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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for data loading

Study finds cherry-picking load shaping strategies outperforms others in reducing grid CO2 emissions.

problem Lack of detailed counterfactual data makes it hard to assess load shaping strategies' effectiveness.
method Calibrated granular ERCOT simulations for counterfactual analysis of load shaping strategies.
result LMP-based load shaping outperforms other strategies in reducing grid CO2 emissions.

Paper uses econometrics time series model with T-student Distribution for short-term load forecasting.

problem Accurate short-term load forecasting for optimizing electrical sources and protecting energy.
method Uses SARIMA-GARCH model with T-student Distribution to forecast electric load.
result The proposed model outperforms the ARIMA model with Normal Distribution.

New method predicts heat load in thermal grids using latent variables.

problem Predicting heat load in district energy systems.
method Combines nominal model for outdoor temperature with latent variable model for residual heat load.
result Proposed method achieves better prediction accuracy than artificial neural networks.

Traditional load analysis is facing challenges with the new electricity usage patterns due to demand response as well as increasing deployment of distributed generations, including photovoltaics (PV), electric vehicles (EV), and energy storage systems (ESS). At the transmission system, despite of irregular load behavio…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes dense average network for improved power load forecasting.

problem Improving power load forecasting accuracy to save millions for the power industry.
method Introduces dense average connection and constructs dense average network for power load forecasting.
result Proposed model outperforms existing methods on public datasets.

Model uses GAMs to forecast hourly electricity load weeks to one year ahead.

problem Accurate mid-term hourly load forecasting for power plant operation and energy management.
method Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) with P-splines and autoregressive post-processing.
result Significantly enhanced forecasting accuracy compared to state-of-the-art methods.

EGPR method forecasts power grid load and generation with high accuracy.

problem Accurate week-long forecasting of load demand and power generation for efficient power grid operation.
method Gaussian process regression with ensembles of preceding weeks' data.
result EGPR method outperforms traditional methods in forecasting weekly load and generation.

Deep learning improves weather modeling for electricity load forecasting.

problem Accurate load and renewable energy forecasting requires complex spatio-temporal weather modeling.
method Automated spatio-temporal feature extraction using deep neural networks.
result Deep learning outperforms traditional methods in French national load forecasting.

Adaptive probabilistic load forecasting improves performance in power systems.

problem Complexity of electricity load forecasting due to changing drivers and local generation.
method Adaptive probabilistic approach using Kalman filter and online gradient descent.
result Adaptive probabilistic forecasts improve performance in both point and probabilistic forecasting.

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps to improve the reliability and economics of system operation performances. This…

2019-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose and study opportunistic bandits - a new variant of bandits where the regret of pulling a suboptimal arm varies under different environmental conditions, such as network load or produce price. When the load/price is low, so is the cost/regret of pulling a suboptimal arm (e.g., trying a suboptim…

2017-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Power load forecast with Machine Learning is a fairly mature application of artificial intelligence and it is indispensable in operation, control and planning. Data selection techniqies have been hardly used in this application. However, the use of such techniques could be beneficial provided the assumption that the da…

2019-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel method improves load estimation in power grids using anomaly and change point detection.

problem Improving load estimation in power grid systems.
method Combining unsupervised anomaly and change point detection methods for automatic filtering.
result Automatic load estimation is accurate with 90% estimates within a 10% error margin.

Improved non-intrusive load monitoring with a novel neural network.

problem Accurately disaggregating household electricity consumption without dedicated meters.
method Developed a scale- and context-aware network with multi-scale features and contextual information.
result Significantly improved accuracy compared to state-of-the-art methods.

b-LOAD extends local causal discovery with prior knowledge, improving causal effect estimation.

problem Local causal discovery struggles in data-scarce settings due to uncertainty and incomplete neighborhoods.
method b-LOAD incorporates prior knowledge directly into local structure learning, using Meek's rules to refine discovery.
result b-LOAD refines the admissible equivalence class and enlarges identifiable causal queries, improving causal effect estimation.

In (exploratory) factor analysis, the loading matrix is identified only up to orthogonal rotation. For identifiability, one thus often takes the loading matrix to be lower triangular with positive diagonal entries. In Bayesian inference, a standard practice is then to specify a prior under which the loadings are indepe…

2014-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods improve electricity load forecasting using hierarchical transfer learning.

problem Improving electricity load forecasts at national scale using smart meter data.
method Developed two hierarchical transfer learning methods based on stacking and aggregation of experts.
result Significant improvement in predictions compared to benchmark algorithms.

Paper benchmarks and customizes energy forecasting methods.

problem Energy forecasting challenges and differences from traditional time series.
method Collected large-scale load datasets and renewable energy datasets. Developed feature engineering and customized loss functions.
result Comprehensive evaluation of 21 forecasting methods in energy datasets.

Paper proposes combining GAM and DNN for accurate peak demand estimation from lower-resolution data.

problem Predicting high-resolution peak demand from limited lower-resolution data.
method Combines generalized additive models (GAM) and deep neural networks (DNN) for half-hourly load forecasting.
result Proposed method reduces out-of-sample RMSE by 57.4% compared to benchmark.

Paper assesses the market value of sharing privacy-protected smart meter data.

problem Value of sharing privacy-protected smart meter data between consumers and load serving entities.
method Discounted differential privacy model, ANN-based load forecasting, optimal procurement problem.
result Significant value in sharing smart meter data while retaining individual consumer privacy.

We use online convex optimization (OCO) for setpoint tracking with uncertain, flexible loads. We consider full feedback from the loads, bandit feedback, and two intermediate types of feedback: partial bandit where a subset of the loads are individually observed and the rest are observed in aggregate, and Bernoulli feed…

2017-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses a diffusion model to forecast electrical loads with uncertainty.

problem Uncertainties in electrical load forecasting due to renewable energy and external events.
method Diffusion-based Seq2Seq structure for epistemic uncertainty and robust additive Cauchy distribution for aleatoric uncertainty.
result Ability to separate and quantify both types of uncertainties in load forecasting.

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday system constraints. We propose deep spatio-temporal models and extreme value theo…

2018-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a method for probabilistic load forecasting using adaptive online learning.

problem Inability to assess intrinsic uncertainties and capture dynamic changes in consumption patterns.
method Adaptive online learning of hidden Markov models for recursive parameter updates and sequential prediction.
result Significant improvement in performance compared to existing techniques across various scenarios.

New method relaxes PCA orthogonality constraints using explained variance of correlated components.

problem Difficulty in using PCA for sparse design due to orthogonality constraints and non-differentiable penalty.
method Introduce expvar(Y) to measure variance explained by correlated components, relax orthogonality constraints.
result Two expvar(Y) definitions suitable for block PCA formulations without orthogonality constraints.