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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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3577141,0701,427 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Temporal models

Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.

problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.

TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.

problem Challenges in modeling dynamic temporal graphs, especially in continuous time.
method Temporal Graph Generative Adversarial Network (TG-GAN) that models truncated edge sequences, time budgets, and node attributes.
result TG-GAN significantly outperforms existing methods in efficiency and effectiveness.

Enhances SNNs for spatio-temporal feature extraction.

problem Insufficient temporal dependencies in existing SNN synaptic structures.
method Integrates temporal convolution and attention mechanisms into synaptic connections.
result Improves SNN performance on classification tasks.

ATiSE embeds temporal information into KGs using time series decomposition.

problem Improving KG embedding models by incorporating temporal information.
method ATiSE uses Additive Time Series decomposition to map temporal KGs into multi-dimensional Gaussian distributions.
result ATiSE achieves state-of-the-art performance on link prediction over four temporal KGs.

TMM improves clustering of temporal data, outperforming existing models.

problem Capturing temporal evolution of clusters in time-driven data.
method Temporal Multinomial Mixture (TMM) model that optimizes feature co-occurrences and temporal smoothness.
result TMM outperforms other clustering models in instance-oriented temporal data.

A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.

problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.

ST-UNet models spatio-temporal graphs by pooling and unpooling operations.

problem Lack of effective means to extract dynamic features from spatio-temporal graphs.
method Designing a multi-scale architecture, Spatio-Temporal U-Net (ST-UNet), with paired sampling operations.
result Achieves substantial improvements in spatio-temporal prediction tasks.

New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.

problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.

Generative ConvNet models and synthesizes dynamic video patterns.

problem Modeling and synthesizing dynamic patterns in video sequences.
method A spatial-temporal generative ConvNet learns from training sequences through an iterative 'analysis by synthesis' algorithm.
result The model can synthesize realistic dynamic patterns.

A new model learns demand patterns from data, reducing complexity and improving accuracy.

problem Forecasting short-term demand from spatiotemporal data with complex patterns.
method Temporal-Guided Network (TGNet) using graph networks and temporal-guided embedding.
result TGNet achieves competitive performance with fewer parameters compared to state-of-the-art models.

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

New training algorithm enhances SNNs for temporal signal processing.

problem Lack of robust training algorithms for large-scale SNNs.
method Formulated SNN as IIR filters, proposed training algorithm for optimal synapse filter kernels and weights.
result Model and training algorithm outperform state-of-the-art approaches in accuracy.

Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.

problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.

New model for temporal KG completion using diachronic entity embeddings.

problem Temporal knowledge graph completion for incomplete KGs.
method Developed novel models by equipping static KG embedding models with a diachronic entity embedding function.
result Combining diachronic entity embeddings with SimplE results in superior temporal KG completion.

FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.

STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.

problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.

New framework for unbiased sampling of temporal networks.

problem Challenges in analyzing and modeling large, continuous temporal networks.
method General framework for unbiased temporal network sampling with online, single-pass algorithms and unbiased estimators.
result Effective algorithms for fast, accurate, and memory-efficient statistical estimation of temporal network patterns and properties.

3D-TGCN learns road graphs from time series similarity for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting.

problem Challenging spatio-temporal prediction in traffic networks due to dependency and dynamics.
method Proposes 3D-TGCN with novel components: spatial information-free road graph and 3D graph convolution.
result 3D-TGCN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.

We model GitHub interactions as a temporal knowledge graph for software engineering questions.

problem Insufficient performance of existing temporal models on extrapolated queries and time prediction.
method Introduced an extension to current temporal models using relative temporal information.
result Improved performance on extrapolated queries and time prediction.

HYPA-DBGNN detects anomalous sequential patterns in temporal graphs.

problem Modeling temporal patterns in dynamic graphs, especially considering deviations from random shuffling.
method Two-step approach combining null model inference and neural message passing.
result HYPA-DBGNN outperforms baseline methods in static node classification tasks.

Model improves mortgage credit risk prediction with spatio-temporal machine learning.

problem Improving accuracy of default probabilities and loan portfolio loss distributions in mortgage credit risk.
method Combines tree-boosting with a latent spatio-temporal Gaussian process model.
result Predictive models outperform conventional methods due to non-linear and spatio-temporal effects.

Modeling disease progression in brain images using monotonic Gaussian Processes.

problem Disentangling spatio-temporal disease trajectories from brain imaging data.
method Spatio-temporal matrix factorization with anatomically plausible priors, monotonic Gaussian Processes, and sparse codes.
result Monotonic Gaussian Processes model realistic disease trajectories in brain imaging data.

Paper tackles temporal overfitting in wind power curve modeling.

problem Temporal overfitting in wind power curve modeling.
method Proposes a Gaussian process-based method to partition and model time-invariant and time-varying components.
result Significant improvement in predicting responses for different time periods.

New model infers causal relationships from spatio-temporal data, even with unobserved confounders.

problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from spatio-temporal data due to unobserved confounders.
method Spatio-Temporal Hierarchical Causal Models (ST-HCMs) that extend hierarchical causal modeling to the spatio-temporal domain, using the Spatio-Temporal Collapse Theorem.
result Validated the effectiveness of ST-HCMs on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating robust causal inference in complex dynamic systems.

FNOs improve spatio-temporal forecasting without needing PDE details.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics in physical and biological phenomena.
method Fourier Neural Operators (FNOs) for dynamic spatio-temporal modeling.
result FNO forecasts are accurate and capture complex real-world dependencies.

This study prioritizes temporal resolution over spatial in energy systems models due to higher influence.

problem The impact of spatial and temporal resolution on energy system models.
method Global sensitivity analysis to compare structural aspects, spatial, and temporal resolution.
result Temporal resolution has a higher influence on all results parameters compared to spatial resolution.

The paper shows how ignoring temporal context in recommender systems evaluation leads to false confidence, proposing a method to embed temporal context.

problem The discrepancy between offline and online recommender system performance evaluation.
method Proposes a training procedure to embed temporal context into recommender systems and validates its advantage using multi-objective optimization.
result Including temporal context in recommender systems evaluation can improve recall@20 by up to 20%.

Develops methods to answer counterfactual questions in temporal point processes.

problem Lack of counterfactual analysis in temporal point process models.
method Causal model of thinning based on Gumbel-Max structural causal model, superposition theorem, and sampling algorithm.
result Simulation of counterfactual realizations provides valuable insights for targeted interventions.

Proposes models for learning latent representations of evolving network vertices over time.

problem Inadequate models for capturing temporal smoothness in evolving networks.
method Proposes two models: retrofitted and linear transformation, to capture temporal smoothness.
result Proposed models significantly outperform existing models in temporal link prediction tasks.

TGR rewires temporal graphs to improve TGNN performance.

problem Temporal graphs in evolving networks can suffer from under-reaching and over-squashing issues.
method TGR uses expander graph propagation to create message-passing highways between temporally distant nodes.
result TGR achieves state-of-the-art results on temporal graph benchmarks.

New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.

problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.

Bayesian RNN model forecasts and quantifies uncertainty in spatio-temporal data.

problem Uncertainty quantification in nonlinear spatio-temporal systems.
method Developed a Bayesian RNN model to forecast and quantify uncertainty rigorously.
result The model maintains forecast accuracy while quantifying uncertainty formally.

TASTE combines static and temporal data for phenotyping EHRs.

problem Phenotyping EHRs with both static and temporal data.
method Jointly models static and temporal tensors using PARAFAC2 and non-negative matrix factorization, alternatingly solving sub-problems.
result TASTE outperforms existing methods in speed and clinical meaningfulness of phenotypes.