Paper discovers manoeuvres from vehicle telematics data.
problem Analyzing driving behaviour from vehicle data.
method Used motif detection in time-series with a modified EMD algorithm.
result Validated motif discovery for complex manoeuvres.
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48 results for “driving behaviour”
Automated scoring prioritizes risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies.
problem Identifying risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies using machine learning.
method Bayesian approach using MCMC to model propensity of policyholders to undertake trips resulting in positive classification.
result The approach improves efficiency of human resource allocation in identifying risky driving behavior.
Behaviour prediction function of an autonomous vehicle predicts the future states of the nearby vehicles based on the current and past observations of the surrounding environment. This helps enhance their awareness of the imminent hazards. However, conventional behaviour prediction solutions are applicable in simple dr…
Paper proposes personalized climate control for driver comfort.
problem Limited research on in-vehicle climate control and driver preferences.
method IoT platform for data collection, machine learning for driver behavior recognition, and personalized preference recommendation.
result Prototype demonstrates effective and accurate climate control for driver comfort.
Uncertainty Quantification with Statistical Guarantees in End-to-End Autonomous Driving Controlcs.LG
Deep neural network controllers for autonomous driving have recently benefited from significant performance improvements, and have begun deployment in the real world. Prior to their widespread adoption, safety guarantees are needed on the controller behaviour that properly take account of the uncertainty within the mod…
A rise in popularity of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), attributed to more powerful GPUs and widely available datasets, has seen them being increasingly used within safety-critical domains. One such domain, self-driving, has benefited from significant performance improvements, with millions of miles having been driven wit…
Behavioural effects on XVAq-fin.PR
Bank behaviour is important for pricing XVA because it links different counterparties and thus breaks the usual XVA pricing assumption of counterparty independence. Consider a typical case of a bank hedging a client trade via a CCP. On client default the hedge (effects) will be removed (rebalanced). On the other hand, …
The paper uses DNN for electricity price forecasting and XAI for understanding the factors.
problem Complex interactions and dependencies in electricity markets make it hard to understand price dynamics.
method Used DNN for forecasting and XAI (SHAP, Gradient, heatmaps) for understanding factors.
result Introduced novel concepts SSHAP values and SSHAP lines for enhanced representation of high-dimensional tabular models.
Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer scientists [17]. This paper gives an idea about the trend analysis of stock mar…
We propose a heterogeneous simultaneous graphical dynamic linear model (H-SGDLM), which extends the standard SGDLM framework to incorporate a heterogeneous autoregressive realised volatility (HAR-RV) model. This novel approach creates a GPU-scalable multivariate volatility estimator, which decomposes multiple time seri…
This paper aims to analyse adolescents' road accidents in Tuscany. The analysis is based on the Database Edit of Osservatorio di Epidemiologia della Toscana. Complexity and heterogeneity of Edit's data represet an interesting scope to apply Machine Learning methods. In particular, in this paper is proposed an analysis …
Safe Reinforcement Learning for Autonomous Vehicles through Parallel Constrained Policy Optimizationcs.LG
Safe RL for autonomous vehicles using PCPO with trust regions and parallel learners.
problem Unexplainable behaviours and lack of safety guarantees in RL for real vehicles.
method PCPO framework with trust regions and parallel learners.
result Safe learning confirmed for autonomous vehicles with fast convergence.
Long term optimal investment problems are studied in a factor model with matrix valued state variables. Explicit parameter restrictions are obtained under which, for an isoelastic investor, the finite horizon value function and optimal strategy converge to their long-run counterparts as the investment horizon approache…
Study uses FDA to analyze discount functions of different temperaments.
problem Traditional finance models fail to capture individual differences in investment choices.
method Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to investigate temporal discounting behaviors.
result Heterogeneity within each temperament revealed, suggesting diverse investor profiles.
We introduce a methodology for efficiently computing a lower bound to empowerment, allowing it to be used as an unsupervised cost function for policy learning in real-time control. Empowerment, being the channel capacity between actions and states, maximises the influence of an agent on its near future. It has been sho…
We present a simple dynamical model of stock index returns which is grounded on the ability of the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earning (CAPE) valuation ratio devised by Robert Shiller to predict long-horizon performances of the market. More precisely, we discuss a discrete time dynamics in which the return growth depends…
Stochastic compliance/evasion dynamics in tax models: a piecewise deterministic Markov process approachphysics.soc-ph
New model predicts dynamic tax evasion with audits and imitation.
problem Static treatment of tax compliance and evasion in Bertotti and Modanese model.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) for audits and imitation mechanisms.
result Model shows persistent fluctuations and stationary distribution, not extreme equilibrium.
In a mixed-traffic scenario where both autonomous vehicles and human-driving vehicles exist, a timely prediction of driving intentions of nearby human-driving vehicles is essential for the safe and efficient driving of an autonomous vehicle. In this paper, a driving intention prediction method based on Hidden Markov Mo…
A novel framework interprets driving patterns using Action phases clustering.
problem Challenges in comprehending driving heterogeneity from underlying behavior mechanisms.
method Resampling and Downsampling Method (RDM) followed by iterative clustering calibration.
result Six driving patterns identified in real-world datasets, revealing dynamic nature of driving.
Deep RL mimics human driving for collision avoidance in self-driving cars.
problem Developing human-like driving policies for autonomous vehicles in mixed traffic environments.
method Model-free, deep reinforcement learning approach using a combination of rule-based and expert-driven data.
result Demonstrated human-like driving policies through Gaussian process modeling of track position and speed distributions.
Semantically understanding complex drivers' encountering behavior, wherein two or multiple vehicles are spatially close to each other, does potentially benefit autonomous car's decision-making design. This paper presents a framework of analyzing various encountering behaviors through decomposing driving encounter data …
Bayesian model identifies three types of travelers adapting to feedback.
problem Capturing adaptive, feedback-driven travel behavior in heterogeneous individuals.
method Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model with Variational Bayes estimation.
result Three distinct traveler classes identified: context-dependent, persistent exploitative, and exploratory.
As automobiles become intelligent, automobile theft methods are evolving intelligently. Therefore automobile theft detection has become a major research challenge. Data-mining, biometrics, and additional authentication methods have been proposed to address automobile theft, in previous studies. Among these methods, dat…
NFTs with diverse rare attributes sell at higher prices.
problem Understanding how rarity affects NFT market dynamics.
method Analyzed 3.7M NFT transactions across 410 collections.
result Rarer NFTs sell for higher prices and are less risky.
Automatic Identification of Driving Maneuver Patterns using a Robust Hidden Semi-Markov Modelsstat.ML
New method reduces state redundancy in HSMM for driving patterns.
problem Overestimation of states in HSMM models.
method Robust HDP-HSMM (rHDP-HSMM) method to reduce redundant states.
result Improved consistency and accurate inference of driving maneuvers.
This paper presents a novel approach for automatic rule learning applicable to an autonomous driving system using real driving data.
The paper explores new risk models for autonomous driving.
problem Risk management and actuarial modeling for autonomous vehicles.
method Examines technical difficulties and proposes a novel risk model.
result The new model better reflects real-world driving safety.
Length-constrained curve diffusion flow for open curves with endpoints on two intersecting linesmath.DG
Curve diffusion flow straightens curves with endpoints on intersecting lines.
problem Straightening open curves with endpoints on intersecting lines.
method Curve diffusion flow with mixed boundary conditions.
result The curve converges to a circular arc of the same length.
The mutual information is a core statistical quantity that has applications in all areas of machine learning, whether this is in training of density models over multiple data modalities, in maximising the efficiency of noisy transmission channels, or when learning behaviour policies for exploration by artificial agents…
Study improves self-driving safety in dynamic environments.
problem Safe self-driving in non-stationary urban settings.
method Neurosymbolic Meta-Reinforcement Lookahead Learning (NUMERLA).
result Self-driving agents can adapt safely in real-time.
ApolloRL offers a platform for RL research in autonomous driving.
problem Improving reinforcement learning for autonomous driving.
method Open platform with training, simulation, and evaluation components.
result Baseline agents perform well in the ApolloRL environment.
The study improves deep learning models for safer autonomous vehicles.
problem Robustness of deep neural network models in autonomous driving.
method Analyzes and proposes solutions for deep learning model robustness.
result Enhanced deep learning models for safer autonomous vehicles.
By observing their environment as well as other traffic participants, humans are enabled to drive road vehicles safely. Vehicle passengers, however, perceive a notable difference between non-experienced and experienced drivers. In particular, they may get the impression that the latter ones anticipate what will happen …
H-ReIL learns to drive safely in near-accident scenarios.
problem Driving safely in high-risk near-accident situations.
method Hierarchical RL and IL approach.
result High-level policy switches between low-level policies for safe driving.
Learning to drive faithfully in highly stochastic urban settings remains an open problem. To that end, we propose a Multi-task Learning from Demonstration (MT-LfD) framework which uses supervised auxiliary task prediction to guide the main task of predicting the driving commands. Our framework involves an end-to-end tr…
Deep Recurrent Q-Network improves autonomous driving in urban areas with pedestrians.
problem Challenges in urban autonomous driving due to complex road structures and unpredictable pedestrian behavior.
method Combines Deep Q-Network with LSTM for long-term memory, designed a 3-D state representation, and uses a reward function.
result The proposed DRQN-based approach outperforms rule-based methods in dense urban scenarios.
Every time drivers take to the road, and with each mile that they drive, exposes themselves and others to the risk of an accident. Insurance premiums are only weakly linked to mileage, however, and have lump-sum characteristics largely. The result is too much driving, and too many accidents. In this paper, we introduce…
In this work, we consider the problem of estimating a behaviour policy for use in Off-Policy Policy Evaluation (OPE) when the true behaviour policy is unknown. Via a series of empirical studies, we demonstrate how accurate OPE is strongly dependent on the calibration of estimated behaviour policy models: how precisely …
Modeling house prices in Australia reveals supply limitations as the primary driver of extreme trends.
problem Understanding the resilience of Australia's housing prices despite changes in mortgage rates.
method Developed a differential equation model and used modern extreme value techniques on real-world data.
result Without supply increases, a 11% mortgage rate hike is needed to moderate extreme housing costs.
The main aim of this work is to incorporate selected findings from behavioural finance into a Heterogeneous Agent Model using the Brock and Hommes (1998) framework. Behavioural patterns are injected into an asset pricing framework through the so-called `Break Point Date', which allows us to examine their direct impact.…
The most commonly accepted model for investors' preferences is expected utility theory. More recently, other theories have emerged and pose new challenges to mathematics. The present paper treats preferences of cumulative prospect theory (CPT), where an "S-shaped" utility function is considered (i.e. convex up to a cer…
This paper explains double descent in linear neural networks, identifying new factors.
problem Understanding double descent in linear neural networks.
method Gradient flow derivation and necessary conditions for double descent.
result Singular values of input-output covariance matrix are important for double descent in two-layer models.
Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…
End-to-end autonomous driving perception learns latent features for better performance.
problem Current autonomous driving systems are complex and require human engineering.
method Sequential latent representation learning for end-to-end perception.
result End-to-end perception model solves detection, tracking, localization, and mapping problems.
CMTS: Conditional Multiple Trajectory Synthesizer for Generating Safety-critical Driving Scenarioscs.LG
Naturalistic driving trajectories are crucial for the performance of autonomous driving algorithms. However, most of the data is collected in safe scenarios leading to the duplication of trajectories which are easy to be handled by currently developed algorithms. When considering safety, testing algorithms in near-miss…
Affective states have a critical role in driving performance and safety. They can degrade driver situation awareness and negatively impact cognitive processes, severely diminishing road safety. Therefore, detecting and assessing drivers' affective states is crucial in order to help improve the driving experience, and i…
This review explores ML and DL techniques for detecting distracted driving across various modalities.
problem Improving detection of complex distraction patterns, especially cognitive distractions.
method Categorizes and evaluates studies based on modality, data accessibility, and methodology.
result Multimodal systems outperform single-modal systems in detecting complex distraction patterns.
Advanced simulation paradigm of human behaviour unveils complex financial systemic projectionq-fin.TR
New simulation model predicts financial market dynamics with high accuracy.
problem Extreme difficulty in financial market projections due to human behavioural complexity.
method Agent-based modeling with a hierarchical knowledge architecture to simulate diverse human groups.
result Simulator achieves 13.29% deviation in crisis scenarios and lower mean square error under normal conditions.