New method speeds up inference for non-conjugate Gaussian processes.
problem Inference for non-conjugate Gaussian processes is slow and unreliable.
method Automated augmented conjugate inference method that constructs auxiliary variables to make the model conditionally conjugate.
result Our method is up to two orders of magnitude faster and more robust than existing methods.
A new method reduces energy consumption in machine learning by using multiple, less costly data sources.
problem High computational and energy costs in machine learning model training.
method Augmented Gaussian Process (AGP-MISO) with multi-source optimization.
result The AGP-MISO method reduces computational time and energy consumption compared to traditional approaches.
Paper extends multi-task Gaussian Cox processes for heterogeneous tasks.
problem Modeling multiple heterogeneous correlated tasks jointly.
method Data augmentation and mean-field approximation for non-conjugate Bayesian inference.
result Demonstrates improved performance and inference on synthetic and real data.
We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent Pólya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's Gaussian process prior. The augmented posterior allows for efficient inference by Gi…
We propose a new scalable multi-class Gaussian process classification approach building on a novel modified softmax likelihood function. The new likelihood has two benefits: it leads to well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and allows for an efficient latent variable augmentation. The augmented model has the advantage …
The problem of combined state and input estimation of linear structural systems based on measured responses and a priori knowledge of structural model is considered. A novel methodology using Gaussian process latent force models is proposed to tackle the problem in a stochastic setting. Gaussian process latent force mo…
In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP). By introducing auxiliary latent random variables (branching structure, Pólya-Gamm…
Bayesian method improves few-shot classification accuracy.
problem Few-shot classification with small labeled datasets.
method Gaussian process classifier with Pólya-Gamma augmentation and one-vs-each softmax.
result Improved accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
EVARS-GPR refines Gaussian Process Regression for seasonal data with sudden scale changes.
problem Challenges in forecasting with changing system behavior over time.
method Combines online change point detection with data augmentation for refitting.
result 20.8% lower RMSE on real-world datasets compared to similar methods.
Optimizes black-box functions with varying costs across multiple sources.
problem Optimizing black-box functions with varying costs across multiple sources.
method Uses Augmented Gaussian Process and Gaussian Process to model fidelity and location-dependent costs, respectively. Uses Confidence Bound acquisition function to select sources and locations.
result The approach significantly outperforms existing methods on Hyperparameters Optimization tasks.
A novel approach for augmenting histopathological images by blending Gaussian-Laplacian pyramids.
problem Data imbalance and inter-patient variability in histopathological images.
method Image blending using Gaussian-Laplacian pyramids to distribute inter-patient variability.
result Promising gains in performance compared to existing data augmentation techniques.
Gaussian Processes enhance financial forecasting by predicting mean-reverting time series with probability distributions.
problem Accurate long-term financial predictions with probability distributions.
method Functional and augmented data structures for Gaussian Processes.
result Gaussian Processes offer improved long-term predictions with probability distributions.
Global inducing points improve Bayesian neural network performance.
problem Improving Bayesian neural network performance.
method Adapting correlated approximate posterior to all layers in a Bayesian neural network and deep Gaussian processes using learned global inducing points.
result State-of-the-art performance on CIFAR-10 (86.7%) without data augmentation or tempering.
Framework for sensitivity analysis in biomanufacturing processes.
problem High complexity and uncertainty in biomanufacturing processes.
method Shapley value estimation for linear and nonlinear pKG models, using quasi-Monte Carlo and antithetic sampling.
result Improved efficiency and accuracy in sensitivity analysis for biomanufacturing processes.
Study improves sugarcane plot prediction using data interpolation.
problem Predicting adventive plants in sugarcane plots with limited data.
method Interpolation techniques (Gaussian processes, kriging) for geo-referenced data augmentation.
result GP-COMB outperforms other methods with less additional data.
Bayesian ODEs with Gaussian processes infer unknown dynamics from data.
problem Estimating unknown continuous-time system dynamics from data.
method Bayesian nonparametric model using Gaussian processes, sparse variational inference, probabilistic shooting.
result Posterior predictive uncertainty scores outperform alternative methods on multiple ODE learning tasks.
Flexible Hawkes model with Gaussian process self-effects for time-dependent data.
problem Modeling time-dependent point processes with history dependence and self-effects.
method Extended Hawkes process with Gaussian process self-effects for both excitatory and inhibitory types, using Bayesian inference and mean-field variational approximation.
result Efficient approximate Bayesian inference achieved via data augmentation and mean-field variational approach.
The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often ill-conditioned: the observations can be noisy, not assuming the luxury of relative…
Statistical models with constrained probability distributions are abundant in machine learning. Some examples include regression models with norm constraints (e.g., Lasso), probit, many copula models, and latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA). Bayesian inference involving probability distributions confined to constrained d…
Bayesian approach for inhomogeneous Poisson process intensity estimation.
problem Intractable integral in likelihood of Gaussian Cox process.
method Joint modeling of intensity and cumulative intensity as transformed Gaussian process; exact MCMC sampler.
result Exact posterior inference without approximations.
We propose a scalable stochastic variational approach to GP classification building on Polya-Gamma data augmentation and inducing points. Unlike former approaches, we obtain closed-form updates based on natural gradients that lead to efficient optimization. We evaluate the algorithm on real-world datasets containing up…
Graph Neural Networks struggle with generalization, especially OOD data; GRATIN solves this with Gaussian Mixture Model-based augmentation.
problem Graph Neural Networks struggle with generalization, particularly to unseen or out-of-distribution data.
method Theoretical framework using Rademacher complexity to compute a regret bound on generalization error. GRATIN algorithm leveraging Gaussian Mixture Models for efficient data augmentation.
result GRATIN outperforms existing augmentation techniques in terms of generalization and offers improved time complexity.
Data augmentation affects estimates' uncertainty and distribution in complex ways.
problem Understanding how data augmentation impacts the variance and limiting distribution of estimates.
method Developed an adaptation of Lindeberg's technique for block dependence.
result Data augmentation can increase rather than decrease uncertainty, and it may shift the double-descent peak of an empirical risk.
Deploying machine learning systems in the real world requires both high accuracy on clean data and robustness to naturally occurring corruptions. While architectural advances have led to improved accuracy, building robust models remains challenging. Prior work has argued that there is an inherent trade-off between robu…
A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced by traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers, through constructing pro…
Bayesian optimization tackles mixed discrete-continuous problems with Gaussian processes.
problem Optimizing problems with both discrete and continuous variables using costly simulations.
method Relaxing discrete variables into continuous latent variables, using Bayesian optimization, and incorporating compatibility constraints with Lagrangians.
result Comparative analysis of different mixed Bayesian optimization approaches.
Paper generalizes Gaussian universality and CGMT to dependent data, impacting data augmentation in high-dimensional logistic regression.
problem Limitation of Gaussian universality and CGMT in handling dependent data.
method Generalizes Gaussian universality and CGMT to dependent data (block dependence, m-dependence, mixing). Establishes a novel CGMT framework.
result Gaussian universality holds for high-dimensional logistic regression under various types of dependence.
The variational framework for learning inducing variables (Titsias, 2009a) has had a large impact on the Gaussian process literature. The framework may be interpreted as minimizing a rigorously defined Kullback-Leibler divergence between the approximating and posterior processes. To our knowledge this connection has th…
Revises logistic-softmax likelihood for Bayesian meta-learning in few-shot classification.
problem Inherent uncertainty in logistic-softmax leads to suboptimal performance in meta-learning.
method Redesigns logistic-softmax likelihood with a temperature parameter for better control of prior confidence.
result Achieves well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and comparable/superior performance on benchmark datasets.
A modular GP framework for efficient transfer learning.
problem Efficiently transfer knowledge across different tasks or datasets.
method Modular variational Gaussian processes (GPs) with a dictionary of well-fitted GPs.
result Reduces computational costs and allows the transfer of uncertainty metrics.
We develop a scalable deep non-parametric generative model by augmenting deep Gaussian processes with a recognition model. Inference is performed in a novel scalable variational framework where the variational posterior distributions are reparametrized through a multilayer perceptron. The key aspect of this reformulati…
In this paper, we present a new statistical approach to the problem of incorporating experimental observations into a mathematical model described by linear partial differential equations (PDEs) to improve the prediction of the state of a physical system. We augment the linear PDE with a functional that accounts for th…
Data augmentation methods improve worst-case model performance.
problem Ensuring fair predictions across subpopulations in large models.
method Linear last layer retraining with data augmentation techniques.
result Optimal worst-group accuracy achieved for Gaussian latent representation distribution.
Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric function estimators. However, their applications are largely limited by the expensive computational cost of the inference procedures. Existing stochastic or distributed synchronous variational inferences, although have alleviated this issue by scaling up GPs to milli…
Method learns invariances in deep nets without human validation.
problem Manual selection of data augmentation parameters is cumbersome.
method Differentiable Laplace approximation for Bayesian model selection.
result Method successfully recovers invariances and improves generalization.
Enhances Gaussian process regression with multi-fidelity models and active subspaces for high-dimensional problems.
problem Data scarcity and high-dimensional input spaces with low intrinsic dimensionality.
method Employ Gaussian processes in a Bayesian setting, augmenting with low-fidelity models, and exploiting active subspaces.
result Improves model accuracy through multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression with active subspaces.
Generative Bayesian Computation improves surrogates for expensive simulations.
problem Limitations of Gaussian process surrogates in handling complex, non-stationary data.
method Generative Bayesian Computation via Implicit Quantile Networks (IQNs).
result Generative Bayesian Computation outperforms traditional Gaussian process methods across various benchmarks.
We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the conditional likelihood, only needing its evaluation as a black-box function. Usi…
This work improves surrogate models using low-fidelity data to enhance accuracy and efficiency.
problem Limited training data makes high-fidelity models unreliable.
method Uses low-fidelity data to augment input space and condition high-fidelity models.
result Increased predictive accuracy and reduced computational cost compared to existing methods.
Develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach for signal separation with varying components.
problem Signal separation with varying components across different input locations.
method Augments Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models with weighted sums of pure component signals and incorporates priors for linear weights.
result Framework allows for non-linear variations in signals and incorporates useful priors for linear weights.
Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model complexity, representational capacity and overfitting. In this work, we propose …
New framework explains data augmentation's role in machine learning.
problem Understanding how data augmentation affects generalization and invariance learning.
method Information-theoretic framework based on mutual information bounds and orbit-averaged loss functions.
result Derives a new generalization bound decomposing the generalization gap into three interpretable terms.
Researchers found that avoiding synthetic data generation prevents model collapse in machine learning.
problem Model collapse in machine learning where models degenerate over generations.
method Comparing discard and augment workflows, focusing on Linear Regression.
result Theoretical evidence shows that for Linear Regression, test risk is bounded by π²/6 of original data alone.
We present an approximate Bayesian inference approach for estimating the intensity of an inhomogeneous Poisson process, where the intensity function is modelled using a Gaussian process (GP) prior via a sigmoid link function. Augmenting the model using a latent marked Poisson process and Pólya--Gamma random variables w…
New method for robust fixed-point smoothing without state augmentation.
problem Estimating initial states in Gaussian smoothing algorithms.
method Cholesky-based formulation without state augmentation.
result Matches runtime and robustness of existing methods.
This paper improves auto-augment efficiency by sharing augmentation weights.
problem Efficient evaluation of augmentation policies for model training.
method Augmentation-Wise Weight Sharing (AWS) to create a fast yet accurate proxy task.
result Augmentation policies found achieve superior accuracies compared to existing methods.
Data augmentation doesn't improve robustness, contrary to belief.
problem The effectiveness of data augmentation in improving model robustness is questioned.
method Taking a Domain Generalization viewpoint, the study examines the robustness of augmented representations.
result Augmented representations are not robust to distortions used during training.
Generalising well in supervised learning tasks relies on correctly extrapolating the training data to a large region of the input space. One way to achieve this is to constrain the predictions to be invariant to transformations on the input that are known to be irrelevant (e.g. translation). Commonly, this is done thro…