A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
3D ConvNets improved with Project & Excite for medical imaging segmentation.
A new model predicts discrete events with flexible, nonparametric baseline and excitation.
Machine learning speeds up quantum chemical calculations of excited states.
New self-exciting random evolutions (SEREs) for modeling traffic and transport processes.
The excited states of polyatomic systems are rather complex, and often exhibit meta-stable dynamical behaviors. Static analysis of reaction pathway often fails to sufficiently characterize excited state motions due to their highly non-equilibrium nature. Here, we proposed a time series guided clustering algorithm to ge…
Machine learning aids excited-state molecular dynamics studies.
Optimal reinsurance strategy analyzed for dynamic risk model with self- and externally-excited jumps.
Paper presents a method for estimating Hawkes process parameters.
In Levin-Wen (LW) models, a wide class of exactly solvable discrete models, for two dimensional topological phases, it is relatively easy to describe only single fluxon excitations, but not the charge and dyonic as well as many-fluxon excitations. To incorporate charged and dyonic excitations in (doubled) topological p…
Paper explores ML for UV spectra, showing transferability in chemical space.
Deep QMC method accurately computes electronic excited states.
This is an introductory article on high dimensional knots for the beginners. High dimensional knot theory is an exciting field. It is a field of knot theory, which is one of topology and is connected with many ones. In this article we use few literal expressions, equations, functions, etc. We barely suppose that the re…
Neural networks are based on a simplified model of the brain. In this project, we wanted to relax the simplifying assumptions of a traditional neural network by making a model that more closely emulates the low level interactions of neurons. Like in an RNN, our model has a state that persists between time steps, so tha…
The generalized 5D Black-Scholes differential equation with stochastic volatility is derived. The projections of the stochastic evolutions associated with the random variables from an enlarged space or superspace onto an ordinary space can be achieved via higher-dimensional operators. The stochastic nature of the secur…
Price changes are induced by aggressive market orders in stock market. We introduce a bivariate marked Hawkes process to model aggressive market order arrivals at the microstructural level. The order arrival intensity is marked by an exogenous part and two endogenous processes reflecting the self-excitation and cross-e…
Lower bounds and upper bounds on sample complexity for identifying linear dynamical systems.
Paper analyzes coexisting hidden and self-excited attractors in an economic system.
For their ability to capture non-linearities in the data and to scale to large training sets, local Support Vector Machines (SVMs) have received a special attention during the past decade. In this paper, we introduce a new local SVM method, called L-SVMs, which clusters the input space, carries out dimensionality r…
We provide a general probabilistic framework within which we establish scaling limits for a class of continuous-time stochastic volatility models with self-exciting jump dynamics. In the scaling limit, the joint dynamics of asset returns and volatility is driven by independent Gaussian white noises and two independent …
Optimal noise excitation for linear system identification reduces sample complexity.
Excited-state dynamics simulations are a powerful tool to investigate photo-induced reactions of molecules and materials and provide complementary information to experiments. Since the applicability of these simulation techniques is limited by the costs of the underlying electronic structure calculations, we develop an…
New algorithm learns LQR with regret using Langevin dynamics and excitation.
Paper forecasts financial trading durations using a new point process model.
Motor control is a set of time-varying muscle excitations which generate desired motions for a biomechanical system. Muscle excitations cannot be directly measured from live subjects. An alternative approach is to estimate muscle activations using inverse motion-driven simulation. In this article, we propose a deep rei…
The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has immigration-birth representation. Based on that, Fierro et al. recently introduced…
Develops a goodness-of-fit test for self-exciting processes.
Multiplex Network Hawkes model for systemic risk measurement
When an online learning algorithm is used to estimate the unknown parameters of a model, the signals interacting with the parameter estimates should not decay too quickly for the optimal values to be discovered correctly. This requirement is referred to as persistency of excitation, and it arises in various contexts, s…
Study optimal dividend and capital injection in insurance portfolios with self-exciting claim arrivals.
Paper introduces MSPD for multivariate risk processes with dependencies.
In this paper we consider a mean-field model of interacting diffusions for the monetary reserves in which the reserves are subjected to a self- and cross-exciting shock. This is motivated by the financial acceleration and fire sales observed in the market. We derive a mean-field limit using a weak convergence analysis …
This study defines a multivariate Self--Exciting Threshold Autoregressive with eXogenous input (MSETARX) models and present an estimation procedure for the parameters. The conditions for stationarity of the nonlinear MSETARX models is provided. In particular, the efficiency of an adaptive parameter estimation algorithm…
GAttNHP predicts future events in temporal knowledge graphs by encoding long-range dependencies and handling mutual excitation.
Review of modern computational optimal transport methods for biomedical applications.
We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate each other with correlated levels of contagion. We generalize a recent algorithm f…
Tiled Squeeze-and-Excite improves channel attention with local spatial context.
In this paper we studied about the wavelet identification of the thresholds and time delay for more general case without the constraint that the time delay is smaller than the order of the model. Here we composed an empirical wavelet from the SETAR (Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive) model and identified the thres…
MEG models for dynamic networks estimate dependencies and shared latent space relationships.
We study statistical aspects of state-dependent Hawkes processes, which are an extension of Hawkes processes where a self- and cross-exciting counting process and a state process are fully coupled, interacting with each other. The excitation kernel of the counting process depends on the state process that, reciprocally…
We prove sharp pointwise decay estimates for critical Dirac equations on with . They appear for instance in the study of critical Dirac equations on compact spin manifolds, describing blow-up profiles, and as effective equations in honeycomb structures. For the latter case, we find excited state…
New method improves neural network robustness to adversarial attacks.
We consider a self-exciting counting process, the parameters of which depend on a hidden finite-state Markov chain. We derive the optimal filter and smoother for the hidden chain based on observation of the jump process. This filter is in closed form and is finite dimensional. We demonstrate the performance of this fil…
Investor emotions predict earnings announcements, but excitement lowers returns.
Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes that are self-exciting and have clustering effect, with wide applications in finance, social networks and many other fields. This paper considers a self-exciting Hawkes process where the baseline intensity is time-dependent, the exciting function is a general funct…
Consider observing a collection of discrete events within a network that reflect how network nodes influence one another. Such data are common in spike trains recorded from biological neural networks, interactions within a social network, and a variety of other settings. Data of this form may be modeled as self-excitin…
New mechanism found for power laws including Zipf's law.
This paper considers a new framework to detect communities in a graph from the observation of signals at its nodes. We model the observed signals as noisy outputs of an unknown network process, represented as a graph filter that is excited by a set of unknown low-rank inputs/excitations. Application scenarios of this m…
Study analyzes portfolio liquidation games influenced by self-exciting order flow.