Automated trading system with preprocessing and reinforcement learning.
problem Efficient portfolio trading for individual investors.
method Feature preprocessing, recurrent reinforcement learning, automated trading algorithm.
result System outperforms other strategies in profit and drawdown.
Deep learning predicts cryptocurrency price movements from trade data.
problem Predicting short-term price changes in cryptocurrencies.
method Long Short-term Memory Network (LSTM) trained on trade-by-trade data.
result Optimal LSTM model achieves over 60% accuracy on out-of-sample test periods.
Study integrates deep learning with financial data for improved trading strategies.
problem Enhancing predictive performance in algorithmic trading and portfolio optimization.
method Developed embedding techniques to treat limit order book snapshots as image-based input channels.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance in high-frequency trading algorithms.
New method maps global value chains at product level from trade data.
problem Lack of detailed product-level value chain information in existing datasets.
method Machine learning and trade theory applied to international trade data.
result Approximate product-level value chain information inferred from trade patterns.
Paper proposes using CNN for stock trading with data normalization.
problem Improving stock trading accuracy in volatile markets.
method Developed CNN-based trading framework with novel data normalization.
result CNN-based framework outperforms other methods on 29 stocks.
Network analysis detects insider trading by flagging coordinated trades.
problem Detecting insider trading due to limited labelled data.
method Data-driven network approach using SEC trade data.
result Algorithm identifies insider trading clusters with high accuracy.
Two machine learning methods detect insider trading from investor activity data.
problem Detecting insider trading from trading activity data is challenging.
method Two unsupervised machine learning methods: clustering and group identification.
result Identifies potential insider trading rings around price sensitive events.
Proposes a Coulomb-like model for international trade flows, fitting real-world data.
problem Describing and predicting international trade flows between countries.
method Formulated a coulomb force model where GDP represents charge and distance is influenced by various factors.
result Developed a trade strength distribution equation that fits real-world data well.
Study improves Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.
problem Improving Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.
method Added new covariates and used high-frequency trading data for 222 Nikkei 225 stocks.
result Cox-type model performs well in Japanese market and identifies key factors for accurate estimation.
FinAgent tackles financial trading with multimodal data and advanced AI.
problem Challenges in handling multimodal financial data and limited generalizability.
method Multimodal foundational agent with tool augmentation, dual-level reflection, and diversified memory retrieval.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in financial trading tasks.
Quantum computing improves fill probability estimation in bond trading.
problem Estimating fill probabilities in complex financial markets with uncertainties.
method Quantum learning algorithms applied to real bond trading data.
result Quantum-enhanced models achieve up to 34% better performance in fill prediction.
Paper proposes a deep reinforcement learning model for forex trading that considers transaction costs.
problem Trading in forex markets with high transaction costs and non-stationary data.
method Deep reinforcement learning model considering transaction costs and online learning.
result Maximizes profit while keeping transaction costs low in non-stationary markets.
We propose the point process model as the Poissonian-like stochastic sequence with slowly diffusing mean rate and adjust the parameters of the model to the empirical data of trading activity for 26 stocks traded on NYSE. The proposed scaled stochastic differential equation provides the universal description of the trad…
Develops an LLM-based agent for superior cryptocurrency trading.
problem Lack of LLMs in cryptocurrency trading due to its unique data types.
method Combines on-chain and off-chain data analysis with a reflective mechanism.
result Demonstrates superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional strategies.
Paper introduces a trading agent using LLMs for risk assessment and trading recommendations.
problem Developing a trading agent that can handle financial risks effectively.
method Extending CPPO algorithm with LLM-generated risk assessment and trading signals from financial news.
result Backtesting shows improved performance of the trading agent compared to benchmarks.
Insider trading is one of the numerous white collar crimes that can contribute to the instability of the economy. Traditionally, the detection of illegal insider trades has been a human-driven process. In this paper, we collect the insider tradings made available by the US Securities and Exchange Commissions (SEC) thro…
For Portugal there are few or none works about the international trade of fruits between Portugal and the other countries. In this work it aims to analyze the more recent data for the Portuguese international trade of fruits. They were used data for the years from 2006 to 2010, available by the INE (Statistics Portugal…
Study classifies stock price data into stationary and non-stationary periods for mechanical trading.
problem Classifying stock price fluctuations into stationary and non-stationary periods for trading.
method Stationarity analysis using KM2O-Langevin theory and trend-based indicators for stationary periods, oscillator-based indicators for non-stationary periods. result Back testing confirms the strategy is a safe trading strategy with small maximum drawdown.
TRADES generates realistic market simulations for financial modeling.
problem Generating realistic and responsive market simulations for financial tasks.
method TRADES uses a transformer-based denoising diffusion probabilistic engine to generate time series order flows conditioned on market state.
result TRADES improves market simulation metrics by 3.27-3.48 over state-of-the-art (SoTA) methods.
Pipeline for comparing trading algorithms in finance and crypto.
problem Disconnected research and applications in algorithmic trading.
method General pipeline for designing, programming, and evaluating trading strategies.
result Systematic comparison of trading algorithms in finance and crypto.
Study uses xLSTM in DRL for better stock trading performance.
problem Limited performance of LSTM in dynamic stock trading environments.
method Combines xLSTM in actor and critic components with PPO optimization.
result xLSTM-based model outperforms LSTM in trading metrics.
There are few papers about the international trade of flowers, so it is believed that this paper, with this topic, could be an important contribution to the international scientific community. It is intended to analyze if the international trade flowers tendencies and policies are adapted to the actual world global con…
Traders in a stock market exchange stock shares and form a stock trading network. Trades at different positions of the stock trading network may contain different information. We construct stock trading networks based on the limit order book data and classify traders into k classes using the k-shell decomposition m…
Paper examines costs of using wrong price impact models in trading.
problem Misspecifying price impact models in trading predictions.
method Derives formulas for misspecification costs and applies to trading data.
result Misspecification costs are asymmetric, affecting profits and losses.
Study uses RNN for real-time crypto price prediction and trading optimization.
problem High volatility in cryptocurrency markets makes traditional forecasting models unreliable.
method Data collection, preprocessing, model refinement, and backtesting.
result Improved accuracy in real-time crypto price prediction and optimized trading strategies.
This paper studies trade-offs in private prediction methods.
problem Leakage of training data information in machine learning predictions.
method Private training and private prediction methods with trade-offs.
result Private training methods outperform private prediction methods in various settings.
Deep learning is an effective approach to solving image recognition problems. People draw intuitive conclusions from trading charts; this study uses the characteristics of deep learning to train computers in imitating this kind of intuition in the context of trading charts. The three steps involved are as follows: 1. B…
New trading strategy uses deep neural networks for future stock price predictions.
problem Traditional backtesting of trading strategies is unreliable for future trades.
method Developed a deep neural network to predict stock prices and select optimal trading strategies.
result Neural network predictions improve trading performance metrics.
This paper fine-tunes BERT for stock market sentiment analysis and improves trading performance.
problem Improving trading performance in non-strongly efficient markets.
method Fine-tuning BERT on annotated data, combining with Alpha191 model for regression and prediction.
result Emotional factors significantly improve trading performance, increasing return rates by 73.8% compared to baseline.
QTNet uses deep reinforcement learning to automate trading strategies.
problem Handling noisy and high-frequency financial data, balancing exploration and exploitation.
method QTNet employs deep reinforcement learning (DRL) with imitative learning to autonomously formulate trading strategies.
result QTNet demonstrates proficiency in extracting robust market features and adaptability to diverse conditions.
Method detects insider trading using trading data and dimensionality reduction.
problem Identifying insider trading in large datasets.
method Unsupervised machine learning, principal component analysis, autoencoders.
result Identifies suspicious trading behavior based on reconstruction errors.
DRL agents learn to trade Intel stock with stable positive returns.
problem Active high frequency trading in the stock market.
method End-to-end DRL framework using Proximal Policy Optimization, Sequential Model Based Optimization, and LOB-based meta-features.
result DRL agents create dynamic trading strategies with stable positive returns.
Illegal insider trading of stocks is based on releasing non-public information (e.g., new product launch, quarterly financial report, acquisition or merger plan) before the information is made public. Detecting illegal insider trading is difficult due to the complex, nonlinear, and non-stationary nature of the stock ma…
This study analyzes global oil trade networks to assess their efficiency and robustness.
problem Dynamic monitoring and warning of international trade risks in global oil trade.
method Constructing unweighted and weighted global oil trade networks (OTNs) using UN Comtrade data from 1988 to 2017, and applying complex network theories.
result Efficiency of oil flows increases with complexity of OTNs, and weighted efficiency indicators highlight major events.
QuantNet learns global market trends to improve trading strategies.
problem Developing global trading strategies from multiple markets' data.
method QuantNet integrates transfer and meta-learning to learn market-agnostic trends and market-specific strategies.
result QuantNet outperformed top baseline strategies by 51% Sharpe and 69% Calmar ratios.
AI detects 38% NFT trades likely manipulated, improving on indirect methods.
problem Detecting crypto wash trading using indirect methods and leaked data.
method Public NFT data analysis, direct estimation, AI-based estimator.
result AI reduces estimation errors in NFT markets, improving on indirect methods.
TradingAgents uses LLM-powered multi-agent framework for financial trading.
problem Lack of collaborative dynamics in multi-agent financial trading systems.
method Inspired by real-world trading firms, TradingAgents features specialized LLM-powered agents and a risk management team.
result Framework outperforms baseline models in trading performance metrics.
Co-trading networks reveal dynamic market structures and improve covariance estimation.
problem Modeling high-dimensional stock covariances in US equity markets.
method Co-trading-based pairwise similarity measure for constructing dynamic networks, spectral clustering, robust covariance estimator.
result Co-trading networks capture time-evolving stock dependencies and improve portfolio performance.
Study evaluates 41 ML models for Bitcoin trading performance.
problem Predicting Bitcoin prices for algorithmic trading.
method Examined 21 classifiers and 20 regressors under various market conditions.
result Certain models like Random Forest and Stochastic Gradient Descent outperform others in profit and risk management.
Study reveals inefficiencies in EU carbon trading market.
problem Inefficiencies in carbon trading market undermine emission reduction goals.
method Analysis of granular transaction data from 2005-2020.
result 40% of firms never trade in a given year, and many trade only during high-price months.
Study high-frequency trading patterns in cryptocurrencies.
problem Understanding automated trading algorithms in cryptocurrency markets.
method Analyzes intraday trading data of cryptocurrencies, focusing on returns, volumes, and volatility.
result Provides insights into predictability of economic value in cryptocurrency markets.
This paper presents a simple method for a posteriori (historical) multi-variate multi-stage optimal trading under transaction costs and a diversification constraint. Starting from a given amount of money in some currency, we analyze the stage-wise optimal allocation over a time horizon with potential investments in mul…
We extend the framework of trading strategies of Gatheral [2010] from single stocks to a pair of stocks. Our trading strategy with the executions of two round-trip trades can be described by the trading rates of the paired stocks and the ratio of their trading periods. By minimizing the potential cost arising from cros…
NoxTrader predicts stock returns using LSTM for profitable trading.
problem Predicting profitable stock returns for quantitative trading.
method LSTM model for time-series analysis of stock data.
result Improved investment return from -60% to 325%.
Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies become obsolete and new classes emerge. Using an agent-based model of interacting he…
TraDE uses self-attention for better density estimation of tabular and image data.
problem Improving density estimation for tabular and image data.
method Self-attention-based architecture trained with a penalized maximum likelihood objective.
result TraDE produces significantly better density estimates than existing methods.
Study identifies key trades predicting market movements.
problem Predicting future market price movements.
method Optimized neural network predictor to identify influential trades.
result Trades with specific characteristics significantly impact future price predictions.
Technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets for a long time. The profitability remains controversial and few consider the stationarity of technical indicators used in trading rules. We convert MA, KDJ and Bollinger bands into stationary processes and investigate the profitability…