Market trade-routes can support infectious-disease transmission, impacting biological populations and even disrupting causal trade. Epidemiological models increasingly account for reductions in infectious contact, such as risk-aversion behaviour in response to pathogen outbreaks. However, market dynamics clearly differ…
Unified asymptotics for investment in markets with transaction costs and search frictions.
problem Investment in markets with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Power-utility maximization problem with proportional transaction costs and Poisson-triggered trades, analyzed using a novel asymptotic framework.
result Explicit asymptotics for the no-trade region and value function derived.
Model analyzes trading frictions in cap-and-trade markets, showing how they interact to affect market effectiveness.
problem Analyzing how trading frictions impact cap-and-trade market effectiveness.
method Developed a dynamic stochastic model with multiple trading frictions, characterized access choices in closed form, and quantified using EU ETS data.
result Trading frictions interact to amplify or dampen market responses, and their combined effect is non-additive.
In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by càdlàg processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices arbitrarily unfavorable for high trading intensity. Such frictions induce a duality bet…
Optimizes trading in markets with unpredictable price impacts.
problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with stochastic price impacts.
method Singular perturbation methods to approximate optimal control problem.
result Proves approximations are accurate to specified order using sub- and super-solutions.
Investment strategy optimized in markets with transaction costs and search delays.
problem Maximizing wealth in an illiquid market with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Characterized no-trade region and provided asymptotic expansions of value function for small transaction costs.
result The effects of transaction costs are more pronounced in illiquid markets.
Generative model creates frictional surfaces from friction laws.
problem Designing frictional interfaces with prescribed behavior is challenging.
method Uses Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) to infer surface topographies from friction laws.
result Efficiently generates candidate topographies without contact simulations.
Deep Hedging removes drift for cleaner option pricing.
problem Finding equivalent martingale measures in markets with frictions.
method Learning minimal near-martingale measures using deep learning.
result Clean hedges for exotic payoffs robust to estimation error.
The paper optimizes forecasting for risk-adjusted decisions under trading frictions.
problem Optimizing forecasting accuracy for investment decisions in the presence of transaction costs.
method Develops a utility-weighted calibration criterion to minimize decision loss net of costs.
result Utility-weighted calibration reduces decision loss by over 30% and improves Sharpe ratio.
Optimal trading patterns adjust based on market efficiency and slippage costs.
problem Balancing active alphas and trading costs in active portfolios.
method Maximization of utility including projected alpha-based profits, slippage costs, and risk aversion.
result Optimal trading involves a no-trade zone width that scales as Δ∼c1/2, differing from stochastic settings. Study on optimal trading in a finite population with market frictions and asymmetric information.
problem Optimal trading in a finite population with market frictions and asymmetric information.
method Investigates stochastic differential games with asymmetric information and market frictions, proving existence and uniqueness of Nash and Stackelberg-Nash equilibria.
result Existence and uniqueness of Nash and Stackelberg-Nash equilibria in both unconstrained and constrained trading scenarios.
We study superreplication of European contingent claims in discrete time in a large trader model with market indifference prices recently proposed by Bank and Kramkov. We introduce a suitable notion of efficient friction in this framework, adopting a terminology introduced by Kabanov, Rasonyi, and Stricker in the conte…
Novel signature approach for pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
problem Pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
method Signature approach, mean-quadratic variation criterion, non-standard infinite-dimensional Riccati equations, time-augmented signature, non-Markovian stochastic control problem.
result Effective hedging strategies in frictional markets with low-truncated signature approximations.
Repo dealers' market power affects bond prices by up to 2 percentage points.
problem Market power of repo dealers impacts bond prices and liquidity.
method Proprietary data on repo and reverse-repo trades analyzed.
result Market power of repo dealers accounts for 0.5-1.3 percentage points of bond yield deviation.
We present a novel approach to describing the microstructure of high frequency trading using two key elements. First we introduce a new notion of informed trader which we starkly contrast to current informed trader models. We describe the exact nature of the `superior information' high frequency traders have access to,…
We prove the existence of an equilibrium in a model with transaction costs and price impact where two agents are incentivized to trade towards a target. The two types of frictions -- price impact and transaction costs -- lead the agents to two distinct changes in their optimal investment approach: price impact causes a…
FR-LUX optimizes portfolio management by learning cost-aware policies robust to market conditions.
problem Transaction costs and regime shifts cause failure in live trading portfolios.
method Integrates three ingredients: microstructure-consistent execution model, trade-space trust region, and explicit regime conditioning.
result Achieves top average Sharpe ratio, maintains flat cost-performance slope, and superior risk-return efficiency.
The paper analyzes how open-end fund sales affect prices and returns.
problem How open-end fund sales impact prices and returns.
method Continuous-time market-clearing model to derive expected-return restrictions.
result Forced-sale pressure predicts actual fund selling and positive returns.
An investor trades a safe and several risky assets with linear price impact to maximize expected utility from terminal wealth. In the limit for small impact costs, we explicitly determine the optimal policy and welfare, in a general Markovian setting allowing for stochastic market, cost, and preference parameters. Thes…
Lazy, perfectly informed investors trade infrequently due to costs.
problem The paradox of an omniscient yet lazy investor trading infrequently.
method Formalized the paradox using geometric and fractional Brownian motion models, derived closed-form profit functions, and proved existence and uniqueness of the optimal trading frequency.
result The optimal trading frequency can be interpreted through the fractal dimension of the price path.
We prove the existence of optimal strategies for agents with cumulative prospect theory preferences who trade in a continuous-time illiquid market, transcending known results which pertained only to risk-averse utility maximizers. The arguments exploit an extension of Skorohod's representation theorem for tight sequenc…
The paper tackles dynamic collateral control for spot-perpetual basis trading in decentralized finance.
problem Dynamic control of collateral in spot-perpetual basis trading in decentralized finance.
method Solves a static control problem and derives an asymmetric dynamic extension, validated with live execution.
result The dynamic control approach provides a more robust operating benchmark and shows significant rebalancing effects.
A speculative agent with Prospect Theory preference chooses the optimal time to purchase and then to sell an indivisible risky asset to maximize the expected utility of the round-trip profit net of transaction costs. The optimization problem is formulated as a sequential optimal stopping problem and we provide a comple…
A new trading system learns to minimize risk and maximize returns in real markets.
problem Optimizing trading strategies under risk constraints in financial markets.
method Direct Reinforcement Learning with Conditional Value-at-Risk as the risk measure.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms traditional methods in real-world financial markets, demonstrating robustness and profitability.
We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information about the fundamental value, the agents form different evaluations about heteroge…
We study how trading costs are reflected in equilibrium returns. To this end, we develop a tractable continuous-time risk-sharing model, where heterogeneous mean-variance investors trade subject to a quadratic transaction cost. The corresponding equilibrium is characterized as the unique solution of a system of coupled…
We propose a simple non-equilibrium model of a financial market as an open system with a possible exchange of money with an outside world and market frictions (trade impacts) incorporated into asset price dynamics via a feedback mechanism. Using a linear market impact model, this produces a non-linear two-parametric ex…
The objective of this paper is to provide a comprehensive study no-arbitrage pricing of financial derivatives in the presence of funding costs, the counterparty credit risk and market frictions affecting the trading mechanism, such as collateralization and capital requirements. To achieve our goals, we extend in severa…
In this paper, the problem of road friction prediction from a fleet of connected vehicles is investigated. A framework is proposed to predict the road friction level using both historical friction data from the connected cars and data from weather stations, and comparative results from different methods are presented. …
LLM-based trading systems vary in execution realism and reproducibility.
problem LLM-based trading systems vary in execution realism and reproducibility.
method Reproducibility audit of 30 trade-relevant primary studies.
result LLM-based trading systems vary in execution realism and reproducibility.
New system resists meme coin copy trading bots.
problem Manipulative bots exploit copy trading in illiquid meme coins.
method Multi-agent architecture with LLM and CoT reasoning.
result System outperforms other methods in prediction and economic performance.
We prove the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for a discrete time financial market where trading is subject to proportional transaction cost and the asset price dynamic is modeled by a family of probability measures, possibly non-dominated. Using a backward-forward scheme, we show that when the market consists of a…
QLBS and RLOP methods improve option pricing and hedging performance.
problem Improving option pricing and hedging performance under market frictions.
method Incorporates risk aversion and trading costs into QLBS, proposes RLOP approach.
result RLOP outperforms in dynamic hedging by reducing shortfall probability.
Using elementary arguments, we show how to derive Lp-error bounds for the approximation of frictionless wealth process in markets with proportional transaction costs. For utilities with bounded risk aversion, these estimates yield lower bounds for the frictional value function, which pave the way for its as…
We study portfolio selection in a model with both temporary and transient price impact introduced by Garleanu and Pedersen (2016). In the large-liquidity limit where both frictions are small, we derive explicit formulas for the asymptotically optimal trading rate and the corresponding minimal leading-order performance …
Investment and insurance decisions are studied in a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
problem Investment and insurance decisions under a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
method Dynamic programming approach to find optimality conditions.
result Agent can choose to assume, partially assume, or purchase total insurance against adverse jumps in wealth.
Study finds cryptoasset markets inefficient due to capital reallocation frictions.
problem Inefficiency in cryptoasset markets due to capital reallocation frictions.
method Examined investments with dominant and secondary risk factors, derived equilibrium restrictions, and tested empirically.
result Empirical results strongly reject necessary equilibrium restrictions, indicating market inefficiency.
FinRL automates trading in quantitative finance with deep reinforcement learning.
problem Steep development curve for traders to automate trading decisions.
method Open-source framework implementing DRL algorithms and reward functions.
result FinRL simplifies strategy design and reduces debugging workloads.
High-frequency trading models fail due to overfitting and survivor bias.
problem Failure of hybrid DRL-EC trading systems in high-frequency environments.
method Deployed a population of 500 agents in a high-frequency cryptocurrency environment, analyzing failure modes through multi-disciplinary lens.
result Increasing model complexity without information asymmetry exacerbates systemic fragility.
Study reveals a hidden cost in derivatives markets through option-implied discount factors.
problem The hidden cost in derivatives markets, not visible in price space.
method Minute-level NBBO data on options, reduced-form specification linking carry gap to implementation risk, trading frictions, and financial conditions.
result An annualized carry gap exists, linked to implementation risk and financial conditions.
We investigate the optimal strategy over a finite time horizon for a portfolio of stock and bond and a derivative in an multiplicative Markovian market model with transaction costs (friction). The optimization problem is solved by a Hamilton-Bellman-Jacobi equation, which by the verification theorem has well-behaved so…
Deep Bellman Hedging uses reinforcement learning to optimize financial portfolio hedging.
problem Optimizing financial portfolio hedging with derivatives and trading frictions.
method Actor-critic reinforcement learning algorithm with continuous state and action spaces.
result Trained model provides optimal hedge for any initial portfolio and market state.
Deep Hedging learns risk-neutral vol dynamics for option pricing.
problem Statistical arbitrage in market dynamics without transaction costs.
method Numerical approach to train market simulator and find risk-neutral density.
result Risk-neutral model for stochastic implied volatility can be used for pricing or Deep Hedging.
The paper models insurance market dynamics under uncertainty and financial frictions.
problem Modeling insurer behavior under uncertainty and financial frictions.
method Dynamic equilibrium model of insurance market with competitive insurers maximizing shareholder value.
result Investment can lead to lower insurance prices and negative loadings under certain conditions.
Study on friction forces for nonholonomic systems using affine connections.
problem Realizing nonholonomic constraints with strong friction forces.
method Affine connection approach, covariant derivatives, recursive procedure.
result Approximations of slip velocities and dynamics up to second order.
LLMs improve stock price forecasting from financial news and reports.
problem Predicting stock prices with high accuracy and robustness.
method Analyzing financial news, reports, and transcripts using LLMs.
result LLMs can improve stock price forecasting but face practical challenges.
Bitcoin's monetary velocity is constrained by network friction, leading to significant utility contraction during shocks.
problem Bitcoin's monetary velocity is limited by network congestion, causing significant utility loss during economic shocks.
method Empirical analysis using Transaction Cost Index and threshold regression to identify structural breaks and velocity contraction.
result Network friction significantly reduces Bitcoin's monetary velocity, leading to a net utility contraction of -9.39% during shocks.
Study shows GPT's earnings forecasts are human-like but not always accurate.
problem Information friction in AI-generated financial analysis.
method Examined GPT's earnings forecasts following corporate earnings releases and proposed a diagnostic framework.
result GPT's narrative attention is consistent and human-like but not always associated with higher forecast accuracy.