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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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8152330 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Safe Zones

Algorithm finds safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.

problem Finding safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.
method Bi-criteria approximation learning algorithm with polynomial sample complexity.
result Achieves almost 2 approximation for both escape probability and safe zone size.

PredictaBoard benchmarks LLM score predictors to assess their ability to anticipate errors.

problem Inconsistent performance of LLMs in common sense reasoning tasks.
method Collaborative benchmarking framework evaluating pairs of LLMs and assessors using rejection rate at different tolerance errors.
result Highlights the need to evaluate predictability alongside performance for safer AI systems.

Brillouin zones were introduced by Brillouin in the thirties to describe quantum mechanical properties of crystals, that is, in a lattice in Rn\R^n. They play an important role in solid-state physics. It was shown by Bieberbach that Brillouin zones tile the underlying space and that each zone has the same area. We gene…

1998-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning predicts CO2 emissions in power grids, reducing uncertainty.

problem Forecasting CO2 emission intensities in power grids.
method Developed a machine learning algorithm using LASSO, feature selection, and Softmax weighted average.
result Marginal emissions are independent of DK2 zone conditions, suggesting external generators.

Study shows critical width for rigidity of equatorial zones on spheres.

problem Mean curvature rigidity of equatorial zones on spheres.
method Used tangency principle and trap-slice lemma for strong rigidity, and constructed nontrivial perturbations using Delaunay surfaces for non-rigidity.
result Critical width exists for rigidity, beyond which zones are non-rigid.

For a given lattice, we establish an equivalence involving a closed zone of the corresponding Voronoi polytope, a lamina hyperplane of the corresponding Delaunay partition and a quadratic form of rank 1 being an extreme ray of the corresponding L-type domain.

2000-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The Zone of Avoidance makes it difficult for astronomers to catalogue galaxies at low latitudes to our galactic plane due to high star densities and extinction. However, having a complete sky map of galaxies is important in a number of fields of research in astronomy. There are many unclassified sources of light in the…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts and optimizes trading of electricity price spreads across multiple zones.

problem Forecasting and optimizing day-ahead versus real-time price spreads in U.S. electricity markets.
method Unified statistical model for positive and negative spikes, structural price impact model based on bid stacks.
result Optimal trading strategy improves risk-return profile and highlights market heterogeneity.

Optimizes portfolio with two controls to minimize trades and maintain signal integrity.

problem Optimizing a single-asset portfolio with transaction costs and signal autocorrelation.
method Formulated an optimization problem to minimize trades while maintaining signal integrity and achieving maximum return.
result Locally optimal solution minimizes trades and achieves maximum return, with a quantifiable improvement based on threshold and autocorrelation removed.

CoDeQ simplifies joint model compression by integrating pruning and quantization.

problem Joint pruning and quantization methods are complex and require additional procedures.
method CoDeQ uses a dead-zone quantizer to directly induce sparsity and learn quantization parameters.
result CoDeQ achieves high sparsity and low-precision accuracy with minimal bit operations.

In the present paper which a sequel to dg-ga/9511005 and dg-ga//9610013 a global Weierstrass representation of an arbitrary closed oriented surface of genus 1\geq 1 in the the three-space is constructed. The Weierstrass spectrum of a torus immersed into R3R^3 is introduced and finite-zone planes as well as finite-zone…

1997-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of optimal trading using general alpha predictors with linear costs and temporary impact. We do this within the framework of stochastic optimization with finite horizon using both limit and market orders. Consistently with other studies, we find that the presence of linear costs induces a no-tradin…

2015-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals different drivers of electricity price volatility across Europe.

problem Understanding the drivers of electricity price volatility across different European zones.
method Developed estimators of weekly integrated variance using a stochastic partial differential equation approach, accounting for mean-reversion and semigroup-smoothing.
result Each European generation zone has distinct drivers of volatility, and leverage effects are not generally asymmetric.

Unified principle LZN unifies generative modeling, representation learning, and classification.

problem Disjoint solutions for generative modeling, representation learning, and classification.
method LZN creates a shared latent space for all tasks, using encoders and decoders for each data type.
result LZN improves FID on CIFAR10 and outperforms existing methods in representation learning and joint generation/classification.

We introduce the safe linear stochastic bandit framework---a generalization of linear stochastic bandits---where, in each stage, the learner is required to select an arm with an expected reward that is no less than a predetermined (safe) threshold with high probability. We assume that the learner initially has knowledg…

2019-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

CoCoRL learns safe constraints from demonstrations with unknown rewards.

problem Learning safe constraints from demonstrations with different unknown rewards.
method Convex Constraint Learning for Reinforcement Learning (CoCoRL) constructs a convex safe set based on demonstrations.
result CoCoRL learns constraints that lead to safe driving behavior and can safely transfer to different tasks and environments.

Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. In this paper we use social welfare as the measure to assess quality of various zonal divisions. The social welfare is calculated by Market Coupling algorithm. The analyzed divisions are found by the usage of extended Locational …

2014-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

High dimensional regression benefits from sparsity promoting regularizations. Screening rules leverage the known sparsity of the solution by ignoring some variables in the optimization, hence speeding up solvers. When the procedure is proven not to discard features wrongly the rules are said to be \emph{safe}. In this …

2015-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that when a third party, the adversary, steps into the two-party setting (agent and operator) of safely interruptible reinforcement learning, a trade-off has to be made between the probability of following the optimal policy in the limit, and the probability of escaping a dangerous situation created by the adve…

2018-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We study safe screening for metric learning. Distance metric learning can optimize a metric over a set of triplets, each one of which is defined by a pair of same class instances and an instance in a different class. However, the number of possible triplets is quite huge even for a small dataset. Our safe triplet scree…

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In this note we discuss - in what is intended to be a pedagogical fashion - FX option pricing in target zones with attainable boundaries. The boundaries must be reflecting. The no-arbitrage requirement implies that the differential (foreign minus domestic) short-rate is not deterministic. When the band is narrow, we ca…

2015-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to accelerate safe sequential learning using offline data.

problem Limited exploration due to disconnected safe regions and slow task learning.
method Safe transfer sequential learning using Gaussian processes and offline data.
result Enhances global exploration across multiple disjoint safe regions with lower data consumption.

Revel tackles safe exploration in RL with verified symbolic policies.

problem Computational infeasibility of verifying neural networks in RL learning loops.
method Two policy classes: neurosymbolic with approximate gradients and symbolic policies for efficient verification. Mirror descent over policies to safely update and project policies.
result Revel discovers policies that outperform prior approaches to verified exploration.

We study the problem of safe learning and exploration in sequential control problems. The goal is to safely collect data samples from operating in an environment, in order to learn to achieve a challenging control goal (e.g., an agile maneuver close to a boundary). A central challenge in this setting is how to quantify…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Central bank strategy to maintain currency exchange rate within limits.

problem Maintaining a currency exchange rate within a target zone despite adverse economic trends.
method Modeling the problem with a continuous-time market impact model and solving it as a stochastic control problem.
result Optimal strategy minimizes accumulated inventory of foreign currency.

Our analysis of financial data, in terms of super-exponential growth, suggests that the seed of the 2002/03 crisis of the Dutch supermarket giant AHOLD was planted in 1996. It became quite visible in 1999 when the post-bubble destabilization regime was well-developed and acted as the precursor of an inevitable collapse…

2004-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Crypto-assets perform better than gold as safe-havens during market crashes.

problem Evaluating safe-haven properties of crypto-assets and gold during the 2020 market crash.
method Comparative analysis of Crypto-assets (Tether, Cardano, Dogecoin, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple) and gold for European indices.
result Tether, Cardano, and Dogecoin exhibited hedging properties similar to gold, while gold was not more efficient as a safe-haven.

Safe autonomous decisions made with machine learning predictions using Conformal Decision Theory.

problem Safe decisions from imperfect machine learning predictions.
method Conformal Decision Theory framework for producing safe decisions.
result Safe decisions with provable statistical guarantees of low risk.