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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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124248372496 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for dynamic classifier chains

In this paper, we deal with the task of building a dynamic ensemble of chain classifiers for multi-label classification. To do so, we proposed two concepts of classifier chains algorithms that are able to change label order of the chain without rebuilding the entire model. Such modes allows anticipating the instance-sp…

2017-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic classifier chains with XGBoost reduces multi-label classification costs and improves label dependency handling.

problem Static label ordering in multi-label classification limits model performance.
method Combining dynamic classifier chains with XGBoost for efficient multi-label prediction.
result Dynamic label ordering improves model performance and reduces training costs.

Classifier chains have recently been proposed as an appealing method for tackling the multi-label classification task. In addition to several empirical studies showing its state-of-the-art performance, especially when being used in its ensemble variant, there are also some first results on theoretical properties of cla…

2019-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The family of methods collectively known as classifier chains has become a popular approach to multi-label learning problems. This approach involves linking together off-the-shelf binary classifiers in a chain structure, such that class label predictions become features for other classifiers. Such methods have proved f…

2019-12-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A large number and diversity of techniques have been offered in the literature in recent years for solving multi-label classification tasks, including classifier chains where predictions are cascaded to other models as additional features. The idea of extending this chaining methodology to multi-output regression has a…

2019-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose a new framework to study the generalization property of classifier chains trained over observations associated with multiple and interdependent class labels. The results are based on large deviation inequalities for Lipschitz functions of weakly dependent sequences proposed by Rio in 2000. We …

2018-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies how quickly samples from Langevin dynamics become independent.

problem Understanding the dependence between samples along Langevin dynamics and related algorithms.
method Measures dependence via ΦΦ-mutual information and proves strong data processing inequalities.
result The ΦΦ-mutual information between samples decreases exponentially to zero.

Uniform Closure Method and Bayes classifier perform similarly in classifying open knots.

problem Classifying knots in open macromolecular chains.
method Used the Bayes MAP classifier and compared it to the Uniform Closure Method.
result Both methods have comparable accuracy and positive predictive value.

Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.

problem Understanding correlations in firm growth rates and their supply chain relationships.
method Investigated correlation structure of firm growth rates and used Gaussian Markov Models to reconstruct supply chain networks.
result Supply chain-linked firms exhibit stronger correlation in growth rates than non-linked firms.

Two strategies extend multi-label chaining for imprecise probability estimates.

problem Handling imprecise probability estimates in multi-label classification.
method Adapting multi-label chaining to use convex sets of distributions (credal sets).
result Adapted approaches produce relevant cautiousness on hard-to-predict instances.

This study analyzes dynamic connectedness in global supply chain infrastructure portfolios, identifying key risk factors and extreme events.

problem Understanding dynamic connectedness in global supply chain infrastructure portfolios under various risk factors and extreme events.
method Time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model to study spillover and interconnectedness of risk factors.
result Risk shocks influence dynamic connectedness between portfolios and risk factors, and extreme events affect investment outcomes.

Model learns collective and individual dynamics in time series data.

problem Lack of models capturing system-level collective behavior in individual time series.
method Hierarchical switching-state model with latent system-level and entity-level Markov chains.
result Model improves interpretability and forecasting accuracy compared to larger models.

This thesis is divided into three parts. In the first part, we give an introduction to J. Harrison's theory of differential chains. In the second part, we apply these tools to generalize the Cauchy theorems in complex analysis. Instead of requiring a piecewise smooth path over which to integrate, we can now do so over …

2010-12-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Polynomial invariants classify molecular chains based on their contact arrangements.

problem No established invariants for molecular chains with both hard and soft contacts.
method Developed polynomial invariants for circuit topology of molecular chains.
result Polynomial invariants efficiently classify chains with various contact types.

We describe parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that propagate a collective ensemble of paths, with local covariance information calculated from neighboring replicas. The use of collective dynamics eliminates multiplicative noise and stabilizes the dynamics thus providing a practical approach to difficult anisotr…

2016-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The study uses Markov chains to forecast cryptocurrency market dynamics.

problem Forecasting and understanding market fluctuations in cryptocurrencies.
method Markov chains of orders one to eight were used to forecast intra-day returns of three major cryptocurrencies.
result Predictions from empirical probabilities outperform random choices.

The paper analyzes strategic interactions in a multi-agent reinsurance chain using game theory.

problem Strategic behavior and competition among insurers and reinsurers in a multi-layer reinsurance chain.
method Employed Stackelberg differential games and non-zero-sum game models to characterize strategic interactions. Used dynamic programming and game theory to derive equilibrium strategies for investment and reinsurance.
result Intensified competition leads to reduced safety loadings in reinsurance contracts.

This paper models time-series data with a mixture of Markov chains, automatically determining the number of components.

problem Tackles the inability of common Markov state modeling frameworks to discern heterogeneities in complex data.
method Uses a mixture of Markov chains and variational expectation-maximization algorithm for automatic component selection.
result Achieves performance consistent with theoretically optimal error scaling, identifying meaningful heterogeneities in various data sets.

Bird sound data collected with unattended microphones for automatic surveys, or mobile devices for citizen science, typically contain multiple simultaneously vocalizing birds of different species. However, few works have considered the multi-label structure in birdsong. We propose to use an ensemble of classifier chain…

2013-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Classifier-based AI safety gates fail in self-improvement, even with advanced verification methods.

problem Maintaining reliable oversight of AI systems as they improve over iterations.
method Comprehensive empirical testing on neural controllers and MuJoCo benchmarks, using various classifiers and verification methods.
result Classifier-based safety gates fail in maintaining reliable oversight, even with advanced verification methods.

We analyze a new Markov chain model for better sampling and optimization.

problem Developing a new Markov chain model for improved sampling and optimization.
method We introduce a new class of Ito chains with arbitrary noise and inexact drift/diffusion coefficients, proving a bound in W2W_{2}-distance.
result Our analysis provides improved or first results for various applications like SGLD, sampling, and boosting.

CD learning is shown to be an adversarial game for fitting models.

problem Difficulty in understanding the convergence properties of CD learning.
method Presented an alternative derivation of CD without approximation, showing it as a time-reversal adversarial game.
result CD is an adversarial learning procedure where a discriminator tries to classify time-reversed Markov chains.

The paper uses AI to analyze on-chain parameters and identify risky cryptocurrencies.

problem Identifying risky cryptocurrencies and understanding their price factors.
method Historical data analysis, AI algorithms, clustering, classification.
result A significant negative correlation between cryptocurrency price and maximum and total supply, and a weak positive correlation with 24-hour trading volume.

Study on liquidity providers' performance in decentralized exchanges.

problem Unclear profitability of liquidity providers in decentralized exchanges.
method Reconstructing LP PnL dynamics from on-chain events, introducing a new metric.
result Only about one out of six LPs avoids losses, suggesting open questions about LP participation motives.

Classifies torus bundles bounding 4-manifolds with rational homology.

problem Classifying torus bundles over the circle that bound 4-manifolds with rational homology.
method Completely classified torus bundles over the circle that bound 4-manifolds with rational homology.
result Completely classified torus bundles over the circle that bound 4-manifolds with rational homology.

Class imbalance is an intrinsic characteristic of multi-label data. Most of the labels in multi-label data sets are associated with a small number of training examples, much smaller compared to the size of the data set. Class imbalance poses a key challenge that plagues most multi-label learning methods. Ensemble of Cl…

2018-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Model assesses how supply chain disruptions affect financial stability.

problem Systemic risk in production networks and its financial implications.
method Data-driven econo-financial stress-testing framework combining supply chain and interbank networks.
result Increase of up to 28% in financial systemic risk due to production network contagion.