A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Analysis finds no evidence of banks managing deposit run risk prior to 2023 Regional Banking Crisis.
This paper examines SVB's failure and its impact on bank stocks.
We propose a simple model of the banking system incorporating a game feature where the evolution of monetary reserve is modeled as a system of coupled Feller diffusions. The Markov Nash equilibrium generated through minimizing the linear quadratic cost subject to Cox-Ingersoll-Ross type processes creates liquidity and …
Bank deposits are analyzed as having dual characteristics, akin to quantum physics.
Once upon a time there was a classical financial world in which all the Libors were equal. Standard textbooks taught that simple relations held, such that, for example, a 6 months Libor Deposit was replicable with a 3 months Libor Deposits plus a 3x6 months Forward Rate Agreement (FRA), and that Libor was a good proxy …
The definition of deposit substitutes in Philippine tax law fails to consider the maturity of a debt instrument. This makes it possible for long-term bonds to be considered as deposit substitutes if they meet the 20-lender rule, taxable at 20% final tax. However, long-term debt instruments cannot realistically function…
Paper models non-maturing deposits using a Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
We show that any objective risk measurement algorithm mandated by central banks for regulated financial entities will result in more risk being taken on by those financial entities than would otherwise be the case. Furthermore, the risks taken on by the regulated financial entities are far more systemically concentrate…
One of the most important applications of seismic reflection is the hydrocarbon exploration which is closely related to salt deposits analysis. This problem is very important even nowadays due to it's non-linear nature. Taking into account the recent developments in deep learning networks TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company …
Dual ML approach predicts peak temperatures in AFSD, improving process optimization.
Optimizes chip component placement with self-alignment for SMT technology.
An investor with constant relative risk aversion and an infinite planning horizon trades a risky and a safe asset with constant investment opportunities, in the presence of small transaction costs and a binding exogenous portfolio constraint. We explicitly derive the optimal trading policy, its welfare, and implied tra…
Spectral analysis detects structural changes in financial networks.
Study shows climate change can cause a 'run on fossil fuels' affecting prices and production.
As economic entities become increasingly interconnected, a shock in a financial network can provoke significant cascading failures throughout the system. To study the systemic risk of financial systems, we create a bi-partite banking network model composed of banks and bank assets and propose a cascading failure model …
Commercial banks and other depository institutions in some countries are required to hold in reserve against deposits made by their customers at their Central Bank or Federal Reserve. Although some countries have been eliminated it, this requirement is useful as one of many Central Bank's regulation made to control rat…
vOED-NFs uses normalizing flows to improve Bayesian OED without likelihood evaluations.
Model shows how banks' hidden-to-maturity accounting can mask run risk and lead to financial instability.
This paper develops a method to derive optimal portfolios and risk premia explicitly in a general diffusion model for an investor with power utility and a long horizon. The market has several risky assets and is potentially incomplete. Investment opportunities are driven by, and partially correlated with, state variabl…
We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of narrow banking in the context of stock-flow consistent models. We begin with an extension of the Goodwin-Keen model incorporating time deposits, government bills, cash, and central bank reserves to the base model with loans and demand deposits and use it to describe a fr…
GAN improves financial risk prediction by generating synthetic minority events.
Survey examines types of systemic risk in financial networks.
A computer vision approach improves neutral particle detection in particle flow algorithms.
Financial contagion from liquidity shocks has being recently ascribed as a prominent driver of systemic risk in interbank lending markets. Building on standard compartment models used in epidemics, in this work we develop an EDB (Exposed-Distressed-Bankrupted) model for the dynamics of liquidity shocks reverberation be…
The study examines how limited liability and haircut affect a bank's loan portfolio's liquidity risk.
This work develops a fast-running ROM for MOOSE-based AM model using OL.
Study on optimal fees in hedge funds with first-loss compensation.
In this paper, a novel architecture of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is designed and experimented. The proposed RNN adopts a computational memory based on the concept of stigmergy. The basic principle of a Stigmergic Memory (SM) is that the activity of deposit/removal of a quantity in the SM stimulates the next activi…
Study on Spanish households' investment choices in housing, deposits, and stocks.
Model explains how stablecoin runs are influenced by large sales and reserve quality.
Study examines how risk tolerance impacts long-term investment returns.
In the paper portfolio optimization over long run risk sensitive criterion is considered. It is assumed that economic factors which stimulate asset prices are ergodic but non necessarily uniformly ergodic. Solution to suitable Bellman equation using local span contraction with weighted norms is shown. The form of optim…
We propose a unified structural credit risk model incorporating both insolvency and illiquidity risks, in order to investigate how a firm's default probability depends on the liquidity risk associated with its financing structure. We assume the firm finances its risky assets by mainly issuing short- and long-term debt.…
Framework optimizes expensive manufacturing processes efficiently.
ToolChain-CRC addresses the risk-control problem for retrieval-augmented and tool-using agents under drift.
A second order linear integro-differential equation with Volterra integral operator and strong singularities at the endpoints (zero and infinity) is considered. Under limit conditions at the singular points, and some natural assumptions, the problem is a singular initial problem with limit normalizing conditions at inf…
DeFi doesn't fully remove trust, showing run risk and personal character's importance.
We develop the first basic Operational Risk perspective on key risk management issues associated with the development of new forms of electronic currency in the real economy. In particular, we focus on understanding the development of new risks types and the evolution of current risk types as new components of financia…
This article examines arbitrage investment in a mispriced asset when the mispricing follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and a credit-constrained investor maximizes a generalization of the Kelly criterion. The optimal differentiable and threshold policies are derived. The optimal differentiable policy is linear with …
Paper examines constraints on cryptocurrency networks to improve liquidity and capital costs.
Paper tackles risk-sensitive impulse control for continuous-time processes.
In this paper long-run risk sensitive optimisation problem is studied with dyadic impulse control applied to continuous-time Feller-Markov process. In contrast to the existing literature, focus is put on unbounded and non-uniformly ergodic case by adapting the weight norm approach. In particular, it is shown how to com…
Model explains money creation under regulatory constraints.
ETF on CRIX reduces crypto risk and diversifies growth.
Derives pricing formulas for liquidity tokens in CPMMs, showing riskless growth.
A new method for efficient nested Monte Carlo simulations in financial modeling.
We present an extended version of the recently proposed "LLOB" model for the dynamics of latent liquidity in financial markets. By allowing for finite cancellation and deposition rates within a continuous reaction-diffusion setup, we account for finite memory effects on the dynamics of the latent order book. We compute…
We discuss the portfolio optimization problem with the obligatory deposits constraint. Recently it has been shown that as a consequence of this nonlinear constraint, the solution consists of an exponentially large number of optimal portfolios, completely different from each other, and extremely sensitive to any changes…