Paper proposes ClipSMT algorithm for better ATE estimation.
problem Adaptive estimation of Average Treatment Effect (ATE).
method ClipSMT algorithm for improved Neyman regret.
result Achieves exponential improvements in Neyman regret.
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48 results for “adaptive Neyman allocation”
Optimal algorithm for identifying best-arm with minimal regret.
problem Identifying the best arm in two treatments with limited budget.
method Neyman allocation based on outcome standard deviations.
result Neyman allocation is minimax optimal for simple regret.
Optimal adaptive experiment for choosing best treatment with binary outcomes.
problem Choosing the best treatment from binary options in an adaptive experiment.
method Adaptive experiment with two phases: treatment allocation and choice. Neyman allocation method used.
result Neyman allocation is minimax and Bayes optimal, matching lower bounds for regret.
Develops adaptive framework for estimating survival effects with censoring.
problem Estimating causal effects in survival data with censoring.
method Derives semiparametric efficiency bound, proposes efficiency-optimal allocation policy, and develops Adaptive Survival Estimator (ASE).
result ASE achieves asymptotic normality via martingale central limit theorem and demonstrates efficiency gains over uniform randomization.
Optimal strategy found for identifying best arm in bandits with small gap.
problem Best arm identification in two-armed bandits with a fixed budget and small gap.
method Neyman allocation rule augmented with inverse probability weighting.
result Proposed strategy is asymptotically optimal when gap is small.
GNA optimally identifies the best arm with small gaps.
problem Best arm identification in fixed-budget settings.
method Generalized Neyman Allocation (GNA) for asymptotically locally minimax optimal BAI.
result GNA's worst-case bounds match the lower and upper bounds in the small-gap regime.
Adaptive designs achieve strong Neyman regret guarantees for ATE estimation.
problem Estimating unbiased average treatment effect in sequential experiments.
method Proposed adaptive designs with Neyman regret under boundedness assumptions and multigroup Neyman regret in covariate-based settings.
result Adaptive designs outperform non-adaptive designs in terms of Neyman regret, especially in covariate-based settings.
Confidence Horizonsstat.ME
The paper proposes confidence horizons for anytime-valid inference with finite time constraints.
problem The need for stopping experiments early with valid inference under finite time horizons.
method Confidence horizons as large-sample confidence sequences or group sequential repeated confidence intervals.
result It is possible to obtain sharper large-sample anytime-valid inference by forgoing validity beyond a finite time horizon.
Adapts Neyman-Pearson classification for both source and target distribution shifts.
problem Minimizing errors while controlling both Type-I and Type-II errors under distribution shifts.
method Derives an adaptive procedure that guarantees improved error rates and adapts to uninformative sources.
result Automatic adaptation to uninformative sources avoids negative transfer.
New criterion improves domain adaptation performance.
problem Binary classification in a target domain with unlabeled data and domain shift.
method Introduces a generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion for optimal domain adaptation.
result Stronger domain adaptation results possible with new criterion.
Study optimizes identifying the best arm with fixed rounds and Gaussian outcomes.
problem Designing efficient experiments to identify the best arm with fixed rounds and Gaussian outcomes.
method Developed worst-case lower bounds and the GNA-EBA strategy for optimal identification.
result GNA-EBA strategy is asymptotically worst-case optimal.
New method corrects bias in density ratio estimation for missing data.
problem Missing data bias in density ratio estimation.
method Adapted KLIEP method (M-KLIEP) for MNAR data.
result M-KLIEP restores consistency and minimax optimality.
New method for clustering tasks with heterogeneous data.
problem Clustered multitask learning with semiparametric and heterogeneous nuisances.
method Adaptive fused orthogonal estimator with Neyman-orthogonal losses and data-driven fusion penalties.
result Achieves exact clustering recovery and pooled parametric convergence rates.
The paper extends game theory using Hodge theory on graphs.
problem Generalizing Shapley's value allocation formula for cooperative games on graphs.
method Connecting stochastic path integrals to Hodge-theoretic Poisson's equations on graphs.
result The value allocation operator is the solution to Poisson's equation in combinatorial Hodge theory.
Novel connections between Neyman-Scott processes and Bayesian nonparametric mixture models enable scalable inference.
problem Efficiently modeling and detecting clusters in spatiotemporal data.
method Adapting collapsed Gibbs sampling for Neyman-Scott processes via connections to mixture of finite mixture models.
result Demonstrated scalability and effectiveness on neural spike trains and document streams.
Solves inconsistent estimation for Neyman-Scott problems.
problem Inconsistent estimation for Neyman-Scott problems.
method RKL estimator, invariant to representation, consistent over any non-degenerate prior.
result General-purpose Bayes estimator for Neyman-Scott that is consistent and invariant.
New bounds for Neyman-Pearson region using -divergences.
problem Bounding the Neyman-Pearson region for hypothesis testing.
method Establishing novel lower and upper bounds using -divergences.
result Best possible lower bound for the Neyman-Pearson boundary using hockey-stick -divergences.
Paper proposes Adaptive DDPG for better stock portfolio allocation.
problem Challenges in finding optimal stock portfolio allocation in dynamic stock markets.
method Adaptive Deep Deterministic Reinforcement Learning (Adaptive DDPG) incorporating optimistic or pessimistic reinforcement learning.
result Adaptive DDPG outperforms traditional and baseline strategies in investment return and Sharpe ratio.
Proposes a new parametric thresholding algorithm for NP classification without requiring minimum sample size on class 0.
problem Achieving minimal type II error while controlling type I error in binary classification, especially in rare disease diagnosis.
method Employed parametric linear discriminant analysis (LDA) and proposed a new thresholding algorithm.
result Proves NP oracle inequalities for one classifier, benefiting from explicit parametric model assumption.
FedSTaS stratifies and samples clients for efficient FL.
problem Inefficient client sampling in federated learning.
method Stratifies clients based on compressed gradients, uses Neyman allocation for sampling, and samples local data uniformly.
result FedSTaS achieves higher accuracy than FedSTS in fixed training rounds.
New strategy optimally identifies best arm in unknown variance Gaussian bandits.
problem Identifying the best arm in two-armed Gaussian bandits with unknown variances.
method Proposes a Neyman Allocation (NA)-Augmented Inverse Probability weighting (AIPW) strategy to estimate variances and draw arms adaptively.
result Demonstrates asymptotic optimality of the proposed strategy in the small-gap regime.
Estimates treatment effects in randomized experiments with non-compliance.
problem Estimating distributional treatment effects in experiments with imperfect compliance.
method Proposes a regression-adjusted estimator based on distribution regression with Neyman-orthogonal moment conditions.
result Achieves semiparametric efficiency bound and demonstrates favorable performance in simulations and real data.
Neyman Meets Causal Machine Learning: Experimental Evaluation of Individualized Treatment Rulesstat.ME
Neyman's framework evaluates personalized treatment rules using experiments.
problem Evaluating the efficacy of individualized treatment rules derived by machine learning.
method Neyman's repeated sampling framework applied to cross-fitted ITRs.
result Ex-post evaluation of ITRs can be more efficient than random assignment.
Adaptive allocation with constraints using Thompson sampling.
problem Choosing allocations repeatedly with unknown returns and constraints.
method Thompson sampling approach with finite-sample regret bound.
result Prior-independent bound on expected regret for exponential allocations.
A neural network for online NP classification with reduced complexity.
problem Online nonlinear Neyman-Pearson classification.
method Single hidden layer feedforward neural network (SLFN) initialized with random Fourier features (RFFs). Uses stochastic gradient descent for sequential learning.
result Expedited online adaptation and powerful nonlinear Neyman-Pearson modeling.
Deep Neyman-Scott Processesstat.ML
A deep Neyman-Scott process uses Poisson processes for efficient inference in complex point processes.
problem Efficient inference in complex hierarchical point processes.
method Developed an efficient posterior sampling via Markov chain Monte Carlo for likelihood-based inference.
result More hidden Poisson processes improve likelihood fitting and event prediction.
Fairly allocate items with noisy queries, reducing envy.
problem Fairly allocate indivisible goods with unknown valuations.
method Use Gaussian noisy queries to find an envy-free allocation.
result The optimal number of queries scales as \( \frac{m^{2.5}}{Δ^2} \) for large negative-envy.
Optimal asset allocation strategy outperforms stochastic benchmark.
problem Achieving higher terminal wealth than a stochastic benchmark.
method Data-driven Neural Network optimization framework for dynamic asset allocation.
result Optimal adaptive strategy outperforms benchmark with higher median and right-skewed terminal wealth.
Adaptive compute allocation improves model performance by prioritizing harder queries.
problem Inefficiency in allocating test-time compute uniformly across all queries.
method Formulated as a bandit learning problem, proposed adaptive algorithms that estimate query difficulty and allocate compute accordingly.
result Achieved up to 15.29% relative performance improvement on various benchmarks.
The paper studies how to allocate human validation in AI-assisted tasks to minimize errors.
problem Heterogeneous reliability of AI-generated signals across tasks, products, and customer segments.
method Tuned prediction-powered inference, upper confidence bounds policy, Neyman square-root rule.
result The proposed policy outperforms uniform and epsilon-greedy allocation, closing most of the gap to the oracle when reliability is heterogeneous.
Develops a direct debiased machine learning framework using Bregman divergence.
problem Reduces bias in machine learning estimates of causal effects or structural models.
method Neyman targeted estimation and generalized Riesz regression using Bregman divergence.
result Improves estimation of parameters of interest in causal models.
New algorithm controls type I error in NP classification under label noise.
problem Label noise affects NP classification methods, reducing power.
method Proposes a label-noise-adjusted Neyman-Pearson algorithm.
result Improves power while controlling type I error under desired level.
Improves content allocation in educational platforms with sparse data.
problem Imbalanced content allocation and delayed convergence in adaptive strategies.
method Introduces WAPTS, an algorithm that refines Thompson Sampling for data-sparse environments.
result Demonstrates earlier and more reliable identification of promising treatments.
Adaptive RL optimizes testing resource allocation for dynamic software environments.
problem Optimizing resource allocation for evolving software testing environments.
method Integrates Q-learning with hybrid reward design for sequential decision-making.
result Consistently outperforms static and optimization-based baselines in simulation studies.
POCA optimizes hyperparameters with adaptive allocation for faster convergence.
problem Optimizing hyperparameters for machine learning models.
method Adaptive allocation of computational budget using Bayesian sampling.
result POCA finds strong configurations faster than its competitors.
ATA: Adaptive Task Allocation for Efficient Resource Management in Distributed Machine Learningcs.LG
ATA optimizes task allocation in distributed machine learning.
problem Greedy task allocation leads to inefficiencies in distributed machine learning.
method Adaptive Task Allocation (ATA) adapts to unknown computation time distributions.
result ATA identifies optimal task allocation without prior knowledge of computation times.
Meta-DRL improves resource allocation in O-RAN networks.
problem Dynamic resource allocation in O-RAN networks.
method Meta Deep Reinforcement Learning (Meta-DRL) inspired by MAML.
result 19.8% improvement in network management performance.
StatLoRA uses statistical inference to allocate ranks in LoRA fine-tuning, improving performance.
problem Balancing efficiency, expressiveness, and generalization in LoRA rank allocation.
method Formulates LoRA rank allocation as a statistical hypothesis testing problem, using estimated p-values to determine component retention or pruning.
result StatLoRA achieves comparable or better performance than existing methods under matched rank budgets.
Study shows MML is not consistent for Neyman-Scott problem.
problem Neyman-Scott estimation problem
method Novel techniques for direct analysis of SMML solutions
result SMML and its approximations are not consistent for Neyman-Scott problem
Adaptive AI delegation framework for dynamic decision authority allocation.
problem Dynamic allocation of decision authority to AI-generated recommendations under evolving evidence quality and uncertainty.
method Formulated as a Governance-Aware POMDP, using Bayesian inference for informational state estimation and sequential optimization for authority allocation.
result Sequential Bayesian governance provides the strongest general-purpose policy across AI-quality regimes, adapting to evolving evidence.
DeepAries optimizes rebalancing intervals and asset allocations for better portfolio performance.
problem Fixed rebalancing intervals lead to unnecessary transactions and poor risk-adjusted returns.
method Adaptive deep reinforcement learning with Transformer state encoder and PPO.
result DeepAries outperforms traditional strategies in risk-adjusted returns, transaction costs, and drawdowns.
Combines cost-sensitive and Neyman-Pearson paradigms for better binary classification.
problem Asymmetric binary classification problems with unequal error severities.
method Develops TUBE-CS algorithm to bridge cost-sensitive and Neyman-Pearson paradigms.
result High-probability control of population type I error.
An adaptive algorithm optimizes resource allocation with diminishing returns.
problem Sequential resource allocation with diminishing returns.
method Adaptive stochastic optimization algorithm that minimizes regret.
result Optimizes cumulative reward with optimal rates for strongly-concave functions and classical multi-armed bandit rates.
De-Biased Machine Learning of Global and Local Parameters Using Regularized Riesz Representersstat.ML
New method for estimating global and local parameters using regularized Riesz representers.
problem Estimating global and local parameters in complex models robustly.
method Adaptive inference methods based on ℓ1 regularization, including Riesz representer as a nuisance parameter.
result Non-asymptotic and asymptotic uniform validity for honest confidence bands.
SEEDA optimizes dose allocation in clinical trials to balance efficacy and safety.
problem Complex relationships between efficacy and toxicity in new drug trials.
method Adaptive clinical trial methodology that maximizes cumulative efficacy while ensuring safety constraints.
result SEEDA outperforms existing methods in finding optimal doses with higher success rates and fewer patients.
Unified framework for response-adaptive targeting in multi-treatment experiments
problem Improving ethical and statistical efficiency in multi-treatment clinical trials
method Response-adaptive targeting strategies
result Unified framework for -Rebalancing Targeting Strategies (RTS)
Develops variational inference for Neyman-Scott processes for faster sampling.
problem Slow mixing time in MCMC for posterior sampling in Neyman-Scott processes.
method Variational inference algorithm for Neyman-Scott processes, minimizing KL divergence.
result Achieves better prediction performance than MCMC with limited computational time.
Neyman-Pearson testing improves goodness of fit in detecting new physics.
problem Detecting small anomalies in data distributions.
method Employing Neyman-Pearson strategy with a rich parametrized family of models.
result Neyman-Pearson testing is more sensitive to small departures and unbiased towards specific anomalies.