The study analyzes river water quality using statistical and machine learning methods.
problem Analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of dissolved oxygen in the River Thames.
method Superstatistical methods and machine learning (e.g., Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Informer model).
result The Informer model outperforms others in long-term dissolved oxygen concentration forecasting.
Paper presents a GAN model for realistic river image synthesis.
problem Generating high-quality river images for hydrological research.
method Used a Progressive Growing GAN (PGGAN) architecture to overcome training challenges.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of GANs in generating high-resolution river images.
Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based model is a computational approach commonly used for modeling the complex relationships between input and output parameters. Prediction of the flow rate of a river is a requisite for any successful water resource management and river basin planning. In the current survey, the effect…
This study examines whether PCA can effectively identify nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.
problem Identifying pollution sources in rivers for effective environmental management.
method Principal Component Analysis and its modifications, along with Independent Component Analysis and Factor Analysis, are applied to nitrogen pollution source identification.
result PCA and related techniques can be powerful tools for uncovering nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.
HydroNets use river structure to improve hydrologic predictions.
problem Scalable and accurate hydrologic models are needed for climate change impacts.
method HydroNets are deep neural networks that incorporate river network structure.
result HydroNets improve predictions with fewer data, especially at longer horizons.
Online algorithms for identifying river pollution sources.
problem Real-time estimation of river pollution sources from downstream data.
method Gradient-based online learning algorithms with adaptive step sizes and escaping from saddle points module.
result High estimation accuracy in three dimensions, superior to existing methods.
Deep learning improves probabilistic river discharge forecasting for hydroelectric power.
problem Uncertain river discharges due to climate variability.
method Modified recurrent neural network architecture conditioned on global circulation model projections.
result Generates parameterized probability distributions for realistic long-term discharge scenarios.
Looped transformers outperform standard transformers in complex reasoning tasks due to a specific loss landscape geometry.
problem Understanding why looped transformers outperform standard transformers in complex reasoning tasks.
method Explained through loss landscape geometry, distinguishing between U-shaped and V-shaped valleys, and proposing SHIFT training strategy.
result Looped transformers' recursive architecture induces a River-V-Valley landscape, leading to better loss convergence and complex pattern learning.
We consider remodeling the planar search patterns, in the presence of the river-type perturbation represented by the weak vector field, basing on the time-optimal paths as Finslerian solutions to the Zermelo navigation problem via Randers metric.
Study uses AUVs and RL to map river plumes over multiple days.
problem Long-term mapping of dynamic river plumes with multiple AUVs.
method Multi-agent reinforcement learning with spatiotemporal GPR.
result Multi-agent approach outperforms single-agent and benchmarks.
Modeling daily river flow distribution with seasonal and long-term trends.
problem Capturing both seasonal and gradual long-term changes in environmental variables.
method Distributional regression using GAMLSS framework to estimate daily distribution of river flows.
result Model successfully captures seasonal variation and long-term trends in river flow data.
WSD schedule improves model training efficiency by adapting learning rates dynamically.
problem Fixed compute budgets limit training efficiency of language models.
method Introduces a WSD schedule that uses a constant learning rate followed by a rapid decay phase.
result WSD schedule generates a non-traditional loss curve with stable and decay phases.
New method combines simple forecasting techniques for river flow predictions.
problem Improving accuracy of long-term hydrological forecasts.
method Combines at least two forecasting methods using median combiner.
result Performs well in long-term forecasts, especially with multiple methods.
Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable across different river basins, as model outputs are sensitive to site-specific parame…
New framework reveals thermodynamic principles for LLM training.
problem Understanding the training dynamics of large language models.
method Introducing Neural Thermodynamic Laws (NTL) under river-valley loss landscape assumptions.
result Key thermodynamic quantities and principles naturally emerge in LLM training.
Learning hydrologic models for accurate riverine flood prediction at scale is a challenge of great importance. One of the key difficulties is the need to rely on in-situ river discharge measurements, which can be quite scarce and unreliable, particularly in regions where floods cause the most damage every year. Accordi…
Method reduces model bias in water temperature prediction using physics-guided GNNs.
problem Model bias in traditional physics-based models across different income and education levels.
method Physics-guided GNNs with refined neighbor selection and weights.
result Preserves equitable performance across different sensitive groups in the Delaware River Basin.
CausalRivers benchmarks causal discovery methods on real-world river discharge data.
problem Lack of in-the-wild evaluation of causal discovery methods on complex, real-world data.
method Introduces CausalRivers, a large-scale dataset of river discharge data for benchmarking.
result Demonstrates the utility of CausalRivers in evaluating causal discovery methods.
Dataset for rainfall modeling in central Europe from 1981-2011.
problem Improving rainfall streamflow modeling beyond simple catchments.
method Spatially resolved meteorological and ancillary data compilation.
result Dataset for neural network-driven hydrological modeling.
Spectral algorithm reduces samples needed for multitask regression.
problem Jointly recover shared and task-specific components in low-rank multitask regression.
method Common mechanism regression (CMR) model with a non-iterative spectral algorithm.
result Provable non-convex bi-linear structure is overcome with spectral algorithm.
OML-AD detects anomalies in non-stationary time series data.
problem Anomaly detection in non-stationary time series data.
method Online machine learning for anomaly detection.
result OML-AD outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy and efficiency.
This paper uses VAE to generate extreme events from multivariate data.
problem Generating accurate extremes from observational data for risk assessment.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) approach for multivariate heavy-tailed distributions.
result Improves learning of dependency structure between extremes.
We generalize Conway's approach to integral binary quadratic forms on Q to study integral binary hermitian forms on quadratic imaginary extensions of Q. In Conway's case, an indefinite form that doesn't represent 0 determines a line ("river") in the spine T associated with SL(2,Z) in the hyperbolic plane. In our genera…
Machine learning and deep learning infer surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data.
problem Inferring surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data with high temporal resolution.
method Application of machine learning and deep learning algorithms to infer surface/groundwater exchange flux from subsurface temperature observations.
result DL methods outperform ML methods in interpreting noisy temperature data, especially with a smoothing filter.
New method SF-AdamW trains large models without decay phases or memory overhead.
problem Inadequate fixed compute budgets for large-scale training.
method Schedule-Free (SF) method revisited and refined.
result SF-AdamW effectively navigates loss landscape without decay phases or memory overhead.
Shape information is of great importance in many applications. For example, the oil-bearing capacity of sand bodies, the subterranean remnants of ancient rivers, is related to their cross-sectional shapes. The analysis of these shapes is therefore of some interest, but current classifications are simplistic and ad hoc.…
PIML model improves hydrological predictions by blending physics and ML.
problem Hydrological models either lack predictive accuracy or fail to maintain physical consistency.
method Physics Informed Machine Learning (PIML) that integrates physics-based models and ML algorithms.
result PIML model outperforms both physics-based and ML models in predicting streamflow and evapotranspiration.
New method clusters hydrological and sediment data for storm event analysis.
problem Analyzing storm events for water quality constituents like turbidity.
method Multivariate time series clustering of river discharge and sediment data.
result Clusters differ from 2-D hysteresis loop classifications.
Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models still lack of giving accurate forecasts everywhere. This study aims to explore arti…
Quantization-aware training can recover accuracy lost by post-training quantization.
problem Post-training quantization (PTQ) can fail sharply at aggressive bitwidths.
method A unified geometric framework that explains PTQ failure and QAT recovery.
result QAT has a useful bias that steers iterates back into the basin.
We give a graphical theory of integral indefinite binary Hamiltonian forms f analogous to the one by Conway for binary quadratic forms and the one of Bestvina-Savin for binary Hermitian forms. Given a maximal order O in a definite quaternion algebra over Q, we define the waterworld of f, analog…
LSTM model predicts rainfall runoff with high temporal resolution.
problem Accurate and efficient rainfall runoff simulations for flood risk management.
method Data-driven rainfall runoff model using Long-short-Term-Memory (LSTM) networks.
result LSTM model achieves high-resolution discharge predictions with improved performance.
New method estimates root-directed tree from extreme data.
problem Discovering causality in river networks from extreme flow data.
method Qualitative max-linear Bayesian network approach to estimate bivariate scores and root-directed spanning tree.
result The new estimator is consistent under max-linear Bayesian network model with noise.
In this paper, we present a regression framework involving several machine learning models to estimate water parameters based on hyperspectral data. Measurements from a multi-sensor field campaign, conducted on the River Elbe, Germany, represent the benchmark dataset. It contains hyperspectral data and the five water p…
We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or sensitivity analyses of complex problems, and hence allow global exploration of th…
Despite the huge success of Long Short-Term Memory networks, their applications in environmental sciences are scarce. We argue that one reason is the difficulty to interpret the internals of trained networks. In this study, we look at the application of LSTMs for rainfall-runoff forecasting, one of the central tasks in…
PITMonitor monitors model calibration over time with formal error guarantees.
problem Fixed-sample tests applied to models over time can lead to false alarms.
method PITMonitor uses mixture e-processes to detect distributional shifts in probability integral transforms.
result PITMonitor achieves competitive detection rates on river's FriedmanDrift benchmark.
Framework learns useful subgoals from demonstrations and instructions.
problem Efficient long-term planning for novel goals.
method Rational subgoals (RSGs) learned from demonstrations and task descriptions.
result Improves performance-time efficiency of planning algorithms.
Hierarchical organization is a cornerstone of complexity and multifractality constitutes its central quantifying concept. For model uniform cascades the corresponding singularity spectra are symmetric while those extracted from empirical data are often asymmetric. Using the selected time series representing such divers…
Water pollution is a major global environmental problem, and it poses a great environmental risk to public health and biological diversity. This work is motivated by assessing the potential environmental threat of coal mining through increased sulfate concentrations in river networks, which do not belong to any simple …
Paper optimizes internal balancing of wind and hydropower to reduce intraday market volatility.
problem Reduction of intraday market volatility for power producers with wind and hydropower assets.
method Internal balancing within the same river system and sales/purchase in a pay-as-bid intraday market.
result Reduction in short-term marginal cost and risk through internal balancing.
Data scientists guide to streamflow prediction and flood forecasting.
problem Forecasting floods and predicting streamflow volume.
method Explains hydrologic concepts and machine learning applications.
result Helps data scientists understand streamflow prediction.
We propose a simple yet powerful framework for modeling integer-valued data, such as counts, scores, and rounded data. The data-generating process is defined by Simultaneously Transforming and Rounding (STAR) a continuous-valued process, which produces a flexible family of integer-valued distributions capable of modeli…
Novel SVM approach for extreme quantile regression with heavy tailed inputs.
problem Learning from extreme values in quantile regression.
method Support Vector Machine framework for handling high-dimensional and nonlinear settings.
result Established finite-sample learning guarantees under mild regularity assumptions.
Novel Orlicz regrets consistently bound environmental variable statistics.
problem Consistent evaluation of stochastic environmental variables like water quality indices.
method Proposed novel Orlicz regrets for upper and lower bounds.
result Explicit linkage between Orlicz regrets and divergence risk measures.
CauSTream forecasts streamflow by integrating causal graphs for better interpretability.
problem Streamflow forecasting lacks interpretability and generalization due to fixed causal models.
method CauSTream learns causal graphs for meteorological forcings and routing dependencies.
result CauSTream outperforms existing methods, especially at longer forecast windows.
Enhanced time series forecasting with improved trend and seasonal components.
problem Challenges in real-world time series forecasting, especially in multivariate applications.
method Individual decomposition of trend and seasonal components, using different approaches for each.
result Significant reduction in error values, around 10% MSE average reduction across benchmarks.
The paper develops sampling methods for ocean phenomena based on temperature and salinity measurements.
problem Improving oceanographic sampling with limited resources.
method Design criterion based on uncertainty in excursions of vector-valued Gaussian random fields.
result Demonstrates effective exploration of ambiguous regions for data-driven sampling.