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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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126252378504 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for destination prediction

Predicts destinations and routes from partial trajectory data.

problem Predicting destinations and routes from partial trajectory data for applications like parking suggestions and ride-sharing.
method Three-step procedure: k-d tree-based space discretization, recurrent neural network for destination prediction, and route calculation.
result Best models predict destinations with a mean error of 1.3 km and 1.43 km.

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain how we model main traffic flow patterns by a mixture of 2d Gaussian distribution…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

In most agent-based simulators, pedestrians navigate from origins to destinations. Consequently, destinations are essential input parameters to the simulation. While many other relevant parameters as positions, speeds and densities can be obtained from sensors, like cameras, destinations cannot be observed directly. Ou…

2018-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

OpFlow predicts robust OD flows by learning choice potentials conditioned on spatial exposures.

problem Deep models trained on raw counts are vulnerable to distribution shift.
method OpFlow learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining them with a calibrated origin scale.
result OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts, as shown by controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment.

Predicts fine-grained OD matrices for ridesharing platforms to optimize supply-demand balance.

problem Accurately predicting spatial-temporal OD demands for ridesharing platforms.
method OD-CED model combining unsupervised space coarsening and encoder-decoder architecture.
result Significant improvement in prediction accuracy (45% RMSE reduction, 60% WAPE reduction).

Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.

problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.

Bayesian model predicts evolving guest origin markets in tourism.

problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models achieve lower forecast error and competitive performance in guest origin market shares.

We present here a general framework and a specific algorithm for predicting the destination, route, or more generally a pattern, of an ongoing journey, building on the recent work of [Y. Lassoued, J. Monteil, Y. Gu, G. Russo, R. Shorten, and M. Mevissen, "Hidden Markov model for route and destination prediction," in IE…

2018-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian models predict evolving guest origin markets in tourism.

problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models outperform standard benchmarks in forecasting guest origin market shares.

VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.

problem Estimating visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs for urban planning.
method Heterogeneous, relation-specific graph neural network (VisitHGNN) trained on mobility data.
result Strong predictive performance with high fidelity to observed travel behavior.

A new neural approach for generating origin-destination matrices in ABMs.

problem Challenges in generating origin-destination matrices for ABMs, including discretisation errors and inability to explore multimodal distributions.
method A computationally efficient framework that learns trip intensity through a neural differential equation, operating directly on the discrete combinatorial space.
result Outperforms prior art in terms of reconstruction error and ground truth matrix coverage, at a fraction of the computational cost.

Local logarithmic export distributions show non-zero skewness that changes with exporter and destination characteristics.

problem Identifying the skewness in local logarithmic export distributions and its relationship with exporter and destination characteristics.
method Analyzing directed links weighted by the logarithm of export values, studying the skewness of local exports, and formulating quantitative relations.
result Non-zero skewness in local logarithmic export distributions changes with exporter and destination characteristics.

The study introduces measures of collective mobility from aggregated OD data.

problem Understanding large-scale mobility patterns from aggregated data.
method Developed a framework using synthetic and real data to interpret network-level mobility.
result Aggregated mobility measures reveal network structure and flow constraints.

In many real-world systems, information can be transmitted in two qualitatively different ways: by copying or by transformation. Copying occurs when messages are transmitted without modification, e.g., when an offspring receives an unaltered copy of a gene from its parent. Transformation occurs when messages are modifi…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method to predict disk failures using multi-layer domain adaptive learning.

problem Traditional machine learning models struggle to predict disk failures due to limited data.
method Multi-layer domain adaptive learning with source and target domains.
result The proposed method improves failure prediction accuracy on disk data with few failure samples.

In this paper, we consider signal detection algorithms in a multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) decode-forward (DF) relay channel with one source, one relay, and one destination. The existing suboptimal near maximum likelihood (NML) detector and the NML with two-level pair-wise error probability (NMLw2PEP) detector a…

2018-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses deep imitation learning to predict aircraft trajectories accurately.

problem Inefficient and costly Air Traffic Management system limits predictability.
method Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning framework with trajectory clustering and classification.
result Accurate predictions for entire trajectory stages, pre- and tactical.

One of the first things to do while planning a trip is to book a good place to stay. Booking a hotel online can be an overwhelming task with thousands of hotels to choose from, for every destination. Motivated by the importance of these situations, we decided to work on the task of recommending hotels to users. We used…

2019-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new model to predict travel demand with zero-inflated and long-tail characteristics.

problem Sparse and long-tailed travel demand data with many zeros.
method Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Graph Neural Network (STTD) using Tweedie distribution.
result STTD provides accurate predictions and precise confidence intervals.

Accurately predicting the possible behaviors of traffic participants is an essential capability for future autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches fix the number of driving intentions by considering only a specific scenario. However, distinct driving environments usually contain various possible driving…

2018-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a novel technique to track structures in time varying graphs. The method uses a maximum a posteriori approach for adjusting a three-dimensional co-clustering of the source vertices, the destination vertices and the time, to the data under study, in a way that does not require any hyper-parameter t…

2016-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.

problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.

Road Network Metric Learning improves ETA prediction accuracy by addressing data sparsity.

problem Data sparsity in road network embedding vectors affects ETA prediction accuracy.
method Proposes Road Network Metric Learning (RNML-ETA) framework with an auxiliary metric learning task and triangle loss.
result RNML-ETA outperforms state-of-the-art models and improves prediction accuracy for cold links.

Predictive Q-learning algorithm for IoT networks with human operators.

problem Resilient and predictive actions for IoT networks with faulty components.
method Predictive and resilient Q-learning algorithm considering historical data and human operator feedback.
result Optimal scheduling policies avoiding attacked locations and faults.

Origin-destination (OD) matrices are often used in urban planning, where a city is partitioned into regions and an element (i, j) in an OD matrix records the cost (e.g., travel time, fuel consumption, or travel speed) from region i to region j. In this paper, we partition a day into multiple intervals, e.g., 96 15-min …

2018-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe the connected components of the complement of a natural "diagonal" of real codimension 1 in a stratum of quadratic differentials on CP1. We establish a natural bijection between the set of these connected components and the set of generic configurations that appear on such "flat spheres". We also prove that…

2007-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Consider an assistive system that guides visually impaired users through speech and haptic feedback to their destination. Existing robotic and ubiquitous navigation technologies (e.g., portable, ground, or wearable systems) often operate in a generic, user-agnostic manner. However, to minimize confusion and navigation …

2018-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗