We study association between macroeconomic news and stock market returns using the statistical theory of copulas, and a new comprehensive measure of news based on the indexing of news wires. We find the impact of economic news on equity returns to be nonlinear and asymmetric. In particular, controlling for economic con…
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48 results for “News”
FININ predicts financial markets by modeling news interactions and influence.
problem Complex diffusion of financial news into market prices.
method FININ is a novel model that captures news links and interactions, integrating market data and news articles.
result FININ outperforms advanced models with a 0.429 and 0.341 improvement in daily Sharpe ratio for S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 respectively.
New News is Bad Newsq-fin.GN
News novelty predicts negative stock market returns.
problem Negative stock market returns due to increased news novelty.
method Quantified news novelty using entropy measure from recurrent neural network applied to a large news corpus.
result Entropy exposure carries a negative risk premium, indicating that assets positively correlated with entropy hedge aggregate news risk.
The viral spread of fake news has caused great social harm, making fake news detection an urgent task. Current fake news detection methods rely heavily on text information by learning the extracted news content or writing style of internal knowledge. However, deliberate rumors can mask writing style, bypassing language…
Quantum analysis tags news for sentiment and entities.
problem Identifying bias in news reporting.
method Continuous data collection, NER and sentiment analysis.
result A corpus of tagged news articles for public use.
SAFE detects fake news by analyzing text and image similarities.
problem Detecting fake news with less focus on text-image similarity.
method SAFE uses neural networks to extract text and visual features, then learns their relationship to predict fake news.
result SAFE effectively recognizes fake news based on text, images, or mismatches.
We propose an indicator to measure the degree to which a particular news article is novel, as well as an indicator to measure the degree to which a particular news item attracts attention from investors. The novelty measure is obtained by comparing the extent to which a particular news article is similar to earlier new…
New model uses financial news to predict stock returns.
problem Predicting stock returns based on financial news.
method Derive company embedding vectors from news, select basis assets, and use statistical methods.
result NEUS model outperforms Fama-French 5-factor model.
News embeddings improve volatility forecasts.
problem Improving volatility forecasting accuracy.
method Transformed news text into embeddings, evaluated standalone and combined with benchmarks.
result News contains useful predictive information, especially for stock-related content.
MANA-Net improves market predictions by dynamically weighting news sentiments.
problem Aggregated Sentiment Homogenization in financial news data.
method Dynamic market-news attention mechanism to aggregate sentiments.
result MANA-Net outperforms recent market prediction methods by 1.1% Profit & Loss and 0.252 daily Sharpe ratio.
Stock prices are driven by various factors. In particular, many individual investors who have relatively little financial knowledge rely heavily on the information from news stories when making investment decisions in the stock market. However, these stories may not reflect future stock prices because of the subjectivi…
Nowadays, Internet is a primary source of attaining health information. Massive fake health news which is spreading over the Internet, has become a severe threat to public health. Numerous studies and research works have been done in fake news detection domain, however, few of them are designed to cope with the challen…
Online news media provides aggregated news and stories from different sources all over the world and up-to-date news coverage. The main goal of this study is to have a solution that considered as a homogeneous source for the news and to represent the news in a new conceptual framework. Furthermore, the user can easily …
New States of Matter Suggested by New Topological Structurescond-mat.quant-gas
We extend the well-known Borromean and Brunnian rings to new higher order versions. Then we suggest an extension of the connection between Efimov states in cold gases and Borromean and Brunnian rings to these new higher order links. This gives rise to a whole new hierarchy of possible states with Efimov states at the b…
MALCOM generates fake comments to fool fake news detectors.
problem Adversaries can manipulate fake news detection models with malicious comments.
method Proposes a novel threat model and develops an adversarial comment generation framework (MALCOM).
result MALCOM can fool fake news detectors 90-94% of the time, depending on the model and dataset.
Study detects fake news in Brazilian Portuguese using machine learning.
problem Spread of misinformation through fake news in Brazilian Portuguese.
method Machine learning, TF-IDF, Word2Vec, classification algorithms.
result High accuracy and F1-Score in identifying fake news.
News on inflation and monetary policy impacts US household inflation expectations.
problem Understanding how news affects inflation expectations.
method Monthly disaggregated US data from 1978 to 2016, controlling for various factors.
result News on rising inflation and easier monetary policy has a stronger impact on inflation expectations.
A new construction of naturally reductive spaces is presented. This construction gives a large amount of new families of naturally reductive spaces. First the infinitesimal models of the new naturally reductive spaces are constructed. A concrete transitive group of isometries is given for the new spaces and also the na…
Motivated by recent financial crises significant research efforts have been put into studying contagion effects and herding behaviour in financial markets. Much less has been said about influence of financial news on financial markets. We propose a novel measure of collective behaviour in financial news on the Web, New…
The profusion of online news articles makes it difficult to find interesting articles, a problem that can be assuaged by using a recommender system to bring the most relevant news stories to readers. However, news recommendation is challenging because the most relevant articles are often new content seen by few users. …
We propose how to quantify high-frequency market sentiment using high-frequency news from NASDAQ news platform and support vector machine classifiers. News arrive at markets randomly and the resulting news sentiment behaves like a stochastic process. To characterize the joint evolution of sentiment, price, and volatili…
Study news networks to predict stock returns.
problem Predicting cross-sectional stock returns using news networks.
method Constructed time-varying directed networks of S&P500 stocks from 1 million news articles, identified stock tickers using an algorithm, and tested for comovement and reversal effects.
result News network attention proxy, network degree, predicts monthly stock returns robustly.
New inequality helps map stability in minimal surfaces.
problem Stability of minimal surfaces in .
method Developing new inequalities and perspectives on minimal surfaces.
result Reproves instability of classical minimal surfaces like Enneper.
Do All Good Actors Look The Same? Exploring News Veracity Detection Across The U.S. and The U.Kcs.CL
Study shows text-based news veracity models don't generalize across U.S. and U.K.
problem Generalizability of text-based news veracity detection models across countries.
method Testing news veracity models on U.S. and U.K. news data.
result Text-based classifiers perform poorly when trained on one country's news data and tested on another.
We use Random Matrix Theory (RMT) and information theory to analyze the correlations and flow of information between 64,939 news from The New York Times and 40 world financial indices during 10 months along the period 2015-2016. The set of news was quantified and transformed into daily polarity time series using tools …
Predict stock movement with news headlines using BERT embeddings.
problem Predicting stock price movement after financial news.
method Fine-Tuned Contextualized-Embedding Recurrent Neural Network (FT-CE-RNN) using BERT.
result Obtains state-of-the-art results on stock movement prediction task.
Study shows publicly available news impacts financial markets.
problem Impact of publicly available news on financial markets.
method Extracted news from Common Crawl, identified relevant companies, used sentiment analysis and information theory.
result Publicly available news has significant impact on financial markets.
Paper predicts stock volatility using ESG news, showing deep learning's effectiveness.
problem Predicting stock volatility using ESG news.
method ESG news extraction, news representations, and Bayesian inference of deep learning models.
result Deep learning models predict stock volatility better than traditional methods.
We present a new construction for obtaining pairs of higher-step isospectral Riemannian nilmanifolds and compare several resulting new examples. In particular, we present new examples of manifolds that are isospectral on functions, but not isospectral on one-forms.
The study identifies impactful news articles based on liquidity changes, improving asset return prediction.
problem Evaluating the sentiment of financial news articles for institutional investors.
method Liquidity-driven variables are used to identify impactful news articles, focusing on liquidity mode switches.
result The screened dataset leads to superior performance in short-term asset return prediction.
On the one hand, nowadays, fake news articles are easily propagated through various online media platforms and have become a grand threat to the trustworthiness of information. On the other hand, our understanding of the language of fake news is still minimal. Incorporating hierarchical discourse-level structure of fak…
Paper uses financial news for stock trend forecasting using deep multiple instance learning.
problem Forecasting stock trends from financial news articles.
method Developed a flexible and adaptive multi-instance learning model for bags of instances (financial news articles) on trading days.
result Outstanding trend prediction accuracy compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
News explains most overnight stock market gains.
problem Understanding why overnight stock market gains are common.
method Supervised topic analysis of 2.4 million news articles.
result Time variation in news topics and their responses explain overnight returns.
New statistical factors improve portfolio risk estimation.
problem Improving estimation of portfolio risk using new statistical factors.
method Matrix factor models and statistical methods (partial F test, double selection LASSO).
result New statistical factors add explanatory power in asset pricing.
Online news recommender systems aim to address the information explosion of news and make personalized recommendation for users. In general, news language is highly condensed, full of knowledge entities and common sense. However, existing methods are unaware of such external knowledge and cannot fully discover latent k…
The rising growth of fake news and misleading information through online media outlets demands an automatic method for detecting such news articles. Of the few limited works which differentiate between trusted vs other types of news article (satire, propaganda, hoax), none of them model sentence interactions within a d…
In recent years, due to the booming development of online social networks, fake news for various commercial and political purposes has been appearing in large numbers and widespread in the online world. With deceptive words, online social network users can get infected by these online fake news easily, which has brough…
Social media are nowadays one of the main news sources for millions of people around the globe due to their low cost, easy access and rapid dissemination. This however comes at the cost of dubious trustworthiness and significant risk of exposure to 'fake news', intentionally written to mislead the readers. Automaticall…
We present a Hawkes model approach to foreign exchange market in which the high frequency price dynamics is affected by a self exciting mechanism and an exogenous component, generated by the pre-announced arrival of macroeconomic news. By focusing on time windows around the news announcement, we find that the model is …
With the information explosion of news articles, personalized news recommendation has become important for users to quickly find news that they are interested in. Existing methods on news recommendation mainly include collaborative filtering methods which rely on direct user-item interactions and content based methods …
We derive a new variational principle, leading to a new momentum map and a new multisymplectic formulation for a family of Euler--Poincaré equations defined on the Virasoro-Bott group, by using the inverse map (also called `back-to-labels' map). This family contains as special cases the well-known Korteweg-de Vries, Ca…
This paper predicts stock prices using LLMs and news embeddings.
problem Predicting stock prices with high accuracy and relevance.
method Integrates LLMs with stock name embeddings and attention mechanisms for news filtering.
result Reduces MAE by 7.11% compared to baseline.
New method to derive integrable systems from existing Lax systems.
problem Deriving new integrable systems from existing ones.
method Systematic method of deriving new integrable systems from a given one.
result Examples of new integrable systems derived, including the dispersionless Hirota equation, the general heavenly equation, and the web equations.
In the present paper, we develop the parity theory invented in \cite{ManSb}; we construct new parities for two-component (virtual and free) links. New parities significantly depend on geometrical properties of diagrams; in particular, they are mutation-sensitive. New parities can be used practically in all problems, wh…
In this paper, a new approach of defining Steiner symmetrization of coercive convex functions is proposed and some fundamental properties of the new Steiner symmetrization are proved. Further, using the new Steiner symmetrization, we give a different approach to prove a functional version of the Blaschke-Santalo inequa…
We present ProxiModel, a novel event mining framework for extracting high-quality structured event knowledge from large, redundant, and noisy news data sources. The proposed model differentiates itself from other approaches by modeling both the event correlation within each individual document as well as across the cor…
New anomaly formulas from E8 bundles.
problem Anomaly cancellation in characteristic forms.
method Constructing modular forms using E8 bundles.
result New anomaly cancellation formulas.
News and price returns from threshold behaviour and vice-versa: exact solution of a simple agent-based market modelphysics.soc-ph
Starting from an exact relationship between news, threshold and price return distributions in the stationary state, I discuss the ability of the Ghoulmie-Cont-Nadal model of traders to produce fat-tailed price returns. Under normal conditions, this model is not able to transform Gaussian news into fat-tailed price retu…