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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1223 · Apr 202219922001200920172026
48 results for River Thames

The study analyzes river water quality using statistical and machine learning methods.

problem Analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of dissolved oxygen in the River Thames.
method Superstatistical methods and machine learning (e.g., Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Informer model).
result The Informer model outperforms others in long-term dissolved oxygen concentration forecasting.

This study examines whether PCA can effectively identify nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.

problem Identifying pollution sources in rivers for effective environmental management.
method Principal Component Analysis and its modifications, along with Independent Component Analysis and Factor Analysis, are applied to nitrogen pollution source identification.
result PCA and related techniques can be powerful tools for uncovering nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.

Online algorithms for identifying river pollution sources.

problem Real-time estimation of river pollution sources from downstream data.
method Gradient-based online learning algorithms with adaptive step sizes and escaping from saddle points module.
result High estimation accuracy in three dimensions, superior to existing methods.

Deep learning improves probabilistic river discharge forecasting for hydroelectric power.

problem Uncertain river discharges due to climate variability.
method Modified recurrent neural network architecture conditioned on global circulation model projections.
result Generates parameterized probability distributions for realistic long-term discharge scenarios.

Looped transformers outperform standard transformers in complex reasoning tasks due to a specific loss landscape geometry.

problem Understanding why looped transformers outperform standard transformers in complex reasoning tasks.
method Explained through loss landscape geometry, distinguishing between U-shaped and V-shaped valleys, and proposing SHIFT training strategy.
result Looped transformers' recursive architecture induces a River-V-Valley landscape, leading to better loss convergence and complex pattern learning.

Modeling daily river flow distribution with seasonal and long-term trends.

problem Capturing both seasonal and gradual long-term changes in environmental variables.
method Distributional regression using GAMLSS framework to estimate daily distribution of river flows.
result Model successfully captures seasonal variation and long-term trends in river flow data.

WSD schedule improves model training efficiency by adapting learning rates dynamically.

problem Fixed compute budgets limit training efficiency of language models.
method Introduces a WSD schedule that uses a constant learning rate followed by a rapid decay phase.
result WSD schedule generates a non-traditional loss curve with stable and decay phases.

Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable across different river basins, as model outputs are sensitive to site-specific parame…

2019-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Method reduces model bias in water temperature prediction using physics-guided GNNs.

problem Model bias in traditional physics-based models across different income and education levels.
method Physics-guided GNNs with refined neighbor selection and weights.
result Preserves equitable performance across different sensitive groups in the Delaware River Basin.

CausalRivers benchmarks causal discovery methods on real-world river discharge data.

problem Lack of in-the-wild evaluation of causal discovery methods on complex, real-world data.
method Introduces CausalRivers, a large-scale dataset of river discharge data for benchmarking.
result Demonstrates the utility of CausalRivers in evaluating causal discovery methods.

We generalize Conway's approach to integral binary quadratic forms on Q to study integral binary hermitian forms on quadratic imaginary extensions of Q. In Conway's case, an indefinite form that doesn't represent 0 determines a line ("river") in the spine T associated with SL(2,Z) in the hyperbolic plane. In our genera…

2011-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning and deep learning infer surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data.

problem Inferring surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data with high temporal resolution.
method Application of machine learning and deep learning algorithms to infer surface/groundwater exchange flux from subsurface temperature observations.
result DL methods outperform ML methods in interpreting noisy temperature data, especially with a smoothing filter.

Multitask learning, i.e. taking advantage of the relatedness of individual tasks in order to improve performance on all of them, is a core challenge in the field of machine learning. We focus on matrix regression tasks where the rank of the weight matrix is constrained to reduce sample complexity. We introduce the comm…

2019-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Shape information is of great importance in many applications. For example, the oil-bearing capacity of sand bodies, the subterranean remnants of ancient rivers, is related to their cross-sectional shapes. The analysis of these shapes is therefore of some interest, but current classifications are simplistic and ad hoc.…

2018-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

PIML model improves hydrological predictions by blending physics and ML.

problem Hydrological models either lack predictive accuracy or fail to maintain physical consistency.
method Physics Informed Machine Learning (PIML) that integrates physics-based models and ML algorithms.
result PIML model outperforms both physics-based and ML models in predicting streamflow and evapotranspiration.

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models still lack of giving accurate forecasts everywhere. This study aims to explore arti…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantization-aware training can recover accuracy lost by post-training quantization.

problem Post-training quantization (PTQ) can fail sharply at aggressive bitwidths.
method A unified geometric framework that explains PTQ failure and QAT recovery.
result QAT has a useful bias that steers iterates back into the basin.

We give a graphical theory of integral indefinite binary Hamiltonian forms ff analogous to the one by Conway for binary quadratic forms and the one of Bestvina-Savin for binary Hermitian forms. Given a maximal order O\mathcal O in a definite quaternion algebra over Q\mathbb Q, we define the waterworld of ff, analog…

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or sensitivity analyses of complex problems, and hence allow global exploration of th…

2017-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Despite the huge success of Long Short-Term Memory networks, their applications in environmental sciences are scarce. We argue that one reason is the difficulty to interpret the internals of trained networks. In this study, we look at the application of LSTMs for rainfall-runoff forecasting, one of the central tasks in…

2019-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

PITMonitor monitors model calibration over time with formal error guarantees.

problem Fixed-sample tests applied to models over time can lead to false alarms.
method PITMonitor uses mixture e-processes to detect distributional shifts in probability integral transforms.
result PITMonitor achieves competitive detection rates on river's FriedmanDrift benchmark.

Paper optimizes internal balancing of wind and hydropower to reduce intraday market volatility.

problem Reduction of intraday market volatility for power producers with wind and hydropower assets.
method Internal balancing within the same river system and sales/purchase in a pay-as-bid intraday market.
result Reduction in short-term marginal cost and risk through internal balancing.

Novel SVM approach for extreme quantile regression with heavy tailed inputs.

problem Learning from extreme values in quantile regression.
method Support Vector Machine framework for handling high-dimensional and nonlinear settings.
result Established finite-sample learning guarantees under mild regularity assumptions.

Novel Orlicz regrets consistently bound environmental variable statistics.

problem Consistent evaluation of stochastic environmental variables like water quality indices.
method Proposed novel Orlicz regrets for upper and lower bounds.
result Explicit linkage between Orlicz regrets and divergence risk measures.

CauSTream forecasts streamflow by integrating causal graphs for better interpretability.

problem Streamflow forecasting lacks interpretability and generalization due to fixed causal models.
method CauSTream learns causal graphs for meteorological forcings and routing dependencies.
result CauSTream outperforms existing methods, especially at longer forecast windows.

Enhanced time series forecasting with improved trend and seasonal components.

problem Challenges in real-world time series forecasting, especially in multivariate applications.
method Individual decomposition of trend and seasonal components, using different approaches for each.
result Significant reduction in error values, around 10% MSE average reduction across benchmarks.