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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

295786114 · Feb 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Trend Extraction

KEDformer improves long-term time series forecasting with seasonal-trend decomposition.

problem Accurate long-term predictions in energy, finance, and meteorology.
method Knowledge extraction-driven framework integrating seasonal-trend decomposition.
result KEDformer enhances model's ability to capture short-term and long-term patterns.

This paper attempts to provide a state of the art in trend prediction using news headlines. We present the research done on predicting DJIA trends using Natural Language Processing. We will explain the different algorithms we have used as well as the various embedding techniques attempted. We rely on statistical and de…

2018-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a framework to predict long-term trends and short-term fluctuations in multivariate time series.

problem Existing prediction methods often ignore the distinction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
method The paper introduces a MTS forecasting framework that uses both original time series and its first difference to capture long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
result The proposed method improves forecasting performance by using more supervision information.

Piecewise Aggregate Approximation (PAA) is a competitive basic dimension reduction method for high-dimensional time series mining. When deployed, however, the limitations are obvious that some important information will be missed, especially the trend. In this paper, we propose two new approaches for time series that u…

2019-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

FFRK automatically extracts features for spatial interpolation without external variables.

problem Spatial interpolation challenges, especially nonstationarity and lack of explanatory variables.
method Feature-Free Regression Kriging (FFRK) method that extracts geospatial features.
result FFRK outperforms classical methods in predicting heavy metal concentrations.

HybridCGAN improves portfolio analysis by balancing trend prediction and market uncertainty.

problem Markowitz framework's overemphasis on market uncertainty and trend prediction.
method A hybrid approach combining deep generative models to balance trend prediction and market uncertainty.
result HybridCGAN leads to better portfolio allocation compared to existing methods.

This research examines how data transformations affect adversarial robustness in recurrent neural networks.

problem Adversarial examples reduce machine learning accuracy, especially in high-dimensional datasets.
method Analysis of feature selection, dimensionality reduction, and trend extraction techniques on recurrent neural networks.
result Data transformations may increase vulnerability to adversarial samples, but only if they approximate intrinsic dimensionality and maintain manifold coverage.

A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.

problem Forecasting stock trends using static concept information limits accuracy.
method Proposes a graph-based framework that mines concept-oriented shared information from both predefined and hidden concepts.
result Improves stock trend forecasting performance through dynamic concept relevance and hidden concept information.

A new SOHP filter improves trend estimation in economic time series.

problem Improving trend estimation in nonlinear economic time series.
method Recursive application of one-sided HP filter on updated cyclical components, combined with an incremental HP filtering algorithm.
result Better performance of SOHP filter compared to other HP-type filters on real economic data.

REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.

problem Predicting stock trends using event information from news, social media, and discussion boards.
method REST framework addresses two main shortcomings of existing event-driven methods: stock-specific event influence and related-stock event influence.
result REST framework achieves higher investment returns compared to baselines.

The paper analyzes CEX-DEX arbitrage and profitability on Ethereum, revealing centralization trends and market impacts.

problem Ethereum's decentralization and CEX-DEX arbitrages.
method Empirical analysis of 19 months' data from 7.2M CEX-DEX transactions, refining heuristics to identify and estimate arbitrage revenue.
result Three searchers captured three-quarters of volume and extracted value, and profitability is tied to integration with block builders.

We study the nature of fluctuations in variety of price indices involving companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The fluctuations at multiple scales are extracted through the use of wavelets belonging to Daubechies basis. The fact that these basis sets satisfy vanishing moments conditions makes them ideal to …

2012-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Charts are an excellent way to convey patterns and trends in data, but they do not facilitate further modeling of the data or close inspection of individual data points. We present a fully automated system for extracting the numerical values of data points from images of scatter plots. We use deep learning techniques t…

2017-04-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced time series forecasting with improved trend and seasonal components.

problem Challenges in real-world time series forecasting, especially in multivariate applications.
method Individual decomposition of trend and seasonal components, using different approaches for each.
result Significant reduction in error values, around 10% MSE average reduction across benchmarks.

Enhances time-series regression trees with latent factors for robust financial analysis.

problem Handling predictors with measurement error, trends, seasonality, and missing data.
method Integrates latent stationary factors extracted via state-space methods into time-series regression trees.
result Factor-augmented trees provide a reliable approach for macro-finance problems, exemplified by the lead-lag effect between equity volatility and the business cycle.

LARA forecasts financial asset trends by refining noisy labels and extracting profitable samples.

problem Low signal-to-noise ratio and stochastic nature of financial data lead to poor predictions.
method LARA combines LA-Attention and RA-Labeling to refine and extract profitable samples.
result LARA significantly outperforms existing methods on Qlib platform.

New framework predicts cryptocurrency trends by analyzing news and market data.

problem Cryptocurrency market volatility and news sensitivity challenges prediction accuracy.
method Multi-agent system with three innovations: news analysis, fusion mechanism, and coordination architecture.
result Statistically significant improvements over state-of-the-art methods.

A novel approach predicts long-term stock price trends using 2D-convolutional encoders and semantic segmentation.

problem Predicting long-term daily stock price changes with deep learning models.
method Proposes a hierarchical CNN structure with Atrous Spatial Pyramid Pooling blocks to capture both long and short-term temporal relationships.
result Achieved overall accuracy and AUC of 78.18% and 0.88 for predicting trends over the next 20 days.

FinDKG uses LLMs to detect financial trends from news articles.

problem Detecting global financial trends from unstructured text data.
method Fine-tuned LLMs for generating DKGs, KGTransformer for analysis.
result KGTransformer outperforms existing thematic ETFs in financial thematic investing.

Feature Learning aims to extract relevant information contained in data sets in an automated fashion. It is driving force behind the current deep learning trend, a set of methods that have had widespread empirical success. What is lacking is a theoretical understanding of different feature learning schemes. This work p…

2015-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses AI to analyze financial market coverage from YouTube videos.

problem Challenges in analyzing a large number of financial market videos.
method Used Whisper model to generate text from videos, applied natural language processing.
result Highlights dynamics of financial market coverage and identifies trending topics.

DGDS uses documents to center conversations, promising broader AI understanding.

problem DS classification by function is insufficient for complex conversations.
method Classify DS based on document grounding, analyzing classification, architecture, datasets, and models.
result DGDS can better represent current DS development trends and future AI understanding.

Hybrid QNN-LSTM predicts financial stock market trends using quantum computing.

problem Complex temporal dependencies and market fluctuations in financial time-series forecasting.
method Custom QNN regressor with hybrid optimization strategies.
result Hybrid models integrate quantum computing into financial forecasting workflows.

Dynamic factor analysis reveals insights into Philippine stock market dynamics.

problem Understanding complex stock market dynamics.
method Dynamic factor model using Kalman method and maximum likelihood estimation.
result Common factors extracted from the model represent market trends and volatility.

The initial analysis of any large data set can be divided into two phases: (1) the identification of common trends or patterns and (2) the identification of anomalies or outliers that deviate from those trends. We focus on the goal of detecting observations with novel content, which can alert us to artifacts in the dat…

2019-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

PerPCA separates unique and shared features from heterogeneous data.

problem Extracting shared and unique features from data collected from different sources with varying trends.
method Personalized PCA (PerPCA) uses orthogonal global and local principal components to encode both unique and shared features.
result PerPCA can identify and recover both unique and shared features under mild conditions.

A novel framework extracts essential factors from order flow data for high-frequency trading.

problem Challenges in extracting and utilizing order flow data due to its large volume and limitations of traditional techniques.
method Proposes a Context Encoder and Factor Extractor for unsupervised learning of important signals from order flow data.
result Extracts superior factors from order flow data, improving stock trend prediction and order execution tasks.