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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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0111 · Apr 201519922001200920172026
6 results for externally-exciting

Optimal reinsurance strategy analyzed for dynamic risk model with self- and externally-excited jumps.

problem Optimal reinsurance in a dynamic contagion model with self-exciting and externally-exciting risks.
method Two methodologies: classical HJB approach and BSDE approach, focusing on Markovian setting.
result Comparison of self-exciting and externally-exciting risks highlights heightened risk from self-exciting component.

This paper focuses on a class of linear Hawkes processes with general immigrants. These are counting processes with shot noise intensity, including self-excited and externally excited patterns. For such processes, we introduce the concept of age pyramid which evolves according to immigration and births. The virtue if t…

2015-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

MAntRA combines machine learning and Bayesian methods for time-dependent reliability analysis of unknown systems.

problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with unknown governing physics.
method Combines machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and stochastic integration to discover and analyze SDEs from data.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of MAntRA on three numerical examples, indicating its potential for in-situ and heritage structure analysis.

Novel F2NARX model improves surrogate modeling for stochastic dynamical systems.

problem Challenges in constructing accurate and efficient surrogate models for stochastic dynamical systems.
method Function-on-Function Nonlinear AutoRegressive model with eXogenous inputs (F2NARX) combining PCA and Gaussian process regression.
result F2NARX outperforms state-of-the-art NARX models in efficiency and accuracy.