A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Revel tackles safe exploration in RL with verified symbolic policies.
We reinterpreting the variational inference in a new perspective. Via this way, we can easily prove that EM algorithm, VAE, GAN, AAE, ALI(BiGAN) are all special cases of variational inference. The proof also reveals the loss of standard GAN is incomplete and it explains why we need to train GAN cautiously. From that, w…
Properties of low-variability periods in the time series are analysed. The theoretical approach is used to show the relationship between the multi-scaling of low-variability periods and multi-affinity of the time series. It is shown that this technically simple method is capable of reveling more details about time-seri…
Modern control theories such as systems engineering approaches try to solve nonlinear system problems by revelation of causal relationship or co-relationship among the components; most of those approaches focus on control of sophisticatedly modeled white-boxed systems. We suggest an application of actor-critic reinforc…
The paper analyzes regret in bilateral trade mechanisms without prior valuations.
Conditional kernel mean embeddings form an attractive nonparametric framework for representing conditional means of functions, describing the observation processes for many complex models. However, the recovery of the original underlying function of interest whose conditional mean was observed is a challenging inferenc…
Algorithm generates realistic metaorders from public trade data.
Latent order book models have allowed for significant progress in our understanding of price formation in financial markets. In particular they are able to reproduce a number of stylized facts, such as the square-root impact law. An important question that is raised -- if one is to bring such models closer to real mark…
Tensors play a central role in many modern machine learning and signal processing applications. In such applications, the target tensor is usually of low rank, i.e., can be expressed as a sum of a small number of rank one tensors. This motivates us to consider the problem of low rank tensor recovery from a class of lin…
We present an empirical analysis of the microstructure of financial markets and, in particular, of the static and dynamic properties of liquidity. We find that on relatively large time scales (15 minutes) large price fluctuations are connected to the failure of the subtle mechanism of compensation between the flows of …
Private anchors affect how information is communicated and can improve or distort transmission.
In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model in the style of Kyle (1985)'s inside trading model, by assuming that there are at least two insiders in the market with long-lived private information, under the requirement that each insider publicly discloses his stock trades after the fact. Based on this model, …
Develops a framework for consistent loss functions with variable transformations.
Paper presents LSTM models for short-term stock price prediction.
When recovering an unknown signal from noisy measurements, the computational difficulty of performing optimal Bayesian MMSE (minimum mean squared error) inference often necessitates the use of maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference, a special case of regularized M-estimation, as a surrogate. However, MAP is suboptimal in…
We derive the mapping between two of the most pervasive utility functions, the mean square error () and the concordance correlation coefficient (CCC, ). Despite its drawbacks, is one of the most popular performance metrics (and a loss function); along with lately in many of the sequence prediction…
Designing of touchless user interface is gaining popularity in various contexts. Using such interfaces, users can interact with electronic devices even when the hands are dirty or non-conductive. Also, user with partial physical disability can interact with electronic devices using such systems. Research in this direct…
Paper proves impossible for large language models to control hallucinations without sacrificing other properties.
Optimal insurance contracts are designed to screen risk preferences and risk types under asymmetric information.
A new neural network model uses polynomial chaos theory to improve neural signal processing.