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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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4488132176 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for asymptotic log-likelihood

New method for online learning in interacting particle systems.

problem Parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems.
method Stochastic approximation of gradient of asymptotic log likelihood using continuous observations.
result Convergence to stationary points of asymptotic log-likelihood under suitable assumptions.

The MAP estimate's log-likelihood sub-optimality is hard to bound in general.

problem Bounding the expected log-likelihood sub-optimality of MAP for exponential families.
method Interpreting MAP as stochastic mirror descent and analyzing convergence rates.
result Current convergence results do not apply to standard examples of exponential families.

Study detects signals in spiked Wigner models using log likelihood ratio.

problem Detecting signals in rank-one spiked Wigner models with non-Gaussian noise.
method Proved asymptotic normality of log likelihood ratio and computed error thresholds.
result Optimal signal-to-noise ratio threshold for reliable detection.

A new VIS approach improves log-likelihood estimation in latent variable models.

problem Challenges in achieving high log-likelihood with VI for complex posterior distributions.
method Uses forward χ2χ^2 divergence to optimize proposal distribution for better log-likelihood estimation.
result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in log-likelihood and parameter estimation.

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for nn observations is estimated from a random subset of mm observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the log-likelihood based on control variates, such that the computing cost is much smal…

2014-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Proves error bounds for PGD, extending log-Sobolev and Talagrand inequalities.

problem Maximum likelihood estimation of large latent variable models.
method Extending log-Sobolev and Talagrand inequalities to models with strongly concave log-likelihoods.
result Non-asymptotic error bounds for PGD in models satisfying LSI and PŁI.

The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…

2015-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses the issue of model selection for hidden Markov models (HMMs). We generalize factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference (FAB), which has been recently developed for model selection on independent hidden variables (i.e., mixture models), for time-dependent hidden variables. As with FAB in mixture model…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

An efficient LDP protocol for QMLE with improved practicality and theoretical guarantees.

problem Difficult implementation of existing LDP QMLE for large-scale surveys.
method Developed an alternative LDP protocol without long waiting time, high communication cost, and derivative boundedness assumptions.
result Sufficient conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the protocol.

We explain SSL objectives as log-likelihoods in a data curation model.

problem Lack of understanding of SSL objectives as log-likelihoods.
method Formulate SSL objectives as a log-likelihood in a generative model of data curation.
result SSL methods can be understood as lower-bounds on a principled log-likelihood.

Develops new bounds for deterministic samplers in diffusion models.

problem Analyzing deterministic samplers in diffusion generative models.
method Operational interpretation of deterministic sampling; restoration and degradation steps.
result First polynomial convergence bounds for DDIM-type samplers.

Maximum likelihood training improves the performance of score-based diffusion models.

problem Training score-based diffusion models with maximum likelihood.
method Trained by minimizing a weighted combination of score matching losses, with a specific weighting scheme that bounds negative log-likelihood.
result Maximum likelihood training improves the log-likelihood of score-based diffusion models across multiple datasets.

This work evaluates deep generative models using RD curves, providing a more comprehensive quality assessment.

problem Quantitative evaluation of deep generative models is challenging, especially for implicit models.
method Proposes using rate distortion (RD) curves to evaluate and compare deep generative models, approximating the entire curve with similar computations to log-likelihood estimation.
result Approximating the entire RD curve provides a more comprehensive quality assessment than scalar-valued metrics.

A new method normalizes EBM training by introducing a learnable parameter.

problem Training energy-based models with maximum likelihood is challenging due to intractable normalisation constants.
method Proposes a self-normalised log-likelihood (SNL) objective that introduces a learnable parameter representing the normalisation constant.
result The SNL objective is a lower bound of the log-likelihood and can be directly optimised using stochastic gradient techniques.

Noise-Contrastive Estimation improves efficiency for estimating log-likelihood of complex point processes.

problem Estimating log-likelihood of complex multivariate point processes is computationally expensive.
method Noise-Contrastive Estimation adapted for multivariate point processes, with provable guarantees.
result Our method achieves similar log-likelihood with fewer evaluations and less time.

In this work, a deep learning-based method for log-likelihood ratio (LLR) lossy compression and quantization is proposed, with emphasis on a single-input single-output uncorrelated fading communication setting. A deep autoencoder network is trained to compress, quantize and reconstruct the bit log-likelihood ratios cor…

2019-03-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Flow-based generative models (Dinh et al., 2014) are conceptually attractive due to tractability of the exact log-likelihood, tractability of exact latent-variable inference, and parallelizability of both training and synthesis. In this paper we propose Glow, a simple type of generative flow using an invertible 1x1 con…

2018-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In this article we use rate-distortion theory, a branch of information theory devoted to the problem of lossy compression, to shed light on an important problem in latent variable modeling of data: is there room to improve the model? One way to address this question is to find an upper bound on the probability (equival…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The log-likelihood loss in heteroscedastic neural networks can lead to poor parameter estimates.

problem Capturing aleatoric uncertainty in deep learning models.
method Examine the log-likelihood loss in conjunction with gradient-based optimizers and propose an alternative formulation, ββ-NLL.
result Using an appropriate ββ largely mitigates the issue of poor parameter estimates.

The classical mixture of Gaussians model is related to K-means via small-variance asymptotics: as the covariances of the Gaussians tend to zero, the negative log-likelihood of the mixture of Gaussians model approaches the K-means objective, and the EM algorithm approaches the K-means algorithm. Kulis & Jordan (2012) us…

2012-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes LASSO penalization for high-dimensional Beta regression models.

problem Theoretical analysis of LASSO in high-dimensional Beta regression.
method Non-convexity handling through a neighborhood framework, debiasing for confidence intervals, proximal gradient algorithm.
result Non-asymptotic bound on 1\ell_1-error of stationary points.

The paper examines logistic regression in sparse network settings, improving inference under varying degrees of dyadic dependence.

problem Improving inference in logistic regression with sparse network data.
method Sparse network asymptotics, martingale central limit theorem, variance decomposition.
result Sparse network asymptotics lead to better variance estimators for logistic regression.

Estimates log-likelihood of interacting particle systems using virtual particles.

problem Inconsistent estimation of finite-particle log-likelihood in large particle systems.
method Stochastic gradient estimate using continuous trajectory and virtual particle systems.
result Convergence to stationary points of limiting mean-field system's log-likelihood.

By exploiting the property that the RBM log-likelihood function is the difference of convex functions, we formulate a stochastic variant of the difference of convex functions (DC) programming to minimize the negative log-likelihood. Interestingly, the traditional contrastive divergence algorithm is a special case of th…

2017-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Edgeworth Accountant calculates privacy loss under differential privacy compositions efficiently.

problem Efficiently computing overall privacy loss under composition of private algorithms.
method Analytical approach using ff-differential privacy framework and Edgeworth expansion.
result Non-asymptotic (ε,δ)(ε, δ)-differential privacy bounds with reduced computational cost.

Clustering, or unsupervised classification, is a task often plagued by outliers. Yet there is a paucity of work on handling outliers in clustering. Outlier identification algorithms tend to fall into three broad categories: outlier inclusion, outlier trimming, and post hoc outlier identification methods, with the forme…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

TAKDE optimizes kernel density estimation for real-time dynamic processes.

problem Real-time density estimation in applications like computer vision and signal processing.
method Derives asymptotic mean integrated squared error (AMISE) upper bound for 'sliding window' kernel density estimator and proposes TAKDE as a novel, theoretically optimal estimator.
result TAKDE outperforms other dynamic density estimators in terms of test log-likelihood and runtime.

This paper improves SNN training by using multiple sample compartments.

problem Training SNNs with single-sample estimators leads to inaccurate log-likelihood estimates.
method Proposes a GEM-based online learning algorithm that uses multiple independent spiking signals.
result Significant improvements in log-likelihood, accuracy, and calibration with multiple compartments.