Study uses BNs to predict cryptocurrency prices, improving accuracy with discretisation.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
We derive a general multivariate theory for realised characteristics of `model-free discretisation-invariant swaps', so-called because the standard no-arbitrage assumption of martingale forward prices is sufficient to derive fair-value swap rates for such characteristics which have no jump or discretisation errors. Thi…
A new discretisation of a doubled, i.e. BF, version of the pure abelian Chern-Simons theory is presented. It reproduces the continuum expressions for the topological quantities of interest in the theory, namely the partition function and correlation function of Wilson loops. Similarities with free spinor field theory a…
In this article, we propose a Milstein finite difference scheme for a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) describing a large particle system. We show, by means of Fourier analysis, that the discretisation on an unbounded domain is convergent of first order in the timestep and second order in the spatial gri…
GRAND treats GNNs as PDE discretizations, addressing graph learning issues.
New RL method learns from state transitions without actions.
New method for pricing options in stochastic volatility models.
This paper conditions non-linear infinite-dimensional diffusion processes.
Finite difference approximations to multi-asset American put option price are considered. The assets are modelled as a multi-dimensional diffusion process with variable drift and volatility. Approximation error of order one quarter with respect to the time discretisation parameter and one half with respect to the space…
The multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation method introduced by Giles ({\it Operations Research}, 56(3):607-617, 2008) exploits strong convergence properties to improve the computational complexity by combining simulations with different levels of resolution. In this paper we analyse its efficiency when using the Milst…
A new neural approach for generating origin-destination matrices in ABMs.
New method accelerates Bayesian imaging using Langevin sampling.
Investigates gradient descent dynamics and introduces new regularisation methods.
Quantum algorithm reduces CVA risk-neutral expectation estimation costs.
This paper optimizes diffusion schedules for better sampling from data distributions.
Discretizes special surfaces using Koenigs nets.
We establish numerical methods for solving the martingale optimal transport problem (MOT) - a version of the classical optimal transport with an additional martingale constraint on transport's dynamics. We prove that the MOT value can be approximated using linear programming (LP) problems which result from a discretisa…
Realised pay-offs for discretisation-invariant swaps are those which satisfy a restricted `aggregation property' of Neuberger [2012] for twice continuously differentiable deterministic functions of a multivariate martingale. They are initially characterised as solutions to a second-order system of PDEs, then those pay-…
Systems of partial differential equations lie at the heart of physics. Despite this, the general theory of these systems has remained rather obscure in comparison to numerical approaches such as finite element models and various other discretisation schemes. There are, however, several theoretical approaches to systems…
Neural networks learn discrete tasks on continuous data via emergent geometry.
In this paper we outline methodology to efficiently simulate (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths without discretisation error. We achieve this by considering the simulation of conditioned (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths in light of recent work developing a mathematical framework for simulating finite dimensional …
Circular nets with spherical parameter lines have geometric properties related to Darboux cyclides and terminating Laplace sequences.
We present the first steps of a procedure which discretises surface theory in classical projective differential geometry in such a manner that underlying integrable structure is preserved. We propose a canonical frame in terms of which the associated projective Gauss-Weingarten and Gauss-Mainardi-Codazzi equations adop…
Improved tracking of tangled point sources using Riemannian metrics.
A prediscretisation of numerical attributes which is required by some rule learning algorithms is a source of inefficiencies. This paper describes new rule tuning steps that aim to recover lost information in the discretisation and new pruning techniques that may further reduce the size of rule models and improve their…
In this paper we propose a novel dual regression-based approach for pricing American options. This approach reduces the complexity of the nested Monte Carlo method and has especially simple form for time discretised diffusion processes. We analyse the complexity of the proposed approach both in the case of fixed and in…
New algorithm improves sampling from constrained spaces.
Cosine schedule is optimal for discrete diffusion models.
New method improves sampling from score-based models by correcting bias.
The elastic net was introduced as a heuristic algorithm for combinatorial optimisation and has been applied, among other problems, to biological modelling. It has an energy function which trades off a fitness term against a tension term. In the original formulation of the algorithm the tension term was implicitly based…
Discrete time analogues of ergodic stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most popular and flexible tools for sampling high-dimensional probability measures. Non-asymptotic analysis in the Wasserstein distance of sampling algorithms based on Euler discretisations of SDEs has been recently develop…
New function-space autoencoders improve data handling across resolutions.
Nonparametric Thompson Sampling achieves optimal regret for risk-averse bandits with sub-Gaussian rewards.
A new framework estimates causal effects for ordinal variables.
Graph neural network using Beltrami flow for feature and topology evolution.
Discretizes Hodge-Dirac operators on a torus.
We derive high-order compact finite difference schemes for option pricing in stochastic volatility models on non-uniform grids. The schemes are fourth-order accurate in space and second-order accurate in time for vanishing correlation. In our numerical study we obtain high-order numerical convergence also for non-zero …
We present the first fully variational Bayesian inference scheme for continuous Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes. Such point processes are used in a variety of domains, including neuroscience, geo-statistics and astronomy, but their use is hindered by the computational cost of existing inference schemes. Ou…
We propose a new high-order alternating direction implicit (ADI) finite difference scheme for the solution of initial-boundary value problems of convection-diffusion type with mixed derivatives and non-constant coefficients, as they arise from stochastic volatility models in option pricing. Our approach combines differ…
Develops a new algorithm for estimating model parameters using interacting particle systems.
We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential Lévy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate the computational efficiency of this approach. We derive estimates of the convergen…
Study efficient numerical methods for American basket options.
In this paper we discuss the possibility of using multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for weak approximation schemes. It turns out that by means of a simple coupling between consecutive time discretisation levels, one can achieve the same complexity gain as under the presence of a strong convergence. We exemplify thi…
We explore the robust replication of forward-start straddles given quoted (Call and Put options) market data. One approach to this problem classically follows semi-infinite linear programming arguments, and we propose a discretisation scheme to reduce its dimensionality and hence its complexity. Alternatively, one can …
New copula-based models for binary outcomes capture complex interactions.
We consider the approximation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with non-Lipschitz drift or diffusion coefficients. We present a modified explicit Euler-Maruyama discretisation scheme that allows us to prove strong convergence, with a rate. Under some regularity and integrability conditions, we obtain the opt…
We introduce an event based framework of directional changes and overshoots to map continuous financial data into the so-called Intrinsic Network - a state based discretisation of intrinsically dissected time series. Defining a method for state contraction of Intrinsic Network, we show that it has a consistent hierarch…
We investigate the extension of the multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation method to jump-diffusion SDEs. We consider models with finite rate activity, using a jump-adapted discretisation in which the jump times are computed and added to the standard uniform dis- cretisation times. The key component in multilevel analy…