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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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29 results for chance-constrained

CPP solves chance constrained optimization problems with a framework that combines samples and quantile lemma.

problem Chance constrained optimization problems with constraints on random variables.
method CPP framework using samples and quantile lemma to transform into deterministic problem.
result CPP provides a posteriori guarantees on constraint satisfaction and can handle different types of chance constraints.

The concepts of risk-aversion, chance-constrained optimization, and robust optimization have developed significantly over the last decade. Statistical learning community has also witnessed a rapid theoretical and applied growth by relying on these concepts. A modeling framework, called distributionally robust optimizat…

2019-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

GP CC-OPF solves uncertain power grid optimization with Gaussian Process.

problem Uncertainty in power grid operations due to high renewables integration.
method Data-driven Gaussian Process regression for solving non-convex CC-OPF problem.
result Effective economic dispatch optimization in uncertain power grids.

Paper proposes a fast data-driven AC-OPF method using sparse hybrid Gaussian processes.

problem Optimizing electricity generation and delivery under generation uncertainty in modern power grids.
method Data-driven approach using sparse hybrid Gaussian processes to model power flow equations.
result Shows up to two times faster and more accurate solutions compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Bayesian method optimizes uncertain constraints in black-box function optimization.

problem Optimizing black-box functions with uncertain environmental variables.
method Distributionally robust chance-constrained Bayesian optimization.
result The method can find accurate solutions with high probability in a finite number of trials.

Chance-constrained ActInf allows for small violations of constraints to drive goal-directed behavior.

problem Goal-directed behavior constrained by prior beliefs.
method Introducing chance constraints to ActInf, allowing for small violations of constraints.
result Chance-constrained ActInf allows for a trade-off between robust control and chance constraint violation.

Study scaling of optimal solutions for reliability constraints in resource provisioning.

problem Achieving high reliability in resource provisioning under stringent requirements.
method Chance-constrained optimization, distributionally robust optimization, f-divergence balls, line search.
result Correct scaling properties of optimal decisions are preserved by using appropriate f-divergence balls, leading to conservative yet near-optimal solutions.

Paper develops robust OPF method using contextual information.

problem Optimal Power Flow problem under incomplete uncertainty knowledge.
method Distributionally robust chance-constrained formulation with probability trimmings and optimal transport.
result Distributional robustness improves expected cost and system reliability.

Optimizes power systems with energy storage under uncertainty using scenario-based method.

problem Optimizing power systems with energy storage, intermittent renewable generation, and uncontrollable loads under uncertainty.
method Developed a novel solution method based on scenario optimization and strategic sampling to solve the chance-constrained optimal power system operation problem.
result The strategic sampling method significantly improves computational efficiency and data-driven convex approximation of power flow.

New method certifies neural network robustness under random input noise.

problem Certifying neural network robustness against random input noise.
method Chance-constrained optimization problem reformulated with input-output samples, convex conditions developed.
result Proposed method certifies robustness against various input noise regimes over larger uncertainty regions.

We present a machine learning approach to the solution of chance constrained optimizations in the context of voltage regulation problems in power system operation. The novelty of our approach resides in approximating the feasible region of uncertainty with an ellipsoid. We formulate this problem using a learning model …

2019-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This work proposes an online learning approach to tighten constraints in stochastic control problems.

problem Solving chance-constrained stochastic optimal control problems is computationally challenging.
method Reformulate chance constraints as a binary regression problem and use a GP model to learn constraint-tightening parameters online.
result The approach tightens constraints more effectively, leading to lower costs in numerical experiments.

Motivated by problems of anomaly detection, this paper implements the Neyman-Pearson paradigm to deal with asymmetric errors in binary classification with a convex loss. Given a finite collection of classifiers, we combine them and obtain a new classifier that satisfies simultaneously the two following properties with …

2011-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new model to assess risks in energy storage systems considering both exogenous and endogenous uncertainties.

problem Current risk assessment ignores the stochastic nature of energy storage availability.
method Data-driven unified model with exogenous and endogenous uncertainty description for four types of generic energy storage.
result Comparative results show more severe risks for endogenous uncertainty, suggesting new strategies for system operators.

This paper introduces DCE for better counterfactual explanations using optimal transport.

problem Lack of nuanced distributional characteristics in existing counterfactual explanations.
method Formulates a chance-constrained optimization problem using optimal transport to derive counterfactual distributions.
result DCE provides deeper insights into decision-making models by aligning counterfactual distributions with factual ones.

A new Bayesian optimization method tackles constrained optimization with uncertainties.

problem Optimizing functions with uncertain constraints.
method Bayesian optimization with a new acquisition criterion.
result The new criterion optimizes both objective function improvement and constraint reliability.

The paper tackles online resource allocation with uncertain coefficients and chance constraints.

problem Online stochastic resource allocation problem with chance constraints.
method Linearization and primal-dual algorithms with heuristic corrections.
result Optimality gap and constraint violation are on the order of √n.

New method for global optimization of Gaussian processes reduces computational time.

problem Nonconvex optimization problems with Gaussian processes trained on few data points.
method Reduced-space formulation with branch-and-bound solver and McCormick relaxations.
result Significantly reduced computational time compared to state-of-the-art methods.

This paper provides a non-robust interpretation of the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem by relating the distributional uncertainties to the chance probabilities. Our analysis allows a decision-maker to interpret the size of the ambiguity set, which is often lack of business meaning, through the chance…

2019-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for optimizing portfolios with distributions over weights, returns, and parameters.

problem Traditional portfolio optimization treats expected returns, covariances, and allocations as fixed. Modern practice replaces at least one with a distribution.
method Unified framework using Gamma_theta(dw,dr) coupling to organize Bayesian, robust, chance-constrained, stochastic-allocation, and distributional reinforcement-learning methods.
result Synthetic and structural contributions, including a portfolio specialization of Wasserstein-CVaR duality and a static no-randomization theorem.

Boosted Difference of Convex Functions Algorithm solves VaR constrained portfolio optimization.

problem Designing VaR optimal portfolios under financial regulations.
method Boosted Difference of Convex Functions Algorithm (BDCA) with a novel line search framework.
result BDCA linearly converges to a Karush-Kuhn-Tucker point for VaR constrained portfolio problems.