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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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75150225300 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for ensemble test

Study on ensemble, distillation, and self-distillation in deep learning models.

problem Improving test accuracy in deep learning models using ensemble and distillation methods.
method Formal study of ensemble and distillation, considering multi-view data structure.
result Proven that ensemble and distillation can improve test accuracy in deep learning models, and the superior performance can be distilled into a single model.

Research proposes an ensemble learning model for efficient software defect prediction.

problem Efficient and cost-effective software testing to minimize project resources.
method Machine learning analysis on different datasets using KNN, Decision Tree, SVM, and Naïve Bayes.
result Ensemble learning model outperforms other techniques in accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score.

Ensembles of random-feature models can't outperform a single large model.

problem Finding the optimal balance between model size and ensemble size.
method Deterministic equivalent risk estimates and scaling laws analysis.
result Ensembles of random-feature models achieve near-optimal performance only under specific conditions.

BatchEnsemble reduces ensemble costs by 3X in training and testing.

problem High costs for training and testing ensembles of neural networks.
method Defines each weight matrix as a Hadamard product of a shared matrix and a rank-one matrix per member.
result Achieves 3X speedup and 3X memory reduction in test time for ensembles of size 4.

Best-of-\infty improves LLM performance by efficiently allocating inference-time computation.

problem Achieving optimal performance in test-time LLM ensembling with infinite budget.
method Adaptive generation scheme and weighted ensembles of LLMs, formulated as mixed-integer linear program.
result Optimal ensemble weighting improves performance over individual models.

In this study, a novel sparsity-driven weighted ensemble classifier (SDWEC) that improves classification accuracy and minimizes the number of classifiers is proposed. Using pre-trained classifiers, an ensemble in which base classifiers votes according to assigned weights is formed. These assigned weights directly affec…

2016-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A new test validates ensemble models against the null hypothesis.

problem Validating ensemble models against the null hypothesis of a constant response.
method Randomized permutation test on SVEM model predictions.
result The test maintains Type I error rate even with more parameters than observations.

This paper combines and improves probabilistic forecasts of wind speeds using advanced statistical methods.

problem Improving accuracy and reliability of probabilistic forecasts in wind speed prediction.
method Adapting prediction with expert advice theory to probabilistic forecasts, combining raw or post-processed ensembles, and using CRPS and Jolliffe-Primo tests.
result Combining probabilistic forecasts can lead to more reliable and skillful predictions, as shown by the Jolliffe-Primo test.

HATT improves online decision tree ensembles by using a more eager splitting strategy.

problem Improving the efficiency of online decision tree ensembles.
method Replacing Hoeffding Tree's split strategy with HATT, which uses the Hoeffding Test for candidate splits.
result HATT outperforms Hoeffding Tree in online bagging and boosting ensembles, as shown by significant performance improvements in various testbenches.

Random Hyperboxes is a simple yet effective ensemble classifier.

problem Improving classification accuracy using ensemble methods.
method Random subsets of sample and feature spaces are used to train individual hyperbox-based classifiers, which are then combined into an ensemble.
result The proposed classifier outperforms other fuzzy min-max neural networks and ensemble methods on 20 datasets.

We present local ensembles, a method for detecting underspecification -- when many possible predictors are consistent with the training data and model class -- at test time in a pre-trained model. Our method uses local second-order information to approximate the variance of predictions across an ensemble of models from…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Specialists outperform generalists in ensemble classification.

problem Determining the accuracy of an ensemble of classifiers when individual classifier accuracies are known.
method Proved upper and lower bounds on ensemble accuracy, constructed specialist and generalist classifiers.
result Upper and lower bounds on ensemble accuracy, practical implications for classifier construction.

New metrics improve quantum ensemble learning efficiency and power.

problem Quantum ensembles' distances poorly understood due to measurement constraints.
method Introduce MMD-kk hierarchy of integral probability metrics for quantum ensembles.
result MMD-kk requires fewer samples for full discriminative power at higher kk.

This work proposes a robust ensemble method for decision trees that resists adversarial attacks.

problem Adversarial attacks on machine learning models, especially decision trees.
method Feature partitioning to train robust ensembles and approximate certification methods.
result The proposed ensemble method can resist evasion attacks by a majority of its models.

Study pitfalls of deep learning ensembles in uncertainty estimation.

problem Pitfalls in in-domain uncertainty estimation and ensembling in deep learning.
method Exploration of standards for uncertainty quantification and broad study of ensembling techniques.
result Many sophisticated ensembling techniques are equivalent to a simple ensemble of few networks.

Bayesian inference using stochastic neural networks ensembles.

problem Approximating Bayesian posterior distributions.
method Formulate stochastic ensembles of neural networks, train with variational inference, and evaluate using Monte Carlo dropout.
result Stochastic ensembles provide more accurate posterior estimates than other methods.

The paper extends calibration to sets of probabilistic classifiers, finding many ensembles are poorly calibrated.

problem Evaluating the validity of epistemic uncertainty in sets of probabilistic classifiers.
method Proposed a novel nonparametric calibration test for sets of probabilistic classifiers.
result Ensembles of deep neural networks are often not well calibrated.

MULTIFIT tests independence between two random vectors using multiscale Fisher's test.

problem Detecting local dependence between two random vectors.
method MULTIFIT uses a resampling-free approach to test independence.
result MULTIFIT can easily handle large sample sizes and interpret dependency nature.

Bayesian Quadrature improves ensembling for neural networks with dispersed likelihood peaks.

problem Ensembling neural networks struggles with dispersed, narrow peaks in likelihood surfaces.
method Uses Bayesian Quadrature to construct weighted ensembles of architectures.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in test likelihood, accuracy, and expected calibration error.

A new stopping rule based on E-values helps efficiently use sampling in Bayesian Deep Ensembles.

problem How long should sampling continue in Bayesian Deep Ensembles to yield significant improvements?
method Formulated as a sequential anytime-valid hypothesis test, using E-values to decide when to stop sampling.
result Only a fraction of the full-chain budget is often required for significant improvements.

Research proposes a risk-free machine learning model for COVID screening from routine blood tests.

problem Rapid antigen tests have low sensitivity and are not suitable for widespread screening.
method Stacked Ensemble Machine Learning model using routine blood tests.
result 100% accuracy, precision, recall and F1-score in identifying COVID patients.

Ensemble unsupervised anomaly detection using IRT for hidden ground truth.

problem Challenges in constructing an ensemble from unsupervised anomaly detection methods.
method Use Item Response Theory to compute latent traits and construct an ensemble that downplays noisy methods.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of IRT ensemble on extensive data repository.

Ensemble GP improves genetic programming by achieving better results with smaller models.

problem Improving genetic programming for binary classification problems.
method Ensemble GP uses an evolved population structure, fitness evaluation, and genetic operators inspired by ensemble learning methods.
result Ensemble GP outperformed standard GP on eight binary classification problems, achieving better results with smaller models.

A new ensemble method improves kNN performance by extending the neighborhood rule.

problem Traditional kNN's limitations when test points are outside the spherical region and ensemble's high errors.
method Determines neighbors in k steps, using bootstrap samples and optimal models selection.
result The proposed ensemble method outperforms state-of-the-art methods on 17 benchmark datasets.

An ensemble of neural networks is known to be more robust and accurate than an individual network, however usually with linearly-increased cost in both training and testing. In this work, we propose a two-stage method to learn Sparse Structured Ensembles (SSEs) for neural networks. In the first stage, we run SG-MCMC wi…

2018-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

E-CIT framework reduces CITs' computational burden and improves causal discovery performance.

problem High computational cost of traditional CITs in causal discovery.
method E-CIT framework using divide-and-aggregate strategy with stable distribution p-value combination.
result Significant reduction in computational burden and competitive performance in causal discovery.

The loss functions of deep neural networks are complex and their geometric properties are not well understood. We show that the optima of these complex loss functions are in fact connected by simple curves over which training and test accuracy are nearly constant. We introduce a training procedure to discover these hig…

2018-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new ensemble method using random projections for kNN classification.

problem Improving kNN classification accuracy through ensemble methods.
method Random projection of bootstrap samples into lower dimensions, using extended neighbourhood rule for base learners.
result Enhanced classification accuracy compared to traditional kNN and other ensembles.

Ensemble learning has had many successes in supervised learning, but it has been rare in unsupervised learning and dimensionality reduction. This study explores dimensionality reduction ensembles, using principal component analysis and manifold learning techniques to capture linear, nonlinear, local, and global feature…

2017-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble models refer to methods that combine a typically large number of classifiers into a compound prediction. The output of an ensemble method is the result of fitting a base-learning algorithm to a given data set, and obtaining diverse answers by reweighting the observations or by resampling them using a given pro…

2019-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explains how tree ensembles improve predictions by smoothing and regulating smoothness.

problem Understanding why tree ensembles perform well despite their complexity.
method Interpreting tree ensembles as adaptive and self-regularizing smoothers.
result Ensemble trees make more smooth predictions than individual trees and adjust smoothness based on input dissimilarity.

Paper proposes an ensemble of attacks to evaluate adversarial robustness more reliably.

problem Insufficient evaluation of adversarial defenses leads to incorrect robustness assessments.
method Developed two extensions of PGD-attack and combined them with two complementary attacks.
result Identified several broken defenses with lower robust test accuracy than reported.

DASH improves ensemble generalizability by encouraging diverse, flat loss landscapes.

problem Improving generalization and robustness of deep ensembles.
method DASH promotes diversity and flatness in deep ensembles by encouraging base learners to move towards low-loss regions of minimal sharpness.
result DASH improves ensemble generalizability, as demonstrated by extensive empirical evidence.

An ensemble method enhances cryptocurrency trading strategies using deep reinforcement learning.

problem Improving generalization performance in stochastic cryptocurrency trading environments.
method Model selection and mixture distribution policy to ensemble deep reinforcement learning models.
result Improved out-of-sample performance compared to benchmarks.

Efficiently estimates neural connectivity using ensemble stimulation.

problem Estimating functional connectivity in large, behaving neural populations.
method Noisy group testing combined with convex optimization and Bayesian inference.
result Connectivity can be inferred with logarithmic growth in tests, even for large networks.

Efficient neural network ensembles improve image classification reliability and uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty in neural network predictions for industrial image classification.
method Investigated efficient neural network ensembles (snapshot, batch, multi-input multi-output) for image classification reliability and uncertainty quantification.
result Batch ensemble is a cost-effective and competitive alternative to deep ensembles, offering savings in training and test time.

Analog methods improve forecast accuracy in complex models.

problem Improving forecast accuracy in complex models like Lorenz-96.
method Constructing analogs using variational autoencoders for ensemble data assimilation.
result Constructed analogs perform as well as a full ensemble square root filter.

SharpBalance improves deep ensemble performance by balancing sharpness and diversity.

problem Improving deep ensemble performance in both in-distribution and out-of-distribution scenarios.
method Introducing SharpBalance, a novel training approach that balances sharpness and diversity within ensembles.
result SharpBalance effectively improves the sharpness-diversity trade-off and ensemble performance in ID and OOD scenarios.