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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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0111 · May 202119922001200920172026
2 results for self-effects

Flexible Hawkes model with Gaussian process self-effects for time-dependent data.

problem Modeling time-dependent point processes with history dependence and self-effects.
method Extended Hawkes process with Gaussian process self-effects for both excitatory and inhibitory types, using Bayesian inference and mean-field variational approximation.
result Efficient approximate Bayesian inference achieved via data augmentation and mean-field variational approach.

New method calibrates MQHawkes model using non-parametric approach, identifying cross-Hawkes and cross-leverage effects.

problem Calibrating complex Hawkes processes with non-parametric methods.
method Non-parametric calibration using General Method of Moments on coarse-grained MQHawkes model.
result Identification of cross-Hawkes and cross-leverage effects in futures markets.