The paper calculates European option prices under a generalized skew normal distribution.
problem European option pricing under a generalized skew normal distribution.
method Proved existence of martingale measure, derived explicit option pricing formula, applied numerical methods.
result Explicit expressions for European option prices are derived.
Optimizes recommendation models using skew normal distribution.
problem Improving personalized recommendation systems.
method Develops a new optimization criterion based on skew normal distribution.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art models.
The paper defines MTCov for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem No specific problem stated, but dealing with skewed elliptical distributions.
method Defined MTCov for generalized skew-elliptical distributions and compared with skewed and non-skewed normal distributions.
result Special formula for MTCov of generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
The paper improves asset allocation using a skew-normal distribution in the Black-Litterman model.
problem Improving asset allocation under skewed return distributions.
method Using the Black-Litterman model with hidden truncation skew-normal distribution and Simaan's three-moment risk model.
result Optimal portfolios have less risk and higher skewness compared to classical BL model.
Efficient EP algorithm improves smoothing distribution inference in financial models.
problem Computational intractability of smoothing distribution in high dimensions.
method Adapted expectation propagation (EP) algorithms for the unified skew-normal family.
result Accuracy gains in financial illustrations over existing approximate algorithms.
The paper calculates moments and conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem Estimating moments and tail conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
method Derives explicit expressions for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks for generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
result Explicit formulas for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks are derived for various skewed elliptical distributions.
New insights suggest larger early layers improve CNN performance.
problem Common assumption of monotonously increasing feature counts in CNNs is challenged.
method Used a skew normal distribution to investigate feature amounts in CNN layers.
result Architectures favoring larger early layers yield better accuracy.
SkewPNN uses probabilistic neural networks with skew-normal kernels to improve classification of imbalanced data.
problem Imbalanced data distribution leading to biased predictions for minority classes.
method Probabilistic neural networks with skew-normal kernel function and Bat optimization algorithm for hyperparameter tuning.
result SkewPNN and BA-SkewPNN outperform other methods in both balanced and imbalanced datasets.
Researchers develop a new spatial process model for non-Gaussian data.
problem Non-Gaussian spatial data with asymmetry and heavy-tailedness.
method Re-parameterized Unified Skew-Normal (SUN) distribution, GSUN process, neural Bayes inference with GATs.
result GSUN process captures non-Gaussian spatial data properties and outperforms conventional models.
EP method speeds up Bayesian probit regression in high dimensions.
problem Computational challenges in high-dimensional Bayesian probit regression.
method Adapting EP approximation to multivariate Gaussian prior and skew-normal distribution.
result EP routine is computationally feasible in high-dimensional settings.
Improves sequential recommendation with relation-aware self-attention.
problem Improving accuracy in sequential recommendation.
method Integrates Transformer's self-attention mechanism with a probabilistic model of recommendation context.
result Significant improvements over recent baseline models.
Study singularity structures in finite mixtures affecting parameter estimation rates.
problem Understanding how singularity structures impact parameter estimation in finite mixtures.
method Developed a general framework to identify singularity structures in finite mixtures and studied their effects on convergence rates and minimax lower bounds.
result Established convergence rates for finite mixtures of skew-normal distributions, revealing complex asymptotic behaviors.
Proposes a new model for clustering with heavier tails.
problem Clustering with heavy-tailed data.
method Finite mixture of skewed sub-Gaussian stable distributions, maximum likelihood estimation, EM algorithm.
result The proposed model can robustly handle heavy-tailed data.
SkewD robustly discovers causal relationships in skewed noise models.
problem Distinguishing cause from effect in skewed noise models.
method SkewD extends normal-distribution framework to skew-normal setting for reliable inference.
result SkewD remains robust under high skewness, improving reliability.
New conjugate priors improve Bayesian inference for multinomial probit models.
problem Lack of tractable conjugate priors for efficient Bayesian inference in multinomial probit models.
method Unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions as conjugate priors, leading to improved posterior inference and classification.
result Improved computational methods for posterior inference and classification, especially in high dimensions.
Motivated by the need for parametric families of rich and yet tractable distributions in financial mathematics, both in pricing and risk management settings, but also considering wider statistical applications, we investigate a novel technique for introducing skewness or kurtosis into a symmetric or other distribution.…
Paper develops Bayesian inference for discrete-choice mnp models with Gaussian priors.
problem Estimating parameters of discrete-choice multinomial probit models with Gaussian priors.
method Adapts Fasano and Durante's results to a specific mnp model with zero mean and independent Gaussian priors, simplifying posterior distribution parameters and providing a new variational algorithm.
result Simplified expressions for posterior distribution parameters and a novel variational algorithm.
Test the robustness of quantum-enhanced phase estimation under various noise conditions.
problem Evaluate the robustness of quantum-enhanced adaptive phase estimation (QEAPE) in noisy conditions.
method Simulated QEAPE under four phase-noise models and compared resource usage of evolutionary and Bayesian control policies.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of both evolutionary and Bayesian control policies in noisy conditions.
The paper analyzes skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions.
problem Examining skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions.
method Deriving exact expressions for skewness and kurtosis measures for skew-elliptical distributions, constructing test statistics, and comparing measures through simulations and real data analysis.
result Exact expressions and test statistics for skewness and kurtosis measures for various skew-elliptical distributions.
Skew Gaussian Processes improve classification performance by allowing asymmetry.
problem Limited use of Gaussian processes in applications requiring asymmetry.
method Propose Skew-Gaussian processes (SkewGPs) as a non-parametric prior over functions, extending the multivariate Unified Skew-Normal distribution to stochastic processes.
result SkewGPs provide better performance than symmetric Gaussian processes in classification tasks.
Unified Skew-Gaussian process framework for various regression and classification tasks.
problem Handling multiple types of regression and classification problems.
method Generalization of Skew-Gaussian processes to handle various types of data and likelihoods.
result Closed-form posterior distributions for multiple tasks.
A new method tracks market performance without active management.
problem Active portfolio management does not outperform benchmarks.
method Developed a hybrid PCA-based tracking portfolio strategy.
result The hybrid PCA strategy outperforms optimization-based approaches.
A new approach for pricing FX options that uses a single model for all markets.
problem Consistent pricing of FX options across different markets.
method Intermediate currency approach, calibrating to domestic market volatility smile.
result Model automatically reproduces correct foreign market volatility smiles.
The Mean-Variance Criterion is equivalent to Second-order Stochastic Dominance under symmetric Elliptical distributions.
problem Determining the equivalence of Mean-Variance Criterion and Stochastic Dominance Criteria.
method Analyzing under symmetric and Skew-Elliptical distributions using Monte Carlo simulations.
result The Mean-Variance Criterion does not coincide with Second-order Stochastic Dominance for some types of risk-averse investors.
Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.
Face recall is a basic human cognitive process performed routinely, e.g., when meeting someone and determining if we have met that person before. Assisting a subject during face recall by suggesting candidate faces can be challenging. One of the reasons is that the search space - the face space - is quite large and lac…
Divide data into subsets, analyze each, and recombine results for likelihood function computation.
problem Computing likelihood functions for large and complex data.
method Divide & Recombine (D&R) procedure to estimate density parameters of likelihood model (LM) from MCMC draws.
result The method successfully computes likelihood functions for logistic regression data model.
This paper studies identifiability and convergence behaviors for parameters of multiple types in finite mixtures, and the effects of model fitting with extra mixing components. First, we present a general theory for strong identifiability, which extends from the previous work of Nguyen [2013] and Chen [1995] to address…
Mixture of Experts (MoE) is a popular framework for modeling heterogeneity in data for regression, classification and clustering. For continuous data which we consider here in the context of regression and cluster analysis, MoE usually use normal experts, that is, expert components following the Gaussian distribution. …
The paper explores solutions to the distributional Bellman equation in reinforcement learning.
problem Distributional reinforcement learning considers complete return distributions, not just expected returns.
method Study existence and uniqueness of solutions to general distributional Bellman equations, linking them to multivariate affine equations.
result Any solution to a distributional Bellman equation can be derived from a multivariate affine distributional equation.
Proposes vMF distribution for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem Skewed distributions not adequately modeled by symmetric distributions.
method Introduces von-Mises-Fisher (vMF) distribution to represent skewed elliptical distributions.
result vMF distribution provides an explicit and simple probability representation of skewed elliptical distributions.
This paper examines how the choice of prior distribution affects likelihoods of out-of-distribution inputs in deep generative models.
problem Mismatch between prior and data distributions causes deep generative models to assign higher likelihoods to out-of-distribution inputs.
method Proposes using a mixture distribution as a prior to make likelihoods of out-of-distribution inputs more sensitive.
result A mixture prior lowers the out-of-distribution likelihood with respect to real image data sets.
Study calculates tail risk for various mixture distributions.
problem Estimating tail risk for complex distribution mixtures.
method Analyzes tail conditional expectation for location-scale mixtures of elliptical distributions.
result Developed methods for calculating tail risk in various distributions.
We realise the first and second Grushin distributions as symmetry reductions of the 3-dimensional Heisenberg distribution and 4-dimensional Engel distribution respectively. Similarly, we realise the Martinet distribution as an alternative symmetry reduction of the Engel distribution. These reductions allow us to derive…
New wealth distribution model based on κ-deformation of Gamma distribution.
problem Modeling wealth distribution in heterogeneous kinetic exchange models.
method Proposed a new four-parameter statistical distribution based on κ-deformation of the Generalized Gamma distribution. result The new distribution accurately represents wealth distribution in heterogeneous kinetic exchange models.
This study suggests replacing Ising distribution with Cox distribution.
problem Handling correlated binary data efficiently.
method Exploring conditions for replacing Ising distribution with Cox distribution as a latent variable model.
result The Ising distribution can be treated as a latent variable model with a quasi-normal distribution.
New algorithms for learning under s-concave distributions, including Pareto and t-distributions.
problem Learning under broad and natural generalizations of log-concave distributions, including fat-tailed ones.
method Introduce new convex geometry tools to study s-concave distributions and use these properties to provide bounds on learning quantities. result Significantly generalize prior results for margin-based, disagreement-based, and passive learning of intersections of halfspaces.
Method uses optimal transport to complete distributional matrices.
problem Matrix completion for distributional data.
method Nearest neighbors in Wasserstein space.
result Method recovers distributions in Wasserstein metric.
Income and wealth distribution affect stability of a society to a large extent and high inequality affects it negatively. Moreover, in the case of developed countries, recently has been proven that inequality is closely related to all negative phenomena affecting society. So far, Econophysics papers tried to analyse in…
Study clusters distributions with known or unknown clusters using distribution testing.
problem Cluster distributions that are ε-far in total variation. method Distribution testing approach to establish upper and lower bounds on sample complexity.
result Achieves tight sample complexity bounds for all regimes (up to a logarithmic factor).
Gradually Truncated Log-normal distribution - Size distribution of firms Abstract Many natural and economical phenomena are described through power law or log- normal distributions. In these cases, probability decreases very slowly with step size compared to normal distribution. Thus it is essential to cut-off these di…
A new distributed learning method for high-dimensional linear classification.
problem Efficiently performing linear classification on large-scale, high-dimensional data.
method Feature-distributed stochastic variance reduced gradient (FD-SVRG) for high-dimensional linear classification.
result FD-SVRG outperforms other distributed methods in terms of communication cost and wall-clock time.
A new distribution family extends the α-stable distribution with a degree of freedom parameter.
problem Lack of moments in the α-stable distribution. method Wright function framework to combine and extend distribution families.
result Generalized α-stable distribution with valid moments. Paper develops a new method to improve model calibration under distribution shifts.
problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification with different training and test distributions.
method Develops multi-domain temperature scaling to handle distribution shifts.
result Outperforms existing methods on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test sets.
A new clustering method preserves data distribution.
problem Distorted cluster centers in k-means clustering.
method Distributional Clustering method ensuring cluster centers mimic data distribution.
result Cluster centers converge to data generating distribution.
New class of heavy-tailed distributions shows weighted averages dominate individual variables.
problem Understanding and comparing risks in heavy-tailed distributions.
method Introducing a new class of heavy-tailed distributions and proving stochastic dominance relations.
result Weighted averages of random variables in this class are stochastically larger than individual variables.
Researchers derived formulas for joint moments of elliptical distributions.
problem Calculating joint moments of elliptical distributions.
method Used Stein's lemma and two different methods to derive expressions.
result New formulae for expectations of product of normally distributed random variables and simplified expressions for other distributions.
Paper proposes a new method for designing materials using deep learning.
problem Designing high-performance material distributions from given distributions.
method Iterative process of selecting, generating, and merging material distributions using a deep generative model.
result The method improves material performance through iterative refinement.