Patients who suffer an acute coronary syndrome are at elevated risk for adverse cardiovascular events such as myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Accurate assessment of this risk is crucial to their course of care. We focus on estimating a patient's risk of cardiovascular death after an acute coronary syndr…
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Study proposes a multimodal model for cardiovascular risk prediction using EHRs.
Neural network predicts cardiovascular events from EHRs with high accuracy.
Models for predicting the risk of cardiovascular events based on individual patient characteristics are important tools for managing patient care. Most current and commonly used risk prediction models have been built from carefully selected epidemiological cohorts. However, the homogeneity and limited size of such coho…
We train and validate a semi-supervised, multi-task LSTM on 57,675 person-weeks of data from off-the-shelf wearable heart rate sensors, showing high accuracy at detecting multiple medical conditions, including diabetes (0.8451), high cholesterol (0.7441), high blood pressure (0.8086), and sleep apnea (0.8298). We compa…
Study creates a multimodal learning framework for CVD risk prediction.
Guidelines for the management of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) recommend the use of risk stratification models to identify patients most likely to benefit from cholesterol-lowering and other therapies. These models have differential performance across race and gender groups with inconsistent behavior a…
A clinician desires to use a risk-stratification method that achieves confident risk-stratification - the risk estimates of the different patients reflect the true risks with a high probability. This allows him/her to use these risks to make accurate predictions about prognosis and decisions about screening, treatments…
Deep learning improves CVD risk prediction from health records.
BoXHED boosts hazard estimation for dynamic health risk scores.
We consider the problem of modeling cardiovascular responses to physical activity and sleep changes captured by wearable sensors in free living conditions. We use an attentional convolutional neural network to learn parsimonious signatures of individual cardiovascular response from data recorded at the minute level res…
SBI improves uncertainty analysis of cardiovascular biomarkers.
Radiomics identifies subtle cardiac changes in hypertension.
Predicting an individual's risk of experiencing a future clinical outcome is a statistical task with important consequences for both practicing clinicians and public health experts. Modern observational databases such as electronic health records (EHRs) provide an alternative to the longitudinal cohort studies traditio…
Hypertension is a major risk factor for stroke, cardiovascular disease, and end-stage renal disease, and its prevalence is expected to rise dramatically. Effective hypertension management is thus critical. A particular priority is decreasing the incidence of uncontrolled hypertension. Early identification of patients a…
Researchers develop methods to reduce simulation costs for cardiovascular modeling.
FalconBC improves patient-specific cardiovascular modeling by estimating boundary conditions efficiently.
Method predicts NAFLD risk with high accuracy and distribution-free coverage guarantees.
Generative ODE model learns unknown variables in medical systems.
Framework for imputing missing heart data to simulate brain-heart interactions.
Counterfactual explanations can be obtained by identifying the smallest change made to a feature vector to qualitatively influence a prediction; for example, from 'loan rejected' to 'awarded' or from 'high risk of cardiovascular disease' to 'low risk'. Previous approaches often emphasized that counterfactuals should be…
Study finds incorporating fairness in healthcare models doesn't improve performance or net benefit.
Cardiovascular diseases are one of the most common causes of death in the world. Prevention, knowledge of previous cases in the family, and early detection is the best strategy to reduce this fact. Different machine learning approaches to automatic diagnostic are being proposed to this task. As in most health problems,…
Mobile electrocardiogram (ECG) recording technologies represent a promising tool to fight the ongoing epidemic of cardiovascular diseases, which are responsible for more deaths globally than any other cause. While the ability to monitor one's heart activity at any time in any place is a crucial advantage of such techno…
Paper models treatment effects by clustering patients with distinct survival characteristics.
Generative model learns shape drift for quantifying domain uncertainty in hemodynamics.
Study reviews machine learning techniques for stress monitoring.
DWTS uses observational data to improve clinical trial efficiency.
Proposes improved classification via transfer learning with regularized linear discriminant analysis.
Clinical prognostic models derived from largescale healthcare data can inform critical diagnostic and therapeutic decisions. To enable off-theshelf usage of machine learning (ML) in prognostic research, we developed AUTOPROGNOSIS: a system for automating the design of predictive modeling pipelines tailored for clinical…
A new method for sampling from posterior distributions in Bayesian inverse problems.
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the global leading cause of death. A strong risk factor for CVD events is the amount of coronary artery calcium (CAC). To meet demands of the increasing interest in quantification of CAC, i.e. coronary calcium scoring, especially as an unrequested finding for screening and research, auto…
Participants enrolled into randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often do not reflect real-world populations. Previous research in how best to translate RCT results to target populations has focused on weighting RCT data to look like the target data. Simulation work, however, has suggested that an outcome model approach …
New methods improve subgroup analysis in trials with limited data.
Study predicts heart failure patient survival using stacked ensemble ML.
Portable, Wearable and Wireless electrocardiogram (ECG) Systems have the potential to be used as point-of-care for cardiovascular disease diagnostic systems. Such wearable and wireless ECG systems require automatic detection of cardiovascular disease. Even in the primary care, automation of ECG diagnostic systems will …
Falls prevention, especially in older people, becomes an increasingly important topic in the times of aging societies. In this work, we present Gated Recurrent Unit-based neural networks models designed for predicting falls (syncope). The cardiovascular systems signals used in the study come from Gravitational Physiolo…
After admission to emergency department (ED), patients with critical illnesses are transferred to intensive care unit (ICU) due to unexpected clinical deterioration occurrence. Identifying such unplanned ICU transfers is urgently needed for medical physicians to achieve two-fold goals: improving critical care quality a…
Random shuffle method boosts HF dataset size 10-21 times.
We study regularized estimation in high-dimensional longitudinal classification problems, using the lasso and fused lasso regularizers. The constructed coefficient estimates are piecewise constant across the time dimension in the longitudinal problem, with adaptively selected change points (break points). We present an…
We propose a method for generating an electrocardiogram (ECG) signal for one cardiac cycle using a variational autoencoder. Using this method we extracted a vector of new 25 features, which in many cases can be interpreted. The generated ECG has quite natural appearance. The low value of the Maximum Mean Discrepancy me…
Advances in computational science offer a principled pipeline for predictive modeling of cardiovascular flows and aspire to provide a valuable tool for monitoring, diagnostics and surgical planning. Such models can be nowadays deployed on large patient-specific topologies of systemic arterial networks and return detail…
25% of people who received a liver transplant will go on to develop diabetes within the next 5 years. These thousands of individuals are at 2-fold higher risk of cardiovascular events, graft loss, infections, as well as lower long-term survival. This is partly due to the medication used during and/or after transplant t…
Control charts have traditionally been used in industrial statistics, but are constantly seeing new areas of application, especially in the age of Industry 4.0. This paper introduces a new method, which is suitable for applications in the healthcare sector, especially for monitoring a health-characteristic of a patient…
Current clinical practice guidelines for managing Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) account for general cardiovascular risk factors. However, they do not present a framework that considers personalized patient-specific characteristics. Using the electronic health records of 21,460 patients, we created data-driven models fo…
G-Net uses deep learning for complex counterfactual outcome prediction.
In this study, we tested the interaction effect of multimodal datasets using a novel method called the kernel method for detecting higher order interactions among biologically relevant mulit-view data. Using a semiparametric method on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), we used a standard mixed-effects linear mo…
This paper presents a method for building patient-based networks that we call Precision disease networks, and its uses for predicting medical outcomes. Our methodology consists of building networks, one for each patient or case, that describes the dis-ease evolution of the patient (PDN) and store the networks as a set …