With the help of transfer entropy, we analyze information flows between communities of complex networks. We show that the transfer entropy provides a coherent description of interactions between communities, including non-linear interactions. To put some flesh on the bare bones, we analyze transfer entropies between co…
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48 results for “Transfer Entropy”
Transfer entropy shows abnormal brain connectivity in depression.
problem Abnormal brain connectivity in depression.
method Transfer entropy analysis on EEG recordings.
result Aberrated dynamics and direction of information between brain centers in depression.
New method speeds up lead-lag detection between asynchronous time series.
problem Slow inference of lead-lag networks between long time series.
method Derive asymptotic distribution of Transfer Entropy and introduce time-shifted time series.
result Statistically validated lead-lag networks between time series.
Transfer Entropy Analysis of the Stock Marketphysics.soc-ph
In terms of transfer entropy, we investigated the strength and the direction of information transfer in the US stock market. Through the directionality of the information transfer, the more influential company between the correlated ones can be found and also the market leading companies are selected. Our entropy analy…
Data transformation, e.g. feature transformation and selection, is an integral part of any machine learning procedure. In this paper we introduce an information-theoretic model and tools to assess the quality of data transformations in machine learning tasks. In an unsupervised fashion, we analyze the transfer of infor…
EPSTE: A geometric token and deep learning approach to estimating transfer entropy in neuroimaging time series
problem Inferring directed interactions between neural systems from EEG and MEG
method Reframing TE estimation as a learnable problem operating on structured symbolic representations
result EPSTE achieves near-perfect recovery of ground-truth directed structure and significantly lower absolute error than the baseline
Local Granger Causalityq-bio.QM
Calculates local Granger causality for Gaussian and nonlinear systems.
problem Understanding causal influence in complex systems.
method Vector autoregression and information-theoretic approach.
result Local Granger causality offers a robust and fast method for time-directed information transfer.
State entropy regularization improves robustness in reinforcement learning, especially under structured perturbations.
problem Structured and spatially correlated perturbations in reinforcement learning.
method State entropy regularization, compared to policy entropy.
result State entropy regularization provides better robustness to structured and spatially correlated perturbations.
The paper studies practical estimation and interpretation of Rényi transfer entropy.
problem Challenges in accurately estimating and interpreting Rényi transfer entropy.
method Systematic study of k-nearest neighbor estimator for Rényi entropy and transfer entropy.
result Effective estimates of effective Rényi transfer entropy can accurately capture directional information flow.
Entropy measures in their various incarnations play an important role in the study of stochastic time series providing important insights into both the correlative and the causative structure of the stochastic relationships between the individual components of a system. Recent applications of entropic techniques and th…
Information-theoretic measures for non-linear causality detection: application to social media sentiment and cryptocurrency pricesphysics.data-an
Information transfer between time series is calculated by using the asymmetric information-theoretic measure known as transfer entropy. Geweke's autoregressive formulation of Granger causality is used to find linear transfer entropy, and Schreiber's general, non-parametric, information-theoretic formulation is used to …
Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of the effect time series is influenced by a combination of other time series with a…
Causal discovery is a fundamental problem in statistics and has wide applications in different fields. Transfer Entropy (TE) is a important notion defined for measuring causality, which is essentially conditional Mutual Information (MI). Copula Entropy (CE) is a theory on measurement of statistical independence and is …
We analyze a simple asset transfer model in which the transfer amount is a fixed fraction of the giver's wealth. The model is analyzed in a new way by Laplace transforming the master equation, solving it analytically and numerically for the steady-state distribution, and exploring the solutions for various values o…
Causal inference is perhaps one of the most fundamental concepts in science, beginning originally from the works of some of the ancient philosophers, through today, but also weaved strongly in current work from statisticians, machine learning experts, and scientists from many other fields. This paper takes the perspect…
Bitcoin's price direction is better predicted without additional drivers during high volatility.
problem Predicting Bitcoin's price direction using various determinants.
method Continuous local transfer entropy for feature selection and deep learning classification model.
result Bitcoin's price direction can be better predicted without additional drivers during high volatility.
We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the …
Quantifying Causal Coupling Strength: A Lag-specific Measure For Multivariate Time Series Related To Transfer Entropyphysics.data-an
While it is an important problem to identify the existence of causal associations between two components of a multivariate time series, a topic addressed in Runge et al. (2012), it is even more important to assess the strength of their association in a meaningful way. In the present article we focus on the problem of d…
In this paper, we quantify the statistical coherence between financial time series by means of the Renyi entropy. With the help of Campbell's coding theorem we show that the Renyi entropy selectively emphasizes only certain sectors of the underlying empirical distribution while strongly suppressing others. This accentu…
Agents trained with deep reinforcement learning algorithms are capable of performing highly complex tasks including locomotion in continuous environments. We investigate transferring the learning acquired in one task to a set of previously unseen tasks. Generalization and overfitting in deep reinforcement learning are …
Simple regional perturbations maintain model transferability while reducing adversarial example distortion.
problem Comparing efficacy of regional adversarial attacks without complex methods.
method Developed a simple regional adversarial perturbation attack using cross-entropy sign.
result Localized adversarial examples require significantly less norm distortion compared to non-local counterparts.
We introduce a new measure to evaluate the transferability of representations learned by classifiers. Our measure, the Log Expected Empirical Prediction (LEEP), is simple and easy to compute: when given a classifier trained on a source data set, it only requires running the target data set through this classifier once.…
Information Propagation Across Investor Types: Transfer Entropy Networks in the Korean Equity Marketq-fin.ST
Investor flows in Korean equity market transmit shared information, not private signals.
problem Whether investor flows transmit private information or only public signals.
method Transfer Entropy networks constructed from investor-type flows over
umNDates{} trading days.
result Investor flows transmit shared information, not private signals.
Study shows changes in information sharing between Bitcoin markets during 2017 crash.
problem Understanding information dynamics in Bitcoin markets during the 2017 crash.
method Analysis of high-frequency market-microstructure observables using information theoretic measures.
result Temporal changes in information sharing across markets, including predictability, memory, and synchronous coupling.
This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.
problem Understanding information transmission and market dynamics in Chinese stock sectors.
method Daily closing price data of 28 sectors from 2000 to 2017, transfer entropy, maximum spanning arborescence (MSA).
result The composite sector is an information source, and the non-bank financial sector is an information sink.
This thesis applies entropy as a model independent measure to address three research questions concerning financial time series. In the first study we apply transfer entropy to drawdowns and drawups in foreign exchange rates, to study their correlation and cross correlation. When applied to daily and hourly EUR/USD and…
The paper measures semantic information production in generative models using information theory.
problem Measuring when semantic decisions are made during generative model training.
method Using an online formula for the optimal Bayesian classifier, the paper estimates conditional entropy and determines time intervals for highest information transfer.
result Semantic information transfer is highest in intermediate stages of diffusion, with different classes making decisions at different times.
We investigate unification of two systems of identical elements having different dimensions which may be of interest for both physics and economics. Characteristic parameters as well as explicit formulae for the temperature (in economics - capital turnover) and dimension of the united system are obtained as functions o…
Accelerating the identification of informative reduced representations of proteins with deep learning for graphsphysics.comp-ph
Deep learning speeds up protein mapping entropy calculation.
problem Efficiently calculating the mapping entropy of protein structures.
method Deep graph networks for accelerating mapping entropy computation.
result Deep graph networks achieve a speedup factor of up to 10^5.
Model improves information transfer from visual streams.
problem Challenges in unsupervised learning from continuous visual data.
method Inspired by physics, maximizes mutual information through temporal process.
result Focus of attention enhances information transfer from input stream.
Exploration and adaptation to new tasks in a transfer learning setup is a central challenge in reinforcement learning. In this work, we build on the idea of modeling a distribution over policies in a Bayesian deep reinforcement learning setup to propose a transfer strategy. Recent works have shown to induce diversity i…
Grogan et al [11,12] have recently proposed a solution to colour transfer by minimising the Euclidean distance L2 between two probability density functions capturing the colour distributions of two images (palette and target). It was shown to be very competitive to alternative solutions based on Optimal Transport for c…
Proposes a new method to better understand complex system interactions.
problem Current methods like Granger causality and transfer entropy fail to capture higher-order interactions.
method Introduces a generalized approach to capture multivariate causal interactions.
result The method can distinguish causal roles in synergetic interactions.
We propose a novel approach for estimating the difficulty and transferability of supervised classification tasks. Unlike previous work, our approach is solution agnostic and does not require or assume trained models. Instead, we estimate these values using an information theoretic approach: treating training labels as …
This study examines how the size and alignment of pretraining data affect the performance of large language models on downstream tasks.
problem Understanding how the size and alignment of pretraining data impact the performance of large language models on downstream tasks.
method Investigated the scaling behavior of large language models in a transfer learning setting, focusing on machine translation tasks.
result The size of the finetuning dataset and the distribution alignment between pretraining and downstream data significantly influence the scaling behavior of downstream performance.
Unified framework maps financial market dynamics using TE and KM, revealing directional information flow.
problem Challenges in traditional correlation analysis of financial markets, especially during crises.
method Combines Transfer Entropy (TE) and Kramers-Moyal (KM) expansion to analyze dynamic interactions among major indices.
result Increased directional information flow during crises, highlighting gold-dollar and oil-equity linkages.
Novel method uses information theory to measure causal influences during transient neural events.
problem Characterizing network interactions during transient neural events.
method Structural Causal Models, Information Theory, Transfer Entropy, Dynamic Causal Strength, Relative Dynamic Causal Strength.
result Introduced a novel measure, relative Dynamic Causal Strength, with theoretical and empirical support.
We propose a probabilistic framework to directly insert prior knowledge in reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms by defining the behaviour policy as a Bayesian posterior distribution. Such a posterior combines task specific information with prior knowledge, thus allowing to achieve transfer learning across tasks. The …
Learning Nash Equilibria in Zero-Sum Stochastic Games via Entropy-Regularized Policy Approximationcs.LG
Algorithm learns Nash equilibria in stochastic games using entropy-regularized policies.
problem Learning Nash equilibria in zero-sum stochastic games is computationally expensive.
method Entropy-regularized soft policies for Q-function updates.
result Algorithm converges to Nash equilibrium under certain conditions.
Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.
problem Analyzing how information flows between sectors in Chinese and US stock markets.
method Daily sector indices, transfer entropy of daily returns, comparing 2000-2017.
result Most active sectors in information exchange differ between China and US, reflecting market dynamics.
New method estimates traffic congestion delays using statistical causality.
problem Accurate estimation of traffic congestion delays during accidents.
method Proposes a novel time delay estimation method using lag-specific transfer entropy (TE) and Markov bootstrap techniques.
result Validated the method's efficacy using simulated and real data.
Using transfer entropy, we observed the strength and direction of information flow between stock indices. We uncovered that the biggest source of information flow is America. In contrast, the Asia/Pacific region the biggest is receives the most information. According to the minimum spanning tree, the GSPC is located at…
New method shows data-driven causal studies can be misleading.
problem Misattribution of causality in data-driven earth science studies.
method Subsample-based ensemble approach for robust causality analysis.
result Transfer entropy-based causal graphs can be spurious.
FEDS distills LIC model knowledge into a lightweight student for efficient compression.
problem Efficiently compress images with high performance and low resources.
method FEDS combines feature alignment and entropy-based loss for lightweight compression.
result Student model matches teacher's performance while reducing parameters and speeding up.
A new framework optimizes model transfer across domains with labeled data.
problem Distributional heterogeneity across domains in multi-source learning.
method Conditional Group Distributionally Robust Optimization (CG-DRO) framework with Mirror Prox algorithm and double machine learning.
result Established fast statistical convergence rates and uniformly valid inference for CG-DRO.
Novel framework for systemic risk analysis in financial markets.
problem Systemic risk in financial markets.
method Multi-scale network dynamics, transfer entropy networks, agent-based modeling, wavelet decomposition, Model Context Protocol (MCP).
result Multi-scale approach reveals hidden systemic risk patterns.
"Speculative Influence Network" during financial bubbles: application to Chinese Stock Marketsq-fin.ST
We introduce the Speculative Influence Network (SIN) to decipher the causal relationships between sectors (and/or firms) during financial bubbles. The SIN is constructed in two steps. First, we develop a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of regime-switching between a normal market phase represented by a geometric Brownian moti…
Study compares sentiment spillover networks from news and social media in tech companies.
problem Understanding how sentiment information flows between companies through news and social media.
method Network-based transfer entropy method to measure and compare sentiment spillover.
result News shows stronger information flow among tech companies after COVID-19.