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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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222444666888 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for deep Wishart processes

Improved variational approximation for deep Wishart process models.

problem Improving predictive performance of deep Wishart process models.
method Generalizing the Bartlett decomposition of the Wishart distribution to allow linear combinations of rows and columns.
result Better predictive performance achieved with minimal additional computation cost.

A new method for deep Wishart processes improves kernel-based models.

problem Inference in deep Wishart processes is challenging due to the need for flexible distributions over positive semi-definite matrices.
method Developed a novel approach to flexible distributions over positive semi-definite matrices using the Bartlett decomposition of the Wishart probability density. Used this to create an approximate posterior for the DWP.
result Improved performance of inference in the DWP compared to DGP with equivalent prior.

Deep kernel processes unify various models using Gram matrices and kernel functions.

problem Unified representation of various deep learning models.
method Defining deep kernel processes with progressively transformed Gram matrices and sampling from inverse Wishart distributions.
result Deep Gaussian processes, BNNs, infinite BNNs, and infinite BNNs with bottlenecks can all be written as deep kernel processes.

Study proposes a new model for joint survival annuity valuation.

problem Valuation of joint survival annuities and options.
method Linear-rational Wishart mortality model based on stochastic matrix affine process.
result Derives closed-form expression for joint survival annuity and option.

Paper explores Elliptical Wishart distributions in signal processing and machine learning.

problem Estimating parameters of Elliptical Wishart distributions.
method Proposes fixed point and Riemannian optimization algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Characterizes existence, uniqueness, and convergence of the MLE.

Researchers develop a new SMC sampler for Wishart processes to improve dynamic covariance inference.

problem Challenging inference of dynamic covariance in various scientific fields.
method Introduce Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampler for the Wishart process.
result SMC sampling provides more robust estimates and out-of-sample predictions of dynamic covariance.

Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations using Wishart diffusions.

problem Inferring stochastic differential equations for regression and dynamical modeling.
method Bayesian non-parametric approach with semi-parametric Wishart processes.
result Modeling diffusion in stochastic differential equations improves performance and avoids overfitting.

We introduce a stochastic process with Wishart marginals: the generalised Wishart process (GWP). It is a collection of positive semi-definite random matrices indexed by any arbitrary dependent variable. We use it to model dynamic (e.g. time varying) covariance matrices. Unlike existing models, it can capture a diverse …

2010-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We derive the explicit formula for the joint Laplace transform of the Wishart process and its time integral which extends the original approach of Bru. We compare our methodology with the alternative results given by the variation of constants method, the linearization of the Matrix Riccati ODE's and the Runge-Kutta al…

2011-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new MCMC-based Wishart prior for Gaussian Process covariance matrix.

problem Difficult inference for multivariate Gaussian Processes with multiple lengthscale parameters.
method Introduces a self-assembled Wishart prior and uses MCMC for Bayesian inference on kernel hyperparameters.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new prior in GP-based learning with empirical results.

We establish an explicit expression for the conditional Laplace transform of the integrated Volterra Wishart process in terms of a certain resolvent of the covariance function. The core ingredient is the derivation of the conditional Laplace transform of general Gaussian processes in terms of Fredholm's determinant and…

2019-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We put forward a complete theory on moment explosion for fairly general state-spaces. This includes a characterization of the validity of the affine transform formula in terms of minimal solutions of a system of generalized Riccati differential equations. Also, we characterize the class of positive semidefinite process…

2014-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach predicts generalization of deep neural networks in proportional-width regime.

problem Predicting generalization of deep neural networks in proportional-width regime.
method Equivalent Wishart Ansatz for hierarchical empirical kernels, renormalized NNGP kernel.
result Renormalized NNGP kernel captures dominant stochastic fluctuations in deep neural networks.

This paper revisits the Bayesian CMA-ES and provides updates for normal Wishart. It emphasizes the difference between a normal and normal inverse Wishart prior. After some computation, we prove that the only difference relies surprisingly in the expected covariance. We prove that the expected covariance should be lower…

2019-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…

2014-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a short rate model, driven by a stochastic process on the cone of positive semidefinite matrices. We derive sufficient conditions ensuring that the model replicates normal, inverse or humped yield curves.

2012-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework for analyzing heterogeneous covariance data with a novel MoE-Wishart model.

problem Analyzing complex multivariate systems with varying covariance structures.
method Comprehensive Bayesian framework using mixture-of-experts Wishart model with predictor-dependent mixture weights.
result Accurate subpopulation recovery and estimation in heterogeneous covariance scenarios.

New method uses KL-divergence to create non-informative priors for multivariate Gaussian.

problem Handling hyperparameters for non-informative limits in multivariate Gaussian conjugate priors.
method Using scaled KL-divergence between multivariate Gaussians to construct Wishart and normal-Wishart conjugate priors.
result Forming non-informative priors without violating Wishart shape parameter restrictions.

Study on eigenvalue distribution of correlated time series, showing deformation of Marchenko-Pastur distribution.

problem Eigenvalue distribution of Wishart matrix with temporal correlation.
method Analysis of moments and convergence to deformed Marchenko-Pastur distribution for Gaussian process with temporal correlation.
result Eigenvalue distribution converges to deformed Marchenko-Pastur distribution with longer tail and higher peak.

Bayesian deep neural networks converge to processes with α-stable marginals under infinite variance weights.

problem Representation learning in deep kernel processes is hindered by deterministic covariance kernels.
method Showed convergence to α-stable processes with conditionally Gaussian representations in infinite-width networks.
result Conditional random covariance kernels can be recursively linked, even if the process is α-stable.

Paper interprets UMAP and t-SNE as probabilistic MAP inference.

problem Understanding and interpreting UMAP and t-SNE.
method Interprets UMAP and t-SNE as MAP inference methods corresponding to a probabilistic model of the graph Laplacian.
result Shows UMAP and t-SNE can be understood as probabilistic inference methods.

A non-Hermitean extension of paradigmatic Wishart random matrices is introduced to set up a theoretical framework for statistical analysis of (real, complex and real quaternion) stochastic time series representing two "remote" complex systems. The first paper in a series provides a detailed spectral theory of non-Hermi…

2010-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Matrix H-theory models stock market fluctuations using hierarchical multivariate distributions.

problem Understanding collective behavior in stock market fluctuations.
method Matrix H-theory framework for multivariate stochastic processes with hierarchical structure.
result Matrix H-theory effectively describes stock market fluctuations using Meijer G-functions.

Develops methods for constructing parameter priors in DAG models.

problem Constructing parameter priors for model choice among DAG models.
method Introduces assumptions and methods for parameter priors construction and marginal likelihood computation.
result The only parameter prior for complete Gaussian DAG models that satisfies assumptions is the normal-Wishart distribution.

We consider stochastic partial differential equations appearing as Markovian lifts of matrix valued (affine) Volterra type processes from the point of view of the generalized Feller property (see e.g., \cite{doetei:10}). We introduce in particular Volterra Wishart processes with fractional kernels and values in the con…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A Bayesian procedure is developed for multivariate stochastic volatility, using state space models. An autoregressive model for the log-returns is employed. We generalize the inverted Wishart distribution to allow for different correlation structure between the observation and state innovation vectors and we extend the…

2008-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on Gaussian ensemble of matrix products with mixed moments computed.

problem Understanding the statistical properties of matrix products of Gaussian matrices.
method Analysis of a multi-Wishart ensemble and enumeration of non-crossing pairings.
result Mixed moments of the product matrix are computed and found to be weighted by Fuss-Catalan numbers at large NN.

We introduce a mean-reverting SDE whose solution is naturally defined on the space of correlation matrices. This SDE can be seen as an extension of the well-known Wright-Fisher diffusion. We provide conditions that ensure weak and strong uniqueness of the SDE, and describe its ergodic limit. We also shed light on a use…

2011-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate the computational complexity of several basic linear algebra primitives, including largest eigenvector computation and linear regression, in the computational model that allows access to the data via a matrix-vector product oracle. We show that for polynomial accuracy, Θ(d)Θ(d) calls to the oracle are nece…

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We provide a general and tractable framework under which all multiple yield curve modeling approaches based on affine processes, be it short rate, Libor market, or HJM modeling, can be consolidated. We model a numeraire process and multiplicative spreads between Libor rates and simply compounded OIS rates as functions …

2016-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a novel theoretically sound approach for the celebrated CMA-ES algorithm. Assuming the parameters of the multi variate normal distribution for the minimum follow a conjugate prior distribution, we derive their optimal update at each iteration step. Not only provides this Bayesian framework a justi…

2019-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗