A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New method maps global value chains at product level from trade data.
This paper introduces Jensen, an easily extensible and scalable toolkit for production-level machine learning and convex optimization. Jensen implements a framework of convex (or loss) functions, convex optimization algorithms (including Gradient Descent, L-BFGS, Stochastic Gradient Descent, Conjugate Gradient, etc.), …
A new method for analyzing product competition using low-dimensional embeddings.
We consider a simple model of rational agents competing in a single product market described by simple linear demand curve. Contrary to accepted economic theory, the agents' production levels synchronise in the absence of conscious collusion, leading to a downward spiraling of market total production until the monopoly…
Productivity and credit limits affect aggregate production in non-monotonic ways.
Energy consumption in Ecuador has increased significantly during the last decades, affecting negatively the financial position of the country since large energy consumption subsidies are provided in its internal market and Ecuador is mostly a crude oil exporter and oil derivatives importer country. This research seeks …
LSTMs improve demand forecasting for e-grocery products.
In this work, we propose data augmentation methods for embeddings from pre-trained deep learning models that take a weighted combination of a pair of input embeddings, as inspired by Mixup, and combine such augmentation with extra label softening. These methods are shown to significantly increase classification accurac…
Biology has changed radically in the last two decades, transitioning from a descriptive science into a design science. Synthetic biology allows us to bioengineer cells to synthesize novel valuable molecules such as renewable biofuels or anticancer drugs. However, traditional synthetic biology approaches involve ad-hoc …
Synthetic population generation is the process of combining multiple socioeconomic and demographic datasets from different sources and/or granularity levels, and downscaling them to an individual level. Although it is a fundamental step for many data science tasks, an efficient and standard framework is absent. In this…
A method for multidimensional probabilistic electricity market forecasting is proposed.
This communication is based on an original approach linking economical factors to technical and methodological ones. This work is applied to the decision process for mix production. This approach is relevant for costing driving systems. The main interesting point is that the quotation factors (linked to time indicators…
The paper proposes a machine learning technique to optimize prices in fashion e-commerce.
Risk hedging can reduce operational costs by adjusting prices and production levels in response to asset price movements.
Optimizes assortment decisions with a new OFU scheme for online choice problems.
Access to a large variety of data across a massive population has made it possible to predict customer purchase patterns and responses to marketing campaigns. In particular, accurate demand forecasts for popular products with frequent repeat purchases are essential since these products are one of the main drivers of pr…
SYNC generates synthetic data from aggregated sources using Gaussian copulas.