Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

1234 · Nov 202019922001200920172026
43 results for acceptance-rejection

Generation of pseudorandom numbers from different probability distributions has been studied extensively in the Monte Carlo simulation literature. Two standard generation techniques are the acceptance-rejection and inverse transformation methods. An alternative approach to Monte Carlo simulation is the quasi-Monte Carl…

2014-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New MC simulation methods use classifiers to estimate pdf ratios without explicit pdfs.

problem Estimating ratios of probability density functions (pdfs) without explicit pdfs.
method Proposes classifier-based pdf-free versions of MC simulation algorithms.
result Enables pdf-free simulation algorithms using surrogate functions computed by classifiers.

Polynomial-time algorithm for near-optimal community detection in graphs.

problem Node-private community estimation in stochastic block models.
method Explicit Lipschitz surrogate and accept-reject algorithm for sampling community labels.
result Achieves minimax rates for exact recovery with polynomial-time runtime and logarithmic privacy parameter.

Score calibration enables automatic speaker recognizers to make cost-effective accept / reject decisions. Traditional calibration requires supervised data, which is an expensive resource. We propose a 2-component GMM for unsupervised calibration and demonstrate good performance relative to a supervised baseline on NIST…

2013-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

ABC method uses machine learning for likelihood-free inference.

problem Statistical inference in simulator-based models with intractable likelihoods.
method Direct comparison of empirical distributions via KL divergence estimator and contrastive learning.
result Asymptotic normality of ABC posterior distributions with properly scaled exponential kernel.

We consider the problem of sampling from a strongly log-concave density in Rd\mathbb{R}^d, and prove a non-asymptotic upper bound on the mixing time of the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA). The method draws samples by simulating a Markov chain obtained from the discretization of an appropriate Langevin dif…

2018-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

DART optimizes subset selection in non-linear bandit problems.

problem Optimizing subset selection in non-linear bandit problems with correlated rewards.
method DART algorithm for combinatorial bandits without individual arm feedback or linearity assumption.
result DART achieves a regret bound of ildeO(KKNT) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(K\sqrt{KNT}).

Recent developments in differentially private (DP) machine learning and DP Bayesian learning have enabled learning under strong privacy guarantees for the training data subjects. In this paper, we further extend the applicability of DP Bayesian learning by presenting the first general DP Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

2019-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose Learned Accept/Reject Sampling (LARS), a method for constructing richer priors using rejection sampling with a learned acceptance function. This work is motivated by recent analyses of the VAE objective, which pointed out that commonly used simple priors can lead to underfitting. As the distribution induced …

2018-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new bivariate process for energy markets with improved simulation methods.

problem Modelling energy markets with stochastic delays and efficient simulations.
method Introduces a novel bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process and a path simulation scheme.
result Improves simulation efficiency for energy market models.

NUTS mixing time scales as d^(1/4) for Gaussian distributions.

problem Improving the efficiency of the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) for Gaussian distributions.
method Coupling argument leveraging geometric structure of Gaussian concentration, uniformity analysis of NUTS transitions.
result The mixing time of NUTS scales as d^(1/4) for Gaussian distributions, up to logarithmic factors.

The paper connects ABC to GBI, suggesting ABC as a robustification strategy.

problem Approximate Bayesian Computation struggles with tractability in complex simulators.
method Reinterpreting ABC as an implicitly defined error model and suggesting GBI.
result ABC can be seen as a robustification strategy for approximating Bayesian posteriors.

Energy-based models (EBMs) are powerful probabilistic models, but suffer from intractable sampling and density evaluation due to the partition function. As a result, inference in EBMs relies on approximate sampling algorithms, leading to a mismatch between the model and inference. Motivated by this, we consider the sam…

2019-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method estimates expectations from subtractive mixture models without sampling.

problem Estimating expectations from multimodal distributions using SMMs.
method Difference representation of SMMs to create unbiased IS estimator (ΔextExΔ ext{Ex}).
result Demonstrates that ΔextExΔ ext{Ex} can achieve comparable estimation quality to auto-regressive sampling but is faster.

The transition probability of a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process can be represented by a non-central chi-square density. First we prove a new representation for the central chi-square density based on sums of powers of generalized Gaussian random variables. Second we prove Marsaglia's polar method extends to this distributio…

2008-02-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced SMC2^2 uses gradients from CRN-PF in Langevin proposals for improved state and parameter estimation.

problem Challenges in high-dimensional parameter spaces for SMC2^2.
method Leveraging gradients from a CRN-PF within a Langevin proposal.
result Higher effective sample size and more accurate parameter estimates.

Applying standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms to large data sets is computationally expensive. Both the calculation of the acceptance probability and the creation of informed proposals usually require an iteration through the whole data set. The recently proposed stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SG…

2014-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive source selection for positive transfer in linear models improves target dataset performance.

problem Limited task-specific labeled data in business settings.
method Greedily decides from which sources and how many samples to incorporate into the target dataset using an accept/reject rule based on a data-dependent estimate of the transfer gain.
result Consistent gains over classical and recent strong baselines while avoiding negative transfer.

The study improves the assessment of fairness in face recognition using ROC curves and statistical guarantees.

problem Improving the assessment of fairness in face recognition systems.
method Proves asymptotic guarantees for empirical ROC curves and fairness metrics, and introduces a recentering technique to avoid bootstrap pitfalls.
result Demonstrates the practical relevance of the methods for assessing fairness in face recognition systems.

Framework for Bayesian inference using GP emulated MH sampler for noisy likelihoods.

problem Approximate Bayesian inference with limited noisy log-likelihood evaluations.
method Gaussian process emulates MH sampler for log-likelihood evaluations; sequential experimental design selects evaluation points.
result Approximate sampler is sample-efficient and robust to GP assumptions.

New MCMC methods use auxiliary variables to sample from intractable distributions.

problem Sampling from distributions with unknown normalizing constants.
method Unified Markov chain Monte Carlo framework with auxiliary variables.
result New algorithms outperform existing methods on synthetic and real datasets.

Detects corruption in agentic models during execution.

problem Inconsistent context, retrieval errors, or adversarial inputs corrupt intermediate steps of reasoning chains.
method Analyzes token graphs induced by attention and computes spectral statistics to emit accept/reject signals.
result A single threshold on the high frequency energy ratio optimally detects context inconsistency in agentic models.

Applying standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms to large data sets is computationally infeasible. The recently proposed stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) method circumvents this problem in three ways: it generates proposed moves using only a subset of the data, it skips the Metropolis-Hastings a…

2015-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method estimates Bayes error for deep networks, suggesting they may have reached the limit.

problem Evaluating the performance of deep learning models and detecting overfitting.
method A simple and direct Bayes error estimator based on uncertainty of class assignments.
result Deep networks may have reached the Bayes error limit for benchmark datasets.

We propose a new metaheuristic training scheme that combines Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) and Discrete Optimization in an unconventional way. Our idea is to define a discrete neighborhood of the current SGD point containing a number of "potentially good moves" that exploit gradient information, and to search this …

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves parameter estimation in cardiac models using Gaussian process-based MH sampling.

problem Uncertainty in estimating patient-specific model parameters from sparse and noisy clinical data.
method Integrates surrogate modeling into Metropolis-Hastings sampling to improve computational efficiency and accuracy.
result Significant gain in computational efficiency without compromising accuracy, and insights into tissue heterogeneity.

A dealer manages quotes and rejection rules to control slippage risk in FX markets.

problem Managing inventory risk and latency risk in OTC FX market making.
method Dynamic programming and adiabatic-quadratic approximation to optimize quotes and rejection rules.
result Developed a method to optimize quotes and rejection rules for managing slippage risk.

MESSY estimation recovers symbolic density functions from samples using maximum entropy.

problem Estimating probability density functions from limited samples.
method Maximum-Entropy approach with gradient flow and symbolic regression.
result Efficiently finds optimal symbolic expressions for unknown distributions.

Paper proposes a human-algorithm approach to reduce medical device recall risk and workload.

problem High recall rate and regulatory workload in FDA's 510(k) pathway.
method Developed machine learning models to estimate recall risk and proposed a data-driven clearance policy.
result Conservative evaluation of policy shows a 32.9% improvement in recall rate and 40.5% reduction in workload.