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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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15 results for cubature

Develops trinomial models using cubature methods for financial derivative pricing.

problem Pricing financial derivatives in complex stochastic market models.
method Cubature methods applied to Wiener space for constructing trinomial models.
result Numerical solutions compare favorably with Black-Scholes model.

Cubature on Wiener space [Lyons, T.; Victoir, N.; Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A 8 January 2004 vol. 460 no. 2041 169-198] provides a powerful alternative to Monte Carlo simulation for the integration of certain functionals on Wiener space. More specifically, and in the language of mathematical finance, cubature allows for fast…

2013-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We study discretizations of polynomial processes using finite state Markov processes satisfying suitable moment matching conditions. The states of these Markov processes together with their transition probabilities can be interpreted as Markov cubature rules. The polynomial property allows us to study such rules using …

2017-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New filters improve radar target inference in complex scenarios.

problem Improving radar target inference in highly non-linear system models.
method Developed inverse cubature Kalman filter (I-CKF), inverse quadrature Kalman filter (I-QKF), and inverse cubature-quadrature Kalman filter (I-CQKF) for non-linear systems.
result Numerical experiments show improved estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

Paper develops a high-order recombination algorithm for financial modeling.

problem Creating accurate approximations of stochastic differential equations in finance.
method High-order recombination method applied to practical financial problems.
result Algorithm effectively avoids explosive growth in support cardinality for high-order approximations.

We present a general probabilistic perspective on Gaussian filtering and smoothing. This allows us to show that common approaches to Gaussian filtering/smoothing can be distinguished solely by their methods of computing/approximating the means and covariances of joint probabilities. This implies that novel filters and …

2010-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Kernel quadrature improves CRPS estimation for probabilistic time-series forecasting.

problem Intractable integrations in CRPS evaluation metrics lead to improper rankings of forecasting models.
method Introduced kernel quadrature approach for unbiased CRPS estimation and scalable computation.
result Our approach consistently outperforms existing CRPS estimators.

New algorithms minimize MMD to approximate probability measures efficiently.

problem Approximating probability measures by representative point sets.
method Sequential greedy minimization of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) over candidate sets, with mini-batch variants.
result Consistency of proposed algorithms and mini-batch variants established.

We consider the problem of pricing basket options in a multivariate Black Scholes or Variance Gamma model. From a numerical point of view, pricing such options corresponds to moderate and high dimensional numerical integration problems with non-smooth integrands. Due to this lack of regularity, higher order numerical i…

2016-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗