Transformer model predicts stock trends using technical data and sentiment analysis.
problem Lack of accurate long-term stock trend prediction using traditional models.
method Developed a Transformer-based model integrating technical stock data and sentiment analysis.
result Transformer model shows significant improvement in directional accuracy over RNNs, especially for longer sequence lengths.
Deep LSTMs predict business process completion times.
problem Predicting accurate completion times for business processes under SLA constraints.
method Deep Recurrent Neural Networks (LSTMs) to analyze process instance data.
result LSTMs produce accurate predictions of process completion times.
It seems that what has been said by now about market and competitiveness do not fit perfectly with competences of getting the best of profit. Sometimes, the classical methods of fundamentals of management do not apply to individual companies that face irregular accommodation on the market. It is high time to replace th…
New risk theory for 'Pay-for-Performance' models.
problem How to price and hedge operational and financial risks in new business models.
method Developed a new risk theory and calculation method for 'Pay-for-Performance' models.
result Presented a model for determining risk premiums including both financial and operational risks.
The major study by Bordo and Helbing (2003) analyses the business cycle in Western economies 1881-2001. They examine four distinct periods in economic history, and conclude that there is a secular trend towards greater synchronisation for much of the 20th century. Their analysis, in common with the standard economic li…
Research shows franchised fast food companies' stock prices decline more during recessions.
problem Impact of recession on franchised fast food companies' stock prices.
method Analyzed stock price data with Weibull distribution.
result Recessions have a more severe impact on franchised fast food companies' stock prices.
Semantic Scan detects subtle, localized events in text streams.
problem Detecting emerging topics in text streams with high accuracy and speed.
method Contrastive topic modeling, online document assignment, spatial scanning.
result Semantic Scan outperforms other methods in detecting anomalous events.
Paper proposes transparent insurance models for PBMs.
problem PBMs' opaque business models and hidden profits.
method Quantitative estimates of two models with fixed premiums and fee-for-service.
result Proposes transparent models with fixed premiums and fee-for-service.
Enhances price sentiment index using survey comments.
problem Improving accuracy in price sentiment analysis.
method Classified comments from Economy Watchers Survey using LLMs.
result Higher correlation with existing indices.
Analyzes stock trends and e-commerce user behavior using Twitter data.
problem Understanding the relationship between stock prices, stock news, and e-commerce user behavior.
method Cross-domain analysis using Hadoop, Hive, and Tableau on three datasets.
result Identified correlations between stock sentiment, stock trends, and e-commerce user behavior.
Analyze food popularity trends using social media data.
problem Identify trends and popularity of cuisine types across space and time.
method Use off-the-shelf machine learning techniques, Kernel Density Estimation, and Bayesian Networks.
result Model dependencies among food cuisines popularity.
Enhances time-series regression trees with latent factors for robust financial analysis.
problem Handling predictors with measurement error, trends, seasonality, and missing data.
method Integrates latent stationary factors extracted via state-space methods into time-series regression trees.
result Factor-augmented trees provide a reliable approach for macro-finance problems, exemplified by the lead-lag effect between equity volatility and the business cycle.
New method classifies nonlinear time series using deep CNNs and bispectra.
problem Classifying nonlinear time series data effectively.
method Combines HOSA with deep CNNs.
result Effective classification of nonlinear time series data.
Machine learning simplifies finance, but faces challenges.
problem Adopting machine learning in finance.
method Analyzing challenges in financial services adoption.
result Challenges in finance adoption of ML.
AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.
problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.
Graph theory enhances dynamic business insights in BA models.
problem Static BA models fail to capture dynamic business insights from data.
method Integrating graph theory into BA models for extensible data-driven analytics.
result Graph theory enables automatic generation of business insights.
Paper assesses risks of stablecoins, from lending to business-to-business.
problem Credit risks in decentralized stablecoin issuance.
method Examines mechanisms, risks, and mitigation strategies at each layer.
result Potential for scaling stablecoins while maintaining systemic health.
Detects anomalies in product health metrics at eBay for better alerts.
problem Detecting anomalies in unsupervised product health metrics at eBay.
method Developed a Moving Metric Detector (MMD) for anomaly detection and a point-wise ranking model for alert retrieval.
result Improves alert precision and avoids alert spamming in eBay production.
RobustTAD detects anomalies in diverse time series data.
problem Effective anomaly detection for complex time series data.
method Robust seasonal-trend decomposition + CNN architecture with data augmentation.
result RobustTAD outperforms other methods on public datasets.
Educational game on crypto investment helps students grasp macroeconomics.
problem Weak connections between microeconomic decision-making and macroeconomic concepts in classroom games.
method Design and study of an educational game on cryptocurrency investment.
result Engages students in understanding macroeconomics through incentivized individual investment decisions.
Study shows credit expansion in mortgage markets influenced U.S. business cycle.
problem Lack of causal evidence in cross-country business cycle studies.
method Unique research design combining cross-metropolitan U.S. data.
result Credit expansion caused stronger booms and busts in house-related industries.
Large corporate credit models may be adapted for small business risk assessment.
problem Limited data and lack of credit analysts for small businesses.
method Adapting large corporate credit risk models for small businesses.
result Adapted models can predict small business credit risk effectively.
New approach uses physics principles to improve business analytics.
problem Current business analytics methods fail with new data.
method Divide KPIs into controllable and uncontrollable groups; apply physics principles to controllable ones.
result Improves understanding and optimization of controllable KPI dynamics.
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.
New method builds business taxonomies from corporate reports.
problem Challenging to classify emerging market industries.
method Concept-level hierarchical clustering of annual reports.
result Automatic construction of business taxonomies.
Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.
problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.
Modeling business expansion as a stochastic control problem, the study finds that firms are incentivized to expand but may wait.
problem Optimizing business expansion under exposure constraints and opportunity costs.
method Formulated as a novel stochastic control problem combined with optimal stopping time, derived an explicit solution for exponential utility.
result Firms are incentivized to expand but may wait due to opportunity costs and other factors.
Endogenous business cycles explain higher comovement across countries.
problem Standard models struggle to explain high comovement in business cycles across countries.
method Developed a demand-driven reduced-form model with strategic complementarities and international trade linkages.
result Combining endogenous business cycles with exogenous shocks matches empirical comovement levels.
Machine learning predicts US and EuroZone business cycles with high accuracy.
problem Predicting the business cycle phases in US and EuroZone.
method Three machine learning approaches were compared: Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) achieved the best results.
result MLR achieved 65.25% accuracy for EuroZone and 75% for US in predicting business cycle phases.
Deep learning predicts business process events with high precision.
problem Predicting next events in business processes.
method Recurrent neural networks applied to deep learning.
result Deep learning surpasses state-of-the-art in prediction precision.
Unified metric SCV models subscription business revenue.
problem Analyzing revenue contribution of subscription businesses.
method Bayesian probabilistic model with exponential decay for churn.
result Exact and approximate closed-form solutions for revenue.
The analysis of the theoretical material revealed the lack of consensus on defini-tion of the tax stimulation of innovation-active business entities within the re-gional taxation. The definition tax stimulation of innovation-active business en-tities is specified.
Survey of EEG market and machine learning applications.
problem Improving neurology through data-driven research.
method Comprehensive survey of EEG applications and market.
result Machine learning enhances EEG applications and market growth.
Examines international taxation's impact on Georgian businesses.
problem Impact of international taxation on Georgian business entities.
method Analyzes types, features, and approaches of international taxation.
result Provides recommendations to correct current taxation issues.
CONDA-PM framework helps analyze concept drift in business processes.
problem Analyzing changes in business processes over time.
method Systematic Literature Review and framework development.
result Highlights areas needing research to complement existing efforts.
The study uses CoDa to analyze family business financial ratios, highlighting methodological issues.
problem Asymmetry, non-normality, and non-linearity in financial ratios of family businesses.
method Compositional data analysis (CoDa) and classical analysis strategies.
result Results are sensitive to the methodology used, emphasizing the need for appropriate methodologies.
Study examines how business units can benefit from group cohesion under regulatory constraints.
problem Regulatory constraints limit business units' ability to form a single cohesive group.
method Defined and analyzed cohesive risk measures to minimize capital costs.
result Cohesive risk measures allow groups to achieve minimal capital costs without altering individual liabilities.
This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…
Development of efficient business process models and determination of their characteristic properties are subject of intense interdisciplinary research. Here, we consider a business process model as a directed graph. Its nodes correspond to the units identified by the modeler and the link direction indicates the causal…
New approach optimizes sales process for B2B businesses.
problem Optimizing the sales process for B2B businesses.
method Causal Predictive Optimization and Generation with three layers: prediction, optimization, and serving.
result Significant wins over legacy systems in LinkedIn implementation.
The accurate characterization of the business cycles in the nonlinear dynamic financial and economic systems in the time of globalization represents a formidable research problem. The central banks and other financial institutions make their decisions on the minimum capital requirements, countercyclical capital buffer …
The cross-correlations between price fluctuations of 201 frequently traded stocks in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India are analyzed in this paper. We use daily closing prices for the period 1996-2006, which coincides with the period of rapid transformation of the market following liberalization. The eigenvalue…
Business cycles affect startup valuations, both directly and indirectly.
problem How do business cycles impact startup valuations?
method Structural Equation Model approach using a dataset of 1,089 venture capital investments.
result Business cycles impact startup valuations both directly and indirectly.
New method detects business-relevant outliers in e-commerce conversion rates.
problem Identifying outliers in e-commerce conversion rate data.
method A novel unsupervised fluid IQR method that adjusts sensitivity based on platform activity.
result Fluid IQR method outperforms existing methods in business-relevance and robustness.
We propose a dynamical model for business cycle based on an optimal DI model. In the model there exists a conserved quantity, which corresponds to the total energy in a dynamical system. We found that the business cycle with the period 6 or 7 years is nicely reproduced, since the model predicts a periodic motion in the…
The paper proposes a mechanism for business cycles using coupled real economy and stock market dynamics.
problem Understanding and predicting business cycles.
method Developed a dynamic stock market model based on opinion interactions and integrated it into a macroeconomic framework.
result The model generates quasiperiodic fluctuations (business cycles) through coupled real economy and stock market dynamics.
Deep learning enhances business analytics and operations research performance.
problem Scarcity of deep learning research in business analytics and operations research.
method Review and analysis of existing literature, computational experiments, case studies.
result Deep neural networks improve operational performance in business analytics and operations research.
Study optimizes pricing for new insurance business.
problem Maximize conversion rates on new business.
method Model market competition and customer acceptance probabilities; solve optimisation problems for continuous and discrete cases.
result Developed algorithms for optimizing pricing strategies.