A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study on 2-valued dynamics on complex plane, showing some dynamics can't be group actions.
Discrete-time systems can be characterized by simple flat coordinates and their shifts.
Paper introduces dynamic strategies for multi-period investment models.
In this work we give a comprehensive overview of the time consistency property of dynamic risk and performance measures, focusing on a the discrete time setup. The two key operational concepts used throughout are the notion of the LM-measure and the notion of the update rule that, we believe, are the key tools for stud…
Extended flatness approach for discrete-time systems considers forward and backward shifts.
We propose a new class of mappings, called Dynamic Limit Growth Indices, that are designed to measure the long-run performance of a financial portfolio in discrete time setup. We study various important properties for this new class of measures, and in particular, we provide necessary and sufficient condition for a Dyn…
We develop theory and applications of forward characteristic processes in discrete time following a seminal paper of Jan Kallsen and Paul Krühner. Particular emphasis is placed on the dynamics of volatility surfaces which can be easily formulated and implemented from the chosen discrete point of view. In mathematical t…
Neural nets replicate hedging payoffs for realistic discrete-time settings.
This paper derives a diffusion approximation for a sequence of discrete-time one-sided limit order book models with non-linear state dependent order arrival and cancellation dynamics. The discrete time sequences are specified in terms of an -valued best bid price process and an -valued volume process. …
Kyle's equilibrium model stability proven for 1-2 trading times, but not for 3 or more.
Defines hybrid systems on principal bundles and studies impact effects.
Paper introduces a new volatility model for natural gas markets and discusses swing option pricing.
This paper investigates the problem of maximizing expected terminal utility in a discrete-time financial market model with a finite horizon under non-dominated model uncertainty. We use a dynamic programming framework together with measurable selection arguments to prove that under mild integrability conditions, an opt…
We consider an investor facing a classical portfolio problem of optimal investment in a log-Brownian stock and a fixed-interest bond, but constrained to choose portfolio and consumption strategies that reduce a dynamic shortfall risk measure. For continuous- and discrete-time financial markets we investigate the loss i…
We explore a new method for discrete-time control problems using randomization and entropy.
In this paper, we propose a dynamical systems perspective of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. More precisely, we can analyze the EM algorithm as a nonlinear state-space dynamical system. The EM algorithm is widely adopted for data clustering and density estimation in statistics, control systems, and machine…
This paper gives an overview of the theory of dynamic convex risk measures for random variables in discrete time setting. We summarize robust representation results of conditional convex risk measures, and we characterize various time consistency properties of dynamic risk measures in terms of acceptance sets, penalty …
For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base process. We introduce a new concept of conditional stochastic time consistency and we …
A new dual test for forward-flatness simplifies computations.
Different approaches to defining dynamic market risk measures are available in the literature. Most are focused or derived from probability theory, economic behavior or dynamic programming. Here, we propose an approach to define and implement dynamic market risk measures based on recursion and state economy representat…
Transforms game optimization dynamics into frequency domain for precise hyperparameter analysis.
Dynamic reinsurance minimizes insurer's cost of capital over time.
Study the properties of SGD in non-vanishing learning rate regime.
LHIEM model predicts health, income, and employment over years.
We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of dynamic subscale invariant performance measures, on a general probability space…
Derives EoM for DNNs to describe GD dynamics precisely.
The theoretical explanation for deep neural network (DNN) is still an open problem. In this paper DNN is considered as a discrete-time dynamical system due to its layered structure. The complexity provided by the nonlinearity in the dynamics is analyzed in terms of topological entropy and chaos characterized by Lyapuno…
We consider a nondominated model of a discrete-time financial market where stocks are traded dynamically, and options are available for static hedging. In a general measure-theoretic setting, we show that absence of arbitrage in a quasi-sure sense is equivalent to the existence of a suitable family of martingale measur…
Studying Binomial and Gaussian return dynamics in discrete time, we show how excess volatility can be traded to create growth. We test our results on real world data to confirm the observed model phenomena while also highlighting implicit risks.
The paper extends asset pricing theory by considering conditional markets.
The paper analyzes the probabilistic structure of DDPMs and bounds their sampling error.
Study on convergence of Langevin dynamics for zero-sum games in probability distributions.
The discrete-time mean-variance portfolio selection formulation, a representative of general dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection problems, does not satisfy time consistency in efficiency (TCIE) in general, i.e., a truncated pre-committed efficient policy may become inefficient when considering the corresponding trunc…
Methods from learning theory are used in the state space of linear dynamical and control systems in order to estimate the system matrices. An application to stabilization via algebraic Riccati equations is included. The approach is illustrated via a series of numerical examples.
We develop a robust framework for pricing and hedging of derivative securities in discrete-time financial markets. We consider markets with both dynamically and statically traded assets and make minimal measurability assumptions. We obtain an abstract (pointwise) Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and Pricing--Hedgin…
Solves portfolio optimization with costs using numerical methods.
We prove that every flat nonlinear discrete-time system can be decomposed by coordinate transformations into a smaller-dimensional subsystem and an endogenous dynamic feedback. For flat continuous-time systems, no comparable result is available. The advantage of such a decomposition is that the complete system is flat …
Tutorial on estimating PD using survival analysis under IFRS 9.
Study dynamic trading in options to improve price bounds for exotic derivatives.
First, we consider the problem of hedging in complete binomial models. Using the discrete-time Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition, we demonstrate the equivalence of the backward induction and sequential regression approaches. Second, in incomplete trinomial models, we examine the extension of the sequential regression app…
Hamiltonian dynamics-based algorithms achieve deterministic and accelerated convergence for convex optimization.
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for determining dynamic ask and bid prices of derivatives using the theory of dynamic coherent acceptability indices in discrete time. We prove a version of the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing using the dynamic coherent risk measures. We introduce the dynamic …
We study time-consistency questions for processes of monetary risk measures that depend on bounded discrete-time processes describing the evolution of financial values. The time horizon can be finite or infinite. We call a process of monetary risk measures time-consistent if it assigns to a process of financial values …
The paper tackles exact linearization and control of flat discrete-time systems.
We formulate a probabilistic Markov property in discrete time under a dynamic risk framework with minimal assumptions. This is useful for recursive solutions to risk-sensitive versions of dynamic optimisation problems such as optimal prediction, where at each stage the recursion depends on the whole future. The propert…
We investigate pricing-hedging duality for American options in discrete time financial models where some assets are traded dynamically and others, e.g. a family of European options, only statically. In the first part of the paper we consider an abstract setting, which includes the classical case with a fixed reference …
We study the problem of maximising terminal utility for an agent facing model uncertainty, in a frictionless discrete-time market with one safe asset and finitely many risky assets. We show that an optimal investment strategy exists if the utility function, defined either over the positive real line or over the whole r…
New discrete-time model shows insider trading dynamics.