Efficiently simulates risk budgeting portfolios using novel algorithms.
problem Estimating risk contributions in portfolios efficiently.
method Cutting planes algorithm, specialised SGD for Expected Shortfall, numerical simulations.
result Outperforms standard convex optimisation solvers in estimating risk budgeting portfolios.
This paper extends risk parity to continuous-time, solving risk budgeting problems.
problem Achieving robust risk across different assets in continuous-time.
method Characterizing risk contributions and solving risk budgeting problems using continuous-time terminal variance.
result Risk contributions and risk budgets can be represented as predictable processes in continuous-time.
Paper proves existence and computation of Risk Budgeting portfolios.
problem Challenges to mean-variance framework sensitivity.
method Mathematical proofs and stochastic algorithms for risk measures.
result Existence and uniqueness of Risk Budgeting portfolios for various risk measures.
Paper uses Mirror Descent for efficient risk budgeting portfolios.
problem Computing optimal risk budgeting weights for various risk measures.
method Employed Mirror Descent algorithms in deterministic and stochastic settings.
result Established convergence and quantitative rate for averaged Mirror Descent algorithm.
Develops a new method for risk diversification using dynamic risk measures.
problem Dynamic risk diversification in investment portfolios.
method Introduces dynamic risk contributions and a recursive optimization approach for coherent dynamic distortion risk measures.
result Dynamic risk budgeting strategies can be solved using deep learning.
A new risk budgeting scheme derived from universal portfolio theory.
problem Risk allocation in portfolio management.
method Integrates Cover's universal portfolio selection with modern risk allocation models.
result Proves mathematical equivalence to a novel universal portfolio scheme.
A new method for calculating risk budgeting portfolios is proposed.
problem Calculating risk budgeting portfolios efficiently and theoretically.
method Defining a Cauchy sequence within the simplex of R^n, leading to a straightforward algorithm.
result The proposed method avoids computational challenges and provides theoretical guarantees.
A new approach to risk allocation balances asset and factor risks.
problem Challenges in estimating expected returns for portfolio optimization.
method Risk Budgeting framework that allocates risk at the factor level.
result Effective portfolios can be constructed by balancing asset and factor risks.
In the present paper, the minimal investment risk for a portfolio optimization problem with imposed budget and investment concentration constraints is considered using replica analysis. Since the minimal investment risk is influenced by the investment concentration constraint (as well as the budget constraint), it is i…
A new portfolio method uses NMF for risk budgeting, outperforming classical methods.
problem Portfolio diversification and risk management in crypto and traditional assets.
method Risk factor budgeting using convex Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF).
result Our method outperforms classical portfolio allocations in diversification and risk profile.
Although portfolio management didn't change much during the 40 years after the seminal works of Markowitz and Sharpe, the development of risk budgeting techniques marked an important milestone in the deepening of the relationship between risk and asset management. Risk parity then became a popular financial model of in…
Parametric insurance offers better risk-sharing in high-risk settings than traditional indemnity insurance.
problem High-risk environments where traditional indemnity insurance is unaffordable or ineffective.
method Comparison of excess-of-loss indemnity insurance and parametric insurance within a mean-variance framework, considering fixed costs and binding budget constraints.
result Parametric insurance yields higher welfare for risk-averse individuals, especially when indemnity insurance is impractical.
Improved portfolio optimization reduces sensitivity to neural network initialization.
problem High sensitivity to neural network initialization in portfolio optimization.
method Robust end-to-end framework for risk budgeting portfolios.
result Enhanced stability in portfolio optimization without compromising performance.
This article develops the theory of risk budgeting portfolios, when we would like to impose weight constraints. It appears that the mathematical problem is more complex than the traditional risk budgeting problem. The formulation of the optimization program is particularly critical in order to determine the right risk …
Framework uses optimal transport to quantify model risk in stochastic path laws.
problem Model risk in stochastic path laws.
method Signature-induced optimal transport framework.
result Explicit robust bounds and budget-aware sparse surrogate method.
New algorithm identifies best arm with optimal budget usage.
problem Identifying the arm with the highest mean reward from multiple options.
method Proposes Almost Tracking, a closed-form algorithm for anytime best arm identification.
result Proven to be rate-optimal and outperforms existing algorithms.
We propose a novel concept of a Systemic Optimal Risk Transfer Equilibrium (SORTE), which is inspired by the Bühlmann's classical notion of an Equilibrium Risk Exchange. We provide sufficient general assumptions that guarantee existence, uniqueness, and Pareto optimality of such a SORTE. In both the Bühlmann and the SO…
This paper studies the problem of nonparametric estimation of a smooth function with data distributed across multiple machines. We assume an independent sample from a white noise model is collected at each machine, and an estimator of the underlying true function needs to be constructed at a central machine. We place l…
The investment risk minimization problem with budget and return constraints has been the subject of research using replica analysis but there are shortcomings in the extant literature. With respect to Tobin's separation theorem and the capital asset pricing model, it is necessary to investigate the implications of a ri…
Solves asset allocation for investors with utility functions and limits.
problem Investor risk and utility with position limits.
method Analytical solution for piecewise-linear utility function with position limits.
result Simple functional form representing risk cost.
In the present paper, the primal-dual problem consisting of the investment risk minimization problem and the expected return maximization problem in the mean-variance model is discussed using replica analysis. As a natural extension of the investment risk minimization problem under only a budget constraint that we anal…
EERO optimizes resource usage for efficient classification.
problem Managing computational resources in complex machine learning models.
method EERO uses multiple classifiers with a reject option to adaptively shorten processing paths.
result EERO effectively manages budget allocation and enhances accuracy in complex scenarios.
Improves privacy guarantees by analyzing randomness in privacy-preserving mechanisms.
problem Balancing user privacy and business constraints in privacy-preserving mechanisms.
method Analyzes explicit and implicit randomness in privacy mechanisms and proposes a probabilistic calibration method.
result Proposes privacy at risk, providing stronger privacy guarantees with quantifiable risks.
We study the performance of various agent strategies in an artificial investment scenario. Agents are equipped with a budget, x(t), and at each time step invest a particular fraction, q(t), of their budget. The return on investment (RoI), r(t), is characterized by a periodic function with different types and leve…
DSI improves tail-risk estimation in generative models by averaging checkpoints.
problem Generative models' instability in rare adverse scenarios.
method Diachronic Sample Integration (DSI) ensembles generated samples across checkpoints.
result DSI reduces tail-estimation error compared to single-checkpoint baselines.
The paper optimizes portfolios using relative tail risk measures.
problem Optimizing portfolios with respect to relative tail risk.
method Analytic forms of portfolio CoVaR and CoCVaR derived on a market model. Monte-Carlo simulation for CoCVaR and marginal contributions. Risk budgeting method applied.
result Derivation of analytic forms for CoVaR and CoCVaR, and their marginal contributions.
New method calibrates noise for attack risk, improving ML model accuracy.
problem Improving accuracy of privacy-preserving ML models while maintaining privacy.
method Directly calibrates noise scale to a desired attack risk level, bypassing the standard ε-calibration. result Significantly decreases noise scale, leading to increased utility at the same risk level.
Synthetic tabular data synthesis models balance utility and risk.
problem Generating synthetic tabular data for regulated domains.
method Latent flow models with various learning targets, paths, and sampling methods.
result Velocity and posterior matching objectives yield higher utility, while score and noise matching achieve lower risk.
Quantum computing optimizes ESG portfolios efficiently.
problem Optimizing investment portfolios with risk, return, and ESG considerations.
method Formulated discrete Markowitz portfolio theory (DMPT) for quantum annealers, incorporating ESG ratings.
result Discrete portfolios converge to continuous solutions as budgets increase, outperforming traditional methods.
Quantum method speeds up risk estimation for insurance tail risks.
problem Sample-sparsity in classical Monte Carlo methods for tail risk pricing.
method Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) with Grover amplification.
result Quantum method achieves convergence approaching order reciprocal N, enabling high-resolution tail estimation within practical budgets.
NAPP-ERM improves ERM with differential privacy guarantees by iteratively achieving target regularization and delivering strong convexity.
problem Over-regularization in privacy-preserving ERM approaches.
method Noise-Augmented Privacy-Preserving Empirical Risk Minimization (NAPP-ERM) with a dual-purpose l2 regularizer and privacy budget retrieval strategy.
result Mitigates over-regularization and achieves strong convexity through a single regularizer.
New method balances performance and cost in identifying best arm.
problem Identifying the best arm in multi-armed bandit models.
method Minimizes a risk functional that balances performance and cost.
result Proposes DBCARE algorithm that matches theoretical lower bounds.
Paper studies systemic robustness in financial networks using particle systems.
problem Budget control and default risk in regional financial networks.
method Mean-field particle system approach, McKean-Vlasov equations, asymptotic analysis.
result Systemic robustness measured by the proportion of surviving entities in large particle systems.
In this paper, we revisit the portfolio optimization problems of the minimization/maximization of investment risk under constraints of budget and investment concentration (primal problem) and the maximization/minimization of investment concentration under constraints of budget and investment risk (dual problem) for the…
Understanding and measuring model risk is important to financial practitioners. However, there lacks a non-parametric approach to model risk quantification in a dynamic setting and with path-dependent losses. We propose a complete theory generalizing the relative-entropic approach by Glasserman and Xu to the dynamic ca…
A Budgeted Markov Decision Process (BMDP) is an extension of a Markov Decision Process to critical applications requiring safety constraints. It relies on a notion of risk implemented in the shape of a cost signal constrained to lie below an - adjustable - threshold. So far, BMDPs could only be solved in the case of fi…
Deep neural networks reduce portfolio tail-risk by 99% in crisis-era simulations.
problem Managing tail risk in financial portfolios.
method Parameterizing convex-risk minimization with deep neural networks.
result Significant reduction in one-day 99% CVaR.
In this paper, as a first step in examining the properties of a feasible portfolio subset that is characterized by budget and risk constraints, we assess the maximum and minimum of the investment concentration using replica analysis. To do this, we apply an analytical approach of statistical mechanics. We note that the…
We develop an optimal currency hedging strategy for fund managers who own foreign assets to choose the hedge tenors that maximize their FX carry returns within a liquidity risk constraint. The strategy assumes that the offshore assets are fully hedged with FX forwards. The chosen liquidity risk metric is Cash Flow at R…
DARTS optimizes covariate selection in trials with limited data.
problem Limited budget for high-dimensional pretreatment data.
method Dynamic Adaptive Rerandomization via Thompson Sampling (DARTS).
result DARTS efficiently concentrates budget on informative features.
Framework detects and mitigates data-poisoning attacks in causal effect estimation.
problem Vulnerability to append-only attacks in observational causal analyses.
method Develops a data-poisoning audit for augmented inverse-probability-weighted estimation.
result Proposes a greedy scan to compute exact worst-case movement at every append budget.
GNMR controls runtime stability in low-precision language model training.
problem Efficient low-precision training faces numerical risks at specific operators.
method GNMR compares gradient norms to historical means, applying bounded recovery actions.
result GNMR preserves high-fidelity quality with sparse, budgeted recovery.
Study optimizes data collection from biased, costly sources to minimize risk.
problem Estimating population means and group-conditional means from multiple sources with varying costs and biases.
method Develops a sampling plan that maximizes effective sample size, paired with a post-stratification estimator.
result Achieves budgeted minimax optimal risk for estimating population means and group-conditional means.
Extends risk control to adaptive data collection, anytime-valid guarantees.
problem Ensuring safety of machine learning models with critical risk measures.
method Sequential risk controlling prediction sets (RCPS) for adaptive data collection and active labeling.
result Anytime-valid guarantees for risk control in sequential data collection.
Estimates model performance from compute budget for distillation.
problem Risk mitigation in large-scale distillation.
method Distillation scaling law based on compute budget allocation.
result Maximizes student performance with compute-optimal allocation.
Automates phased release strategy to balance risk and speed.
problem Balancing risk and speed in phased product releases.
method Formalizes as constrained batched bandit problem, uses adaptive Bayesian approach.
result Proposes algorithm that determines optimal release percentages.
Optimizes gradual reduction of excess carbon emissions to net-zero.
problem Achieving net-zero carbon emissions through gradual reduction of excess emissions.
method Stochastic control approach to identify optimal emission strategy under constraints.
result Identifies the emission strategy that maximizes future profit from excess emissions.
We analyze general model selection procedures using penalized empirical loss minimization under computational constraints. While classical model selection approaches do not consider computational aspects of performing model selection, we argue that any practical model selection procedure must not only trade off estimat…