EmTract extracts emotions from financial social media text.
problem Understanding investor emotions in financial markets.
method Annotated data, DistilBERT model, embedding space augmentation.
result EmTract outperforms existing emotion classifiers.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “Social media data”
This paper studies how social media posts, especially by executives, affect stock prices.
problem Predicting stock market movements using social media data.
method Integrated sentiment analysis of Twitter and Reddit posts with historical stock data using time series models and deep learning.
result Improvements in stock price prediction when social media data, especially executive posts, are included.
The combination of large open data sources with machine learning approaches presents a potentially powerful way to predict events such as protest or social unrest. However, accounting for uncertainty in such models, particularly when using diverse, unstructured datasets such as social media, is essential to guarantee t…
Online social networks offer a new way to investigate financial markets' dynamics by enabling the large-scale analysis of investors' collective behavior. We provide empirical evidence that suggests social media and stock markets have a nonlinear causal relationship. We take advantage of an extensive data set composed o…
Does social media information affect individual investor disposition effect? Evidence from Xueqiuq-fin.GN
Social media reduces individual investors' disposition effect through negative information.
problem The disposition effect in individual investors selling profitable assets too early and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Analysis of post data and trading data from Xueqiu.com.
result Social media information significantly reduces the disposition effect.
Ensemble Deep Learning on Time-Series Representation of Tweets for Rumor Detection in Social Mediacs.LG
Deep learning ensemble detects social media rumors faster.
problem Timely detection of rumors on social media platforms.
method Ensemble model using deep neural networks and time-series tweet data.
result Improved rumor detection performance by 7.9%.
Media Moments and Corporate Connections: A Deep Learning Approach to Stock Movement Classificationq-fin.ST
Deep learning predicts stock movements using social media data.
problem Predicting stock movements with traditional methods is challenging.
method Graph neural network combining financial data and social media.
result Improvement of 28% in cumulative returns.
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.
Finding Social Media Trolls: Dynamic Keyword Selection Methods for Rapidly-Evolving Online Debatescs.LG
Online harassment is a significant social problem. Prevention of online harassment requires rapid detection of harassing, offensive, and negative social media posts. In this paper, we propose the use of word embedding models to identify offensive and harassing social media messages in two aspects: detecting fast-changi…
Opioid addiction is a severe public health threat in the U.S, causing massive deaths and many social problems. Accurate relapse prediction is of practical importance for recovering patients since relapse prediction promotes timely relapse preventions that help patients stay clean. In this paper, we introduce a Generati…
Study shows social media impacts shareholder returns on ESG risks.
problem Investor sentiment and public opinion on ESG risks.
method Event study design using social media data.
result Statistically significant reduction in abnormal returns after ESG-risk events.
Systematic review of ML models for detecting social media deception.
problem Detecting fake news, spam, and fake accounts on social media.
method 36 studies evaluated using PROBAST tool, identifying biases and limitations.
result Over-reliance on accuracy in imbalanced data settings is a flaw.
Study finds social media investor emotions predict stock prices.
problem Validation of social media sentiment models in predicting market behavior.
method Employed EmTract, an emotion model, to test social media sentiment against lab experiments.
result Firm-specific investor emotions forecast daily asset price movements.
Study compares sentiment spillover networks from news and social media in tech companies.
problem Understanding how sentiment information flows between companies through news and social media.
method Network-based transfer entropy method to measure and compare sentiment spillover.
result News shows stronger information flow among tech companies after COVID-19.
Predicting future stock market structure by combining social and financial network informationq-fin.ST
We demonstrate that future market correlation structure can be predicted with high out-of-sample accuracy using a multiplex network approach that combines information from social media and financial data. Market structure is measured by quantifying the co-movement of asset prices returns, while social structure is meas…
Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.
problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.
The rise in popularity of major social media platforms have enabled people to share photos and textual information about their daily life. One of the popular topics about which information is shared is food. Since a lot of media about food are attributed to particular locations and restaurants, information like spatio-…
A growing number of empirical studies suggest that negative advertising is effective in campaigning, while the mechanisms are rarely mentioned. With the scandal of Cambridge Analytica and Russian intervention behind the Brexit and the 2016 presidential election, people have become aware of the political ads on social m…
Paper improves gender detection on social media using deep learning.
problem Traditional classifiers struggle with social media data volume.
method Ensemble deep learning with multi-model architectures.
result Improved gender detection accuracy on social media posts.
The ever-growing volume of data of user-generated content on social media provides a nearly unlimited corpus of unlabeled data even in languages where resources are scarce. In this paper, we demonstrate that state-of-the-art results on two Thai social text categorization tasks can be realized by pretraining a language …
Tweet Influence on Market Trends: Analyzing the Impact of Social Media Sentiment on Biotech Stocksq-fin.ST
Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.
problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.
SINN combines social science and deep learning for predicting opinion dynamics.
problem Predicting opinion dynamics in social networks using traditional models requires extensive calibration with real data.
method SINN integrates theoretical models and social media data using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and matrix factorization.
result SINN outperforms six baseline methods in predicting opinion dynamics on real-world and synthetic datasets.
Opinion polls have been the bridge between public opinion and politicians in elections. However, developing surveys to disclose people's feedback with respect to economic issues is limited, expensive, and time-consuming. In recent years, social media such as Twitter has enabled people to share their opinions regarding …
We are losing biodiversity at an unprecedented scale and in many cases, we do not even know the basic data for the species. Traditional methods for wildlife monitoring are inadequate. Development of new computer vision tools enables the use of images as the source of information about wildlife. Social media is the rich…
This research tackles unsupervised topic extraction in noisy social media data.
problem Capturing customer insights from social media data is challenging due to noise and heterogeneity.
method The research presents three nonparametric approaches based on the Variational Autoencoder framework: Embedded Dirichlet Process, Embedded Hierarchical Dirichlet Process, and time-aware Dynamic Embedded Dirichlet Process.
result The models achieve equal to better performance than state-of-the-art methods in topic extraction from noisy social media data.
The evolution of social media users' behavior over time complicates user-level comparison tasks such as verification, classification, clustering, and ranking. As a result, naïve approaches may fail to generalize to new users or even to future observations of previously known users. In this paper, we propose a novel pro…
Study finds meme stocks have unique price and social media dynamics.
problem Exploring unique properties of meme stocks.
method Regime-switching cointegration model.
result Meme stocks exhibit a distinct 'mementum' compared to other high-volume stocks.
I-AID categorizes disaster tweets into useful information types.
problem Filtering useful information from social media during disasters.
method Multimodel approach using BERT, GAT, and Relation Network.
result I-AID outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in F1 scores.
Develops NFCF to reduce gender bias in social media recommendation systems.
problem Reduces gender bias in collaborative filtering systems on social media data.
method Pre-training and fine-tuning neural collaborative filtering with bias correction techniques.
result Achieves better performance and fairness in gender de-biased recommendations.
Domestic Violence (DV) is considered as big social issue and there exists a strong relationship between DV and health impacts of the public. Existing research studies have focused on social media to track and analyse real world events like emerging trends, natural disasters, user sentiment analysis, political opinions,…
Analyzes ESG impact on stock market performance using social media and news data.
problem Understanding the impact of ESG news on stock market performance.
method Summarized live ESG data from social media and news, created sentiment index, calculated stock price changes, and compared sentiment to performance.
result ESG sentiment correlates with stock price changes, indicating its impact on market performance.
Study uses social media to analyze COVID-19 impact.
problem Understanding the global impact of COVID-19.
method Machine learning and linguistic tools to analyze social media posts.
result Automatic detection of positive reports of COVID-19.
Cryptocurrency Bubble Detection: A New Stock Market Dataset, Financial Task & Hyperbolic Modelscs.CL
New dataset and models detect cryptocurrency bubbles using social media data.
problem Detecting anomalous market behavior in cryptocoins and meme stocks.
method Developed a novel multi-span identification task and sequence-to-sequence hyperbolic models.
result Models effectively detect cryptocoins and meme stocks bubbles in zero-shot settings.
Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.
problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.
Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence the trends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focused on the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countries such as China, where retail investors dominate the market. In this regard, as retail inv…
DASC combines social media and car sensors to improve disaster response.
problem Inconsistent reliability and inconsistent availability of human sensors.
method Hybrid social-car sensing system using game theory, feedback control, and MDP.
result DASC improves detection accuracy and efficiency in disaster response.
Detecting depression early from social media texts.
problem Early diagnosis and prevention of depression.
method Topic analysis and learned confidence scores.
result Achieved good results compared to state of the art.
The echo chamber effect resounds on financial markets: a social media alert system for meme stocksq-fin.TR
Paper detects social media influencers affecting financial markets.
problem Impact of social media influencers on financial markets.
method Developed an early warning system for detecting suspicious social network activity.
result Discrepancy in meme and non-meme stocks' reactions to social networks.
This paper improves typhoon intensity prediction using social media data and semantic word embeddings.
problem Short-term disaster prediction from historical data alone is limited.
method Combining semantically-enriched word embeddings with traditional word2vec for social media data, and an end-to-end learning framework.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in typhoon intensity prediction.
Author2Vec generates user embeddings from social media data.
problem Generating useful user embeddings from noisy social media data.
method End-to-end neural network with BERT sentence representations and unsupervised pre-training.
result Author2Vec outperforms traditional methods in user classification tasks.
Using a method rooted in information theory, we present results that have identified a large set of stocks for which social media can be informative regarding financial volatility. By clustering stocks based on the joint feature sets of social and financial variables, our research provides an important contribution by …
With the proliferation of social media, fashion inspired from celebrities, reputed designers as well as fashion influencers has shortened the cycle of fashion design and manufacturing. However, with the explosion of fashion related content and large number of user generated fashion photos, it is an arduous task for fas…
Sentiment analysis from news and social media predicts forex market movements.
problem Forecasting forex market movements using sentiment analysis.
method Lexicon-based analysis and Naive Bayes machine learning.
result Sentiment analysis is effective in predicting forex market movements.
The damaging effects of hate speech on social media are evident during the last few years, and several organizations, researchers and social media platforms tried to harness them in various ways. Despite these efforts, social media users are still affected by hate speech. The problem is even more apparent to social gro…
In the past decade, tracking health trends using social media data has shown great promise, due to a powerful combination of massive adoption of social media around the world, and increasingly potent hardware and software that enables us to work with these new big data streams. At the same time, many challenging proble…
Study improves cryptocurrency price prediction using deep learning with trading and social media indicators.
problem Predicting price movements of cryptocurrencies using deep learning.
method Used deep learning algorithms (MLP, CNN, LSTM, ALSTM) on hourly and daily data of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
result Unrestricted model with trading and social media indicators outperforms restricted model.
Graph-Hist: Graph Classification from Latent Feature Histograms With Application to Bot Detectioncs.LG
Neural networks are increasingly used for graph classification in a variety of contexts. Social media is a critical application area in this space, however the characteristics of social media graphs differ from those seen in most popular benchmark datasets. Social networks tend to be large and sparse, while benchmarks …
There is a large amount of interest in understanding users of social media in order to predict their behavior in this space. Despite this interest, user predictability in social media is not well-understood. To examine this question, we consider a network of fifteen thousand users on Twitter over a seven week period. W…