Paper proposes MA-BERT for efficient data-driven ATM models.
problem Long training time and need for large datasets in data-driven ATM models.
method Multi-Agent Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (MA-BERT) and transfer learning framework.
result MA-BERT saves training time and achieves high performance with little data.
Paper uses deep imitation learning to predict aircraft trajectories accurately.
problem Inefficient and costly Air Traffic Management system limits predictability.
method Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning framework with trajectory clustering and classification.
result Accurate predictions for entire trajectory stages, pre- and tactical.
Exact relationships found between ATM slope, volatility swap, and zero vanna.
problem Understanding relationships between implied volatilities and swaps.
method Analyzes exact relationships between ATM slope, volatility swap, and zero vanna.
result Exact relationships between ATM slope, volatility swap, and zero vanna.
Bayesian ATM improves stability and efficiency in mobile health interventions.
problem Balancing intervention efficacy with user burden in mobile health interventions.
method Bayesian extension to ATM using Kalman filter-style updates.
result Bayesian ATM achieves comparable or improved scalarized returns with lower variance and more stable policy behavior.
Derives formulae linking SABR model parameters to ATM and option prices.
problem Characterizing SABR model parameters from option prices.
method Analytic formulae linking α, ν, and ρ to ATM price and option prices at strikes. result Characterization of SABR parameters from swap rate probability density function derivatives.
Proposes ATM method to improve domain adaptation.
problem Mitigating distribution divergence between source and target domains.
method Adversarial Tight Match (ATM) method using Maximum Density Divergence (MDD).
result New state-of-the-art performance on domain adaptation benchmarks.
The CGMY model's ATM call-price asymptotics are derived using characteristic function.
problem Deriving short-time asymptotics for the CGMY model's ATM call prices.
method Using the characteristic function, derived short-time asymptotics for the CGMY model's ATM call prices. Extracted higher-order coefficients by dynamic cutoff partitioning.
result Higher-order coefficients are derived for the CGMY model's ATM call prices.
Study short-maturity Asian option pricing in LSV models using large deviations theory.
problem Derive short-maturity asymptotics for Asian option prices in LSV models.
method Large deviations theory and novel expansion method.
result Explicit series expansions for the solution of the variational problem around the ATM point.
Study on short-term behavior of ATM-IV for jump-diffusion model.
problem Analyzing the short-time behavior of ATM-IV for a specific stochastic volatility model.
method Used Malliavin Calculus techniques to derive expressions for ATM-IV level and skew.
result Short-time behavior of ATM-IV level is consistent for all pure-jump Lévy processes.
Optimizes cash management in ATM networks to reduce costs and increase revenue.
problem Minimizing cash costs while ensuring adequate funds in a network of ATMs.
method Developed a discrete optimal control model using forecasting techniques and control theory.
result The proposed model outperforms classical inventory management models, earning 30% more revenue.
AI enhances financial services but humans are irreplaceable for empathy, presence, and ethics.
problem AI's limitations in financial services, especially with small datasets and human judgment.
method EPOCH framework highlighting five irreplaceable human capabilities: Empathy, Presence, Opinion, Creativity, and Hope.
result Humans are essential for trust, innovation, and consumer experience in financial services.
The paper examines short-term volatilities in equity indexes using a ranking procedure.
problem Understanding short-term behaviors of implied volatility in equity markets.
method Using a ranking procedure to model equity index dynamics, the paper investigates the short-term volatilities of derivatives written on indexes.
result The models reconcile the long memory of volatilities and power law of ATM skews in equity markets.
The paper models ATM cash withdrawal chaos and forecasts using deep learning.
problem Forecasting ATM cash withdrawals in an Indian bank.
method Chaos modeling of ATM cash withdrawal time series, deep learning methods (ARIMA, RF, SVR, MLP, GMDH, GRNN, LSTM, 1D CNN).
result Deep learning models show similar performance to random forest in forecasting ATM cash withdrawals.
Study examines short-term IVS dynamics using a model-independent approach.
problem Understanding the short-term behavior of implied volatility surface (IVS).
method Model-independent, distribution-based approach imposing cumulant conditions on asset log return distribution.
result Derives a quadratic expansion for implied volatility and asymptotic expressions for ATM skew and curvature.
Using Malliavin Calculus techniques, we derive closed-form expressions for the at-the-money behaviour of the forward implied volatility, its skew and its curvature, in general Markovian stochastic volatility models with continuous paths.
DeepSVM learns SVMs without PDE solving, achieving high pricing accuracy.
problem Computational bottleneck in real-time calibration of stochastic volatility models.
method Physics-informed Deep Operator Network (PI-DeepONet) that enforces terminal payoffs and no-arbitrage conditions.
result DeepSVM achieves high pricing accuracy across various market dynamics.
This paper contains a feasibility study of deep neural networks for the classification of Euro banknotes with respect to requirements of central banks on the ATM and high speed sorting industry. Instead of concentrating on the accuracy for a large number of classes as in the famous ImageNet Challenge we focus thus on c…
The short-time asymptotic behavior of option prices for a variety of models with jumps has received much attention in recent years. In the present work, a novel second-order approximation for ATM option prices under the CGMY Lévy model is derived, and then extended to a model with an additional independent Brownian com…
A new QHR model extends HR model with a quadratic variance function.
problem Modeling volatility with greater flexibility and stationarity.
method Introducing a quadratic variance function to the HR model, maintaining Markovian property.
result Stationary distribution of the QHR model is Pearson type IV.
In the present work, a novel second-order approximation for ATM option prices is derived for a large class of exponential Lévy models with or without Brownian component. The results hereafter shed new light on the connection between both the volatility of the continuous component and the jump parameters and the behavio…
The ADO-Heston model approximates market implied skew in vanilla options.
problem Reproduce market implied skew in vanilla options using a Markovian approximation.
method Derived characteristic function under risk-neutral and real measures, chose market price of risk, found closed form for log-price CF and implied skew.
result The ADO-Heston model can approximate the vanilla implied skew at small T but not exactly as rough volatility models. Unified model for financial derivatives pricing with stochastic interest rates.
problem Pricing and hedging financial derivatives with stochastic interest rates.
method Volterra Stein-Stein model with correlated Gaussian Volterra processes.
result Explicit formulas for bond and cap/floor pricing, and characteristic function for log-forward index.
Incorporating the side information of text corpus, i.e., authors, time stamps, and emotional tags, into the traditional text mining models has gained significant interests in the area of information retrieval, statistical natural language processing, and machine learning. One branch of these works is the so-called Auth…
Study leading-order asymptotics for VIX option prices in Bergomi models.
problem Understanding VIX option pricing in Bergomi models.
method Analytical approach to derive leading-order asymptotics for VIX option prices in Bergomi models.
result Closed-form solutions for VIX option prices in Bergomi models are derived.
Develops a diagnostic framework for interest rate model calibration, showing equivalence to Weighted Least Squares and revealing boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability.
problem Calibration of stochastic interest rate models
method Diagnostic framework using non-linear regression and analytical tractability of At-The-Money caps
result Reveals boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability
Study short-maturity VIX and European option prices with jumps.
problem Analyzing VIX and European options with jumps in short-maturity models.
method Local-stochastic volatility models with compound Poisson jumps, leading-order asymptotics in closed-form.
result Closed-form solutions for VIX and European option prices in short-maturity models.
In Figueroa-López et al. (2013), a second order approximation for at-the-money (ATM) option prices is derived for a large class of exponential Lévy models, with or without a Brownian component. The purpose of this article is twofold. First, we relax the regularity conditions imposed in Figueroa-López et al. (2013) on t…
Multi-task/Multi-output learning seeks to exploit correlation among tasks to enhance performance over learning or solving each task independently. In this paper, we investigate this problem in the context of Gaussian Processes (GPs) and propose a new model which learns a mixture of latent processes by decomposing the c…
Study uses sentiment analysis to predict implied volatility surface, improving prediction accuracy.
problem Improving prediction accuracy of implied volatility surface.
method Constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data, used VAR method, deep learning (BERT, LSTM), FFT, EMD for sentiment decomposition.
result High-frequency sentiment correlates with ATM options' implied volatility, low-frequency with DOTM options.
We study the dynamics of the normal implied volatility in a local volatility model, using a small-time expansion in powers of maturity T. At leading order in this expansion, the asymptotics of the normal implied volatility is similar, up to a different definition of the moneyness, to that of the log-normal volatility. …
The paper discusses scalable learning for wireless data-driven systems.
problem Expanding data volume and model complexity limit centralized learning solutions.
method Discusses scalable architecture and local learning strategies.
result Promising research directions in scalable data-driven wireless communications.
Paper derives new option pricing formulas and approximations for a local volatility model with discontinuity.
problem Modeling extreme ATM skew in a local volatility model with discontinuity.
method Uses joint distribution of Skew Brownian motion and its functionals to derive option pricing formulas and approximations.
result Derives an approximation of option prices by Black-Scholes prices, simplifying skew behavior.
AutoML explores vs. exploits promising classifiers to improve performance.
problem Maximizing ML pipeline performance within limited time and resource constraints.
method Empirical study comparing exploiting vs. exploring the search space for promising classifiers.
result Exploiting the most promising classifiers does not statistically improve pipeline performance.
This paper reviews recent advances in the field of optimization under uncertainty via a modern data lens, highlights key research challenges and promise of data-driven optimization that organically integrates machine learning and mathematical programming for decision-making under uncertainty, and identifies potential r…
Optimal data-driven formulations are found for learning and decision-making with historical data.
problem Designing optimal learning and decision-making formulations from historical data.
method Define a yardstick for measuring formulation quality, then construct an optimal formulation that is uniformly closer to the true cost.
result Existence of three distinct out-of-sample performance regimes with corresponding optimal formulations.
A new method for support vector regression using a data-driven insensitive parameter.
problem Determining an optimal insensitive parameter in support vector regression.
method A data-driven approach to approximate the insensitive parameter by minimizing a generalized loss function based on the likelihood principle.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional support vector regression methods and has lower computational costs.
WeatherBench provides a dataset and metrics for comparing data-driven weather forecasts.
problem Lack of a common dataset and evaluation metrics for data-driven weather forecasting.
method Publicly available dataset derived from ERA5, simple evaluation metrics.
result Baseline scores from various forecasting methods provided for comparison.
Paper presents a data-driven method for option pricing.
problem Option pricing accuracy under market volatility.
method Data-driven ensemble approach based on no-arbitrage theory.
result Model performance validated with real data.
New asymptotic formula for option prices with interest rates and dividend yield effects.
problem Deriving option prices with interest rates and dividend yield effects in the local volatility model.
method Developed a new asymptotic limit for short-maturity option prices, including interest rates and dividend yield effects.
result Generalized the Berestycki-Busca-Florent formula to all orders in n for interest rates and dividend yield effects. Proposes data-driven methods for estimating conditional expectations.
problem Estimating conditional expectations when underlying density is unknown.
method Data-driven techniques to directly estimate conditional expectations from training data.
result Extends data-driven method to solve nonlinear equations in stochastic optimization.
Hybridizes physical and data-driven methods for predicting physicochemical properties.
problem Predicting physicochemical properties accurately using limited data.
method Distills physical method predictions into a prior model and combines with sparse experimental data using Bayesian inference.
result Significant improvements in predicting activity coefficients at infinite dilution compared to baselines and ensemble methods.
This research designs a data-driven partition to test independence between continuous variables.
problem Testing independence between continuous random variables.
method Empirical log-likelihood statistic and data-driven tree-structured partition.
result Strongly consistent test of independence over probability families.
Data-driven method for option pricing using historical asset prices.
problem Tackling the gap between historical asset prices and risk-neutral option pricing.
method Identifying a pricing kernel process, solving utility maximization and functional optimization problems using deep learning.
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the data-driven option pricing methodology.
We study the performance of data-driven, a priori and random approaches to label space partitioning for multi-label classification with a Gaussian Naive Bayes classifier. Experiments were performed on 12 benchmark data sets and evaluated on 5 established measures of classification quality: micro and macro averaged F1 s…
Study integrates machine learning with SAA for optimizing decisions based on uncertain parameters and covariates.
problem Optimizing decisions under uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Data-driven frameworks integrating machine learning prediction models within SAA for scenario generation.
result Consistent and asymptotically optimal solutions under certain conditions, with finite sample guarantees.
New tool improves scalability of data-driven invariant inference.
problem Scaling data-driven invariant inference to programs with many variables.
method Developed oasis tool to improve scalability.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art systems on benchmarks.
New framework for data-driven hyperparameter tuning with structured loss.
problem Statistical foundations for multi-dimensional hyperparameter tuning remain limited.
method General framework using real algebraic geometry for semi-algebraic function classes.
result First general guarantees for multi-dimensional hyperparameter tuning.
Data-driven approach learns effective equations for phase field interfaces.
problem Learning accurate equations for phase field interface dynamics.
method Data-driven identification of partial differential equations from phase field data.
result Data-driven equations outperform analytical approximations in certain regimes.