Study finds price impact is universal in anonymous markets.
problem Understanding price impact in anonymous electronic markets.
method Analysis of proprietary dataset and linear propagator model.
result Magnitude and time dependence of price impact are universal in anonymous markets.
A blindfolded LLM trading framework validates market signals without ticker memorization.
problem Ensuring LLMs trade based on genuine market understanding, not memorized data.
method Anonymize tickers and company names, verify signals through reasoning embeddings, and use PPO-DSR policy.
result Achieved Sharpe ratio of 1.40 +/- 0.22 across 20 seeds, robust in volatile markets.
UNMIX identifies hidden buyers in darknet markets by clustering anonymized IDs.
problem Identifying hidden buyers in darknet markets where IDs are anonymized.
method UNMIX, a hidden buyer identification model using Dirichlet Hawkes Process.
result UNMIX successfully groups transactions from one hidden buyer into one cluster.
Preserves sensitive data distribution for privacy while maintaining utility.
problem Protecting individual privacy while preserving data utility for specific analyses.
method Combines distribution-preserving quantization and k-member clustering.
result Demonstrates improved privacy and utility in real-world applications.
We confirm the square-root law of market impact on Apple Inc. using a large dataset.
problem Testing the square-root law of market impact on a single U.S. large-cap equity.
method Using a full market-by-order feed, we reconstruct metaorders and calibrate impact using the square-root formula.
result The square-root law is confirmed with a prefactor of 0.34, consistent with worldwide data.
A framework for anonymized risk sharing without revealing identities or preferences.
problem Risk sharing without revealing individual identities or preferences.
method Axiomatic framework with four key axioms: actuarial fairness, risk fairness, risk anonymity, and operational anonymity.
result The conditional mean risk sharing rule is uniquely characterized by these axioms.
First differentially private mechanism for anonymized histograms.
problem Protecting sensitive data in anonymized histograms.
method Proposes a differentially private mechanism for releasing anonymized histograms.
result Achieves near-optimal privacy utility trade-off in terms of number of items and privacy parameter.
Paper anonymizes user ratings to protect privacy while improving recommendation accuracy.
problem Protecting user privacy while maintaining recommendation accuracy with anonymized ratings.
method Exhaustively lists recommender models using anonymized ratings and presents item-based collaborative filtering algorithms.
result Item-based collaborative filtering based on anonymized ratings outperforms non-anonymized ratings in some settings.
Anonymization reduces economic signal extraction from financial texts.
problem Reducing meaningful economic signals from financial texts due to anonymization.
method Analyzed the impact of anonymization on textual understanding and economic signal extraction.
result Information loss due to anonymization is severe and pervasive, outweighing its benefits in certain financial applications.
RL improves market making with historical data time travel.
problem Limited ability to simulate and fully appraise the impact of actions in competitive systems.
method Introduces 'consistent data time travel' to adjust historical data time index.
result Significant improvement in agent's gain with data time travel.
Benchmark evaluates LLM trading agents by masking identifiers to prevent memory leaks.
problem Evaluate LLM trading agents without relying on market memory or noise.
method Data-side masking protocol, Barra-style performance attribution framework.
result LLM agents' returns are largely explained by market and style exposure, not stock selection.
The paper explores how to measure and optimize ad reach while maintaining user privacy.
problem Measuring ad reach while preserving user privacy in online advertising.
method Introduces k-anonymity and probabilistic discounting for frequency capping. result Privacy introduces a significant performance drop but with manageable costs.
Anonymizes speech data to protect privacy.
problem Protecting personal speech data from misuse.
method Extracts features, uses x-vectors, and neural models to synthesize anonymized speech.
result Effective in concealing speaker identities without compromising speech quality.
New bandit problem with delayed, aggregated feedback analyzed.
problem Stochastic K-armed bandit problem with delayed, aggregated anonymous feedback. method Developed algorithm matching worst case regret of non-anonymous problem.
result Regret increase can be maintained in the harder delayed, aggregated anonymous feedback setting.
Study finds price impact follows a 'double' square-root law, suggesting mechanical origin.
problem Understanding the origin of price impact in markets.
method Detailed dataset of Tokyo Stock Exchange orders, analyzing single and metaorders.
result Price impact follows a 'double' square-root law, indicating mechanical origin rather than information.
New MAB problem with delayed, anonymous feedback analyzed.
problem Delayed, anonymous feedback in stochastic bandits.
method Phase-based extensions of UCB algorithm for SDCAF.
result Sub-linear regret guarantees for proposed algorithms.
Graph matching in noisy environments with Markovian errors.
problem Graph matching under time-dependent Markovian noise.
method Introduced edgelighter error model and analyzed graph matching thresholds.
result Graph matching thresholds and mixing times are of order Θ(n2logn) for Erdős-Rényi graphs, and O(nαlogn) for Stochastic Block Model graphs. Paper proposes A4NT to anonymize authors in text.
problem Revealing author attributes in text analysis.
method Combines neural machine translation and GANs for obfuscation.
result Successfully fools author attribute classifiers.
We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with respectively the trade arrival self-excitation, the price changes mean reversion…
Paper develops a neural network method to anonymize data without losing important information.
problem Protecting sensitive information while preserving useful data for analysis.
method Adversarial neural networks training with three sub-networks to prevent private labels from being predictive.
result Demonstrated success in anonymizing handwritten digits and sentiment analysis data.
Anonymizes sensor data to protect user privacy.
problem Protecting user privacy from motion sensor data.
method Information-theoretic approach and multi-objective loss function for deep autoencoders.
result Anonymized sensor data preserves activity recognition accuracy above 92% while keeping user identification accuracy below 7%.
Modeling market dynamics with informed and uninformed traders and fads.
problem Optimizing market making in a market with fads, informed, and uninformed traders.
method Characterizing the optimal liquidity provision problem in a market with fads, informed, and uninformed traders, considering both complete and partial information.
result The price of liquidity is a function of the proportion of informed traders, and strategies ignoring fads underperform.
Paper investigates preserving anomalous subgroups in anonymized datasets.
problem Preserving anomalous subgroups in machine learning transformed data.
method Trained a binary classifier to discover anomalous subgroups, then used variational autoencoder (VAE) to anonymize data.
result Synthesized datasets preserved high subgroup differentiation as in original data.
The study examines how brokers' identity affects their trading strategies on the Toronto Stock Exchange.
problem Impact of anonymous trading on brokers' optimal execution strategies.
method Formulated a stochastic differential game and mean-field game to analyze the optimal execution problem of anonymous and identity-revealed trading.
result Obtained a closed-form solution for the optimal strategy under Almgren-Chris price impact framework.
Study compares altcoins to Bitcoin, analyzing their features and market performance.
problem Comparing altcoins to Bitcoin to understand market performance and features.
method Used Google Trend data, price, volume, and market capitalization data from coinmarketcap.com.
result Features of Litecoin, Zcash, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, and Bitcoin Gold affect market performance and user preferences.
Study shows how 'crowding' in equity trading affects performance and costs.
problem Deterioration of strategy performance, increased trading costs, and systemic risk due to equity factor crowding.
method Direct metrics of crowding based on imbalances of trades executed on the market, analyzing U.S. equity market data.
result Significant signs of crowding in well-known equity signals, especially Momentum, affecting order flow and portfolio rebalancing.
In this series of lectures we introduce the Monge-Kantorovich problem of optimally transporting one distribution of mass onto another, where optimality is measured against a cost function c(x,y). Connections to geometry, inequalities, and partial differential equations will be discussed, focusing in particular on recen…
The study confirms that market volatility can be explained by correlated metaorders impacting prices in a square-root fashion.
problem Explaining market volatility using metaorders and their impact.
method Generated synthetic market data and analyzed the correlation between order flow and returns.
result The square-root law of market impact is confirmed and can be measured from anonymized trade data.
Public trading wallets reveal price information not captured by anonymous data.
problem Informed traders' anonymity in public exchanges.
method Reconstructed full-depth limit order book from 17.1 billion messages.
result Wallets' aggressive orders predict returns, with a 13.2% gain over anonymous benchmarks.
Financial Wind Tunnel generates versatile market data for model testing.
problem Inconsistent market dynamics across different scales and sources.
method Retrieval-augmented diffusion-based simulator integrating macro and micro patterns.
result Enhanced performance and adaptability of downstream models in complex markets.
Adaptive MAB algorithms handle composite, anonymous feedback without reward interval knowledge.
problem Multi-armed bandit with composite and anonymous feedback, especially without reward interval size knowledge.
method Proposed adaptive algorithms for stochastic and adversarial cases, without reward interval knowledge.
result First algorithm for adversarial case handling non-oblivious adversary and unknown reward interval size.
Generative model generates synthetic medical images for data augmentation and anonymization.
problem Imbalanced medical imaging data sets, especially for rare pathologies.
method Generative adversarial network (GAN) trained on two public brain MRI datasets.
result Synthetic images improve tumor segmentation performance and serve as an anonymization tool.
Study blockchain's impact on primary financial market challenges.
problem Challenges of blockchain in securities issuance and trading.
method Hybrid method combining interviews and surveys.
result Complex due diligence, mismatch, and difficult monitoring are significant challenges.
Scores political leanings in Web3 betting markets.
problem Understanding political motivations in decentralized prediction markets.
method Constructing PBLS from Polymarket data, analyzing 15k addresses, 4k events, 8k markets.
result Validated PBLS through internal and external comparisons, revealing political and profit motives.
TIPRDC anonymizes data features to protect privacy while retaining useful information.
problem Privacy concerns from crowdsourced data hinder deep learning applications.
method Hybrid training method combining adversarial and mutual information estimation.
result Feature extractor hides private information while preserving original data features.
This work synthesizes realistic data from neural excitation patterns to anonymize private data.
problem Lack of usable training data due to privacy regulations.
method Synthesize realistic data by exciting trained deep neural network neurons.
result Synthesized data can generalize well and anonymize participants' identities.
The paper proposes a privacy-preserving algorithm for decentralized learning using public-key cryptography.
problem Preserving data privacy in decentralized learning.
method Public-key cryptography and anonymization techniques.
result A scheme that provides anonymity in decentralized learning with theoretical guarantees.
New method embeds entire graphs without supervision.
problem Representing entire graphs without supervision.
method Design anonymous walks and learn graph representations.
result Improved classification accuracy of CNN algorithms.
Study shows awareness of reflexivity improves LLMs' financial forecasting accuracy.
problem Improving LLMs' ability to forecast financial markets during boom-bust cycles.
method Evaluated three LLMs under four conditions of reflexivity awareness in two market episodes.
result Reflexivity awareness improves forecasting accuracy differently across models and contexts.
The paper analyzes how clustering sensitive data can improve model generalization without revealing individual information.
problem Ensuring user data privacy in personalized recommendation systems.
method Look-alike clustering to replace sensitive features with cluster averages, analyzed using Convex Gaussian Minimax Theorem.
result Training models using anonymous cluster centers can improve generalization error, especially in high-dimensional settings.
New algorithm reduces privacy cost of LDP to central privacy model.
problem Collecting sensitive statistics from multiple users over time.
method Privacy amplification technique using permutation-invariant algorithms.
result Privacy cost of LDP can be much lower in central model.
Maximize revenue by guiding individuals to optimal locations anonymously.
problem Matching supply and demand in online to offline services efficiently.
method Employing maximum entropy principle for independent learning with local aggregated information.
result Significant improvement in joint and individual revenue with fairness.
WAFFLe anonymizes federated learning weights to protect data privacy and fairness.
problem Federated learning exposes local models to attacks and underfits heterogeneous clients.
method Combines Indian Buffet Process with shared weight factors.
result Significant improvement in local test performance and fairness.
Anonymizing company names in financial news improves trading performance, contrary to initial expectations.
problem Look-ahead and distraction biases in sentiment analysis of financial news.
method Investigated trading strategies based on original and anonymized headlines, comparing performance.
result Anonymized headlines outperform original in-sample, suggesting distraction effect is stronger.
This paper deals with a stochastic order-driven market model with waiting costs, for order books with heterogenous traders. Offer and demand of liquidity drives price formation and traders anticipate future evolutions of the order book. The natural framework we use is mean field game theory, a class of stochastic diffe…
Develops an LLM-based agent for superior cryptocurrency trading.
problem Lack of LLMs in cryptocurrency trading due to its unique data types.
method Combines on-chain and off-chain data analysis with a reflective mechanism.
result Demonstrates superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional strategies.
GraLSP improves graph neural networks by incorporating local structural patterns.
problem GNNs struggle with identifying common structural patterns in graphs.
method GraLSP uses random anonymous walks to capture local graph structures and incorporates these into feature aggregation mechanisms.
result GraLSP outperforms other models in various prediction tasks on multiple datasets.
Green bond leaks impact equity markets, altering investor reactions.
problem Green bond leaks affect equity market reactions.
method Identified 259 instances of pre-announcement leaks in 2,036 green bond headlines.
result News leaks significantly alter equity trading dynamics and investor reactions.