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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4692137183 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Zero Bias

The paper addresses score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.

problem Theoretical guarantees for score-mismatched diffusion models in zero-shot conditional sampling.
method Theoretical analysis of score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.
result Theoretical performance guarantees with explicit dimensional dependencies for score-mismatched diffusion samplers.

The study reveals a persistent bias in the distribution of holonomy on compact hyperbolic 3-manifolds.

problem The distribution of holonomy on compact hyperbolic 3-manifolds is not uniformly distributed.
method An asymptotic count of closed geodesics by their length and holonomy, and analysis of spectral parameters.
result A normalized, smoothed bias count of holonomy is distributed according to a probability distribution, controlled by the number of zero spectral parameters.

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

Gradient descent stagnates in low-precision, but unbiased rounding schemes improve convergence.

problem Stagnation of gradient descent in low-precision computation.
method Proposed unbiased stochastic rounding schemes that trade zero bias for larger probability of preserving small gradients.
result Unbiased rounding methods typically improve convergence rate of gradient descent for convex problems.

Paper analyzes how present-bias affects carbon emissions and proposes a method to mitigate it.

problem Present-bias impacts carbon emission patterns towards a net zero target.
method Stochastic control techniques adapted from insurance risk theory.
result Higher present-bias leads to excess emissions, and carbon taxes can reduce emissions but beyond a certain point have diminishing returns.

The study examines methods to correct measurement error in nutritional epidemiology studies.

problem Measurement error in nutritional studies leads to biased and underconfident estimates.
method The article reviews various bias-correction models for exposure variables in nutritional epidemiology.
result Bias-correction methods are essential for accurate inference in nutritional studies.

Polynomial time algorithm learns depth-2 neural networks with ReLU activations.

problem Learning depth-2 neural networks with non-zero bias terms and general ReLU activations.
method Robust tensor decomposition of Hermite expansions.
result Polynomial time and sample efficient learning of depth-2 networks with ReLU activations.

A bias classifier is introduced to resist adversarial attacks.

problem Resisting adversarial attacks on deep neural networks (DNNs).
method Introducing the bias part of a DNN with Relu as the activation function as a classifier, and adding a random first-degree part to make it information-theoretically safe.
result The bias classifier is more robust than DNNs of similar size against adversarial attacks.

ZeroS improves Transformers by adding negative weights, matching or beating softmax attention.

problem Limited performance of linear attention methods, especially in long context sequences.
method Proposes Zero-Sum Linear Attention (ZeroS) that removes the zero-order term and reweights zero-sum softmax residuals.
result ZeroS matches or exceeds standard softmax attention across various benchmarks, theoretically expanding representable functions.

Study on convergence of Langevin dynamics for zero-sum games in probability distributions.

problem Analyzing convergence of Langevin dynamics for zero-sum games in probability distributions.
method Proved exponential and biased convergence guarantees for mean-field and finite-particle min-max Langevin dynamics.
result Explicit iteration complexity for finite-particle algorithms to approximate equilibrium distributions.

Study accelerates NAS research with a large dataset of ZC proxies.

problem Speeding up neural architecture search with ZC proxies.
method Created NAS-Bench-Suite, evaluated 13 ZC proxies across 28 tasks, and provided a unified codebase.
result ZC proxies capture substantial complementary information and can improve NAS algorithm performance.

There exist a number of reinforcement learning algorithms which learnby climbing the gradient of expected reward. Their long-runconvergence has been proved, even in partially observableenvironments with non-deterministic actions, and without the need fora system model. However, the variance of the gradient estimator ha…

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We detect lookahead bias in LLM forecasts using a novel statistical method.

problem Detecting lookahead bias in LLM-generated economic forecasts.
method Developed a statistical procedure using date-only recall queries and estimated Lookahead Propensity (LAP).
result LLM forecasts are contaminated with lookahead bias, as indicated by a positive interaction between LAP and the forecast in accuracy regressions.

Study on nonsmooth contractive SA with constant stepsize and Q-learning.

problem Understanding convergence and bias in nonsmooth contractive SA with different noise types.
method Proposed prelimit coupling technique for steady-state convergence and derived asymptotic bias.
result Asymptotic bias of nonsmooth SA is proportional to the square root of the stepsize.

Paper improves VaR risk allocation by avoiding zero probability events.

problem Computing VaR contributions for zero probability events.
method Reformulates Euler contributions to a ratio of conditional expectations with strictly positive probability events.
result Proposed estimator outperforms standard Monte Carlo methods in bias and variance.

New insights into bias and variance in over-parameterized models.

problem Understanding bias and variance in over-parameterized models.
method Analytic expressions derived from statistical physics for two minimal models.
result Over-parameterized models can overfit even in noiseless conditions.

The paper develops asymptotic theory for QRF variable importance, revealing a bias-variance trade-off.

problem Challenges in statistical inference for QRF variable importance due to non-smoothness and bias-variance trade-off.
method Developed asymptotic theory using pinball loss and Knight's identity, uncovered phase transition phenomenon, derived asymptotic bias.
result Theoretical foundation for understanding QRF inference limitations in high-dimensional settings.

This paper balances bias and variance in adaptive importance sampling using mirror descent.

problem Large variance in adaptive importance sampling weights.
method Regularization strategy with power raised importance weights connected to mirror descent.
result The regularization parameter balances bias and variance.

Paper tackles bias-variance trade-off in missing data, proposing a dynamic framework.

problem Missing data in practical applications deteriorates model performance.
method Develops a fine-grained dynamic learning framework to jointly optimize bias and variance.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of joint bias-variance optimization.

DRAGON improves learning for rare classes in unbalanced datasets using class descriptions.

problem Learning rare classes in unbalanced datasets with deep models.
method DRAGON is a late-fusion architecture that corrects bias towards frequent classes and fuses class-descriptions to improve tail-class accuracy.
result DRAGON outperforms state-of-the-art models on new benchmarks for long-tail learning with class descriptors.

Paper measures cognitive bias in positive feedback trading using diffusion process estimates.

problem Measuring cognitive bias in positive feedback trading behavior.
method Conditional estimates of diffusion processes to quantify bias, proving asymptotic properties.
result Bias in positive feedback trading converges to zero over time, leading to adaptive expectations.

We present a generative framework for generalized zero-shot learning where the training and test classes are not necessarily disjoint. Built upon a variational autoencoder based architecture, consisting of a probabilistic encoder and a probabilistic conditional decoder, our model can generate novel exemplars from seen/…

2017-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Randomly sampled interpolators achieve zero generalization error with enough data.

problem Understanding the high generalization ability of machine learning models.
method Algebraic geometry tools to prove zero generalization error for random interpolators.
result Generalization error of randomly sampled interpolators becomes zero once the number of training samples exceeds a geometric threshold.

Paper resolves bias in ALFT training using generalized alignment games.

problem Systematic bias in estimating logarithmic rewards from small batches.
method Generalized Distributional Alignment Games, U-statistics, minimax polynomial estimators, Variance-Optimal Augmented Polynomial Optimization Program (AQP) Estimator.
result Proves optimal bias and accelerated convergence in ALFT training.

Faster ZSL with continual learning and self-gating.

problem Generalizing models to unseen categories and handling sequential data.
method Meta-continual zero-shot learning (MCZSL) with self-gating and scaled class normalization.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art results with faster training (>100imes>100 imes).

Many economic applications including optimal pricing and inventory management requires prediction of demand based on sales data and estimation of sales reaction to a price change. There is a wide range of econometric approaches which are used to correct a bias in estimates of demand parameters on censored sales data. T…

2018-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

M2M tackles zero-shot structured noise suppression in images.

problem Structured noise with strong anisotropic correlations in real-world images.
method M2M introduces a novel sampling strategy that generates pseudo-independent sub-image pairs from a single noisy input, using directional interpolation and generalized median filtering.
result M2M consistently outperforms state-of-the-art zero-shot methods under correlated noise.

The paper connects neural collapse and low-rank bias in networks with L2 regularization.

problem Understanding the emergence of low-rank bias and neural collapse in L2-regularized networks.
method Unified theoretical framework linking TCV and rank of weight matrices, proving global optimality of DNC1, and establishing a benign landscape property.
result Zero TCV across intermediate layers minimizes representation cost under natural architectural constraints, and DNC1 is globally optimal.

Confirmation bias leads to biased estimates in noisy data analysis.

problem Confirmation bias affects scientific conclusions in noisy data environments.
method Investigation of confirmation bias in Gaussian mixture models using K-means and EM algorithms.
result Estimates from algorithms are biased and resemble initial hypotheses, not the noise.

AMAGOLD improves stochastic gradient MCMC by infrequent Metropolis-Hastings corrections.

problem Bias in stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SGHMC).
method AMAGOLD infrequently uses Metropolis-Hastings corrections to remove bias, with a fixed step size schedule.
result AMAGOLD converges to the target distribution with a fixed, rather than a diminishing, step size, and at most a constant factor slower convergence rate.

Local Gradient Descent with local steps converges to the centralized model in the interpolation regime.

problem Understanding the implicit bias of Local Gradient Descent in the interpolation regime.
method Analyzing the implicit bias of Local Gradient Descent for classification tasks with linearly separable data.
result The aggregated global model from Local-GD converges exactly to the centralized model in the interpolation regime.

Paper improves volatility estimation using a Queue-Reactive model.

problem Volatility estimation from high-frequency data is biased by microstructure noise.
method Uses Queue-Reactive model of limit order book to improve volatility estimation.
result Unified and alternation estimators lead to optimal mean squared error for integrated volatility.

Dissertation tackles zero-shot anomaly detection, focusing on consistent anomalies and proposing CoDeGraph framework.

problem Consistent anomalies bias distance-based zero-shot anomaly detection methods.
method Formalized consistent anomalies, identified similarity scaling and neighbor-burnout phenomena, introduced CoDeGraph framework.
result CoDeGraph effectively suppresses consistent anomalies in zero-shot anomaly detection.