New method for online learning in interacting particle systems.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
The MAP estimate's log-likelihood sub-optimality is hard to bound in general.
Study detects signals in spiked Wigner models using log likelihood ratio.
Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian. We estimate the gradient and Hessian using Fisher's identity in combination with a smoothing algorithm. We exp…
A new method improves stochastic gradient descent for faster and more efficient estimation.
Test log-likelihood comparisons can be misleading.
Corrects pseudo log-likelihood method issues in various applications.
A new VIS approach improves log-likelihood estimation in latent variable models.
We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for observations is estimated from a random subset of observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the log-likelihood based on control variates, such that the computing cost is much smal…
New method optimizes clustering with better log-likelihood landscape.
New method calculates DMN log-likelihood faster.
Proves error bounds for PGD, extending log-Sobolev and Talagrand inequalities.
This work improves bounds on Bayesian coreset quality.
Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of the process, penalized by an -penalization (Lasso and Adaptive Lasso). …
The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…
This paper addresses the issue of model selection for hidden Markov models (HMMs). We generalize factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference (FAB), which has been recently developed for model selection on independent hidden variables (i.e., mixture models), for time-dependent hidden variables. As with FAB in mixture model…
Survival regression method improves log-likelihood scores.
The fate of scientific hypotheses often relies on the ability of a computational model to explain the data, quantified in modern statistical approaches by the likelihood function. The log-likelihood is the key element for parameter estimation and model evaluation. However, the log-likelihood of complex models in fields…
An efficient LDP protocol for QMLE with improved practicality and theoretical guarantees.
This paper introduces a method to estimate log-likelihood in VAE models.
Markov random fields (MRFs) are difficult to evaluate as generative models because computing the test log-probabilities requires the intractable partition function. Annealed importance sampling (AIS) is widely used to estimate MRF partition functions, and often yields quite accurate results. However, AIS is prone to ov…
We explain SSL objectives as log-likelihoods in a data curation model.
Develops new bounds for deterministic samplers in diffusion models.
Maximum likelihood training improves the performance of score-based diffusion models.
Using stochastic gradient search and the optimal filter derivative, it is possible to perform recursive (i.e., online) maximum likelihood estimation in a non-linear state-space model. As the optimal filter and its derivative are analytically intractable for such a model, they need to be approximated numerically. In [Po…
This work evaluates deep generative models using RD curves, providing a more comprehensive quality assessment.
Enhances VAEs for sharper image synthesis.
A new method normalizes EBM training by introducing a learnable parameter.
This work gives an in-depth derivation of the trainable evidence lower bound obtained from the marginal joint log-Likelihood with the goal of training a Multi-Modal Variational Autoencoder (MVAE).
Factorial hidden Markov models (FHMMs) are powerful tools of modeling sequential data. Learning FHMMs yields a challenging simultaneous model selection issue, i.e., selecting the number of multiple Markov chains and the dimensionality of each chain. Our main contribution is to address this model selection issue by exte…
We consider Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained. This occurs for example when complex simulator-based statistical models are fitted to data, and synthetic likelihood (SL) method is used to form the noisy log-likelihood estimates using computationally costly …
EM algorithm converges to global max in latent Gaussian tree models.
Noise-Contrastive Estimation improves efficiency for estimating log-likelihood of complex point processes.
In this work, a deep learning-based method for log-likelihood ratio (LLR) lossy compression and quantization is proposed, with emphasis on a single-input single-output uncorrelated fading communication setting. A deep autoencoder network is trained to compress, quantize and reconstruct the bit log-likelihood ratios cor…
Flow-based generative models (Dinh et al., 2014) are conceptually attractive due to tractability of the exact log-likelihood, tractability of exact latent-variable inference, and parallelizability of both training and synthesis. In this paper we propose Glow, a simple type of generative flow using an invertible 1x1 con…
In this article we use rate-distortion theory, a branch of information theory devoted to the problem of lossy compression, to shed light on an important problem in latent variable modeling of data: is there room to improve the model? One way to address this question is to find an upper bound on the probability (equival…
The log-likelihood loss in heteroscedastic neural networks can lead to poor parameter estimates.
New method for robust distribution alignment using log-likelihood ratio and normalizing flows.
The classical mixture of Gaussians model is related to K-means via small-variance asymptotics: as the covariances of the Gaussians tend to zero, the negative log-likelihood of the mixture of Gaussians model approaches the K-means objective, and the EM algorithm approaches the K-means algorithm. Kulis & Jordan (2012) us…
Obtaining labels can be costly and time-consuming. Active learning allows a learning algorithm to intelligently query samples to be labeled for efficient learning. Fisher information ratio (FIR) has been used as an objective for selecting queries in active learning. However, little is known about the theory behind the …
The paper analyzes LASSO penalization for high-dimensional Beta regression models.
The paper examines logistic regression in sparse network settings, improving inference under varying degrees of dyadic dependence.
Estimates log-likelihood of interacting particle systems using virtual particles.
By exploiting the property that the RBM log-likelihood function is the difference of convex functions, we formulate a stochastic variant of the difference of convex functions (DC) programming to minimize the negative log-likelihood. Interestingly, the traditional contrastive divergence algorithm is a special case of th…
Edgeworth Accountant calculates privacy loss under differential privacy compositions efficiently.
Clustering, or unsupervised classification, is a task often plagued by outliers. Yet there is a paucity of work on handling outliers in clustering. Outlier identification algorithms tend to fall into three broad categories: outlier inclusion, outlier trimming, and post hoc outlier identification methods, with the forme…
TAKDE optimizes kernel density estimation for real-time dynamic processes.
This paper improves SNN training by using multiple sample compartments.