GANs generate realistic cyber-attack alerts with feature dependencies.
problem Challenges in creating realistic cyber-attack alert data.
method Used Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to learn complex data distributions.
result GANs successfully generate realistic alerts with feature dependencies.
Detects anomalies in product health metrics at eBay for better alerts.
problem Detecting anomalies in unsupervised product health metrics at eBay.
method Developed a Moving Metric Detector (MMD) for anomaly detection and a point-wise ranking model for alert retrieval.
result Improves alert precision and avoids alert spamming in eBay production.
Graph-based approach detects anomalies in IDS alerts.
problem False alarms and lack of interdependence among alerts.
method Fused graph of IDS alerts, role-dynamics approach.
result Significant reduction in false positives.
We explain increases in clinical risk predictions over time.
problem Tackling the challenge of explaining dynamic risk increases in clinical settings.
method Developed methods to extend static attribution techniques to dynamic settings, addressing challenges specific to time-series data.
result Identified and addressed challenges specific to dynamic risk estimation, improving clinical alert explanations.
Study shows SHAP explanations impact alert processing decisions but not performance.
problem Utility of SHAP explanations in alert processing by human experts.
method Human-grounded evaluation with three groups of participants, qualitative analysis of reflections.
result SHAP explanations impact decision-making but not alert processing performance.
System prioritizes rough sleeper alerts to improve outreach success.
problem Connecting rough sleepers with essential services efficiently.
method Data-driven approach prioritizing alerts based on likelihood of success.
result Increased outreach success rate by at least 15%.
Deep Belief Network reduces false positives in risky host detection.
problem Overwhelming alerts from SIEM systems, focusing on reducing false positives.
method Combines alert information, logs, and analyst results; uses text mining and graph-based methods for feature generation; compares against various machine learning algorithms.
result Deep Belief Network outperforms other algorithms, improving detection by six times.
A CBR approach helps fraud analysts trust machine learning predictions.
problem Understanding the trustworthiness of machine learning predictions for fraud analysts.
method Case-based reasoning (CBR) approach to visualize similar previous instances and their local post-hoc explanations.
result Empirically, the visualization of similar previous instances is useful and easy to use for fraud analysts.
Twitter system detects unexpected epidemics.
problem Detecting sudden, unexpected epidemic outbreaks in Twitter.
method Dynamic classification, alert generation, and ranking/recommendation.
result Empirical evaluation and validation with domain experts.
Integrates CNN and GRU for precise stock market risk alerts.
problem Predicting future stock market risks and providing early warnings.
method Uses CNN for feature extraction and GRU for time series analysis.
result Effective early warnings of future stock market risks.
Robust fuzzy clustering for EEG driver alertness with outlier detection.
problem Ambiguous state boundaries in multivariate time series data.
method RFCPCA, a robust fuzzy subspace-clustering method for MTS.
result RFCPCA improves clustering accuracy and characterizes uncertainty and outliers in MTS.
Paper detects social media influencers affecting financial markets.
problem Impact of social media influencers on financial markets.
method Developed an early warning system for detecting suspicious social network activity.
result Discrepancy in meme and non-meme stocks' reactions to social networks.
A system predicts future malicious behavior of network entities.
problem Prioritizing alert data and understanding attack recurrence.
method Machine learning-based network entity reputation database system.
result It is possible to precisely estimate future attack probabilities.
Detects potential depegs in Curve's StableSwap pools to protect LPs.
problem Detecting and alerting LPs to potential depegs in Curve's StableSwap pools.
method Constructed metrics based on price and trading data, fine-tuned BOCD algorithm.
result Model detects USDC depeg 5 hours before price dip, with few false alarms.
Simulates patient pathways to detect delayed rare disease diagnoses.
problem Delayed rare disease diagnoses in France, causing health system and patient harm.
method Probabilistic modelling of patient pathways to create an alert system.
result Alert system detects and refers wandering patients to CRMRs.
Bitcoin reacts positively to USDT minting but not burning, showing state-dependence.
problem Understanding Bitcoin's response to Tether's supply changes.
method Analyzing Bitcoin's intraday price movements in response to USDT minting and burning events.
result Bitcoin's response to USDT minting events declines after 60 minutes and is influenced by investor sentiment and public announcements.
CovidSens uses social media to track COVID-19 spread.
problem Accurate and timely dissemination of COVID-19 information.
method Social sensing to analyze online user data.
result Real-time COVID-19 spread tracking system.
RAPID identifies transients in days, improving classification accuracy over time.
problem Early identification and classification of astronomical transients.
method Deep recurrent neural network with Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs).
result Average AUC of 0.95 and 0.98 at early and late epochs, respectively.
Framework for monitoring ML model performance in production without labels.
problem Monitoring real-time prediction quality of ML models in production without labels.
method ML Health framework using diagnostic methods to generate alerts for further investigation.
result The method outperforms standard distance metrics at detecting issues with mismatched data sets.
Silence on suspicious stock market patterns persists despite lack of plausible explanations.
problem Suspicious patterns in stock market returns not explained or warned about.
method Analysis of correspondence and market data over five years.
result People aware of suspicious patterns chose not to alert the public.
We propose a general model explanation system (MES) for "explaining" the output of black box classifiers. This paper describes extensions to Turner (2015), which is referred to frequently in the text. We use the motivating example of a classifier trained to detect fraud in a credit card transaction history. The key asp…
Paper forecasts extreme Bitcoin volatility spikes using whale transactions and CryptoQuant data.
problem Forecasting extreme volatility spikes in Bitcoin market.
method Proposes Synthesizer Transformer model for forecasting.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art models in forecasting extreme volatility spikes.
The paper proposes a method to detect relevant model degradations without over-alerting.
problem Detecting meaningful changes in machine learning model performance over time.
method Sequential monitoring scheme accounting for temporal dependence and multiple testing issues.
result The proposed method outperforms benchmark methods in detecting relevant changes in model quality.
A new algorithm uses bandits to diversify database activity monitoring.
problem Limitation of current DAM systems in collecting diverse data.
method Redefined DAM sampling as a bandit problem and developed a novel algorithm combining expert knowledge and random exploration.
result Adding diversity to sampling using the bandit-based approach improves coverage without decreasing alert quality.
Benchmarking recursive collapse claims with a new framework under false-positive control.
problem Evaluating recursive systems for failure patterns and warning claims.
method Developed Loopzero framework for testing recursive failures, specified claim boundaries in Lean, evaluated under FP constraint, and compared with standard detectors.
result No standard detectors or Loopzero's pre-registered quantile detector achieved the required operating point under the false-positive contract.
Automated scoring prioritizes risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies.
problem Identifying risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies using machine learning.
method Bayesian approach using MCMC to model propensity of policyholders to undertake trips resulting in positive classification.
result The approach improves efficiency of human resource allocation in identifying risky driving behavior.
A hybrid ML model detects fraudulent transactions with high accuracy.
problem Detecting and preventing fraudulent credit card transactions.
method Intelligent combination of multiple algorithms with Grid search and IHT-LR.
result Achieves impressive accuracy rates of 99.66% for ENS model.
Wavelet-based CFC improves EEG seizure classification.
problem Improving accuracy in distinguishing ictal seizures from normal brain activity.
method Wavelet-based cross frequency coupling (CFC) for feature extraction, followed by t-test and QDA for classification.
result Wavelet-based CFC enhances classification accuracy of epileptic EEG signals.
This is an introduction to some of the analytic (or integrable systems) aspects of quantum cohomology which have attracted much attention during the last few years. The small quantum cohomology algebra, regarded as an example of a Frobenius manifold, is described in the original naive manner, without going into the tec…
The refugee crisis is perhaps the single most challenging problem for Europe today. Hundreds of thousands of people have already traveled across dangerous sea passages from Turkish shores to Greek islands, resulting in thousands of dead and missing, despite the best rescue efforts from both sides. One of the main reaso…
Improved bio-surveillance through automated document classification.
problem Tracking infectious diseases across global news alerts.
method Recurrent neural networks, TF-IDF, Naive Bayes, logistic regression.
result 97% recall and 93.3% accuracy in bio-surveillance event classification.
The paper develops methods to predict the probability of achieving a user goal in a task, ensuring the system alerts when the probability falls below a threshold.
problem Ensuring an autonomous system achieves the user's goal with calibrated probability estimates.
method Invertible conformal prediction using Probability-space Conformalized Quantile Regression (PCQR) to produce well-calibrated conditional prediction intervals.
result The method produces well-calibrated probabilities that the cumulative reward will fall within a user-specified target interval, with finite-sample guarantees.
Study shows GPT's earnings forecasts are human-like but not always accurate.
problem Information friction in AI-generated financial analysis.
method Examined GPT's earnings forecasts following corporate earnings releases and proposed a diagnostic framework.
result GPT's narrative attention is consistent and human-like but not always associated with higher forecast accuracy.
Framework clusters noisy MTS with robust fuzzy clustering, improving accuracy over existing methods.
problem Challenges in clustering multivariate time series due to non-stationary dependencies, noise, and state boundaries.
method Spectral fuzzy clustering using Kendall's tau-based canonical coherence for frequency-specific monotonic relationships.
result Framework outperforms existing methods in clustering noisy, high-dimensional MTS.
Enhances anomaly detection in financial markets using AI agents.
problem Manual verification of financial market anomalies is time-consuming and error-prone.
method A multi-agent LLM framework for automated anomaly detection.
result Framework reduces human intervention and improves efficiency and accuracy.
MPP predicts model performance in real-time ML deployments.
problem Lack of labels in production prevents tracking model performance.
method Ensemble of metrics to create a score for prediction quality.
result Automates monitoring and enables scale ML deployments.
Optimizes mobile notifications for multiple objectives using reinforcement learning.
problem Optimizing mobile notification systems for multiple objectives.
method End-to-end offline reinforcement learning with Double Deep Q-network and Conservative Q-learning.
result Demonstrates improved performance and benefits of the proposed approach.
A system for supervising decentralized finance risks using LLMs and structured evidence.
problem Supervising decentralized finance risks
method Forecast-grounded agentic supervision system
result Developed a system that scores tickets against a regulator-aligned ground truth and false-intervention rate.
DeXposure-Claw supervises decentralized finance risks by grounding LLM decisions in evidence.
problem Weak evidence leads to over-interventions by general-purpose LLM agents in decentralized finance.
method DeXposure-Claw uses a graph time-series foundation model to forecast exposure networks, turning forecasts into alerts and constraining escalation with data-health gates.
result DeXposure-Claw reduces false alarms and improves regulator alignment in decentralized finance risk supervision.
New algorithm finds unbiased subnetworks in biased datasets.
problem Finding unbiased subnetworks in biased neural networks.
method Debiased Contrastive Weight Pruning (DCWP) algorithm.
result DCWP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art debiasing methods.
Automated suggestions help train technicians diagnose incidents faster.
problem Manual and time-consuming incident diagnosis by train maintenance technicians.
method Developed and deployed a learning machine to suggest diagnostics to technicians.
result The model refines its accuracy through feedback from experts and uses feature engineering.
Microsoft develops a time-series anomaly detection service.
problem Real-time monitoring of various metrics in applications and services.
method Pipeline consisting of data ingestion, experimentation platform, and online compute; novel algorithm combining Spectral Residual and Convolutional Neural Network.
result Superior experimental results compared to state-of-the-art baselines on public and Microsoft production data.
Hybrid model predicts flow and pressure in water systems.
problem Predicting flow and pressure in water distribution systems with complex spatial-temporal correlations.
method Hybrid dual-stage spatial-temporal attention-based recurrent neural networks (hDS-RNN).
result Our model outperformed 9 baseline models in flow and pressure series prediction.
Study builds an EWS for early detection of stock market turbulence.
problem Early detection of stock market turbulence.
method SWARCH filtering probabilities, two-peak method, LSTM network.
result 96.6% test-set accuracy and 2.4 days of forewarned period.
Machine learning predicts US stock market crashes.
problem Early detection of stock market crises.
method Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting models.
result Extreme Gradient Boosting outperforms other models.
Fink AGN classifier achieves high accuracy in classifying active galactic nuclei.
problem Classifying active galactic nuclei from astronomical data.
method Built features from photometric points and color estimation. Used active learning for optimized training sample. Applied traditional machine learning algorithms.
result Achieved 98.0% accuracy in classifying real alerts from ZTF.
DeepClean detects and removes artefacts from ICU waveform data.
problem Accurate removal of artefacts from ICU waveform data reduces bias and uncertainty in clinical assessment.
method Self-supervised deep generative learning using a convolutional variational autoencoder.
result DeepClean detects artefacts with high sensitivity and specificity, significantly outperforming baseline methods.
This paper shows diffusion models improve intrusion detection by purifying adversarial examples.
problem Adversarial examples mislead ML intrusion detection systems, leading to false alerts or evasion.
method Used diffusion models to purify adversarial examples in intrusion detection.
result Diffusion models enhance adversarial robustness in intrusion detection without significantly impacting normal performance.