-context Bayesian inference.
result SurvivalPFN achieves strong predictive performance across diverse datasets.

DyS model improves survival analysis accuracy and interpretability.

problem Accurate and interpretable survival analysis models for healthcare.
method Feature-sparse Generalized Additive Model combining feature selection and interpretable prediction.
result DyS model outperforms other survival analysis models in interpretability and accuracy.

TabSurv adapts tabular neural networks for survival analysis.

problem Survival analysis on tabular data using deep learning methods.
method Adapts modern tabular architectures to survival analysis using Weibull distribution or non-parametric prediction. Optimizes SurvHL histogram loss function.
result TabSurv consistently outperforms classical and deep learning baselines on 10 real-world survival datasets.

SDPM models survival analysis without parametric assumptions, achieving competitive performance.

problem Estimating survival distributions from censored data with flexibility and accuracy.
method Generative model using denoising diffusion, avoiding parametric assumptions and discretization.
result SDPM achieves competitive predictive performance across various metrics.

Investment strategies ensure wealth bounded away from zero in a competitive market.

problem Ensuring wealth bounded away from zero in a competitive investment market.
method Stochastic game-theoretic model with survival strategies.
result Survival strategies are asymptotically equivalent and allow faster wealth accumulation.