Optimal design of automated market makers for decentralized exchanges.
problem Maximizing utility for liquidity providers in decentralized exchanges.
method Modeling a risk-averse liquidity provider's optimal strategy and the optimal design of automated market makers.
result The optimal unit trading fee increases with asset volatility.
A possible data source for the estimation of asset correlations is default time series. This study investigates the systematic error that is made if the exposure pool underlying a default time series is assumed to be homogeneous when in reality it is not. We find that the asset correlation will always be underestimated…
Covered bonds are a specific example of senior secured debt. If the issuer of the bonds defaults the proceeds of the assets in the cover pool are used for their debt service. If in this situation the cover pool proceeds do not suffice for the debt service, the creditors of the bonds have recourse to the issuer's assets…
This paper investigates the impact of dark pools on price discovery (the efficiency of prices on stock exchanges to aggregate information). Assets are traded in either an exchange or a dark pool, with the dark pool offering better prices but lower execution rates. Informed traders receive noisy and heterogeneous signal…
We consider the effect of recovery rates on a pool of credit assets. We allow the recovery rate to depend on the defaults in a general way. Using the theory of large deviations, we study the structure of losses in a pool consisting of a continuum of types. We derive the corresponding rate function and show that it has …
Examines climate financing for renewable energy projects using structured funds.
problem Valuation of structured climate financing on diverse renewable energy asset pools.
method Bottom-up Gaussian copula framework with LH++ model for diversification analysis.
result Shows how the mix of indirect and direct RE investments affects the sensitivity of the senior tranche.
New dynamic curves improve cryptocurrency exchange liquidity.
problem Low liquidity and arbitrage opportunities in existing AMMs.
method Dynamic curves adjust AMM function based on market prices.
result Maintains liquidity and total LP value over wide market price ranges.
No fair and strategy-proof automated market maker exists for more than two assets.
problem Designing a fair and strategy-proof automated market maker for multiple assets.
method Analyzing the weighted-product family of aggregation rules and their properties.
result No aggregation rule is both fair and strategy-proof for more than two assets.
Maximizing withdrawal success in a pooled annuity fund with multiple annuitants.
problem Optimizing withdrawal success in a pooled annuity fund with homogeneous annuitants.
method Maximizing the probability of completing withdrawals until death over portfolio weight functions.
result Increasing the number of annuitants can significantly increase the maximum probability of withdrawal success.
This research simplifies lending pools in decentralized finance for better understanding and security.
problem Complexity and lack of executable models make lending pools hard to understand and predict.
method Developed a formal model to reflect common features of lending pools and proved general properties.
result Proved correct handling of funds and described vulnerabilities and attacks.
A new CoVaR framework integrates expert views using entropy pooling.
problem Risk assessment and spillover effects from diverse expert views.
method Entropy pooling method to integrate expert views and compute general CoVaR.
result General CoVaR shows linear relationships with expectations and differences in expectations, and nonlinear dependencies with variance, quantiles, and correlation.
New heuristic selects fewer assets for efficient portfolios, reducing costs.
problem High transaction costs and fees from including many assets in portfolios.
method Surrogate formulation to select assets, re-optimizes portfolio with fewer assets.
result Effective in constructing portfolios with fewer assets, reducing costs.
New model approximates sparse mean-CVaR portfolio optimization efficiently.
problem NP-hard ℓ0-constrained mean-CVaR optimization. method Proximal alternating linearized minimization algorithm with nested fixed-point proximity.
result The model offers a guaranteed approximation of the ℓ0-constrained mean-CVaR model. Optimal rebalancing strategy improves AMM pool performance by 25%.
problem Optimizing the sequence of weights in dynamic AMM pools to minimize rebalancing costs.
method Using optimal interpolation and a cheap-to-compute approximation to achieve nearly optimal rebalancing.
result Approximately-optimal weight changes lead to significant increases in pool performance (up to 25%) under various conditions.
We consider an illiquid financial market where a risk averse investor has to liquidate a portfolio within a finite time horizon [0,T] and can trade continuously at a traditional exchange (the "primary venue") and in a dark pool. At the primary venue, trading yields a linear price impact. In the dark pool, no price impa…
Modeling DEX liquidity with heterogeneous LPs and MEV bots.
problem Understanding and predicting the dynamics of decentralized cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Mean-field game approach to model liquidity providers' optimal strategies and interactions.
result Calibrated model produces consistent pool exchange rate dynamics and liquidity evolution.
Derives pricing formulas for liquidity tokens in CPMMs, showing riskless growth.
problem Liquidity token pricing and hedging in CPMMs.
method Derives risk-neutral pricing and hedging formulas for CPMM liquidity tokens using derivative pricing perspective.
result Shows that hedging CPMM liquidity tokens should grow at the risk-free rate, contradicting empirical observations.
DFMM automates market making with adaptive pricing and risk management.
problem Challenges in decentralised automated market making (AMMs).
method Data aggregator, order routing, rebalancing, arbitrageurs, protective buffers, algorithmic accounting.
result DFMM optimises inventory risk and ensures market stability.
New framework predicts crypto volatility, outperforming traditional models.
problem Forecasting volatility in cryptocurrencies during the crypto-winter.
method Combines LSTM and rough volatility models, using a parsimonious parametric model.
result Similar prediction performances with fewer parameters, suggesting universality of volatility mechanisms.
This paper addresses AMMs for expiring assets, ensuring liquidity and risk management.
problem AMMs struggle with assets that expire, leading to liquidity issues and risk exposure.
method Combines AMM and limit-order book features, ensuring liveness and dynamic price adjustment.
result A DEX for expiring assets maintains liquidity and risk management.
IDA makes DFMM's asset tradeable, enhancing cross-chain finance efficiency.
problem Making DFMM's asset tradeable to improve cross-chain finance efficiency.
method Introducing IDA as a tradeable asset, leveraging DFMM's robust liquidity and dynamic AMM.
result IDA enhances cross-chain finance efficiency through tradeable asset and dynamic AMM.
Framework to generalize impermanent loss for decentralized exchanges.
problem Difficult analysis of impermanent loss due to diverse market maker algorithms and fee structures.
method Developed a framework to generalize impermanent loss for constant function market makers with optional concentrated liquidity.
result Identified conditions for profitability of liquidity provisioning.
Flexible framework for optimal trading across multiple asset venues.
problem Optimal trading in assets listed on different venues considering liquidity dependencies.
method Bayesian update of model parameters, finite difference method, deep reinforcement learning.
result Adaptive trading strategies improve performance in changing market conditions.
We consider the stochastic control problem of a financial trader that needs to unwind a large asset portfolio within a short period of time. The trader can simultaneously submit active orders to a primary market and passive orders to a dark pool. Our framework is flexible enough to allow for price-dependent impact func…
A universal LSTM model outperforms asset-specific models in forecasting stock volatilities.
problem Forecasting stock volatilities across different assets.
method Trained an LSTM network on a pooled dataset of liquid stocks to forecast daily realized volatilities.
result The LSTM model consistently outperforms other asset-specific parametric models in volatility forecasting.
AI models outperform simple rules in cross-asset futures timing, especially with lower transaction costs.
problem Optimizing cross-asset portfolio weights using traditional forecasting and optimization methods.
method End-to-end AI policies that map market states directly to portfolio weights, trained on CME futures using a differentiable Sharpe ratio loss function.
result Transformer-based AI policies outperform simple rules and equal weighting, trading less and matching or exceeding equal weighting through moderate transaction costs.
Detects potential depegs in Curve's StableSwap pools to protect LPs.
problem Detecting and alerting LPs to potential depegs in Curve's StableSwap pools.
method Constructed metrics based on price and trading data, fine-tuned BOCD algorithm.
result Model detects USDC depeg 5 hours before price dip, with few false alarms.
New method finds better arbitrage opportunities in AMMs.
problem Finding optimal arbitrage trades in multi-token AMMs.
method Closed-form solutions using convex optimisation.
result Better arbitrage opportunities than traditional methods.
This paper analyzes microstructure dynamics in coupled markets using CFMMs.
problem Quantifying contributions of CFMMs to market dynamics in coupled markets.
method Examined constant function market makers (CFMMs) in coupled markets, focusing on basket inflation/deflation.
result CFMMs contribute significantly to basket inflation/deflation in coupled markets.
This paper introduces a new metric to improve the performance of AMMs over centralised exchanges.
problem Lack of a precise metric to compare AMM performance with centralised exchanges.
method Introduces Rebalancing-versus-Rebalancing (RVR) to measure AMM performance more accurately.
result AMMs can offer superior execution and rebalancing efficiency compared to centralised exchanges, even with low fees.
Panoptic trades options without oracles on Ethereum.
problem Trading options without relying on oracles.
method Perpetual, trustless, instant-settlement protocol on Ethereum.
result Trustless, permissionless trading of options on Uniswap v3.
Adaptive market maker curves minimize arbitrage losses in DeFi.
problem Asset trading prices in AMMs trail behind centralized exchanges, causing LP losses.
method Adapts market maker bonding curves to trader behavior using a differential equation derived from the Glosten-Milgrom model.
result Optimal adaptive curves minimize arbitrage losses while remaining competitive.
This study interprets AMM fees as implied volatility, validating their relevance in digital asset markets.
problem Understanding the volatility of fees in decentralized exchange systems.
method Reinterpreting AMM fees as implied volatility and applying fixed-for-floating swaps to quote and validate these volatilities.
result The implied volatilities of digital assets can be accurately quoted using AMM fees, validating the approach.
The paper proposes using network science to improve portfolio optimization by reducing noise in covariance estimation.
problem Noise in covariance estimation leads to suboptimal portfolio performance.
method The paper introduces SR-IFN, a network-based method to filter out noise from empirical covariance, enhancing portfolio optimization.
result The SR-IFN network improves portfolio performance by selecting peripheral, diversified assets and inversely weighting them based on centrality.
Dynamic-weight AMMs outperform traditional CEX rebalancing in tokenized funds, especially on L2s.
problem Improving asset allocation efficiency in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols.
method Block-level arbitrage analysis and long-term performance benchmarks on two live pools.
result Dynamic-weight AMMs can achieve performance comparable to or better than traditional CEX rebalancing, especially on Layer 2 (L2) networks.
Study on costs of manipulating AMM-based price oracles.
problem Cost of manipulation in AMM-based on-chain price oracles.
method Analyzes the robustness of AMM-based oracles to strategic manipulation, considering different aggregation methods and market conditions.
result Manipulation costs depend on the total quote depth and can be minimized by optimal liquidity weights.
New metric to measure liquidity position PNL, delta hedging algorithm for automated market makers.
problem Vulnerability of liquidity positions to price changes in underlying assets.
method Proposes a new metric for measuring PNL, delta hedging algorithm for various AMMs.
result New metric more accurately measures net value change due to price movement.
Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have achieved remarkable performance in many applications, especially in image recognition tasks. As a crucial component of CNNs, sub-sampling plays an important role for efficient training or invariance property, and max-pooling and arithmetic average-pooling are commonly used sub-…
Foundation models improve on econometric benchmarks for forecasting volatility, but vary widely across models.
problem Comparing pretrained time series foundation models to econometric benchmarks for volatility forecasting.
method Systematic comparison of nine zero-shot TSFMs against eight econometric specifications on 50 assets across 3 markets and 3 horizons.
result Tiny Time Mixers (TTM) is the only model that consistently beats the Log-HAR benchmark, but performance varies widely across models.
Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.
problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.
In most convolution neural networks (CNNs), downsampling hidden layers is adopted for increasing computation efficiency and the receptive field size. Such operation is commonly so-called pooling. Maximation and averaging over sliding windows (max/average pooling), and plain downsampling in the form of strided convoluti…
New image classifier uses hierarchical max-pooling with local pooling.
problem Improving image classification accuracy with variable spatial relationships.
method Introduces a hierarchical max-pooling model with additional local pooling for convolutional neural networks.
result Demonstrates improved performance in estimating image features.
In the last few years, the financial advisory industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and robo-advisors. This phenomenon affects major financial services, including wealth management, employee savings plans, asset managers, etc. Since the robo-advisory model is in its early stages, we estimate tha…
Study compares Web3 tokens to traditional assets, finding similar statistical properties.
problem Understanding statistical properties of Web3 tokens compared to traditional financial assets.
method Statistical analysis of various Web3 tokens across multiple time scales, comparing with traditional financial assets.
result Most Web3 tokens exhibit similar stylized facts to traditional financial assets, including heavy tails and volatility clustering.
Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional volatility matrix can be estimated by using high frequency financial data. This enabl…
We seek to improve deep neural networks by generalizing the pooling operations that play a central role in current architectures. We pursue a careful exploration of approaches to allow pooling to learn and to adapt to complex and variable patterns. The two primary directions lie in (1) learning a pooling function via (…
Optimizes diversification in catastrophe risk pooling using asymptotic analysis.
problem Maximizing diversification benefit from catastrophic events in insurance pools.
method Asymptotic analysis to solve high-dimensional optimization problem.
result Derives an asymptotically optimal pool that approximates practical optimal pool.
Optimizes retirement income with MBGs and neural networks for longevity risk.
problem Maximizing lifetime withdrawals while managing longevity risk.
method Neural-network optimization under stochastic mortality.
result International diversification and longevity pooling improve retirement outcomes.