Model analyzes how firms balance full disclosure with selective disclosure to maintain a good reputation.
problem Managing reputation in financial markets through voluntary disclosure.
method Developed a dynamic model with two disclosure strategies: candid and sparing, using a piecewise-deterministic model.
result Firms are rewarded for full disclosure but may switch to selective disclosure to avoid potential downgrades.
Research shows higher damages may encourage more disclosure in corporate disputes.
problem How to resolve disputes over undisclosed material events in a way that encourages voluntary disclosure.
method Dynamic continuous-time model of management's equilibrium disclosure decision.
result Increased damages may lead to an endogenous increase in voluntary disclosure.
Well-defined formal definitions for sentiment and opinion are extended to incorporate the necessary elements to provide a formal quantitative definition of reputation. This definition takes the form of a time-based index, in which each element is a function of a collection of opinions mined during a given time period. …
Model analyzes OTC market making with reputation feedback.
problem Optimizing electronic OTC liquidity provision considering reputation.
method Developed a stochastic-control model with feedback loops.
result Policy alternates between reputation-building and franchise monetization phases.
Model analyzes how reputation feedback affects OTC market making.
problem Understanding and optimizing OTC market making strategies.
method Developed a stochastic-control model with feedback loops.
result Policy alternates between reputation building and franchise monetization.
Study shows social media impacts shareholder returns on ESG risks.
problem Investor sentiment and public opinion on ESG risks.
method Event study design using social media data.
result Statistically significant reduction in abnormal returns after ESG-risk events.
A dealer manages quotes and rejection rules to control slippage risk in FX markets.
problem Managing inventory risk and latency risk in OTC FX market making.
method Dynamic programming and adiabatic-quadratic approximation to optimize quotes and rejection rules.
result Developed a method to optimize quotes and rejection rules for managing slippage risk.
Two novel algorithms improve distributed machine learning in the presence of Byzantine adversaries.
problem Improving distributed machine learning in the presence of Byzantine adversaries.
method Two novel stochastic gradient descent algorithms, ByGARS and ByGARS++, using reputation scores for gradient aggregation.
result Robust to any number of multiplicative noise Byzantine adversaries and converge for strongly convex loss functions.
A new federated learning framework ensures fairness and robustness.
problem Collaborative fairness and adversarial robustness in federated learning.
method RFFL framework with a reputation mechanism to identify and remove non-contributing or malicious participants.
result RFFL achieves high fairness and robustness to different types of adversaries.
Reducing barriers to entry in large-scale ML markets, study shows multi-objective learning can lower data requirements.
problem Barriers to entry in emerging markets for large-scale machine learning models.
method Defined a multi-objective high-dimensional regression framework to study reputational damage and data requirements.
result The number of data points needed for a new company to enter the market can be significantly smaller than the incumbent company's dataset size.
We propose a continuum model for the description of buyer and seller dynamics in an Internet market. The relevant variables are the research effort of buyers and the sellers' reputation building process. We show that, if a commercial web-site gives consumers the possibility to rate credibly sellers they bargained with,…
Framework scores DeFi users based on liquidity and trading behavior.
problem Distinguishing between liquidity provision and active trading in DeFi.
method Rule-based decomposition, deep residual neural network, pool-level context.
result Deep residual neural network improves user scoring and risk assessment.
New approach simulates reputation dynamics using information compression.
problem Malicious communication strategies in reputation networks.
method Uses information compression techniques to simulate social phenomena.
result Emergent phenomena like echo chambers and deception are observed.
Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.
problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.
As the number of contributors to online peer-production systems grows, it becomes increasingly important to predict whether the edits that users make will eventually be beneficial to the project. Existing solutions either rely on a user reputation system or consist of a highly specialized predictor that is tailored to …
The persistence of racial inequality in the U.S. labor market against a general backdrop of formal equality of opportunity is a troubling phenomenon that has significant ramifications on the design of hiring policies. In this paper, we show that current group disparate outcomes may be immovable even when hiring decisio…
CFFL framework improves fairness in FL without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Overfitting and lack of collaborative fairness in Federated Learning.
method CFFL framework uses reputation to ensure participants converge to different models.
result CFFL achieves high fairness, comparable accuracy, and better performance than Standalone and Distributed frameworks.
Machine learning methods have gained a great deal of popularity in recent years among public administration scholars and practitioners. These techniques open the door to the analysis of text, image and other types of data that allow us to test foundational theories of public administration and to develop new theories. …
Android and Facebook provide third-party applications with access to users' private data and the ability to perform potentially sensitive operations (e.g., post to a user's wall or place phone calls). As a security measure, these platforms restrict applications' privileges with permission systems: users must approve th…
The paper proposes a fair and private decentralized deep learning framework.
problem Ensuring fairness and privacy in collaborative deep learning.
method A reputation system and differential privacy are used. FDPDDL framework is built with two stages: initialisation and update.
result FDPDDL achieves high fairness, comparable accuracy to centralised and distributed frameworks, and better accuracy than standalone.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an important driving force for the development and transformation of the financial industry. However, with the fast-evolving AI technology and application, unintentional bias, insufficient model validation, immature contingency plan and other underestimated threats may expose the company…
Paper uses queue theory to model financial signals with relativistic delay.
problem Relativistic delay in financial trading signals.
method Modified M/M/G queue theory.
result Describes propagation of trading signals with finite velocity.
Social networks offer a ready channel for fake and misleading news to spread and exert influence. This paper examines the performance of different reputation algorithms when applied to a large and statistically significant portion of the news that are spread via Twitter. Our main result is that simple crowdsourcing-bas…
Despite all our great advances in science, technology and financial innovations, many societies today are struggling with a financial, economic and public spending crisis, over-regulation, and mass unemployment, as well as lack of sustainability and innovation. Can we still rely on conventional economic thinking or do …
Neural network models have a reputation for being black boxes. We propose to monitor the features at every layer of a model and measure how suitable they are for classification. We use linear classifiers, which we refer to as "probes", trained entirely independently of the model itself. This helps us better understand …
New algorithm reduces regret in strategic prediction problem.
problem Designing an IC algorithm with sublinear regret for strategic experts.
method Developed a new algorithm WSU-UX and proved a worst-case regret bound.
result WSU-UX suffers a Ω(T2/3) lower bound on regret. This paper clarifies Bitcoin's volatility and predictability across daily, weekly, and monthly scales.
problem Clarify Bitcoin's volatility and predictability across different time scales.
method Using daily, weekly, and monthly closing prices and log-returns data, analyze volatility and predictability.
result Bitcoin exhibits high volatility and high predictability, with different behaviors at different time scales.
Clarifies model-based RL's theoretical issues and counterexamples for popular losses.
problem Model-based reinforcement learning's empirical performance vs. theoretical properties and popular loss functions.
method Analyzes empirical and theoretical aspects of model-based RL and constructs counterexamples for losses.
result MuZero loss fails in stochastic and deterministic environments, leading to exponential sample complexity.
The study explores when it's best to remove a real estate broker from the process.
problem Optimal conditions for removing a real estate broker.
method New models analyzing information asymmetry, social capital, and contract types.
result Dis-intermediation can be optimal under certain conditions.
Delegated votes in Uniswap DAO favor parties with less self-owned votes and a16z-affiliated entities.
problem Incentives for vote delegation in decentralized governance systems.
method Analysis of Uniswap governance DAO using vote delegation data.
result Vote delegation patterns suggest window-dressing around decentralization and merit-based delegation.
Reproducibility of modeling is a problem that exists for any machine learning practitioner, whether in industry or academia. The consequences of an irreproducible model can include significant financial costs, lost time, and even loss of personal reputation (if results prove unable to be replicated). This paper will fi…
Automated prediction of public speaking performance enables novel systems for tutoring public speaking skills. We use the largest open repository---TED Talks---to predict the ratings provided by the online viewers. The dataset contains over 2200 talk transcripts and the associated meta information including over 5.5 mi…
A technique to quickly fix mistakes in neural networks.
problem Fixing model errors in neural networks quickly and without affecting other samples.
method Editable Training, a model-agnostic training technique.
result Effectiveness demonstrated on large-scale image classification and machine translation tasks.
Both generative adversarial networks (GAN) in unsupervised learning and actor-critic methods in reinforcement learning (RL) have gained a reputation for being difficult to optimize. Practitioners in both fields have amassed a large number of strategies to mitigate these instabilities and improve training. Here we show …
This paper explores portfolio management strategies to maximize alpha and minimize beta.
problem Maximizing returns while minimizing risk in investment portfolios.
method Examines asset allocation, diversification, active management, and risk management strategies.
result Combining these strategies optimizes portfolio performance.
Nostradamus links climate and stock market performance.
problem Understanding the impact of climate on stock prices.
method Analyzing historical data, climate indicators, and natural disasters.
result Significant correlation between climate and stock price fluctuations.
Paper introduces a framework for managing cyber risk with insurance and cybersecurity models.
problem Pervasive challenges in managing cyber risk, especially for capital allocation.
method Combines insurance frequency-severity models with cybersecurity cascade models for comprehensive cyber risk assessment. Facilitates informed capital allocation through a two-pillar framework.
result Demonstrates the necessity of comprehensive cost-benefit analysis for budget-constrained companies.
Detecting faults and SLA violations in a timely manner is critical for telecom providers, in order to avoid loss in business, revenue and reputation. At the same time predicting SLA violations for user services in telecom environments is difficult, due to time-varying user demands and infrastructure load conditions. In…
The basic financial purpose of a firm is to maximize its value. An inventory management system should also contribute to realization of this basic aim. Many current asset management models currently found in financial management literature were constructed with the assumption of book profit maximization as basic aim. H…
The problem of searching for experts in a given academic field is hugely important in both industry and academia. We study exactly this issue with respect to a database of authors and their publications. The idea is to use Latent Semantic Indexing (LSI) and Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) to perform topic modelling i…
Study finds Indian mutual funds adjust cash holdings based on inflows, impacting stock purchases.
problem Active liquidity management by mutual funds in India.
method Examined cash holdings and stock purchases of Indian equity mutual funds.
result Funds with active liquidity choices outperform, highlighting the importance of this strategy.
Framework for managing cyber risks in networks.
problem Managing systemic cyber risks in digital networks.
method Three components: acceptable configurations, risk mitigation interventions, and cost function.
result Effective decision-making for network resilience.
Research identifies risks in selecting project managers for civil engineering projects.
problem Lack of awareness of project manager selection criteria and associated risks.
method Combined ANP-FMEA approach for risk analysis.
result ANP-FMEA model identifies more significant risks than traditional FMEA.
Deep learning improves portfolio management by optimizing asset weights.
problem Traditional portfolio managers are outperformed by deep learning models in trading.
method Proposes a deep reinforcement learning portfolio manager that allocates weights to assets.
result The proposed portfolio manager outperforms conventional managers in risk-adjusted returns.
This research develops a dynamic risk management system for industrial companies.
problem Risk assessment and management in industrial enterprises.
method Qualitative and quantitative analysis, systematic risk classification, dynamic system development.
result Effective risk management strategies formed through dynamic risk management system and risk assessment methods.
Study finds managers' tenure and education influence their choice between in-court and out-of-court restructuring.
problem Exploring managers' characteristics and their impact on restructuring decisions.
method Empirical investigation using upper echelons theory and data from 342 managers of French firms.
result Managers with longer tenure and higher education levels prefer private restructuring over court involvement.
The paper fits cash management models to data using stochastic and linear programming.
problem Cash flow probability distribution assumptions in cash management models are relaxed.
method Stochastic and linear programming to fit models to data.
result A small random sample of data is sufficient to fit bound-based models.
Decision tool helps manage biofouling risks for ships in the Baltic Sea.
problem Biofouling of ships causes environmental and economic issues.
method Bayesian networks to identify biofouling management strategies.
result Optimal biofouling management includes biocidal-free coating and in-water cleaning.