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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for cognitive imperfections

The paper proposes a new framework to generate synthetic data with human-like imperfections to prevent model collapse.

problem Model collapse due to statistical optimization of synthetic data.
method Introduces Prompt-driven Cognitive Computing Framework (PMCSF) with Cognitive State Decoder (CSD) and Cognitive Text Encoder (CTE).
result The framework generates text with cognitive imperfections, reducing maximum drawdown and delivering defensive alpha.

AdapDISCOM tackles high-dimensional multimodal data with missingness and errors, improving prediction and biomarker selection.

problem High-dimensional multimodal data with block-wise missingness and measurement errors.
method AdapDISCOM introduces modality-specific weighting schemes to address heterogeneity and error magnitudes.
result AdapDISCOM consistently outperforms existing methods under heterogeneous contamination and heavy-tailed distributions.

The paper explores how regularization can lead to convergence in imperfect information games.

problem Finding equilibrium in imperfect information games with imperfect information.
method Investigates Follow the Regularized Leader dynamics and how adding a regularization term can lead to strong convergence guarantees.
result The approach leads to algorithms that converge exactly to the Nash equilibrium in imperfect information games.

The paper tackles learning from imperfect human feedback, especially in dueling bandit problems.

problem Learning from human feedback that can be irrational or imperfect.
method Developed a Robustified Stochastic Mirror Descent for Imperfect Dueling (RoSMID) algorithm.
result Achieved nearly optimal regret for dueling bandit problems under imperfect human feedback.

Investigates a Kyle model with imperfect information and risk aversion.

problem Tackles a Kyle model with imperfect information and risk-averse informed traders.
method Solves an optimal transport problem and a filtering problem under specific measures.
result Constructs an equilibrium for the Gaussian Kyle model with imperfect information and risk aversion.

Imitation learning (IL) aims to learn an optimal policy from demonstrations. However, such demonstrations are often imperfect since collecting optimal ones is costly. To effectively learn from imperfect demonstrations, we propose a novel approach that utilizes confidence scores, which describe the quality of demonstrat…

2019-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the effect of imperfect training data labels on the performance of classification methods. In a general setting, where the probability that an observation in the training dataset is mislabelled may depend on both the feature vector and the true label, we bound the excess risk of an arbitrary classifier trained…

2018-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Policy gradient method proves convergence in imperfect-information games.

problem Policy gradient methods in imperfect-information games (EFGs).
method Policy gradient approach with best-iterate convergence.
result Policy gradient leads to provable best-iterate convergence in self-play EFGs.

Study shows cognitive load impacts financial market efficiency, especially for less sophisticated investors.

problem Cognitive load's effect on financial market information processing.
method Developed a theoretical framework and tested it with exogenous disclosure complexity variation.
result Cognitive load significantly impairs price discovery, particularly for less sophisticated investors.

A cognitive model of human learning provides information about skills a learner must acquire to perform accurately in a task domain. Cognitive models of learning are not only of scientific interest, but are also valuable in adaptive online tutoring systems. A more accurate model yields more effective tutoring through b…

2018-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Pension benefits in rural China lead to cognitive decline among the elderly.

problem Cognitive decline in late adulthood among rural Chinese elderly.
method Examined the effects of a new pension scheme on cognitive performance.
result Pension benefits negatively impact cognitive functioning, particularly delayed recall.

In the eyes of a rationalist like Descartes or Spinoza, human reasoning is flawless, marching toward uncovering ultimate truth. A few centuries later, however, culminating in the work of Kahneman and Tversky, human reasoning was portrayed as anything but flawless, filled with numerous misjudgments, biases, and cognitiv…

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper investigates how ambiguous data and cognitive biases affect machine learning in humanitarian decision making.

problem Ambiguous data and cognitive biases impact the interpretability of machine learning models in humanitarian decision making.
method The study will explore the effects of data ambiguity and cognitive biases on machine learning algorithms in humanitarian contexts.
result The research aims to uncover the specific ways in which ambiguous data and cognitive biases influence the interpretability of machine learning models in humanitarian decision making.

JPS improves joint policies for multi-agent collaboration in imperfect information games.

problem Learning good joint policies for multi-agent collaboration with imperfect information.
method Decomposes global changes to localized policy changes, iteratively improving joint policies without re-evaluating the entire game.
result JPS improves solutions provided by unilateral approaches and outperforms algorithms designed for collaborative policy learning.

New method identifies latent variables in cognitive models using neural networks.

problem Inference of latent variables in complex cognitive models is limited.
method Recurrent neural networks and simulation-based inference for latent variable sequences.
result Extends neural Bayes estimation to broader classes of cognitive models.

Algorithm learns NE in imperfect information games with imperfect feedback.

problem Learning Nash equilibrium in imperfect information games with bandit feedback.
method IXOMD algorithm for model-free learning with 1/T1/\sqrt{T} convergence rate.
result IXOMD achieves 1/T1/\sqrt{T} convergence rate to NE.

Model financial markets using open quantum systems to understand market imperfections.

problem Understanding market imperfections through imperfect trading mechanisms.
method Using open quantum systems to represent financial markets, characterizing orbits, and analyzing reduced density matrices.
result Non-classical modes of time evolution can incorporate factors like illiquid trades and imperfect trading mechanisms.

The study examines how verifier imperfections impact test-time scaling techniques.

problem Understanding how verifier imperfections affect test-time scaling methods.
method Proves the instance-level accuracy of Best-of-N and Rejection Sampling methods using the geometry of the verifier's ROC curve.
result RS outperforms BoN for fixed compute, but both converge to the same accuracy in the infinite-compute limit.

Paper improves RL from imperfect demonstrations with soft expert guidance.

problem Improper and insufficient expert demonstrations in RLfD.
method Formalizes imperfect expert setting, tackles optimality and convergence issues with soft constraints, and uses local linear search on dual form.
result Method achieves consistent improvement over other RLfD methods.

Researchers develop methods for causal inference with imperfect instrumental variables.

problem Quantifying cause and effect relationships with imperfect instrumental variables.
method Established a quantitative relationship between violations of instrumental inequalities and minimal measurement dependence, providing adapted inequalities valid in the presence of relaxed measurement dependence.
result Adapted inequalities for average causal effect in instrumental scenarios with binary outcomes, addressing violations of instrumental inequalities.

New filters improve radar target inference in complex scenarios.

problem Improving radar target inference in highly non-linear system models.
method Developed inverse cubature Kalman filter (I-CKF), inverse quadrature Kalman filter (I-QKF), and inverse cubature-quadrature Kalman filter (I-CQKF) for non-linear systems.
result Numerical experiments show improved estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

Paper solves learning imperfect-information games with fewer episodes.

problem Learning imperfect-information extensive-form games from bandit feedback.
method Balanced Online Mirror Descent and Balanced Counterfactual Regret Minimization algorithms.
result Achieves near-optimal sample complexity for finding approximate Nash equilibria.

We study pricing and superhedging strategies for game options in an imperfect market with default. We extend the results obtained by Kifer in \cite{Kifer} in the case of a perfect market model to the case of an imperfect market with default, when the imperfections are taken into account via the nonlinearity of the weal…

2015-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms reduce regret in online learning with imperfect hints.

problem Designing algorithms to minimize regret in online learning with imperfect hints.
method Developed algorithms that are resilient to bad hints and interpolate between correlated and no-hints cases.
result Achieved nearly matching lower bounds for online learning with imperfect directional hints.

Accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) entails clinical evaluation of multiple cognition metrics and biomarkers. Metrics such as the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale - Cognitive test (ADAS-cog) comprise multiple subscores that quantify different aspects of a patient's cognitive state such as learning, memor…

2017-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework mixes imperfect models for improved predictions.

problem Improving predictions of complex computational models in unknown domains.
method Local Bayesian Dirichlet mixing of imperfect models using the Dirichlet distribution.
result Global and local mixtures of models achieve excellent performance in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

Selective planning with imperfect models reduces harmful effects of model inadequacy.

problem Harmful effects of using an imperfect model in reinforcement learning.
method Selective planning with heteroscedastic regression to estimate predictive uncertainty from model inadequacy.
result Effective selective planning requires considering both parameter uncertainty and model inadequacy.

Study improves robustness of Bayesian inference for cognitive models.

problem Outliers and contaminants affect parameter estimation in cognitive models.
method Robustness of parameter estimation using amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) with neural networks.
result Introducing contaminants from a Cauchy distribution increases robustness.

New method uses imperfect LLM annotations for valid statistical inference in social science.

problem Inaccurate large language model annotations in social science research.
method Design-based supervised learning (DSL) combining imperfect LLM surrogates with gold-standard labels.
result DSL provides valid statistical inference with comparable predictive accuracy to existing methods.

DREAM learns optimal strategies in imperfect games without needing a simulator.

problem Learning optimal strategies in imperfect-information games with multiple agents.
method DREAM is a deep reinforcement learning algorithm that converges to Nash Equilibria and coarse correlated equilibria.
result DREAM achieves state-of-the-art performance in benchmark games and is competitive with simulator-based algorithms.

This paper explores how imperfect reward models can improve online RLHF.

problem Sample efficiency in online RLHF from imperfect reward models.
method Identifies policy coverability and proposes TPO algorithm for transfer learning.
result TPO algorithm improves sample efficiency compared to standard online learning.

Study on liquidity and market efficiency in auction games with imperfect information.

problem Generating liquidity in illiquid auction markets with imperfect information.
method Characterized Nash equilibria in a two-player game with imperfect information, linking market spreads to signal strength.
result Without incentives, the market is inefficient and does not lead to trades. Quadratic fees indexed on half spread can generate liquidity.