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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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73146219292 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Probabilistic Interpretation

Transformers interpreted as probabilistic Laplacian Eigenmaps steps.

problem Improving transformer performance through probabilistic interpretation.
method Probabilistic Laplacian Eigenmaps model derivation and graph diffusion step.
result Subtracting identity from attention matrix improves transformer performance.

Proposes a deep learning model for probabilistic forecasting that is also interpretable.

problem Inability to explain predictions of neural network-based time series forecasting methods.
method Deep Autoregressive Networks (DANLIP) for locally interpretable probabilistic forecasting.
result DANLIP provides interpretable predictions with comparable performance to state-of-the-art methods.

Transfer learning improves sparse, interpretable probabilistic classification.

problem Sparse and interpretable models in transfer learning.
method Two transfer learning extensions integrated into sparse and interpretable probabilistic classification vector machine.
result Transfer learning extensions improve sparsity and performance.

Transforms distance-based outlier scores into interpretable probabilistic estimates.

problem Difficult interpretation of distance-based outlier scores.
method Generic transformation of scores into probabilistic estimates using distance probability distributions.
result Probabilistic transformation improves interpretability without impacting detection performance.

The paper explores how to handle uncertain evidence in probabilistic models.

problem Handling uncertain evidence in probabilistic models and stochastic simulators.
method The paper considers distributional evidence, Jeffrey's rule, and virtual evidence as methods for interpreting uncertain evidence.
result The paper provides guidelines on how to account for uncertain evidence and highlights the importance of careful consideration.

This manuscript proposes a probabilistic framework for algorithms that iteratively solve unconstrained linear problems Bx=bBx = b with positive definite BB for xx. The goal is to replace the point estimates returned by existing methods with a Gaussian posterior belief over the elements of the inverse of BB, which can …

2014-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we investigate the virtual string links via a probabilistic interpretation. This representation can be used to distinguish some virtual string links from classical string links. In order to study the algebraic structure behind this probabilistic interpretation we introduce the notion of virtual flat biqua…

2015-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops deep probabilistic graphical modeling for better flexibility and interpretability.

problem Lack of flexibility in probabilistic graphical models and interpretability in deep learning.
method Combines deep learning and probabilistic graphical modeling to create flexible models with interpretable latent structures.
result Solves problems in probabilistic topic models and introduces new learning algorithms.

pRSL combines probabilistic rules to improve multi-label classification.

problem Modeling the structure between multi-label classes for better performance.
method Uses probabilistic propositional logic rules and belief propagation to combine predictions from multiple classifiers.
result pRSL achieves state-of-the-art performance on various benchmark datasets.

New theorem connects probabilistic permanental point processes to Monge-Ampère equation.

problem Probabilistic interpretation of Monge-Ampère equation boundary value problem.
method Large deviation principles and optimal transport theory.
result Explicit rate function for permanental point processes large deviation.

A new method for detecting anomalies in large, high-dimensional data streams using probabilistic forest models.

problem Challenges in detecting anomalies in large, high-dimensional data.
method Probabilistic Mondrian Pólya Forests for summarizing data and estimating underlying probability density.
result State-of-the-art performance with interpretable anomaly scores.

Innovative PGMs match neural networks, revealing precise approximations during forward propagation.

problem Lack of precise semantics and probabilistic interpretation in neural networks.
method Constructing infinite tree-structured PGMs that correspond to neural networks.
result DNNs perform precise approximations of PGM inference during forward propagation.

In audio signal processing, probabilistic time-frequency models have many benefits over their non-probabilistic counterparts. They adapt to the incoming signal, quantify uncertainty, and measure correlation between the signal's amplitude and phase information, making time domain resynthesis straightforward. However, th…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This work interprets SFA through variational inference, relaxing linearity constraints.

problem Recover non-linear SFA from variational inference.
method Probabilistic interpretation of SFA through variational inference, relaxing linearity constraints.
result Reinterprets SFA as a variational framework, allowing slowness as a regularizer to reconstruction loss.

Interpretable classifiers have recently witnessed an increase in attention from the data mining community because they are inherently easier to understand and explain than their more complex counterparts. Examples of interpretable classification models include decision trees, rule sets, and rule lists. Learning such mo…

2019-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Epidemiology simulations have become a fundamental tool in the fight against the epidemics of various infectious diseases like AIDS and malaria. However, the complicated and stochastic nature of these simulators can mean their output is difficult to interpret, which reduces their usefulness to policymakers. In this pap…

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

SVGP KAN integrates sparse variational GP with KANs for scalable probabilistic inference.

problem Lack of probabilistic outputs in standard KANs and cubic scaling of Gaussian Process methods.
method Sparse Variational GP-KAN combines KAN topology with sparse variational inference and permutation-based importance analysis.
result Enables probabilistic KANs to handle larger datasets with linear computational complexity.

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic optimization method, named probabilistic incremental proximal gradient (PIPG) method, by developing a probabilistic interpretation of the incremental proximal gradient algorithm. We explicitly model the update rules of the incremental proximal gradient method and develop a syst…

2018-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New method enforces encoder sparsity in HPF for more interpretable feature selection.

problem Lack of encoder sparsity in HPF leads to lack of column-clustering property.
method Enforces encoder sparsity using a generalized additive model (GAM).
result Gains ability to perform feature selection and relates each representation to original features.

A new beta-VAE based regression model accelerates oilfield optimization studies.

problem Computational expense of full-physics reservoir simulations.
method beta-VAE for interpretable latent space representation, probabilistic dense layers for uncertainty quantification.
result Interpretable latent representation and quantified uncertainty for optimization decisions.

Hybrid Bayesian neural networks use function uncertainty for probabilistic inference.

problem Uncertainty in neural network weights is hard to specify and interpret.
method Integrates probabilistic layers with standard deterministic layers for function uncertainty.
result Improves probabilistic inference by encoding function uncertainty.

The Huber loss is a robust loss function used for a wide range of regression tasks. To utilize the Huber loss, a parameter that controls the transitions from a quadratic function to an absolute value function needs to be selected. We believe the standard probabilistic interpretation that relates the Huber loss to the H…

2019-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse versions of principal component analysis (PCA) have imposed themselves as simple, yet powerful ways of selecting relevant features of high-dimensional data in an unsupervised manner. However, when several sparse principal components are computed, the interpretation of the selected variables is difficult since ea…

2016-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new probabilistic framework for optimal transport using collective graphical models.

problem Measuring similarity between probability distributions and histograms.
method Probabilistic Optimal Transport based on Collective Graphical Models.
result OT with entropic regularization is equivalent to maximizing a posterior probability of a CGM.

ProFnet models HDFTS with neural networks, offering scalable probabilistic forecasts.

problem Modeling high-dimensional functional time series with nonlinear trends and high spatial dimensions.
method Integrates feedforward and deep neural networks with probabilistic modeling.
result Superior performance in forecasting Japan's mortality rates.

Explaining neural network computation in terms of probabilistic/fuzzy logical operations has attracted much attention due to its simplicity and high interpretability. Different choices of logical operators such as AND, OR and XOR give rise to another dimension for network optimization, and in this paper, we study the o…

2019-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach improves linear-time attention for language models.

problem Challenges of quadratic attention in long-sequence modelling, especially for discrete data.
method Reinterpreting linear attention through latent probabilistic graphical models, introducing asymmetric structure and recurrent parameterisation.
result Our model achieves competitive performance and outperforms existing linear attention variants on language modelling benchmarks.

Probabilistic method combines space and time uncertainties in PDEs.

problem Separate treatment of space and time in PDE solvers obscures interactions and error quantification.
method Gaussian process interpretation of finite difference methods interacting with probabilistic ODE solvers.
result Joint quantification of space- and time-uncertainty possible without sacrificing ODE solver performance.

Recent advances in analysis of subband amplitude envelopes of natural sounds have resulted in convincing synthesis, showing subband amplitudes to be a crucial component of perception. Probabilistic latent variable analysis is particularly revealing, but existing approaches don't incorporate prior knowledge about the ph…

2018-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Word embeddings have demonstrated strong performance on NLP tasks. However, lack of interpretability and the unsupervised nature of word embeddings have limited their use within computational social science and digital humanities. We propose the use of informative priors to create interpretable and domain-informed dime…

2019-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new CG interpretation of neural networks for better theoretical analysis.

problem Lack of theoretical analysis in neural networks interpretation.
method Interprets neural networks as chain graphs and feed-forward as approximate inference.
result Provides novel theoretical support and insights for various neural network techniques.

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is arguably the dominant statistical inference algorithm used in most popular "first-order differentiable" Probabilistic Programming Languages (PPLs). However, the fact that HMC uses derivative information causes complications when the target distribution is non-differentiable with respect…

2018-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we investigate Batch Normalization technique and propose its probabilistic interpretation. We propose a probabilistic model and show that Batch Normalization maximazes the lower bound of its marginalized log-likelihood. Then, according to the new probabilistic model, we design an algorithm which acts cons…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Generating interpretable visualizations from complex data is a common problem in many applications. Two key ingredients for tackling this issue are clustering and representation learning. However, current methods do not yet successfully combine the strengths of these two approaches. Existing representation learning mod…

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗