New Monte Carlo method outperforms existing strategy for estimating Sobol' indices.
problem Estimating first-and total-orders Sobol' indices accurately.
method Comparing two Monte Carlo estimators for Sobol' indices.
result New method outperforms current approach in accuracy.
A new approach to sensitivity analysis without the Sobol decomposition.
problem Traditional sensitivity indices like Sobol indices have limitations.
method Introducing sensitivity measures that generalize existing indices and define interaction effects.
result Sensitivity measures can create new indices and define interaction effects.
Sobol method applied to probabilistic networks for sensitivity analysis.
problem Measuring influence of probabilistic network nodes on a quantity of interest.
method Transforms global sensitivity analysis into marginalization inference exploiting network structure.
result Efficient computation of sensitivity indices for complex networks.
This paper simplifies conditional Sobol' indices calculation using PCE bases.
problem Computational inefficiency and lack of consistency in evaluating conditional Sobol' indices.
method Analytical extraction of conditional Sobol' indices via basis decomposition of PCE expansions.
result Derives closed-form expressions for conditional Sobol' indices.
Enhances sensitivity analysis for correlated inputs.
problem Estimating sensitivity indices in models with correlated inputs.
method Proposes an extension of Sobol' estimator using a linear correlation model.
result Improves accuracy in variance-based sensitivity analysis.
Gradient-enhanced GSA uses Poincaré chaos expansions for accurate sensitivity analysis.
problem Accurately estimating Sobol' indices with limited data.
method Integrates sparse, gradient-enhanced regression with Poincaré chaos expansions for derivative-based sensitivity analysis.
result Accurately estimated Sobol' indices using limited data.
Extensions to given-data Sobol' index estimators for large models.
problem Efficiently compute Sobol' indices for models with many inputs.
method General definition, streaming algorithm, heuristic filtering.
result Comparable accuracy and lower memory usage for large models.
A new method ranks and selects features without model fitting.
problem Feature importance measures algorithm-specific and need improvement.
method Integrates global sensitivity analysis with forward selection and backward elimination.
result Demonstrates clear advantage over state-of-the-art methods.
Study adapts AI research methods to analyze image augmentation impacts on neural network operations.
problem Understanding how image augmentation affects neural network performance and sensitivity.
method Adapted treatment-control paradigm, uses variance decomposition, Sobol indices, and Shapley values for sensitivity analysis.
result Visualizes and quantifies sensitivity to different image augmentation parameters.
Proposes counterfactual explainability for causal attribution, extending variance analysis methods.
problem Lack of mechanistic understanding in existing tools for explaining complex models.
method Extends global sensitivity analysis methods to causal explanations using directed acyclic graphs.
result Developed methods to estimate counterfactual explainability and applied to income inequality analysis.
SSRCA simplifies ABM sensitivity analysis using machine learning.
problem Hardness of performing sensitivity analysis for complex ABMs.
method Machine learning pipeline (Simulate, Summarize, Reduce, Cluster, Analyze) for ABMs.
result SSRCA identifies sensitive parameters and common output patterns for ABMs.
IGSD separates task-specific content channels in transformer components by comparing activation replacement with zero ablation.
problem Mechanistic interpretability of transformer components
method IGSD: paired-intervention framework for comparing activation replacement with zero ablation
result IGSD identifies an early-layer content channel in transformer components that standard importance methods underestimate.
New method for mixed-variable GSA improves material design efficiency.
problem Designing materials with both quantitative and qualitative variables.
method Integrates LVGP with Sobol' analysis for mixed-variable GSA.
result Accelerates exploration of novel MOF candidates in combinatorial design spaces.
New method improves variable importance in random forests.
problem MDA's inconsistency in random forests.
method Theoretical analysis and development of Sobol-MDA.
result Sobol-MDA consistently estimates forest accuracy decrease.
Polynomial chaos surrogates quantify epistemic uncertainty in AI-driven scientific models.
problem Uncertainty in reward estimates hinders interpretability in sequential generative models.
method Fit polynomial chaos expansions to trained models to propagate epistemic uncertainty and quantify sensitivity.
result Interpretable decomposition of reward components driving generative decisions.
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
A new method distills material models from noisy data without prior selection.
problem Uncertainty in material model discovery from noisy data.
method Augmenting data with Gaussian process, approximating parameter distribution with normalizing flow, distilling by matching stress-deformation functions, performing sensitivity analysis.
result Sparse and interpretable material models discovered from experimental data.
Active learning method improves sensitivity analysis of complex models.
problem Limited model evaluations in global sensitivity analysis.
method Gradient-based active learning with Gaussian process.
result Improves sensitivity analysis accuracy with reduced evaluations.
RQMC improves QMC by providing practical error bounds for financial applications.
problem Lack of practical error estimates in QMC methods.
method Combines Sobol LDS with randomized scrambling methods.
result RQMC outperforms standard QMC in convergence rates and provides error bounds.
The paper develops methods to analyze sensitivity in stochastic models using surrogate models.
problem Quantifying the impact of input variability on stochastic simulators with randomness.
method The authors propose using generalized lambda models to emulate response distributions of stochastic simulators and estimate sensitivity indices.
result The proposed method can estimate sensitivity indices even with strong heteroskedasticity and small signal-to-noise ratio.
A new method reduces both input and output dimensions for better goal-oriented analysis.
problem Simultaneous reduction of input and output dimensions for more accurate analysis.
method Coupled input-output dimension reduction, optimizing gradient-based bounds.
result Determine most informative sensors and influential parameters efficiently.
We review and apply Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC) and Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) techniques to pricing and risk management (greeks) of representative financial instruments of increasing complexity. We compare QMC vs standard Monte Carlo (MC) results in great detail, using high-dimensional Sobol' low discrepancy sequen…
Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.
problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.
Proposes ICE-based metric for better understanding interactions in black-box models.
problem Misleading global sensitivity metrics in black-box models due to interaction effects.
method Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) curves to compute feature importance and interactions.
result ICE-based metric provides richer insights into feature importance and interactions.
Sampling strategies significantly affect feature approximations in ELA, impacting classifier accuracy.
problem The impact of sampling strategies on feature approximations in ELA.
method Analysis of feature approximations from different sampling strategies and sample sizes.
result Feature approximations from different sampling strategies do not converge, affecting classifier accuracy.
QMC and GSA improve option pricing and risk measures efficiency.
problem Efficiently pricing and hedging complex financial instruments.
method Application of QMC and GSA techniques for financial instrument pricing and hedging, comparing MC vs QMC and analyzing greeks computation.
result QMC outperforms MC in most cases, especially in high-dimensional simulations, leading to faster and more stable convergence.
New method quantifies intrinsic causal contributions in neural networks.
problem Measuring the causal influence of input features in deep neural networks.
method Proposes an identifiable generative post-hoc framework to quantify intrinsic causal contributions (ICC) as structural causal models.
result ICC generates more intuitive and reliable explanations compared to existing global explanation techniques.
Polynomial chaos surrogates handle intrinsic noise in stochastic models.
problem Handling intrinsic noise in stochastic models with parametric uncertainty.
method Developed a PCE surrogate on a joint space of intrinsic and parametric uncertainty using Rosenblatt transformations and Karhunen-Loeve expansion.
result Quantified intrinsic noise contribution to model output variance using PCE Sobol indices.
Unified framework for linear attribution methods in deep learning.
problem Separate theoretical foundations of XAI attribution methods.
method GRALIS (Gradient-Riesz Averaged Locally-Integrated Shapley) framework.
result Unified representation theory for linear attribution methods.
In this paper, we propose an R package, called RKHSMetaMod, that implements a procedure for estimating a meta-model of a complex model. The meta-model approximates the Hoeffding decomposition of the complex model and allows us to perform sensitivity analysis on it. It belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space that …
Practitioners sometimes suggest to use a combination of Sobol sequences and orthonormal polynomials when applying an LSMC algorithm for evaluation of option prices or in the context of risk capital calculation under the Solvency II regime. In this paper, we give a theoretical justification why good implementations of a…
Bayesian optimization (BO) and its batch extensions are successful for optimizing expensive black-box functions. However, these traditional BO approaches are not yet ideal for optimizing less expensive functions when the computational cost of BO can dominate the cost of evaluating the blackbox function. Examples of the…
Prevents sensitive data generation in diffusion models using labeled and unlabeled data.
problem Generating sensitive data in diffusion models using unlabeled data.
method Positive-Unlabeled Diffusion Models, approximating ELBO with labeled and unlabeled data.
result Prevents the generation of sensitive data without compromising image quality.
Unified framework for CVA sensitivities, hedging, and risk assessment.
problem Computing and managing Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) sensitivities and risks.
method Probabilistic machine learning and refined regression on simulated data, validated by Monte Carlo methods.
result Identification of optimal sensitivities for practical tasks like hedging and risk assessment.
This work provides efficient algorithms for approximating ℓ_p sensitivities and related statistics.
problem Estimating the importance of datapoints in high-dimensional datasets.
method Efficient algorithms for computing α-approximation of ℓ_1 sensitivities and total sensitivity using importance sampling and sensitivity computations.
result Real-world datasets have significantly lower intrinsic effective dimensionality than theoretical predictions.
New method speeds up causal sensitivity analysis.
problem Bounding causal effects in unobserved confounding.
method Amortized approach using prior-data fitted networks.
result Orders of magnitude faster computation.
Worst-Case Sensitivity measures model sensitivity to uncertainty set size.
problem Model sensitivity to uncertainty set size in Distributionally Robust Optimization.
method Introducing Worst-Case Sensitivity as a measure of model sensitivity, and deriving closed-form expressions for various uncertainty sets.
result DRO solutions can be sensitive to the family and size of the uncertainty set, and worst-case sensitivity reflects these properties.
Simplified equation predicts model sensitivity to data.
problem Understanding model sensitivity to training data is challenging and costly.
method Derived using Bayesian principles, the Memory-Perturbation Equation (MPE) unifies and generalizes existing sensitivity measures.
result Empirical results show sensitivity estimates during training can predict generalization on unseen test data.
Paper introduces AIF for anomaly detection with variable feature sensitivity.
problem Lack of variable sensitivity in anomaly detection methods.
method Extended Isolation Forest with feature sensitivities (Anisotropic Isolation Forest).
result AIF enables anomaly detection with controllable sensitivity to different features.
Geometric modeling for human food and chemical sensitivities.
problem Modeling biochemical processes in humans with sensitivities.
method Geometric approach to biochemical modeling.
result Geometric models improve understanding of sensitivities.
New approach detects sensitive info in text, outperforming previous methods.
problem Detecting sensitive information in unstructured text documents.
method Developed novel recursive neural network approaches for sensitive info detection, assuming only labeled examples.
result Our approaches significantly outperform previous keyword-based methods on real-world data.
SeReNe prunes neurons with low sensitivity to reduce network size.
problem Large neural networks consume too many resources on resource-constrained devices.
method Exploits neural sensitivity as a regularizer to prune neurons with low sensitivity.
result Pruning neurons with low sensitivity achieves competitive compression ratios.
A new procedure for learning cost-sensitive SVM(CS-SVM) classifiers is proposed. The SVM hinge loss is extended to the cost sensitive setting, and the CS-SVM is derived as the minimizer of the associated risk. The extension of the hinge loss draws on recent connections between risk minimization and probability elicitat…
Paper uses Chebyshev Tensors for accurate dynamic sensitivities and ISDA SIMM computation.
problem Computing dynamic sensitivities and initial margin for financial instruments.
method Uses Chebyshev Tensors in Monte Carlo simulations to compute dynamic sensitivities and ISDA SIMM.
result High accuracy and computational gains for FX swaps and Spread Options.
Gaussian Process (GP) models are often used as mathematical approximations of computationally expensive experiments. Provided that its kernel is suitably chosen and that enough data is available to obtain a reasonable fit of the simulator, a GP model can beneficially be used for tasks such as prediction, optimization, …
New method calculates sensitivity of system failure probability.
problem Difficulty in computing sensitivity of failure probability.
method Monte Carlo strategy using response gradient and kernel smoothing.
result Single Monte Carlo run for sensitivity estimates.
Paper introduces RCaI, a risk-sensitive control method using Rényi divergence.
problem Risk-sensitive control in reinforcement learning.
method RCaI extends CaI using Rényi divergence variational inference.
result Risk-sensitive optimal policy can be obtained by solving a soft Bellman equation.
The paper analyzes robustness and sensitivity of rough Volterra stochastic volatility models.
problem Analyzing the robustness and sensitivity of stochastic volatility models.
method Statistical tests and empirical analysis on Apple Inc. equity options.
result Comparison of different models' robustness and sensitivity to option data structure.