New measures for prediction validity and consonant plausibility introduced.
problem Challenges in predicting future observations and quantifying prediction uncertainty.
method Introducing Type-2 validity and using consonant plausibility measures and conformal prediction.
result Achieving both Type-1 and Type-2 validity through consonant plausibility measures and conformal prediction.
Conformal Prediction Regions match Imprecise Highest Density Regions under consonance.
problem Matching conformal prediction regions with highest density regions.
method Using consonance and the Imprecise Probability theory of clouds.
result Imprecise Highest Density Regions are equivalent to Conformal Prediction Regions under consonance.
ARFs generate plausible counterfactuals for models, improving model understanding.
problem Creating realistic counterfactuals for model analysis.
method Adversarial Random Forests (ARFs) for generating plausible counterfactuals.
result ARFs efficiently generate plausible counterfactuals in a model-agnostic way.
We define and compute plausible counterfactual explanations using density constraints.
problem Efficiently compute plausible counterfactual explanations for machine learning models.
method Propose and study a formal definition of plausible counterfactual explanations, use density estimators, and introduce convex density constraints.
result Convex density constraints ensure plausible and feasible counterfactual explanations.
New method generates plausible counterfactuals for time series classification.
problem Generating realistic counterfactuals for time series data.
method Gradient-based optimization with soft-DTW alignment and multi-faceted loss function.
result Our method outperforms existing approaches in temporal realism and distributional alignment.
Background: A universal unanswered question in neuroscience and machine learning is whether computers can decode the patterns of the human brain. Multi-Voxels Pattern Analysis (MVPA) is a critical tool for addressing this question. However, there are two challenges in the previous MVPA methods, which include decreasing…
A universal unanswered question in neuroscience and machine learning is whether computers can decode the patterns of the human brain. Multi-Voxels Pattern Analysis (MVPA) is a critical tool for addressing this question. However, there are two challenges in the previous MVPA methods, which include decreasing sparsity an…
Method generates plausible financial stress scenarios using large deviations.
problem Misleading risk management by overlooking or overemphasizing implausible scenarios.
method Exploits large-deviations principle to concentrate risk factors near most likely stress configurations.
result Can generate informative stress scenarios even with limited historical data.
Optimism about the poorly understood states and actions is the main driving force of exploration for many provably-efficient reinforcement learning algorithms. We propose optimism in the face of sensible value functions (OFVF)- a novel data-driven Bayesian algorithm to constructing Plausibility sets for MDPs to explore…
AR algorithm simplifies backpropagation with improved scalability and biological plausibility.
problem Improving backpropagation algorithms for complex neural networks and biological plausibility.
method Introducing learnable backwards weights and avoiding nonlinear derivative computations; relaxing frozen feedforward pass assumption.
result Simplified AR algorithm maintains performance on complex CNN architectures and challenging datasets.
A key barrier to making phonetic studies scalable and replicable is the need to rely on subjective, manual annotation. To help meet this challenge, a machine learning algorithm was developed for automatic measurement of a widely used phonetic measure: vowel duration. Manually-annotated data were used to train a model t…
Derives a biologically plausible neural network for Slow Feature Analysis.
problem Learning latent features from time series data.
method Starting from an SFA objective, derives Bio-SFA with a biologically plausible neural network implementation.
result Validates Bio-SFA on naturalistic stimuli, reproducing interesting properties of brain cells.
A principled approach to understand network structures is to formulate generative models. Given a collection of models, however, an outstanding key task is to determine which one provides a more accurate description of the network at hand, discounting statistical fluctuations. This problem can be approached using two p…
New framework predicts diverse, contextually plausible 3D human motions.
problem Predicting multiple plausible future 3D poses given observed poses.
method Developed a new variational framework that conditions latent variable on past observation to encourage relevant information.
result Our approach generates motions of higher quality and preserves contextual information.
GAIT-prop derives a biologically plausible learning rule from backpropagation.
problem Biological implausibility in traditional backpropagation for neural networks.
method GAIT-prop uses a top-down model to convert output error into plausible targets for weight updates.
result GAIT-prop and backpropagation give identical weight updates under certain conditions.
Backpropagation is explained as a diffusion process in neural networks.
problem The biological plausibility of Backpropagation is questioned.
method Demonstrated that time-delayed neurons and forward-backward waves approximate the gradient in deep networks.
result Backpropagation can be interpreted as a diffusion process, approximating the gradient for non-fast inputs.
New learning rules from information bottleneck improve deep learning without precise labels.
problem Training deep neural networks with backpropagation is biologically implausible.
method Kernelized information bottleneck principle with 3-factor Hebbian structure.
result The new learning rules perform nearly as well as backpropagation on image classification tasks.
By and large, Backpropagation (BP) is regarded as one of the most important neural computation algorithms at the basis of the progress in machine learning, including the recent advances in deep learning. However, its computational structure has been the source of many debates on its arguable biological plausibility. In…
New method isolates epistemic uncertainty in diffusion models, improving plausibility scores.
problem Uncertainty quantification in diffusion models, especially epistemic uncertainty.
method Fisher information based approach using FLARE (Fisher-Laplace Randomized Estimator).
result FLARE improves uncertainty estimation in synthetic time-series generation tasks.
Training deep neural networks with the error backpropagation algorithm is considered implausible from a biological perspective. Numerous recent publications suggest elaborate models for biologically plausible variants of deep learning, typically defining success as reaching around 98% test accuracy on the MNIST data se…
New algorithm shows neural networks can learn without full backpropagation.
problem Stochastic gradient descent with backpropagation is non-biologically plausible.
method Random and fixed backpropagation weights in a feedback alignment algorithm.
result Error converges to zero exponentially fast in overparameterized networks.
Multivariate Pattern (MVP) classification holds enormous potential for decoding visual stimuli in the human brain by employing task-based fMRI data sets. There is a wide range of challenges in the MVP techniques, i.e. decreasing noise and sparsity, defining effective regions of interest (ROIs), visualizing results, and…
Proposes a new neural network approach to credit assignment.
problem Credit assignment problem in deep neural networks.
method Contrastive similarity matching objective function.
result Deep networks learn to match similarity between layers.
Many real-world vision problems suffer from inherent ambiguities. In clinical applications for example, it might not be clear from a CT scan alone which particular region is cancer tissue. Therefore a group of graders typically produces a set of diverse but plausible segmentations. We consider the task of learning a di…
This note improves correlation stress tests using geodesic distance.
problem Improving financial risk management through better covariance stress tests.
method Proposes a new geometrically invariant definition of correlation stress tests.
result Demonstrates a submanifold approach to stress testing covariance matrices.
We propose to interpret distribution model risk as sensitivity of expected loss to changes in the risk factor distribution, and to measure the distribution model risk of a portfolio by the maximum expected loss over a set of plausible distributions defined in terms of some divergence from an estimated distribution. The…
One conjecture in both deep learning and classical connectionist viewpoint is that the biological brain implements certain kinds of deep networks as its back-end. However, to our knowledge, a detailed correspondence has not yet been set up, which is important if we want to bridge between neuroscience and machine learni…
New learning algorithm mimics biological neural networks.
problem Biologically implausible backpropagation for directed neural networks.
method Introduces new neuronal dynamics and learning rule for arbitrary architectures, sparsity-inducing pruning method, and dynamical-systems characterization.
result Prunes irrelevant connections and improves learning efficiency.
New method uses entropy to generate multiple plausible causal maps.
problem Learning causal relationships from noisy data can lead to artifacts in DAGs.
method Entropy-based inference to generate an ensemble of plausible causal graphs.
result Multiple causal maps consistent with underlying data variability.
Stock markets show unusual overnight and intraday returns.
problem Unusual patterns of overnight and intraday returns in stock markets.
method Analyzed features of the returns to deduce the cause.
result The only plausible explanation for these returns is that they are due to market manipulation.
We propose a method to model multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.
problem Modeling real-world multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.
method Decentralized generative models with partial observation and mechanical constraints based on hierarchical variational recurrent neural networks.
result Our method effectively models and predicts biologically plausible behaviors with minimal constraint violations.
The paper relaxes constraints on predictive coding models, making them more biologically plausible.
problem Neurophysiological models of predictive coding are not fully biologically plausible.
method The paper relaxes constraints on standard predictive coding algorithms by removing neurally implausible features.
result The removal of neurally implausible features does not significantly affect learning performance.
Neural network models of early sensory processing typically reduce the dimensionality of streaming input data. Such networks learn the principal subspace, in the sense of principal component analysis (PCA), by adjusting synaptic weights according to activity-dependent learning rules. When derived from a principled cost…
Biological neural network mimics CCA for multi-channel data.
problem Implementing CCA in a biologically plausible neural network.
method Derive an online CCA algorithm with local synaptic updates for multi-compartmental neurons.
result The derived neural network architecture and synaptic updates resemble cortical pyramidal neuron behavior.
In this paper, we introduce the Fairness GAN, an approach for generating a dataset that is plausibly similar to a given multimedia dataset, but is more fair with respect to protected attributes in allocative decision making. We propose a novel auxiliary classifier GAN that strives for demographic parity or equality of …
We present some plausible definitions for the tangent grupoid of a manifold M, as well as some of the known applications of the structure. This is a kind of introductory note.
AGATHA predicts promising research directions from scientific data.
problem Efficiently winnowing thousands of potential targets in drug discovery.
method Deep-learning hypothesis generation system that ranks plausible term-pairs.
result Best-in-class performance on an established benchmark, high recommendation scores across subdomains.
Releasing full data records is one of the most challenging problems in data privacy. On the one hand, many of the popular techniques such as data de-identification are problematic because of their dependence on the background knowledge of adversaries. On the other hand, rigorous methods such as the exponential mechanis…
A new method for target propagation using iterative approximations converges fast and is more biologically plausible.
problem Improving target propagation methods for neural networks.
method Iterative approximate inverses and local auto-encoders.
result The method converges exponentially fast under certain conditions.
Spiking neural networks perform similarly to deep networks on occluded images.
problem Robust object recognition in partially occluded images.
method Developed a two-layer spiking neural network trained on natural scenes with a biologically plausible learning rule, compared to deep convolutional networks.
result Spiking neural networks achieve good accuracy and robustness on stepwise pixel erasement tasks.
The backpropagation (BP) algorithm is often thought to be biologically implausible in the brain. One of the main reasons is that BP requires symmetric weight matrices in the feedforward and feedback pathways. To address this "weight transport problem" (Grossberg, 1987), two more biologically plausible algorithms, propo…
Survey of integrating physics knowledge into machine learning models.
problem Mitigating data shortage and ensuring physical plausibility.
method Combining physics knowledge with machine learning models.
result Summarizes recent works in physics-informed machine learning.
I argue that the current financial crisis highlights the crucial need of a change of mindset in economics and financial engineering, that should move away from dogmatic axioms and focus more on data, orders of magnitudes, and plausible, albeit non rigorous, arguments.
Article addresses practical challenges in conformal prediction.
problem Challenges in determining, computing, and controlling conformal prediction regions.
method Proposes a quadratic-polynomial non-conformity measure.
result Allows circumventing three challenges in full conformal prediction framework.
Paper recovers top-two answers and confusion probability in multi-choice crowdsourcing.
problem Recovering top-two answers and confusion probability in multi-choice crowdsourcing tasks.
method Proposes a two-stage inference algorithm based on a model quantifying task difficulty and worker reliability.
result Achieves minimax optimal convergence rate and outperforms other algorithms in synthetic and real data experiments.
New model predicts blood glucose in diabetics with improved accuracy.
problem Forecasting blood glucose in type 1 diabetics with high accuracy.
method Integrates machine learning with existing biomedical model to capture time-varying dynamics.
result Improved long-term forecasting of blood glucose up to 6 hours.
EXAGREE selects a stakeholder-aligned model to reduce conflicting explanations in machine learning.
problem Conflicting explanations from different attribution methods limit the adoption of machine learning models in safety-critical domains.
method EXAGREE is a two-stage framework that selects a Stakeholder-Aligned Explanation Model (SAEM) from a set of similar-performing models, maximizing Stakeholder-Machine Agreement (SMA).
result EXAGREE achieves simultaneous gains in faithfulness, plausibility, and fairness over baselines while preserving task accuracy.
Two local learning rules are investigated to avoid weight transport in neural networks.
problem Local learning rules that avoid weight transport are unstable and require tuning.
method Investigated two non-local learning rules and a more robust local rule.
result Non-local learning rules match state-of-the-art performance and operate effectively in noisy updates.