Empirical study shows Randomized Signature Methods improve portfolio optimization in financial markets.
problem Drift estimation in non-linear, non-parametric financial markets is challenging.
method Applied Randomized Signature Methods for non-linear, non-parametric drift estimation in multi-variate financial markets.
result Randomized Signature Methods provide features on the same scale and improve portfolio optimization in real-world settings.
Framework combines random features with CDEs for efficient time-series learning.
problem Efficient training of time-series models with strong inductive bias.
method Random Fourier CDEs and Random Rough DEs using continuous-time reservoirs and log-ODE discretization.
result Unified perspective on random-feature reservoirs and path-signature theory.
Reconstructing signature features from randomized vector fields in differential equations.
problem Reconstructing signature features from controlled differential equations with random vector fields.
method Using controlled ordinary differential equations driven by continuous bounded variation curves, the study explores the extent to which signature features can be reconstructed from the non-linear flow of these equations.
result The number of signature features that can be reconstructed from the non-linear flow of controlled ordinary differential equations with random vector fields is exponential in the hidden dimension, under certain conditions.
Accelerates signature kernel computation for sequences.
problem Severe computational bottleneck in computing signature kernel.
method Random Fourier features to accelerate signature kernel computation.
result Uniform approximation guarantees for unbiased estimator with linear computation time.
Researchers develop Malliavin calculus for signatures, simplifying option Greeks computation.
problem Lack of tractability and explicit representations in Malliavin calculus.
method Focus on finite linear combinations of time-extended Brownian motion signatures, derive explicit formulas for Malliavin derivative, and compute Greeks for path-dependent options.
result Closed-form expressions for classical operators of Malliavin calculus, providing algebraic formulations.
Global approximation for piecewise linear paths via signatures.
problem Global approximation theorems for piecewise linear paths.
method Using signatures of piecewise linear paths and their density in Lp-norms. result Linear functionals of signatures are dense in Lp-norms under an integrability condition. This paper develops a path-first theory using signatures and jump lifts for self-exiting processes.
problem Developing a universal coordinate system for various types of paths and processes.
method Using signatures, jump lifts, and expected signatures, the paper presents a geometricity framework with algebraic properties and obstructions.
result The framework links various mathematical concepts and offers four main contributions to understanding and modeling self-exiting processes.
New method solves optimal stopping problems using rough path signatures.
problem Optimal stopping problems in finance and other fields.
method Using rough path signatures and deep neural networks.
result Solves optimal stopping problems efficiently under minimal assumptions.
The sequence of moments of a vector-valued random variable can characterize its law. We study the analogous problem for path-valued random variables, that is stochastic processes, by using so-called robust signature moments. This allows us to derive a metric of maximum mean discrepancy type for laws of stochastic proce…
Scalable machine learning with path signatures for time series and graphs.
problem Challenges in real-world time series and graph data.
method Combines rough path theory with probabilistic, deep, and kernel methods.
result Scalable models for time series and graph data.
Bayesian time series forecasting improves by dynamically adapting to recent information.
problem Lack of forgetting mechanism in signature kernel for time series forecasting.
method Introducing a novel forgetting mechanism for signature features using Random Fourier Decayed Signature Features (RFDSF) with Gaussian processes (GPs).
result Demonstrates superior performance compared to other GP-based alternatives and state-of-the-art probabilistic time series forecasting algorithms.
Detects anomalies in stock and crypto data with high accuracy.
problem Identifying rare or unexpected events in time series data.
method Uses signature or randomized signature methods for anomaly detection.
result Achieves F1 scores up to 88% in identifying pump and dump attempts.
Offline Signature Verification (OSV) remains a challenging pattern recognition task, especially in the presence of skilled forgeries that are not available during the training. This challenge is aggravated when there are small labeled training data available but with large intra-personal variations. In this study, we a…
Path signatures adapted for Lie groups improve action recognition in computer vision.
problem Improving action recognition in computer vision with geometric constraints.
method Lifting path signatures to Lie groups and proving universality and characteristic property.
result Path signatures on Lie groups provide comparable performance to shallow learning approaches in action recognition.
For mass spectra acquired from cancer patients by MALDI or SELDI techniques, automated discrimination between cancer types or stages has often been implemented by machine learnings. These techniques typically generate "black-box" classifiers, which are difficult to interpret biologically. We develop new and efficient s…
A hybrid framework for American option pricing under time-varying rough volatility.
problem Pricing American options under time-varying rough volatility.
method Signature method combined with gradient-boosted ensemble for Hurst parameter estimation, regime switch, and Random Fourier Features for acceleration.
result The proposed hybrid framework improves performance over fixed-roughness baselines and reduces duality gaps in some regimes.
Modeling intraday electricity prices with a Hawkes process.
problem Capturing the dynamics of intraday electricity prices, especially microstructure noise.
method 2D marked Hawkes process with increasing baseline intensity, providing analytic moments and signature plot.
result The model fits German intraday electricity data well and converges to a Brownian motion with increasing volatility.
This paper extends hypergraph construction to multivariate time series using signature transforms.
problem Constructing hypergraphs from collections of multivariate time series.
method Leveraging signature transforms to introduce controlled randomness and robustness.
result Validated on synthetic datasets, the method enhances robustness in hypergraph construction.
As advances in signature recognition have reached a new plateau of performance at around 2% error rate, it is interesting to investigate alternative approaches. The approach detailed in this paper looks at using Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) to learn a latent space representation of genuine signatures. This is then …
Random walks on braid groups are transient, with specific closure properties for certain braids.
problem Understanding the behavior of random walks on braid groups and their closure properties.
method Analyzing the symplectic representation of braid groups and polynomial conditions on their matrices.
result Random walks on braid groups are transient, and specific closure properties for certain braids are derived.
This paper explores how different audio signal representations affect topological signatures and their predictive power.
problem The impact of different signal representations on topological signatures and their predictive power.
method The study compares three different signal representations (embedding, spectrogram, and spectrogram zeroes) and evaluates their topological signatures for speaker gender, vowel type, and individual prediction.
result Topological signatures from spectrogram zeroes offer the best improvement for gender prediction, and different representations are complementary.
Generative model uses random convolutional features to create financial time series.
problem Generating realistic financial time series with limited data and avoiding overfitting.
method Train generators by matching random convolutional features of real and generated time series, using SOCK (SOft Competing Kernels) feature map.
result Generators trained with random SOCK features outperform baselines across various financial datasets.
The paper uses Betti curves to confirm hyperbolic geometry in brain, climate, and financial networks.
problem Confirming the curvature of real-world networks using topology.
method Using Betti curves and integral Betti signatures derived from Persistent Homology to distinguish different geometric matrices.
result Integral Betti signatures effectively distinguish Euclidean, spherical, and hyperbolic geometric matrices.
Standard ChIP-seq peak calling pipelines seek to differentiate biochemically reproducible signals of individual genomic elements from background noise. However, reproducibility alone does not imply functional regulation (e.g., enhancer activation, alternative splicing). Here we present a general-purpose, interpretable …
Study uses topological signatures to quantify financial market complexity.
problem Capturing temporal organization beyond volatility measures.
method Null validated topological approach using L1 norm of persistence landscapes. result Persistence landscape norms reveal dynamical structure during market stress.
The paper revisits expected signatures in semimartingale models, providing new formulae and simplifying complexity.
problem Computing expected signatures in semimartingale models.
method Revisits and provides new formulae for computing expected signatures in a general semimartingale setting.
result Log-transform of expected signatures simplifies complexity, leading to signature cumulants.
I-BBS identifies latent sub-manifolds from distance matrices, robust to noise.
problem Identifying latent sub-manifolds from distance matrices in high-dimensional spaces.
method Coordinate-free inference using random distance matrix theory and generative noise models.
result Recovering latent geometry from integer-stable signatures of eigenvalues.
Defines knot signature invariant using G-signature theorem.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on knot theory.
method Uses G-signature theorem to define knot invariant.
result Defines an invariant for strongly invertible knots.
Improved graph matching algorithm robust to noise.
problem Finding a bijection between vertex sets of two graphs.
method Uses multistage signature vectors to match vertices.
result Recover matching exactly with high probability for α≤1/(loglogn)C. Deep signature/log-signature FBSDE algorithm improves accuracy and training time.
problem Solving FBSDEs with state and path dependent features.
method Incorporates deep signature/log-signature transformation into RNN model.
result Improves accuracy and training time compared to existing methods.
A well-known property of the signature of closed oriented 4n-dimensional manifolds is Novikov additivity, which states that if a manifold is split into two manifolds with boundary along an oriented smooth hypersurface, then the signature of the original manifold equals the sum of the signatures of the resulting manifol…
The study uses Random Matrix Theory to identify structural changes in stock markets during shocks.
problem Understanding structural changes in stock markets during exogenous shocks.
method Random Matrix Theory and complexity gap analysis.
result The complexity gap collapses during shocks, indicating strong synchronization, and widens before shocks, signaling a rich structure.
Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots follows a reduction formula.
problem Determining the maximum Levine-Tristram signature for torus knots.
method Proved a reduction formula analogous to Gordon-Litherland-Murasugi's classical signature result.
result Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots satisfies a reduction formula.
New findings on mesh group-planes validate Signature-inverse Theorem under specific conditions.
problem Invalidity of existing inverse theorems for mesh group-planes.
method Classification of three and five point meshes, analysis of joint invariant signatures.
result Valid conditions for the Signature-inverse Theorem in mesh group-planes.
Introduces flat discrete signatures for financial data analysis.
problem Representing financial data for machine learning without continuous transformation.
method Introduced flat discrete signatures and discrete signatures, generalizing flat discrete signatures.
result Flat discrete signatures can represent quadratic variation relevant in finance.
This is a sequel to the paper "The signature package on Witt spaces, I. Index classes" by the same authors. In the first part we investigated, via a parametrix construction, the regularity properties of the signature operator on a stratified Witt pseudomanifold, proving, in particular, that one can define a K-homology …
We define the Analytical signature, the Hodge signature and the de Rham signature for a foliated manifold with boundary with foliation transverse to the boundary. We show that all these signatures coincide and a Hirzebruch formula is valid.
New methods price American options in rough volatility models.
problem Pricing American options under rough volatility.
method Integrating deep-signature and signature-kernel learning into optimal stopping problem solutions.
result Performance comparison in rough Heston and rough Bergomi models.
The paper examines the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data.
problem Consistency of Lasso regression in signature analysis of time series data.
method The paper studies the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data, both theoretically and numerically.
result The Lasso regression is consistent both asymptotically and in finite sample for certain types of time series and processes.
Study signatures of torus links and their cores using Neumann's equivariant signatures and Hirzebruch's formula.
problem Computing signatures of torus links and their cores.
method Use Neumann's equivariant signatures and rewrite Hirzebruch's formula for torus links (without cores) in terms of integral points in a parallelogram.
result Rewritten Hirzebruch's formula for torus links with cores using integral points in a parallelogram.
This paper extends the C*-signature to non-Witt spaces using noncommutative geometric methods.
problem Extending the signature to non-Witt spaces with noncommutative geometric methods.
method Noncommutative geometric methods, combinatorial framework, and comparison with analytical signature.
result Constructing the C*-signature on non-Witt spaces.
Paper generalizes path signature using fractional calculus for improved machine learning.
problem Improving path signature for machine learning applications.
method Introduces two new signatures inspired by fractional calculus and machine learning considerations.
result Significant accuracy improvements in handwritten digit recognition.
We present a novel method for extracting cancer signatures by applying statistical risk models (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2732453) from quantitative finance to cancer genome data. Using 1389 whole genome sequenced samples from 14 cancers, we identify an "overall" mode of somatic mutational noise. We give a prescription …
pySigLib speeds up signature-based computations on CPUs and GPUs.
problem Efficient signature-based computations on large datasets and long sequences.
method Optimised Python library for CPU and GPU, novel differentiation scheme.
result Accurate gradients at a fraction of the runtime of existing libraries.
Efficiently computes sparse signature coefficients using kernels.
problem Lack of efficient methods for sparse signature coefficients.
method Signature kernels and PDE-based methods.
result Sparse groups of signature coefficients can be isolated effectively.
New method calculates signatures of biquotients.
problem Signature calculation for homogeneous spaces.
method Generalization of Hirzebruch's computation to biquotients.
result Signature of biquotients computed for equal rank cases.
Paper introduces branched signature model for efficient computation and data-driven applications.
problem Efficient computation and data-driven modeling of branched rough paths.
method Develops a universal approximation theorem and constructs an extension map to realize branched signatures.
result Explicit construction of branched signatures via an extension map for efficient computation.
Link signature limit depends on linking matrix under specific polynomial condition.
problem Limits of Tristam-Levine signature function under precise polynomial conditions.
method Analysis of Alexander polynomial and linking matrix.
result Limit of Tristam-Levine signature at 1 determined by linking matrix under specific polynomial condition.