A new approach to sensitivity analysis without the Sobol decomposition.
problem Traditional sensitivity indices like Sobol indices have limitations.
method Introducing sensitivity measures that generalize existing indices and define interaction effects.
result Sensitivity measures can create new indices and define interaction effects.
This paper simplifies conditional Sobol' indices calculation using PCE bases.
problem Computational inefficiency and lack of consistency in evaluating conditional Sobol' indices.
method Analytical extraction of conditional Sobol' indices via basis decomposition of PCE expansions.
result Derives closed-form expressions for conditional Sobol' indices.
IGSD separates task-specific content channels in transformer components by comparing activation replacement with zero ablation.
problem Mechanistic interpretability of transformer components
method IGSD: paired-intervention framework for comparing activation replacement with zero ablation
result IGSD identifies an early-layer content channel in transformer components that standard importance methods underestimate.
Enhances sensitivity analysis for correlated inputs.
problem Estimating sensitivity indices in models with correlated inputs.
method Proposes an extension of Sobol' estimator using a linear correlation model.
result Improves accuracy in variance-based sensitivity analysis.
New Monte Carlo method outperforms existing strategy for estimating Sobol' indices.
problem Estimating first-and total-orders Sobol' indices accurately.
method Comparing two Monte Carlo estimators for Sobol' indices.
result New method outperforms current approach in accuracy.
Extensions to given-data Sobol' index estimators for large models.
problem Efficiently compute Sobol' indices for models with many inputs.
method General definition, streaming algorithm, heuristic filtering.
result Comparable accuracy and lower memory usage for large models.
Sobol method applied to probabilistic networks for sensitivity analysis.
problem Measuring influence of probabilistic network nodes on a quantity of interest.
method Transforms global sensitivity analysis into marginalization inference exploiting network structure.
result Efficient computation of sensitivity indices for complex networks.
Polynomial chaos surrogates quantify epistemic uncertainty in AI-driven scientific models.
problem Uncertainty in reward estimates hinders interpretability in sequential generative models.
method Fit polynomial chaos expansions to trained models to propagate epistemic uncertainty and quantify sensitivity.
result Interpretable decomposition of reward components driving generative decisions.
RQMC improves QMC by providing practical error bounds for financial applications.
problem Lack of practical error estimates in QMC methods.
method Combines Sobol LDS with randomized scrambling methods.
result RQMC outperforms standard QMC in convergence rates and provides error bounds.
Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.
problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.
New method improves variable importance in random forests.
problem MDA's inconsistency in random forests.
method Theoretical analysis and development of Sobol-MDA.
result Sobol-MDA consistently estimates forest accuracy decrease.
A new method ranks and selects features without model fitting.
problem Feature importance measures algorithm-specific and need improvement.
method Integrates global sensitivity analysis with forward selection and backward elimination.
result Demonstrates clear advantage over state-of-the-art methods.
Gradient-enhanced GSA uses Poincaré chaos expansions for accurate sensitivity analysis.
problem Accurately estimating Sobol' indices with limited data.
method Integrates sparse, gradient-enhanced regression with Poincaré chaos expansions for derivative-based sensitivity analysis.
result Accurately estimated Sobol' indices using limited data.
In this paper, we propose an R package, called RKHSMetaMod, that implements a procedure for estimating a meta-model of a complex model. The meta-model approximates the Hoeffding decomposition of the complex model and allows us to perform sensitivity analysis on it. It belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space that …
New method quantifies intrinsic causal contributions in neural networks.
problem Measuring the causal influence of input features in deep neural networks.
method Proposes an identifiable generative post-hoc framework to quantify intrinsic causal contributions (ICC) as structural causal models.
result ICC generates more intuitive and reliable explanations compared to existing global explanation techniques.
Proposes counterfactual explainability for causal attribution, extending variance analysis methods.
problem Lack of mechanistic understanding in existing tools for explaining complex models.
method Extends global sensitivity analysis methods to causal explanations using directed acyclic graphs.
result Developed methods to estimate counterfactual explainability and applied to income inequality analysis.
Study adapts AI research methods to analyze image augmentation impacts on neural network operations.
problem Understanding how image augmentation affects neural network performance and sensitivity.
method Adapted treatment-control paradigm, uses variance decomposition, Sobol indices, and Shapley values for sensitivity analysis.
result Visualizes and quantifies sensitivity to different image augmentation parameters.
SSRCA simplifies ABM sensitivity analysis using machine learning.
problem Hardness of performing sensitivity analysis for complex ABMs.
method Machine learning pipeline (Simulate, Summarize, Reduce, Cluster, Analyze) for ABMs.
result SSRCA identifies sensitive parameters and common output patterns for ABMs.
A new method distills material models from noisy data without prior selection.
problem Uncertainty in material model discovery from noisy data.
method Augmenting data with Gaussian process, approximating parameter distribution with normalizing flow, distilling by matching stress-deformation functions, performing sensitivity analysis.
result Sparse and interpretable material models discovered from experimental data.
New method for mixed-variable GSA improves material design efficiency.
problem Designing materials with both quantitative and qualitative variables.
method Integrates LVGP with Sobol' analysis for mixed-variable GSA.
result Accelerates exploration of novel MOF candidates in combinatorial design spaces.
Sampling strategies significantly affect feature approximations in ELA, impacting classifier accuracy.
problem The impact of sampling strategies on feature approximations in ELA.
method Analysis of feature approximations from different sampling strategies and sample sizes.
result Feature approximations from different sampling strategies do not converge, affecting classifier accuracy.
Practitioners sometimes suggest to use a combination of Sobol sequences and orthonormal polynomials when applying an LSMC algorithm for evaluation of option prices or in the context of risk capital calculation under the Solvency II regime. In this paper, we give a theoretical justification why good implementations of a…
Unified framework for linear attribution methods in deep learning.
problem Separate theoretical foundations of XAI attribution methods.
method GRALIS (Gradient-Riesz Averaged Locally-Integrated Shapley) framework.
result Unified representation theory for linear attribution methods.
Bayesian optimization (BO) and its batch extensions are successful for optimizing expensive black-box functions. However, these traditional BO approaches are not yet ideal for optimizing less expensive functions when the computational cost of BO can dominate the cost of evaluating the blackbox function. Examples of the…
We review and apply Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC) and Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) techniques to pricing and risk management (greeks) of representative financial instruments of increasing complexity. We compare QMC vs standard Monte Carlo (MC) results in great detail, using high-dimensional Sobol' low discrepancy sequen…
A new method reduces both input and output dimensions for better goal-oriented analysis.
problem Simultaneous reduction of input and output dimensions for more accurate analysis.
method Coupled input-output dimension reduction, optimizing gradient-based bounds.
result Determine most informative sensors and influential parameters efficiently.
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
Active learning method improves sensitivity analysis of complex models.
problem Limited model evaluations in global sensitivity analysis.
method Gradient-based active learning with Gaussian process.
result Improves sensitivity analysis accuracy with reduced evaluations.
Researchers describe and compare decompositions of Poincaré duality pairs.
problem Understanding and comparing different decompositions of Poincaré duality pairs.
method Developed and described edge splittings of decompositions based on group properties.
result Compared decompositions with two other related decompositions.
The paper proposes and discusses semiorthogonal decompositions for moduli spaces of vector bundles.
problem Decompositions of moduli spaces of vector bundles with fixed determinant of odd degree.
method Semiorthogonal decompositions, Grothendieck ring of varieties, mirror symmetry, graph potentials, Fukaya category.
result Evidence for a conjectural semiorthogonal decomposition of moduli spaces of rank 2 bundles with odd determinant.
The paper classifies decompositions of 3-sphere and lens spaces with handlebodies.
problem Classifying decompositions of 3-manifolds with handlebodies.
method Studied decompositions of 3-sphere and lens spaces with three handlebodies, using stabilizations.
result Determined whether decompositions are stabilized.
Gaussian Process (GP) models are often used as mathematical approximations of computationally expensive experiments. Provided that its kernel is suitably chosen and that enough data is available to obtain a reasonable fit of the simulator, a GP model can beneficially be used for tasks such as prediction, optimization, …
QMC and GSA improve option pricing and risk measures efficiency.
problem Efficiently pricing and hedging complex financial instruments.
method Application of QMC and GSA techniques for financial instrument pricing and hedging, comparing MC vs QMC and analyzing greeks computation.
result QMC outperforms MC in most cases, especially in high-dimensional simulations, leading to faster and more stable convergence.
We combine aspects of the notions of finite decomposition complexity and asymptotic property C into a notion that we call finite APC-decomposition complexity. Any space with finite decomposition complexity has finite APC-decomposition complexity and any space with asymptotic property C has finite APC-decomposition comp…
This paper generalizes octahedral decomposition to links in thickened surfaces.
problem Understanding the geometry of links in thickened surfaces.
method Octahedral decomposition of links in thickened surfaces.
result Nonpositive curvature of the complement and essential-ness of edges proved.
Researchers compute Goeritz groups for all (1,1)-link decompositions.
problem Computing Goeritz groups for all (1,1)-link decompositions.
method Analyzing surface decompositions and isotopy classes of homeomorphisms.
result Computed Goeritz groups for all (1,1)-link decompositions.
Study concordance of decompositions from defining sequences in 3-sphere.
problem Understanding concordance and bordism of decompositions from defining sequences.
method Relate to invariants of toroidal decompositions and cobordism of homology manifolds.
result At least uncountably many concordance classes of decompositions in 3-sphere.
Given a Delaunay decomposition of a compact hyperbolic surface, one may record the topological data of the decomposition, together with the intersection angles between the `empty disks' circumscribing the regions of the decomposition. The main result of this paper is a characterization of when a given topological decom…
Study shows OAT decomposition generates unexplained profit and loss, while SU decompositions depend on risk factor order.
problem Understanding profit and loss attribution in financial markets.
method Used financial market data from 2003 to 2022 to compare OAT, SU, and ASU decompositions.
result SU decompositions are sensitive to risk factor order and cannot identify all relevant risk factors.
A new algorithm speeds up CP decomposition for large tensors.
problem Efficiently processing large-scale tensors in real-time.
method Randomized online CP decomposition (ROCP) algorithm.
result ROCP reduces computing time and memory usage significantly.
Paper characterizes optimization landscape of Tucker decomposition.
problem Finding exact Tucker decomposition is a nonconvex optimization problem.
method Characterized the optimization landscape and provided a local search algorithm.
result All local minima are globally optimal if tensor has an exact Tucker decomposition.
A double pants decomposition of a 2-dimensional surface is a collection of two pants decomposition of this surface introduced in arXiv:1005.0073v2. There are two natural operations acting on double pants decompositions: flips and handle twists. It is shown in arXiv:1005.0073v2 that the groupoid generated by flips and h…
Smooth 4-manifolds have simple horizontal decompositions.
problem Classifying smooth, closed, orientable 4-manifolds.
method Horizontal handlebody decomposition.
result Simplest horizontal decompositions classify closed 4-manifolds.
Let J1 be the real form of a complex simple Jordan algebra such that the automorphism group is F4(−20). By using some orbit types of F4(−20) on J1, for F4(−20), explicitly, we give the Iwasawa decomposition, the Oshima--Sekiguchi's Kε−Iwasawa decomp…
We study the topological types of pants decompositions of a surface by associating to any pants decomposition P, in a natural way its pants decomposition graph, Γ(P). This perspective provides a convenient way to analyze the maximum distance in the pants complex of any pants decomposition to a pants decomposition c…
New method uses random decompositions for high-dimensional Bayesian optimization.
problem Learning accurate decompositions for high-dimensional black-box functions.
method Data-independent random tree-based decomposition sampling.
result Random decomposition upper-confidence bound algorithm (RDUCB) yields significant empirical gains.
New varifold example shows decomposition failure.
problem Curvature varifolds cannot always be decomposed.
method Constructed a specific curvature varifold.
result Found a varifold with a non-preserved weak second fundamental form under decomposition.
Derive new Euler-Ramanujan-type identities and infinite decompositions for zero mean curvature graphs in various spaces.
problem Derive new Euler-Ramanujan-type identities and infinite decompositions for zero mean curvature graphs in various spaces.
method Derive new Euler-Ramanujan-type identities and infinite decompositions for zero mean curvature graphs in various spaces.
result Derive new Euler-Ramanujan-type identities and infinite decompositions for zero mean curvature graphs in various spaces.