Poor economies not only produce less; they typically produce things that involve fewer inputs and fewer intermediate steps. Yet the supply chains of poor countries face more frequent disruptions---delivery failures, faulty parts, delays, power outages, theft, government failures---that systematically thwart the product…
Blockchain disrupts corporate finance, but challenges remain.
problem Challenges in adopting blockchain for corporate finance.
method Exploring the impact of blockchain on corporate finance valuation and capital allocation.
result Blockchain offers new perspectives but faces regulatory, environmental, and legal challenges.
This paper evaluates AI ethics guidelines and their implementation.
problem Lack of comprehensive and effective AI ethics guidelines.
method Comprehensive evaluation and comparison of released ethics guidelines.
result Identifies overlaps and omissions in AI ethics guidelines.
This paper reviews integrating blockchain and machine learning.
problem Secure and efficient data sharing and analysis in blockchain.
method Review of existing research and demonstration of collaboration.
result Blockchain and machine learning can collaborate efficiently and effectively.
FinTech framework clusters innovations for financial services.
problem Lack of comprehensive definition and analysis of FinTech.
method Narrative review of over 100 studies, clustering framework development.
result Developed a comprehensive FinTech clustering framework.
Experts predict significant adoption of decentralized finance by 2034, with traditional finance adapting.
problem Adoption and integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) in financial services.
method Survey analysis using New Institutional Economics and Dynamic Capabilities Theory.
result Experts expect adoption of DeFi to rise from negligible to 43% by 2034, with traditional finance likely to embrace it.
There are no solid arguments to sustain that digital currencies are the future of online payments or the disruptive technology that some of its former participants declared when used to face critiques. This paper aims to solve the cryptocurrency puzzle from a behavioral finance perspective by finding the parallelism be…
FinTech negatively impacts Chinese banks' financial sustainability.
problem Impact of FinTech on financial sustainability of Chinese commercial banks.
method Three-stage network DEA-Malmquist model and two-way fixed effects model.
result FinTech primarily undermines financial sustainability by eroding loan efficiency and profitability.
Many of the current scientific advances in the life sciences have their origin in the intensive use of data for knowledge discovery. In no area this is so clear as in bioinformatics, led by technological breakthroughs in data acquisition technologies. It has been argued that bioinformatics could quickly become the fiel…
AI advances impact asset management, offering new decision-making capabilities.
problem AI's impact on asset management and potential disruption.
method Analyzing how AI capabilities (reading, reasoning, decision-making) can be applied to asset management.
result AI can revolutionize asset management, but risks vary by fund type.
Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.
Predicts disruptions in ADITYA tokamak 12 ms in advance.
problem Detecting disruptions in small tokamaks like ADITYA.
method Uses LSTM network trained on pre-processed tokamak diagnostics.
result Predicts disruptions 12 ms in advance with low computation cost.
Study automates detection of visitation disruptions in ICU patients.
problem Difficulty in detecting frequent visitation disruptions in ICU patients.
method Used DensePose R-CNN model to count people in video frames, analyzed disruptions and patient outcomes.
result Automated method detects visitation disruptions, impacts on pain and length of stay examined.
Deep CNN predicts disruptions in fusion plasmas with high accuracy.
problem Predicting plasma events in fusion devices with multi-scale, multi-physics characteristics.
method Deep convolutional neural networks (CNN) with dilated convolutions trained on ECEi diagnostic data.
result Deep CNN achieves an F1-score of ~91% on disruption prediction.
Online leading has disrupted the traditional consumer banking sector with more effective loan processing. Risk prediction and monitoring is critical for the success of the business model. Traditional credit score models fall short in applying big data technology in building risk model. In this manuscript, data with var…
Modeling supply chain disruptions from climate hazards with adaptive firms.
problem Systemic physical climate risk in supply chains.
method Agent-based model integrating geospatial hazards and firm adaptation.
result Firms' adaptive strategies reduce disruption by 48%.
Develops a method to predict system behavior under disruptions.
problem Predicting changes in system behavior due to external perturbations.
method Counterfactual distribution regression for structured inference.
result Generalizes behavior predictions from natural to disrupted states.
AI speeds up hydrogen fuel cell stack development time.
problem Reducing time to market for hydrogen fuel cell stacks.
method Generative Adversarial Networks for data augmentation.
result Reduced testing time from 1000 hours to 3 hours.
Study forecasts supply chain disruptions in automotive industry.
problem Operational disruptions in automotive supply chain cause financial losses.
method Constructed dataset of multivariate time series, used Attention Sequence to Sequence Deep Learning architecture.
result Model achieved 0.85 precision and 0.8 recall in QA phase across five plants.
Adaptive rerouting reshapes impacts of maritime chokepoint disruptions
problem How disruptions to shipping traffic at chokepoints affect global economy
method Empirically calibrated full-scale agent-based model of global commercial shipping fleet
result Rerouting changes arrival losses under chokepoint closures
Study disrupts Sicilian Mafia networks using data analysis.
problem Challenges in disrupting resilient criminal networks.
method Social Network Analysis methods applied to real-world datasets.
result Neutralizing only 5% of affiliates can disrupt network connectivity by 70%.
QTIP improves traffic prediction in sudden disruptions.
problem Traffic models fail during sudden disruptions.
method Simulation-based framework for real-time adaptation.
result QTIP improves traffic prediction in critical minutes of incidents.
Paper predicts GNSS phase scintillations with machine learning.
problem Predicting phase scintillations due to ionosphere disturbances.
method Proposes a novel machine learning architecture and loss function.
result Achieves state-of-the-art prediction of phase scintillations 1 hour in advance.
Alternative app data improves credit scoring for underserved borrowers.
problem Improving credit scoring for low-wealth and young individuals.
method Use of alternative data from app-based marketplaces, validated with TreeSHAP method.
result Alternative data sources predict financial behavior better than traditional bureau data.
This paper studies the interrelation between spot and futures prices in the two major rice markets in prewar Japan from the perspective of market efficiency. Applying a non-Bayesian time-varying model approach to the fundamental equation for spot returns and the futures premium, we detect when efficiency reductions in …
The paper improves marine buoy placement to detect ships robustly against disruptions.
problem Detecting fishing vessels in the presence of natural and man-made disruptions.
method Formulated as a clustering problem, used dropout k-means and k-median to improve buoy placement robustness.
result Improved ship detection probability with dropout k-means compared to classic methods.
This paper analyzes ETFs with Taiwan exposure, finding heavy tails and asymmetric volatility.
problem Heavy tails and asymmetric volatility in Taiwan-related ETFs.
method Tail-risk diagnostics, asymmetric volatility modeling, and portfolio optimization under mean--variance and CVaR criteria.
result CVaR optimization produces more concentrated allocations, favoring SMH during the post-COVID AI-driven expansion.
Deep neural networks predict CVCM track circuit failures early.
problem Subtle anomalies in CVCM track circuits lead to failures, causing disruptions.
method Deep neural networks classify anomalies before they escalate.
result Deep neural networks achieve 99.31% overall accuracy in detecting CVCM failures.
Model assesses how supply chain disruptions affect financial stability.
problem Systemic risk in production networks and its financial implications.
method Data-driven econo-financial stress-testing framework combining supply chain and interbank networks.
result Increase of up to 28% in financial systemic risk due to production network contagion.
This thesis focuses on gaining linguistic insights into textual discussions on a word level. It was of special interest to distinguish messages that constructively contribute to a discussion from those that are detrimental to them. Thereby, we wanted to determine whether "I"- and "You"-messages are indicators for eithe…
This study analyzes how cryptocurrency networks adapt to financial disruptions.
problem Understanding how cryptocurrency networks respond to financial crises.
method Vertex centrality measures to assess network stability and resilience.
result Different cryptocurrencies experienced shifts in their network roles during the FTX crisis.
This paper develops a stochastic learning-optimization model for resilient automotive supply chains.
problem Supply chain disruptions and volatile demand pose challenges to the UK automotive industry.
method Integrates Bayesian inference with inventory optimization for a two-echelon system subject to stochastic demand and disruptions.
result The integrated approach achieves significant cost reductions and improved resilience during disruptions.
This paper uses social signals to improve cryptocurrency price forecasting.
problem Improving cryptocurrency price forecasting using social signals.
method LSTMs trained on historical price data and social data from GitHub and Reddit.
result Social signals reduce error in forecasting cryptocurrency prices, especially for Bitcoin.
Two new algorithms protect distributed SGD from Byzantine attacks.
problem Byzantine attacks on distributed SGD in big data.
method Two asynchronous Byzantine tolerant SGD algorithms.
result The algorithms can handle arbitrary number of Byzantine attackers and are provably convergent.
Researchers disrupt Gaussian model inference to test adversarial attacks.
problem Disrupting conditional inference in multivariate Gaussian models under adversarial conditions.
method Considered white- and grey-box settings with complete and incomplete knowledge of the Gaussian distribution, respectively. Reduced to quadratic and stochastic quadratic programs. Derived structural properties for solution methods.
result Demonstrated the impact and efficacy of attacks in various applications, including real estate evaluation, interest rate estimation, and signals processing.
Pakistan examines digital mergers using traditional competition tools.
problem Regulating digital mergers in a developing country.
method Empirical comparative analysis of CCP's M&A decisions.
result CCP uses same decision factors for digital and traditional M&As.
Detects BGP routing anomalies using bursty announcement patterns.
problem Detecting disruptive routing updates in the Internet.
method Burstiness measure of inter-arrival times around disruptive update dates and times.
result High recall and better precision in detecting anomalous incidents.
This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.
problem Supply chain resilience analysis of multi-modal logistics networks.
method Robust optimization with budget-of-uncertainty.
result Interactive effects of network size, disruption scale, and degree on resilience.
Develops a deep learning framework to predict future tech directions for high-tech companies.
problem Difficult task in predicting future R&D trends for high-tech companies due to complexity and variety of factors.
method Deep Technology Forecasting (DTF) framework with three components: PCR, CTR, and DTT neural network.
result DTF framework precisely predicts future tech emphasis of companies using hybrid factors.
Study adapts OHLC volatility estimators for monitoring market stress in diverse settings.
problem Limited use of range-based volatility estimators in local commodity markets.
method Adapted OHLC volatility estimators to monitor market distress across various contexts.
result OHLC-based volatility indicators detect market disruptions missed by standard momentum indicators.
This study maps systemic risks in TradFi and DeFi, highlighting their interdependence.
problem Systemic risks in traditional and decentralized finance.
method Conceptual model and comparative analysis of TradFi and DeFi.
result Systemic risks in DeFi can affect TradFi and vice versa, creating a crosstagion effect.
Study of dynamic competition between old and new technologies using a nonlinear map.
problem Dynamic competition between old and new technologies in market share.
method Simulations with three key parameters: scientific-technological, purely technological, and economic.
result Different outcomes in terms of technology prevalence based on interaction of key parameters.
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.
This paper investigates bias in resampled backtests for financial portfolios, finding it often negligible.
problem Bias in resampled backtests for financial portfolio evaluation.
method Investigation of bias in rolling-window mean-variance portfolios using resampling techniques.
result The bias in Sharpe Ratio estimates from IID resampling is often a fraction of estimation noise, making it tolerable.
How technology affects growth or employment has long been debated. With a hiatus, the debate revived once again in the form of how Information and Communications Technology, as a form of new technology, exerts on productivity and employment. Information and Communications Technology perceived as General Purpose Technol…
Implementing large-scale information and communication technology (IT) projects carries large risks and easily might disrupt operations, waste taxpayers' money, and create negative publicity. Because of the high risks it is important that government leaders manage the attendant risks. We analysed a sample of 1,355 publ…
Quantum crypto-economics models price risks in blockchain technology.
problem Quantum technology's potential to undermine blockchain security.
method Building financial models to price quantum risk in blockchain scenarios.
result Quantum crypto-economics models can assess and price quantum risks in blockchain.
Study analyzes Airbnb booking lead times during global crises using a new metric.
problem Disruptions in booking behaviors during global crises affect forecasting accuracy.
method Normalized L1 (Manhattan) distance to assess lead time divergences.
result Identified two-phase disruption: abrupt change at pandemic onset followed by partial recovery.